• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction technique

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Analyzing Machine Learning Techniques for Fault Prediction Using Web Applications

  • Malhotra, Ruchika;Sharma, Anjali
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.751-770
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    • 2018
  • Web applications are indispensable in the software industry and continuously evolve either meeting a newer criteria and/or including new functionalities. However, despite assuring quality via testing, what hinders a straightforward development is the presence of defects. Several factors contribute to defects and are often minimized at high expense in terms of man-hours. Thus, detection of fault proneness in early phases of software development is important. Therefore, a fault prediction model for identifying fault-prone classes in a web application is highly desired. In this work, we compare 14 machine learning techniques to analyse the relationship between object oriented metrics and fault prediction in web applications. The study is carried out using various releases of Apache Click and Apache Rave datasets. En-route to the predictive analysis, the input basis set for each release is first optimized using filter based correlation feature selection (CFS) method. It is found that the LCOM3, WMC, NPM and DAM metrics are the most significant predictors. The statistical analysis of these metrics also finds good conformity with the CFS evaluation and affirms the role of these metrics in the defect prediction of web applications. The overall predictive ability of different fault prediction models is first ranked using Friedman technique and then statistically compared using Nemenyi post-hoc analysis. The results not only upholds the predictive capability of machine learning models for faulty classes using web applications, but also finds that ensemble algorithms are most appropriate for defect prediction in Apache datasets. Further, we also derive a consensus between the metrics selected by the CFS technique and the statistical analysis of the datasets.

Genetic Control of Learning and Prediction: Application to Modeling of Plasma Etch Process Data (학습과 예측의 유전 제어: 플라즈마 식각공정 데이터 모델링에의 응용)

  • Uh, Hyung-Soo;Gwak, Kwan-Woong;Kim, Byung-Whan
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.315-319
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    • 2007
  • A technique to model plasma processes was presented. This was accomplished by combining the backpropagation neural network (BPNN) and genetic algorithm (GA). Particularly, the GA was used to optimize five training factor effects by balancing the training and test errors. The technique was evaluated with the plasma etch data, characterized by a face-centered Box Wilson experiment. The etch outputs modeled include Al etch rate, AI selectivity, DC bias, and silica profile angle. Scanning electron microscope was used to quantify the etch outputs. For comparison, the etch outputs were modeled in a conventional fashion. GABPNN models demonstrated a considerable improvement of more than 25% for all etch outputs only but he DC bias. About 40% improvements were even achieved for the profile angle and AI etch rate. The improvements demonstrate that the presented technique is effective to improving BPNN prediction performance.

Prediction technique for system marginal price using wavelet transform (웨이브릿 변환을 이용한 발전시스템 한계원가 예측기법)

  • Kim, Chang-Il;Kim, Bong-Tae;Kim, Woo-Hyun;Yu, In-Keun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.11b
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    • pp.210-212
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    • 1999
  • This paper proposes a novel wavelet transform based technique for prediction of System Marginal Price(SMP). In this paper, Daubechies D1(haar), D2, D4 wavelet transforms are adopted to predict SMP and the numerical results reveal that certain wavelet components can effectively be used to identify the SMP characteristics with relation to the system demand in electric power systems. The wavelet coefficients associated with certain frequency and time localisation are adjusted using the conventional multiple regression method and then reconstructed in order to predict the SMP on the next scheduling day through a five-scale synthesis technique. The outcome of the study clearly indicates that the proposed wavelet transform approach can be used as an attractive and effective means for the SMP forecasting.

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A Win/Lose prediction model of Korean professional baseball using machine learning technique

  • Seo, Yeong-Jin;Moon, Hyung-Woo;Woo, Yong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a new model for predicting effective Win/Loss in professional baseball game in Korea using machine learning technique. we used basic baseball data and Sabermetrics data, which are highly correlated with score to predict and we used the deep learning technique to learn based on supervised learning. The Drop-Out algorithm and the ReLu activation function In the trained neural network, the expected odds was calculated using the predictions of the team's expected scores and expected loss. The team with the higher expected rate of victory was predicted as the winning team. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model, we compared the actual percentage of win, pythagorean expectation, and win percentage of the proposed model.

Using Standard Deviation with Analogy-Based Estimation for Improved Software Effort Prediction

  • Mohammad Ayub Latif;Muhammad Khalid Khan;Umema Hani
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.1356-1376
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    • 2023
  • Software effort estimation is one of the most difficult tasks in software development whereas predictability is also of equal importance for strategic management. Accurate prediction of the actual cost that will be incurred in software development can be very beneficial for the strategic management. This study discusses the latest trends in software estimation focusing on analogy-based techniques to show how they have improved the accuracy for software effort estimation. It applies the standard deviation technique to the expected value of analogy-based estimates to improve accuracy. In more than 60 percent cases the applied technique of this study helped in improving the accuracy of software estimation by reducing the Magnitude of Relative Error (MRE). The technique is simple and it calculates the expected value of cost or time and then uses different confidence levels which help in making more accurate commitments to the customers.

