• 제목/요약/키워드: prediction of lifetime

검색결과 222건 처리시간 0.033초

부품의 수명 데이터를 이용한 승강기의 신뢰성 평가 (Reliability Assessment of Elevators Using Life Data of the Components)

  • 손상훈;손혜정;김선진;양보석;윤문철
    • 동력기계공학회지
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2010
  • Engineering asset management (EAM) requires the accurate assessment of current and the prediction of future asset health condition. Suitable mathematical models that are capable of predicting time-to-failure and the probability of failure in future time are essential. In general reliability models, lifetime of component and system is estimated using failure time data. This paper deals with the reliability assessment of elevators using life of main components. Especially this work is concerned with the stochastic nature of life of elevator components. First, we investigate the Weibull statistical analysis of lifetime data for the components. The final goal is to establish the mathematical model for reliability assessment. This work provides more perspectives to future research in the fields of reliability and maintainability.

154kV 전력용 변압기의 온도분포에 관한 연구 (The Study on the Temperature Distribution for 154kV Power Transformers)

  • 우정욱;구교선;곽주식;김경탁;권동진
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제25권9호
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    • pp.56-61
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    • 2011
  • The temperature of power transformers is very important factor for power system operation in substation because load capacity and limited lifetime of power transformers are determined by winding temperature. Also, The temperature of power transformers varies with the structure, capacity, operation condition and manufacturers. Thus, it is necessary for temperature distribution to be exactly investigated because of efficient load management and prediction of limited lifetime. Nevertheless, there was no case of analysis as well as measurement of the temperature of power transformers. In this paper, we manufactured the 154kV standard power transformer for the test. And we measured the temperature by the heat run test and analyzed the temperature distribution of transformer.

반응결합한 알루미나의 미구조와 파괴거동에 대한 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study of Microstructure and Fracture Behavior in Reaction-Bonded Alumina)

  • 이종호;장복기
    • 한국세라믹학회지
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    • 제29권7호
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    • pp.517-524
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    • 1992
  • For the present study two alumina bodies were prepared. The sinter-aid alumina body(SAA) was made by conventional sinter-process using sintering additives of TiO2 & MgO/CaO and the reaction-bonded alumina (RBA) made from Al-Al2O3 mixed powder. A comparison was made between those two bodies and this investigation seeks to evaluate their microstructure, physical properties and material's reliability as well as their fracture behaviour. In spite of its considerable microstructural densification accompanied by sintering shrinkage, SAA is largely inferior to RBA in fracture strength. However, SAA shows a somewhat higher m-value than RBA in respect to the material's reliability, the Weibull modulus(m). RBA, which has high fracture strength, shows much longer lifetime under static loading than SAA. Though, as with m of fracture strength, the reliability(mt) of lifetime prediction in RBA is less high than of SAA.

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입환기관차의 노후도 정밀진단 : 주행성능평가 (Deterioration Analysis of the Shunting Locomotive Through Precision Diagnosis Assessment : Running Performance Assessment)

  • 편장식;정종덕;김정국;최경진;김원경
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.557-562
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    • 2004
  • The deterioration of a shunting locomotive was characterized for the lifetime assessment. The locomotive has been used for shunting works in steel making processes, and in this investigation, various types of technical evaluation methods for the locomotive parts were employed to assess the current deterioration status and to provide important clue for lifetime prediction. Unlike other rolling stocks in railway applications, the diesel shunting locomotive is composed of major components such as diesel engine, transmission, gear box, brake system, electronic devices, etc. In this paper, the analysis results of running performance assessment have been used to provide the critical information for the criteria of precision diagnosis assessment.

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과도 상태 시 NPT IGBT의 전압-전류 모델링 (Voltage-Current Modeling of NPT IGBT for Transient Condition)

  • 류세환;이명수;안형근;한득영
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 Vol.5 No.1
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    • pp.405-408
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    • 2004
  • In this work, Analytical model for voltage and current characteristics of NPT(Non-PunchThrough) IGBT(Insulated Gate Bipolar Transistor) was represented. voltage and current characteristics models were based on prediction on power loss of NPT IGBT during transient condition. For Analytical current model, excess carrier concentration and accumulated charge in active base width was analyzed with time variance. Analytical models were simulated by varying lifetime of excess minority carrier.

