• Title/Summary/Keyword: predict

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The Problems and Improvements of Process to Predict Fire Risk of a Building in Performance Based Design (성능위주설계에서 화재위험성 예측 과정의 문제점 및 개선방안)

  • Lee, Se-Myeoung
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.145-154
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    • 2014
  • Performance based design(PBD) is the method to make a fire safety design against them after predicting the factors of fire risk in a building. Therefore, predicting fire risk in a building is very important process in PBD. For predicting fire risk of a building, an engineer of PBD must consider various factors such as ignition location, ignition point, ignition source, first ignited item, second ignited item, flash over, the state of door and fire suppression system. But, it is difficult to trust fire safety capacity of the design because the process in Korea' PBD is unprofessional and unreasonable. This paper had surveyed some cases of PBD that had been made in Korea to find the problems of the process to predict fire risk. And it have proposed the improvements of process to predict fire risk of a building.

The Relationship of HOME to Preschool Children's Developmental Levels (가정환경 자극검사(HOME)와 학령전 아동의 발달 수준과의 관계)

  • Jang, Young Ae;Suh, Yong Sun
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.4
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1983
  • This study examined the characteristics of the relationship of home environment variables and preschool children's intelligence, learning readiness and socio-emotional developments. The subjects of this study were 63 children at age five and their mothers. Instruments included the children's intelligence test, preschool inventory for learning readiness, the socio-emtional rating scale and the inventory of HOME. The data of the present study were analyzed by the statistical methods of Pearson's product-moment correlation coefficient and step-wise multiple regression analysis. The kinds of HOME variables that significantly predict children's intelligence were "need gratification and avoidance of restriction" "quality of language environment" "play materials" "aspects of physical environment" "organization of stable and predictable environment". The variables that significantly predict children's socio-emotional developments were "breath of experience" "fostering maturity and independence" "developmental stimulation". All of the HOME variables were not significantly predict children's learning readiness. The kinds of HOME factors that significantly predict children's intelligence were factor II and factor III. Factor I predicted children's socio-emotional developments significantly. All of the HOME factors were not significantly predicted children's learning readiness.

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A Simple Technique to Predict the Natural Frequencies of the Sagged Cable Structures (케이블구조물의 고유진동수 추정을 위한 근사식)

  • Sang-Moo,Lee;Yong-Chul,Kim
    • Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.10-16
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    • 1986
  • This paper deals with a simple, approximate formula to predict the natural frequencies of the sagged cable structures. Assuming that the propagation velocity of the lateral wave is dependent only on the local mass per unit length and local tension, the explicit simple formula to predict the fundamental period is newly derived. The modified form of these formula is also presented for the prediction of the fundamental period of general shaped cable structures. The results of comparison shows fairly good agreements with experimental results and with theoretical ones. This formula is also used to predict the natural frequencies of a long vertical cable and the derived approximate formula in that case, becomes identical to the exact solution.

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Prediction Modeling of Unburned Hydrocarbon Oxidation in the Exhaust Port of a Propane-Fueled SI Engine (프로판 엔진의 배기 포트에서 탄화수소 산화 예측을 위한 모델링)

  • 이형승;박종범;최회명;민경덕;김응서
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2000
  • In order to investigate the exhaust structure and secondary oxidation of unburned hydrocarbon (HC) in the exhaust port, a numerical simulation was performed with 3-dimensional flow model and oxidation mechanism optimized for port oxidation. To predict the exhaust and oxidation process with consideration of flow, mixing, and temperature, 3-dimensional flow model and HC oxidation model were used with a commercial computational program, STAR-CD. The flow model were with moving grid for valve motion, which could predict the change of flow field with respect to valve lift. Optimization was performed to predict the HC oxidation with temperature range of 1200~1500K, low HC and oxygen concentration, existence of intermediate species, as typical in port oxidation. The constructed model could predict the port oxidation process with oxidation degree of 14~48% according to the engine operation conditions.

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PREDICTION OF U.S. GOLD FUTURES PRICES USING WAVELET ANALYSIS; A STUDY ON DEEP LEARNING MODELS

  • LEE, Donghui;KIM, Donghyun;YOON, Ji-Hun
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.39 no.1_2
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    • pp.239-249
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    • 2021
  • This study attempts to predict the price of gold futures, a real financial product, using ARIMA and LSTM. The wavelet analysis was applied to the data to predict the price of gold futures through LSTM and ARIMA. As results, it is confirmed that the prediction performance of the existing model of predict was improved. the case of predict of price of gold futures, we confirmed that the use of a deep learning model that is not affected by the non-stationary series data is suitable and the possibility of improving the accuracy of prediction through wavelet analysis.

