• 제목/요약/키워드: prediction performance

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다수의 광대역 신호의 입사각 추정을 위한 이차원의 정응선형예측 알고리즘 (Adaptive Two Dimensional Linear Prediction Algorithm For Estimating Incident Angles of Multiple Broadbamd Signals.)

  • 김태원
    • 한국음향학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국음향학회 1987년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.61-65
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    • 1987
  • An algorithm for estimating incident angles of multiple broaband signals is proposed. The method adopts semicausal model for two dimensional linear prediction filter coefficients such that the arithmatic averag of the mean squared values of the forward and reverse prediction arrors is minimized. Preliminary results demonstrating the performance of the proposed method are presented. Simulation results indicate that the performance depends on signal-to-noise ratio and prediction order in spatial demension.

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A cavitation performance prediction method for pumps PART1-Proposal and feasibility

  • Yun, Long;Rongsheng, Zhu;Dezhong, Wang
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권11호
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    • pp.2471-2478
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    • 2020
  • Pumps are essential machinery in the various industries. With the development of high-speed and large-scale pumps, especially high energy density, high requirements have been imposed on the vibration and noise performance of pumps, and cavitation is an important source of vibration and noise excitation in pumps, so it is necessary to improve pumps cavitation performance. The modern pump optimization design method mainly adopts parameterization and artificial intelligence coupling optimization, which requires direct correlation between geometric parameters and pump performance. The existing cavitation performance calculation method is difficult to be integrated into multi-objective automatic coupling optimization. Therefore, a fast prediction method for pump cavitation performance is urgently needed. This paper proposes a novel cavitation prediction method based on impeller pressure isosurface at single-phase media. When the cavitation occurs, the area of pressure isosurface Siso increases linearly with the NPSHa decrease. This demonstrates that with the development of cavitation, the variation law of the head with the NPSHa and the variation law of the head with the area of pressure isosurface are consistent. Therefore, the area of pressure isosurface Siso can be used to predict cavitation performance. For a certain impeller blade, since the area ratio Rs is proportional to the area of pressure isosurface Siso, the cavitation performance can be predicted by the Rs. In this paper, a new cavitation performance prediction method is proposed, and the feasibility of this method is demonstrated in combination with experiments, which will greatly accelerate the pump hydraulic optimization design.

열화되는 성능 파라메터를 가지는 시스템의 신뢰성 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Reliability Prediction of System with Degrading Performance Parameter)

  • 김연수;정영배
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.142-148
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    • 2015
  • Due to advancements in technology and manufacturing capability, it is not uncommon that life tests yield no or few failures at low stress levels. In these situations it is difficult to analyse lifetime data and make meaningful inferences about product or system reliability. For some products or systems whose performance characteristics degrade over time, a failure is said to have occurred when a performance characteristic crosses a critical threshold. The measurements of the degradation characteristic contain much useful and credible information about product or system reliability. Degradation measurements of the performance characteristics of an unfailed unit at different times can directly relate reliability measures to physical characteristics. Reliability prediction based on physical performance measures can be an efficient and alternative method to estimate for some highly reliable parts or systems. If the degradation process and the distance between the last measurement and a specified threshold can be established, the remaining useful life is predicted in advance. In turn, this prediction leads to just in time maintenance decision to protect systems. In this paper, we describe techniques for mapping product or system which has degrading performance parameter to the associated classical reliability measures in the performance domain. This paper described a general modeling and analysis procedure for reliability prediction based on one dominant degradation performance characteristic considering pseudo degradation performance life trend model. This pseudo degradation trend model is based on probability modeling of a failure mechanism degradation trend and comparison of a projected distribution to pre-defined critical soft failure point in time or cycle.

이중 추력형 로켓모타의 성능예측 기법 연구 (A study on the performance prediction technique of the dual-thrust rocket motor)

  • 이도형
    • 한국추진공학회지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.38-43
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    • 2001
  • 본 논문은 Finocyl형 그레인의 이중추력형 로켓모타에 대한 성능예측기법을 개발하여 이를 실제 연소 시험 데이터와 비교, 분석하였다. 성능예측은 I-DEAS를 이용한 면적분석과 보정계수를 이용한 성능계산으로 나누어 수행되었다. 비교분석 결과 연소 중 압력이 지속적으로 변화하는 이중추력형 모타의 경우는 단순추력형과는 달리 부스팅과 서스테이닝 단계에서 각각 다른 보정개수를 적용하여 성능을 예측해야하며 이를 이용하여 재예측한 결과 0.5% 오차 안에서 일치함을 확인하였다.

