• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction criteria

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Numerical Analysis of Deformation Behaviour of Underground Opening in a Discontinuous Rock Mass Using a Continuum Joint Model (연속체 절리모델을 이용한 불연속성암반 내 지하공동의 변형거동에 관한 수치해석)

  • Kang Sang Soo;Lee Jong-Kil;Baek Hwanjo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.257-268
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    • 2005
  • In situ rock mass is generally heterogeneous and discontinuous, with varying degrees of strength along the planes of weakness. The planes of weakness such as joints, faults, cracks and bedding planes, control the strength and deformation characteristics of the rock mass. Subsequently, the stability of underground opening depends upon the spatial distribution of discontinuities and their mechanical properties in relation with geometrical shape of openins as well as the mechanical properties of intact rock materials. Understanding the behaviour of a discontinuous rock mass remains a key issue for improving excavation design in hiかy stressed environments. Although recent advances in rock mechanics have provided guidelines for the design of underground opening in isotropic rock mass, prediction and control of deformation in discontinuous rock masses are still unclear. In this study, parametric study was performed to investigate the plastic zone size, stress distribution and deformation behavior around underground opening in a discontinuous rock mass using a continuum joint model. The solutions were obtained by an elasto-plastic finite difference analysis, employing the Mohr-Coulomb failure criteria. Non-associated flow rule and perfectly plastic material behavior are also assumed.

Classification and Performance Evaluation Methods of an Algal Bloom Model (적조모형의 분류 및 성능평가 기법)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Cho, Beom Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.405-412
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    • 2014
  • A number of algal bloom models (red-tide models) have been developed and applied to simulate the redtide growth and decline patterns as the interest on the phytoplankton blooms has been continuously increased. The quantitative error analysis of the model is of great importance because the accurate prediction of the red-tide occurrence and transport pattern can be used to setup the effective mitigations and counter-measures on the coastal ecosystem, aquaculture and fisheries damages. The word "red-tide model" is widely used without any clear definitions and references. It makes the comparative evaluation of the ecological models difficult and confusable. It is highly required to do the performance test of the red-tide models based on the suitable classification and appropriate error analysis because model structures are different even though the same/similar words (e.g., red-tide, algal bloom, phytoplankton growth, ecological or ecosystem models) are used. Thus, the references on the model classification are suggested and the advantage and disadvantage of the models are also suggested. The processes and methods on the performance test (quantitative error analysis) are recommend to the practical use of the red-tide model in the coastal seas. It is suggested in each stage of the modeling procedures, such as verification, calibration, validation, and application steps. These suggested references and methods can be attributed to the effective/efficient marine policy decision and the coastal ecosystem management plan setup considering the red-tide and/or ecological models uncertainty.

Heat Transfer Characteristics of CO2 at Supercritical Pressure in a Vertical Circular Tube (수직원형관에서 초임계압 CO2의 열전달 특성)

  • Yoo, Tae-Ho;Bae, Yoon-Yong;Kim, Hwan-Yeol
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2011
  • At supercritical pressure, the physical properties of fluid change substantially and the heat transfer at a temperature similar to the critical or pseudo-critical temperature improves considerably; however, the heat transfer may deteriorate due to a sudden increase in the wall temperature at a certain condition of a mass and heat flux. In this study, the heat transfer rates in $CO_2$ flowing vertically upward and downward in a circular tube with a diameter of 4.57 mm under various conditions were calculated by measuring the temperature of the outer wall of the tube. The published heat transfer correlations were analyzed by comparing their prediction values with 7,250 experimental data. By introducing a buoyancy parameter, a heat transfer correlation, which could be applied only to a normal heat transfer regime, was extended such that it can be applied to regime of heat transfer deterioration. The published criteria for heat transfer deterioration were evaluated against the conditions obtained from the experiment in this study.

