• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction of lifetime

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Characterization of Thermal Degradation of Polymide 66 Composite: Relationship between Lifetime Prediction and Activation Energy (폴리아미드 66 복합소재의 열 열화 특성: 수명 예측과 활성화 에너지의 상관관계)

  • Jung, Won-Young;Weon, Jong-Il
    • Polymer(Korea)
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.712-720
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    • 2012
  • Thermal degradation for glass fiber-reinforced polyamide 66 composite (PA 66) with respect of thermal exposure time has been investigated using optical microscopy, scanning electron microscopy and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy. As the thermal exposure time was prolonged, a slight increase in tensile strength for only initial stage and afterward, a proportional decrease of tensile strength was observed. These results can be explained by the increase of crystallinity, followed by the increase of crosslinking density, chain scission and the decrease in chain mobility, due to thermal oxidation with the exposure time. Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy results showed the increase of ketone peak and silica peak on the surface of thermally exposed PA 66. In addition, the thermal decomposition kinetics of PA 66 was analyzed using thermogravimetric analysis at three different heating rates. The relationship between activation energy and lifetime-prediction of PA 66 was investigated by several methodologies, such as statistical tool, UL 746B, Ozawa and Kissinger. The activation energy determined by thermogravimetric analysis had a relatively large value compared with that from the accelerated test. This may result in over-estimating the lifetime of PA 66. In this study, a master curve of exponential fitting has been developed to extrapolate the activation energy at various service temperatures.

Service Life Prediction for Building Materials and Components with Stochastic Deterioration (추계적 열화모형에 의한 건설자재의 사용수명 예측)

  • Kwon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2007
  • The performance of a building material degrades as time goes by and the failure of the material is often defined as the point at which the performance of the material reaches a pre-specified degraded level. Based on a stochastic deterioration model, a performance based service life prediction method for building materials and components is developed. As a stochastic degradation model, a gamma process is considered and lifetime distribution and service life of a material are predicted using the degradation model. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the use of the proposed service life prediction method.

A Study on the Fatigue Life Prediction and Evaluation of Rubber Components for Automobile Vehicle (자동차 방진고무부품의 피로수명 예측 및 평가)

  • Woo, Chang-Su;Kim, Wan-Doo;Kwon, Jae-Do
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.56-62
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    • 2005
  • The fatigue analysis and lifetime evaluation are very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability of the rubber components. Fatigue lifetime prediction methodology of the rubber component was proposed by incorporating the finite element analysis and fatigue damage parameter from fatigue test. Finite element analysis of 3D dumbbell specimen and rubber component were performed based on a hyper-elastic material model determined from material test. The Green-Lagrange strain at the critical location determined from the FEM was used for evaluating the fatigue damaged parameter of the natural rubber. Fatigue life of the rubber component are predicted by using the fatigue damage parameter at the critical location. Predicted fatigue lifes of the rubber component agreed fairly well the experimental fatigue lives.

Shield TBM disc cutter replacement and wear rate prediction using machine learning techniques

  • Kim, Yunhee;Hong, Jiyeon;Shin, Jaewoo;Kim, Bumjoo
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.249-258
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    • 2022
  • A disc cutter is an excavation tool on a tunnel boring machine (TBM) cutterhead; it crushes and cuts rock mass while the machine excavates using the cutterhead's rotational movement. Disc cutter wear occurs naturally. Thus, along with the management of downtime and excavation efficiency, abrasioned disc cutters need to be replaced at the proper time; otherwise, the construction period could be delayed and the cost could increase. The most common prediction models for TBM performance and for the disc cutter lifetime have been proposed by the Colorado School of Mines and Norwegian University of Science and Technology. However, design parameters of existing models do not well correspond to the field values when a TBM encounters complex and difficult ground conditions in the field. Thus, this study proposes a series of machine learning models to predict the disc cutter lifetime of a shield TBM using the excavation (machine) data during operation which is response to the rock mass. This study utilizes five different machine learning techniques: four types of classification models (i.e., K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Support Vector Machine, Decision Tree, and Staking Ensemble Model) and one artificial neural network (ANN) model. The KNN model was found to be the best model among the four classification models, affording the highest recall of 81%. The ANN model also predicted the wear rate of disc cutters reasonably well.

A Study of assessment criteria and lifetime prediction for power supply of electrodeless fluorescent lamp (무전극형광램프용 전원장치의 평가기준 및 수명예측)

  • Ham, Jung-Keol;Shin, Jong-Wook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.25-30
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    • 2004
  • This paper gives an assessment criteria and average failure lifetime prediction for power supply of electrodeless fluorescent lamp. The paper present electric appliance safety standard and performance standard for power supply of electrodeless fluorescent lamp. also, It presents the Failure Rate or Mean Time To Failure(MTTF) for power supply of electrodeless fluorescent lamp. We suggest the assessment criteria and improve methods of the reliability on the design basis for the electrodeless fluorescent system.