Nondestructive Buckling Load Prediction of Pressurized Unstiffened Metallic Cylinder Using Vibration Correlation Technique (Vibration Correlation Technique을 이용한 내부 압력을 받는 금속재 단순 원통 구조의 비파괴적 전역 좌굴 하중 예측)

  • Jeon, Min-Hyeok;Kong, Seung-Taek;Cho, Hyun-Jun;Kim, In-Gul;Park, Jae-Sang;Yoo, Joon-Tae;Yoon, Yeoung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2022
  • Nondestructive method to predict buckling load for the propellant tank of launch vehicle should be evaluated. Vibration correlation technique can predict the global buckling load of unstiffened cylindrical structure with geometric initial imperfection using correlation of natural frequency and compressive load from compressive test below the buckling load. In this study, vibration and buckling tests of a thin metal unstiffened propellant tank model subjected to internal pressure and compressive loads were performed and the test results were used for VCT to predict global buckling load. For the vibration test of thin structure, non-contact excitation method using a speaker was used. The response was measured with piezoelectric polymer(PVDF) sensor. Prediction results of VCT were compared with the measured buckling load in the test and the nondestructive global buckling load prediction method was verified.

Development of Predictive Model for Length of Stay(LOS) in Acute Stroke Patients using Artificial Intelligence (인공지능을 이용한 급성 뇌졸중 환자의 재원일수 예측모형 개발)

  • Choi, Byung Kwan;Ham, Seung Woo;Kim, Chok Hwan;Seo, Jung Sook;Park, Myung Hwa;Kang, Sung-Hong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.231-242
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    • 2018
  • The efficient management of the Length of Stay(LOS) is important in hospital. It is import to reduce medical cost for patients and increase profitability for hospitals. In order to efficiently manage LOS, it is necessary to develop an artificial intelligence-based prediction model that supports hospitals in benchmarking and reduction ways of LOS. In order to develop a predictive model of LOS for acute stroke patients, acute stroke patients were extracted from 2013 and 2014 discharge injury patient data. The data for analysis was classified as 60% for training and 40% for evaluation. In the model development, we used traditional regression technique such as multiple regression analysis method, artificial intelligence technique such as interactive decision tree, neural network technique, and ensemble technique which integrate all. Model evaluation used Root ASE (Absolute error) index. They were 23.7 by multiple regression, 23.7 by interactive decision tree, 22.7 by neural network and 22.7 by esemble technique. As a result of model evaluation, neural network technique which is artificial intelligence technique was found to be superior. Through this, the utility of artificial intelligence has been proved in the development of the prediction LOS model. In the future, it is necessary to continue research on how to utilize artificial intelligence techniques more effectively in the development of LOS prediction model.

Prediction Principle and System Structure for the Detection of Incipient Electrical Fire (전기화재 예지원리 및 징후검출 시스템 구조)

  • 김창종
    • The Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 1995
  • Electrical fire in residential, commercial, and industrial areas occupies 40 percent of overall fire accidents as of the year of 1994. The causes of most electrical fires were studied and, based on this investigation, the principle of the early detection or prediction of the electrical fires is developed. The basic principle is to early detect electrical arcs or sparks caused by faulty connections and insulation failures. the structure of the prediction system based on microcontroller technique is presented.

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Efficient of The Data Value Predictor in Superscalar Processors (슈퍼스칼라 프로세서에서 데이터 값 예측기의 성능효과)

  • 박희룡;전병찬;이상정
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2000.06c
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    • pp.55-58
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    • 2000
  • To achieve high performance by exploiting instruction level parallelism(ILP) aggressively in superscalar processors, value prediction is used. Value prediction is a technique that breaks data dependences by predicting the outcome of an instruction and executes speculatively it's data dependent instruction based on the predicted outcome. In this paper, the performance of a hybrid value prediction scheme with dynamic classification mechanism is measured and analyzed by using execution-driven simulator for SPECint95 benchmark set.

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The Computer Fault Prediction and Diagnosis Fuzzy Expert System (컴퓨터 고장 예측 및 진단 퍼지 전문가 시스템)

  • 최성운
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.54
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2000
  • The fault diagnosis is a systematic and unified method to find based on the observing data resulting in noises. This paper presents the fault prediction and diagnosis using fuzzy expert system technique to manipulate the uncertainties efficiently in predictive perspective. We apply a fuzzy event tree analysis to the computer system, and build up the fault prediction and diagnosis using fuzzy expert system that predicts and diagnoses the error of the system in the advance of error.

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