Shape Similarity Analysis for Verification of Hazard Map for Storm Surge : Shape Criterion (폭풍해일 침수예상도 검증을 위한 형상유사도 분석 : 형상기준)

  • Kim, Young In;Kim, Dong Hyun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2019
  • The concept of shape similarity has been applied to verify the accuracy of the SIND model, the real-time prediction model for disaster risk. However, the CRITIC method, one of the most widely used in geometric methodology, is definitely limited to apply to complex shape such as hazard map for coastal disaster. Therefore, we suggested the modified CRITIC method of which we added the shape factors such as RCCI and TF to consider complicated shapes. The matching pairs were manually divided into exact-matching pairs and mis-matching pairs to evaluate the applicability of the new method for shape similarity into hazard maps for storm surges. And the shape similarity of each matching pair was calculated by changing the weights of each shape factor and criteria. Newly proposed methodology and the calculated weights were applied to the objects of the existent hazard map and the results from SIND model. About 90% of exact-matching pairs had the shape similarity of 0.5 or higher, and about 70% of mis-matching pairs were it below 0.5. As future works, if we would calibrate narrowly and adjust carefully multi-objects corresponding to one object, it would be expected that the shape similarity of the exact-matching pairs will increase overall while it of the mis-matching pairs will decrease.

Prediction of Optimum Fertilizer Rate for Flue-Cured Tobacco by Nitrogen Availability in Soils (토양질소(土壤窒素)의 유효도(有效度) 검정방법(檢定方法)에 의한 황색종연초(黃色種煙草)의 적정시비량(適正施肥量) 추정(推定))

  • Jeong, Hun-Chae;Cho, Seong-Jin;Hong, Sun-Dal;Lee, Yun-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.169-176
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    • 1985
  • Six analytial methods for determing the available nitrogen in soils were tested to predict the optimum fertilizer rate for the flue-cured tobacco and to test the fertility level of soils for tobacco. All methods, nitrifiable $NO_3-N$ value for 2 and 4 weeks incubation, UV absorption value at 260nm and N-value in acid digestion of 0.01 M-$NaHCO_3$ extracts, N-value extracted in boiling with $CaCl_2$ solution, and autoclave-extractable $NH_4-N$ value in 0.01 M-$CaCl_2$, were closely correlated with total nitrogen uptake as well as yield. Therefore available nitrogen indices determined from above 6 analysis method could be used for the predicting of tobacco yield without fertilizer, criteria for fertility class, and recommendable range of optimum fertilization.

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Development of a Procedure for Remaining Life Estimation in Airfield Concrete Pavement (공항 콘크리트 포장의 잔존수명 산출 논리 개선 연구)

  • Kwon Soo-Ahn;Suh Young-Chan;Cho Yong-Joo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.8 no.1 s.27
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 2006
  • Methods of back calculation for either design procedures or elastic moduli obtained from FWD(Falling Weight Deflectometer) tests have widely been used to predict remaining life of airfield concrete pavements. Since the variation of the elastic modulus obtained from the FWD test depends on the back calculation methods, prediction of remaining life of airfield pavement using the back calculation method has not been reliable. In addition, the FWD method only concentrates on the structural integrity of the pavement without considering functional distress. In this study, a newly developed remaining life estimation procedure is proposed. This methodology includes both structural and functional consideration and suggests models and decision criteria for each stage. In order to improve the estimation procedure on remaining life of pavement, conducted the several tests on an old airfield concrete pavement. As a result, it is concluded that the load transfer efficiency on joint is better for predicting remaining life of pavement than the elastic modulus, which is commonly used. In order to verify applicability of the newly developed estimation procedure and detailed models, investigation and analysis were conducted according to the new methodology on C-airfield pavement. Finally, it is confirmed that the efficiency of the proposed method for practical application was good enough.

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Assessing a Body Shape Index and Waist to Height Ratio as a Risk Predictor for Insulin Resistance and Metabolic Syndrome among Korean Adults (한국 성인의 인슐린저항성 및 대사증후군 위험 예측인자로서 체형지수와 허리둘레/신장 비율의 효용성)

  • Shin, Kyung-A
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.44-53
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    • 2018
  • The WHtR (waist to height ratio) and ABSI (a body shape index) are indicators that reflect abdominal obesity. This study examined the insulin resistance and metabolic syndrome prediction ability of ABSI and WHtR. In this study, 4,395 people aged 20 years or older, who underwent physical examinations at a General Hospital in Gyeonggi-do from January 2017 to September 2017 were assessed on a cross section survey. Metabolic syndrome was defined according to the criteria of the AHA/NHLBI. Insulin resistance was judged to be insulin resistance when the HOMA-IR value was 3.0 or more. Both men and women showed a stronger correlation between WHtR and the metabolic risk factors than ABSI. The AUC value of WHtR and ABSI was 0.849 and 0.676, respectively (p<0.001). The AUC value of WHtR and ABSI for predicting insulin resistance was 0.818 and 0.641, respectively (p<0.001). In conclusion, the ABSI has low predictive power of insulin resistance and metabolic syndrome whereas the WHtR has good predictive power for metabolic syndrome and insulin resistance.