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Service life prediction of rubber seal materials for immersion tunnel by accelerated thermal degradation tests (가속 열 노화시험을 이용한 침매터널용 고무 씰 소재의 사용수명 예측)

  • Park, Joon-Hyung;Park, Kwang-Hwa;Park, Hyeong-Geun;Kwon, Young-Il;Kim, Jong-Ho;Sung, Il-Kyung
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.275-290
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    • 2009
  • This paper considers accelerated thermal degradation tests which are performed for rubber seal materials used for undersea tunnels constructed by immersion method. Three types of rubber seals are tested; rubber expansion seal, omega seal, and shock absorber hose. Main ingredient of rubber expansion seal is EPDM(Ethylene Propylene Diene Monomer) and that of both omega seal and shock absorber hose is SBR(Styrene Butadiene Rubber). The accelerated stress is temperature and an Arrhenius model is introduced to describe the relationship between the lifetime and the stress. From the accelerated degradation tests, dominant failure mode of the rubber seals is found to be the loss of elongation. The lifetime distribution and the service life of the rubber seals at use condition are estimated from the test results. The acceleration factor for three types of rubber seals are also investigated.

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A Study on the Lifetime Estimation and Leakage Test of Rubber O-ring in Contacted with Fuel at Accelerated Thermal Aging Conditions (가속노화조건 하 연료접촉 고무오링의 수명예측 및 누유시험 연구)

  • Chung, Kunwoo;Hong, Jinsook;Kim, Young-wun;Han, Jeongsik;Jeong, Byunghun;Kwon, Youngil
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.222-228
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    • 2019
  • As rubber products such as O-rings, which are also known as packings or toric joints, come in regular, long term contact with liquid fuel, they can eventually swell, become mechanically weakened, and occasionally crack; this diminishes both their usefulness and intrinsic lifetime and could cause leaks during the steady-state flow condition of the fuel. In this study, we evaluate the lifetime of such products through compression set tests of FKM, a family of fluorocarbon elastomer materials defined by the ASTM international standard D141; these materials have great compression, sunlight, and ozone resistance as well as a low gas absorption rate. In this process, O-rings are immersed in the liquid fuel of airtight containers that can be expressed as a compression set, and the liquid fuel leakage in a flow rig tester at variable temperatures over 12 months is investigated. Using the Power Law model, our study determined a theoretical O-ring lifetime of 2,647 years, i.e. a semi-permanent lifespan, by confirming the absence of liquid fuel leakage around the O-ring assembled fittings. These results indicate that the FKM O-rings are significantly compatible for fuel tests to evaluate long-term sealing conditions.

Accelerated Life Prediction of the Rubber for Combat Boots (전투화용 고무의 가속수명예측)

  • Yu, Gun-Sung;Lee, Nam-Rye;Yeo, Yong-Heon;Lee, Beom-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.8637-8642
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    • 2015
  • Typical aging for the rubber using the current military adhesive combat boots was spread with a regular aging caused by heat stress. In this study, the aging test of the rubber for combat boots was carried out and the reaction rate constant, k was calculated at aging temperature $60^{\circ}C$, $80^{\circ}C$ and $100^{\circ}C$, using the Arrhenius equation. The lifetime limit was assumed that the tensile strength of the product is reduced to 30%, the elongation is reduced to 50% and abrasion resistance ratio is 380%. ln($P/P_0$) and the lifetime was predicted with the consideration of the activation energy constant. According to the above, the lifetime of the rubber for combat boots with influenced by aging temperature was predicted. As the result, the estimate lifetime at $20^{\circ}C$ was confirmed more than 10 years.

Thermal Characteristics Analysis of Power Device for Motor Driving Power Converter (전동기 구동용 전력 변환기에 대한 전력소자의 열적 특성 해석)

  • Cho, Moontaek;Lee, Chungsik;Lee, SangBock
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.495-498
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, the basic behavior of the environment and the driving time as a prediction of the lifetime of the power semiconductor devices were recorded. Radiator of a power device driving time and temperature operating environment, including cumulative record by the controller of the power converter, and doing it so you can see the power semiconductor devices for the life of the structure that the size of the change in the temperature of the semiconductor chip and the number of iterations to maintenance warranty period because of a lifetime by forecasting or replacement can be made at the appropriate time that is considered.

Prediction of the Impact Lifetime for Board-Leveled Flip Chips by Changing the Design Parameters of the Solder Balls (플립칩의 설계변수 변화에 따른 보드레벨 플립칩에서의 낙하충격 수명예측)

  • Lee, Soo Jin;Kim, Seong Keol
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 2015
  • The need for drop simulations for board-leveled flip chips in micro-system packaging has been increasing. There have been many studies on flip chips with various solder ball compositions. However, studies on flip chips with Sn-1.0Ag-0.5Cu and Sn-3.0Ag-0.5Cu have rarely been attempted because of the unknown material properties. According to recent studies, drop simulations with these solder ball compositions have proven feasible. In this study, predictions of the impact lifetime by drop simulations are performed considering Cu and Cu/Ni UBMs using LS-DYNA to alter the design parameters of the flip chips, such as thickness of the flip chip and size of the solder ball. It was found that a smaller chip thickness, larger solder ball diameter, and using the Cu/Ni UBM can improve the drop lifetime of solder balls.