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추계적 열화모형에 의한 건설자재의 사용수명 예측 (Service Life Prediction for Building Materials and Components with Stochastic Deterioration)

  • 권영일
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2007
  • The performance of a building material degrades as time goes by and the failure of the material is often defined as the point at which the performance of the material reaches a pre-specified degraded level. Based on a stochastic deterioration model, a performance based service life prediction method for building materials and components is developed. As a stochastic degradation model, a gamma process is considered and lifetime distribution and service life of a material are predicted using the degradation model. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the use of the proposed service life prediction method.

풍력터빈 블레이드 공력설계 및 성능예측 (Aerodynamic Design and Performance Prediction of Wind Turbine Blade)

  • 김철완;조태환
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2011년도 제37회 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.677-681
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    • 2011
  • 수직축 및 수평축 풍력터빈의 특성 및 공력성능예측 방법에 대해 고찰하였다. Darrieus형 수직축 풍력터빈은 블레이드에 유입되는 바람의 속도 및 받음각의 변화가 매우 심해 Dynamic Stall 현상이 발생하고 앞면에서 발생한 Wake가 후면 블레이드의 공력특성에 영향을 준다. 수평축은 BEMT를 활용하여 형상설계 및 성능예측이 가능하고 전산해석 및 풍동시험을 통해 공력성능예측이 수행되고 있다.

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비행제어를 위한 비행 중 고체로켓 추력 예측 방법 (In-Flight Prediction of Solid Rocket Motor Performance for Flight Control)

  • 이용인;조성진;최동균
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.816-821
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, an in-flight prediction method of thrust profiles for solid rocket motors is proposed. Actually, it is very difficult to have detailed information about the performance of the rocket motors beforehand because it is quite sensitive to combustion environments. To overcome this problem, we have developed an algorithm for generating in-flight prediction of rocket motor performance in realistic environments via a reference burnback profile and accelerations measured at a short time-interval just after launch. The performance is evaluated through a lot of flight test results.

박용 터보챠저 사류 터빈의 공력설계 (A Aerodynamic Design of Mixed Flow Turbine of the Marine Turbocharger)

  • 김홍원;오국택;갈상학;하지수
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2001년도 추계학술대회논문집B
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    • pp.670-675
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    • 2001
  • This paper describes aerodynamic preliminary design performance prediction and flow analysis for turbine of the marine middle engine turbocharger. The performance characteristics of turbocharger turbine are investigated at various operating conditions using mass flow rate and computational flow analysis for rotor and nozzle at design point are performed. Preliminary design results are performed by applying mean line and radial equilibrium theory. Performance prediction and flow analysis results show good agreement with experiments. From 3 dimensional flow analysis result, efficiency is 0.6% greater than design point. Therefore, this design approach is useful for preliminary design, and helps to increase the design capability for optimized rotor blade.

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독립시행의 정리를 이용하는 수퍼스칼라 프로세서의 다중 분기 예측 성능 모델 (The Analytic Performance Model of the Superscalar Processor Using Multiple Branch Prediction)

  • 이종복
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 1999년도 하계종합학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1009-1012
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    • 1999
  • An analytical performance model that can predict the performance of a superscalar processor employing multiple branch prediction is introduced. The model is based on the conditional independence probability and the basic block size of instructions, with the degree of multiple branch prediction, the fetch rate, and the window size of a superscalar architecture. Trace driven simulation is performed for the subset of SPEC integer benchmarks, and the measured IPCs are compared with the results derived from the model. As the result, our analytic model could predict the performance of the superscalar processor using multiple branch prediction within 6.6 percent on the average.

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무선망의 자원예측을 위한 Adaptive-MMOSPRED 기법을 사용한 호 수락제어 (Call Admission Control Using Adaptive-MMOSPRED for Resource Prediction in Wireless Networks)

  • 이진이
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.22-27
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문에서는 기존의 MMOSPRED(MultiMedia One Step Prediction)에 의한 멀티미디어 호의 자원 요구량(채널 수)의 예측방법을 개선한 적응 MMOSPRED 기법을 제안하고, 이 기법을 사용한 멀티미디어 무선망의 호 수락제어의 성능을 분석한다. 제안된 적응기법은 자원 요구량의 예측시간 동안 고정된 표준 정규분포의 확률변수 값을 갖는 기존의 MMOSPRED 방법과는 다르게 LMS 알고리즘을 사용하여 자원의 예측 오차량을 최소화시킨다. 시뮬레이션을 통하여 제안된 방법에 의한 자원의 예측 오차량이 기존의 방법보다 감소함을 보이고, 제안된 적응예측기법을 사용한 호 수락제어는 기존의 방법보다 미래의 핸드오프 호 가 요구하는 자원의 양을 상대적으로 정확히 예측함으로써, 원하는 핸드오프 호 손실확률에서 신규 호의 수락율을 증가시킴으로써 호 수락제어의 성능이 향상됨을 보인다.

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