Prediction of Structural Performance of an Automotive Ball Joint (자동차용 볼조인트의 구조적 성능 예측)

  • Kim, Seong-Uk;Jeong, Gyeong-Il;Lee, Kwon-Hee;Lee, Dong-Jin;Lee, Myeong-Gon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.705-713
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    • 2018
  • An automotive ball joint connects the suspension system to the steering system and helps to enable rotational and linear motion between the two elements for steering. This study examines a ball joint used in medium and large-sized pickup trucks. Ball joints consist of a stud, socket, bearing, and plug. The main structural performance metrics of ball joints are the pull-out strength and push-out strength. These structural parameters must meet certain criteria to avoid serious accidents. Test and simulation methods are used to investigate the design requirements, but tests are time-consuming and costly. In this study, we modeled ball joints in SolidWorks and performed a finite element analysis in Abaqus to predict structural performance. The analysis was used to obtain the structural performance required for the static analysis of a 2D axisymmetric model. The uncertainties in the manufacturing of the ball joint were assumed to be the manufacturing tolerances, and the dimensional design variables were identified through case studies. The manufacturing tolerances at each level were defined, and the results were compared with experimental results.

Analysis method of patent document to Forecast Patent Registration (특허 등록 예측을 위한 특허 문서 분석 방법)

  • Koo, Jung-Min;Park, Sang-Sung;Shin, Young-Geun;Jung, Won-Kyo;Jang, Dong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.1458-1467
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    • 2010
  • Recently, imitation and infringement rights of an intellectual property are being recognized as impediments to nation's industrial growth. To prevent the huge loss which comes from theses impediments, many researchers are studying protection and efficient management of an intellectual property in various ways. Especially, the prediction of patent registration is very important part to protect and assert intellectual property rights. In this study, we propose the patent document analysis method by using text mining to predict whether the patent is registered or rejected. In the first instance, the proposed method builds the database by using the word frequencies of the rejected patent documents. And comparing the builded database with another patent documents draws the similarity value between each patent document and the database. In this study, we used k-means which is partitioning clustering algorithm to select criteria value of patent rejection. In result, we found conclusion that some patent which similar to rejected patent have strong possibility of rejection. We used U.S.A patent documents about bluetooth technology, solar battery technology and display technology for experiment data.

Coastal Complex Disaster Risk Assessment in Busan Marine City (부산 마린시티 해안의 복합재난 위험성 평가)

  • Hwang, Soon-Mi;Oh, Hyoung-Min;Nam, Soo-yong;Kang, Tae-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.506-513
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    • 2020
  • Due to climate change, there is an increasing risk of complex (hybrid) disasters, comprising rising sea-levels, typhoons, and torrential rains. This study focuses on Marine City, Busan, a new residential city built on a former landfill site in Suyeong Bay, which recently suffered massive flood damage following a combination of typhoons, storm surges, and wave overtopping and run-up. Preparations for similar complex disasters in future will depend on risk impact assessment and prioritization to establish appropriate countermeasures. A framework was first developed for this study, followed by the collection of data on flood prediction and socioeconomic risk factors. Five socioeconomic risk factors were identified: (1) population density, (2) basement accommodation, (3) building density and design, (4) design of sidewalks, and (5) design of roads. For each factor, absolute criteria were determined with which to assess their level of risk, while expert surveys were consulted to weight each factor. The results were classified into four levels and the risk level was calculated according to the sea-level rise predictions for the year 2100 and a 100-year return period for storm surge and rainfall: Attention 43 %, Caution 24 %, Alert 21 %, and Danger 11 %. Finally, each level, indicated by a different color, was depicted on a complex disaster risk map.