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전력케이블의 수명평가와 보상조건에 관한 기초연구 (A Study on the Compensation Condition and the Lifetime Prediction in Power Cable)

  • 임장섭;노성호;김지선
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2010년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.50-50
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    • 2010
  • 전력케이블의 수명예측은 전력설비의 적절한 전력설비의 신뢰성 확보에 목적이 있다. 그러나 장기간의 수명으로 설계되는 관계로 가속실험을 수행하여 중장기적인 절연성 추세를 평가하기 위해서 와이블 분포함수와 같은 통계적인 접근과 수영과 관련된 보상조건에 대한 고려가 필수적이다.

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입환기관차의 노후도 정밀진단 : 엔진 및 동력전달장치 (Deterioration Analysis of the Shunting Locomotive Through Precision Diagnosis Assessment : Diesel Engine & Power Transmission Parts)

  • 정종덕;김정국;홍용기;이동형;편장식
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.545-550
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    • 2004
  • The deterioration of a shunting locomotive was characterized for the lifetime assessment. The locomotive has been used for shunting works in steel making processes, and in this investigation, various types of technical evaluation methods for the locomotive parts were employed to assess the current deterioration status and to provide important clue for lifetime prediction. Unlike other rolling stocks in railway applications, the diesel shunting locomotive is composed of major components such as diesel engine, transmission, gear box, brake system, electronic devices, etc. In this paper, the degree of deterioration in a diesel engine and power transmission parts has been presented based on the analysis results.

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파괴수명예측을 통한 지중배전용 전력케이블의 열화 진단 (Aging Diagnosis of Underground Distribution Power Cables Using Breakdown Lifetime Prediction)

  • 김충배;이정빈;임장섭;장영학;이진;김태성
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 1999년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.222-225
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    • 1999
  • Degradation diagnosis of XLPE insulated URD cables was accomplished through out new method. which was to be analyzed non-electrical experiments and synthesized by degradation points. To supplement this method, it was also carried out using several electrical analyses. Breakdown voltages were measured and breakdown lifetimes were Predicted appling for Weibull distribution function. As a result, breakdown lifetime in failure cables was shorted up to 1/3 times than that in general cables. It was very available to estimate cable degradation using above method, but it needs further study on XLPE insulated URD cables in order to improve reliability.

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저장신뢰도 기반의 유도탄 품질보증모델에 대한 연구 (A Study on Warranty and Quality Assurance Model for Guided Missiles Based on Storage Reliability)

  • 정상훈;이상복
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to develop a quality assurance model and to determine appropriate warranty period for a guided missile using its field data. Methods: 10 years of actual firing data is collected from the defense industry company and military. Parametric maximum likelihood estimation for a reliability function is determined with the data. Results: The reliability function estimates average lifetime of the missile. That function shows a user requirement, 80% reliability (lifetime) is come up when 8 years have passed, which is longer than the estimates in the missile's development phase. Conclusion: Quality assurance warranty for a guided missile must be established with actual test data. It is necessary to update and modify the reliability prediction and the warranty period with actual field test data.

고무 방현재의 사용 수명 예측 (Prediction of Service Life of The Rubber Fender)

  • 이세희;박준형;김광섭
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 2008
  • The rubber fender is used to absorb the berthing energy that is produced when a ship is near a port, and it prevents collision between the ship and port. If the rubber fender becomes defective, the berthing energy cannot be absorbed when it is near the port, and damage can result from collisions due to the hardening process. In this research, when the rubber fender is heated, collisions can cause cracks and other damage. It is also confirmed from the research the lifetime distribution of the rubber fender. The researcher has predicted using different variables and elongation that a rubber fender has an 11year lifespan at $20^{\circ}C$.

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