Artificial neural network modeling to predict the flexural behavior of RC beams retrofitted with CFRP modified with carbon nanotubes

  • Almashaqbeh, Hashem K.;Irshidat, Mohammad R.;Najjar, Yacoub;Elmahmoud, Weam
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.209-224
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, the artificial neural network (ANN) is employed to predict the flexural behavior of reinforced concrete (RC) beams retrofitted with carbon fiber/epoxy composites modified by carbon nanotubes (CNTs). Multiple techniques are used to improve the accuracy of the ANN prediction, as the data represents a multivalued function. These techniques include static ANN modeling, ANN modeling with load history, and ANN modeling with double load history. The developed ANN models are used to predict the load-displacement profiles of beams retrofitted with either CFRP or CNTs modified CFRP, flexural capacity, and maximum displacement of the beams. The results demonstrate that the ANN is able to predict the flexural behavior of the retrofitted RC beams as well as the effect of each parameter including the type of the used epoxy and the presence of the CNTs.

Analysis on the Accuracy of Building Construction Cost Estimation by Activation Function and Training Model Configuration (활성화함수와 학습노드 진행 변화에 따른 건축 공사비 예측성능 분석)

  • Lee, Ha-Neul;Yun, Seok-Heon
    • Journal of KIBIM
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.40-48
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    • 2022
  • It is very important to accurately predict construction costs in the early stages of the construction project. However, it is difficult to accurately predict construction costs with limited information from the initial stage. In recent years, with the development of machine learning technology, it has become possible to predict construction costs more accurately than before only with schematic construction characteristics. Based on machine learning technology, this study aims to analyze plans to more accurately predict construction costs by using only the factors influencing construction costs. To the end of this study, the effect of the error rate according to the activation function and the node configuration of the hidden layer was analyzed.

Design of Disease Prediction Algorithm Applying Machine Learning Time Series Prediction

  • Hye-Kyeong Ko
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.321-328
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    • 2024
  • This paper designs a disease prediction algorithm to diagnose migraine among the types of diseases in advance by learning algorithms using machine learning-based time series analysis. This study utilizes patient data statistics, such as electroencephalogram activity, to design a prediction algorithm to determine the onset signals of migraine symptoms, so that patients can efficiently predict and manage their disease. The results of the study evaluate how accurate the proposed prediction algorithm is in predicting migraine and how quickly it can predict the onset of migraine for disease prevention purposes. In this paper, a machine learning algorithm is used to analyze time series of data indicators used for migraine identification. We designed an algorithm that can efficiently predict and manage patients' diseases by quickly determining the onset signaling symptoms of disease development using existing patient data as input. The experimental results show that the proposed prediction algorithm can accurately predict the occurrence of migraine using machine learning algorithms.

A Unit Touch Gesture Model of Performance Time Prediction for Mobile Devices

  • Kim, Damee;Myung, Rohae
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.277-291
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    • 2016
  • Objective: The aim of this study is to propose a unit touch gesture model, which would be useful to predict the performance time on mobile devices. Background: When estimating usability based on Model-based Evaluation (MBE) in interfaces, the GOMS model measured 'operators' to predict the execution time in the desktop environment. Therefore, this study used the concept of operator in GOMS for touch gestures. Since the touch gestures are comprised of possible unit touch gestures, these unit touch gestures can predict to performance time with unit touch gestures on mobile devices. Method: In order to extract unit touch gestures, manual movements of subjects were recorded in the 120 fps with pixel coordinates. Touch gestures are classified with 'out of range', 'registration', 'continuation' and 'termination' of gesture. Results: As a results, six unit touch gestures were extracted, which are hold down (H), Release (R), Slip (S), Curved-stroke (Cs), Path-stroke (Ps) and Out of range (Or). The movement time predicted by the unit touch gesture model is not significantly different from the participants' execution time. The measured six unit touch gestures can predict movement time of undefined touch gestures like user-defined gestures. Conclusion: In conclusion, touch gestures could be subdivided into six unit touch gestures. Six unit touch gestures can explain almost all the current touch gestures including user-defined gestures. So, this model provided in this study has a high predictive power. The model presented in the study could be utilized to predict the performance time of touch gestures. Application: The unit touch gestures could be simply added up to predict the performance time without measuring the performance time of a new gesture.

A Study on the Korean Interest Rate Spread Prediction Model Using the US Interest Rate Spread : SVR-Ensemble (RNN, LSTM, GRU) Model based (미국 금리 스프레드를 이용한 한국 금리 스프레드 예측 모델에 관한 연구 : SVR-앙상블(RNN, LSTM, GRU) 모델 기반)

  • Jeong, Sun-Ho;Kim, Young-Hoo;Song, Myung-Jin;Chung, Yun-Jae;Ko, Sung-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2020
  • Interest rate spreads indicate the conditions of the economy and serve as an indicator of the recession. The purpose of this study is to predict Korea's interest rate spreads using US data with long-term continuity. To this end, 27 US economic data were used, and the entire data was reduced to 5 dimensions through principal component analysis to build a dataset necessary for prediction. In the prediction model of this study, three RNN models (BasicRNN, LSTM, and GRU) predict the US interest rate spread and use the predicted results in the SVR ensemble model to predict the Korean interest rate spread. The SVR ensemble model predicted Korea's interest rate spread as RMSE 0.0658, which showed more accurate predictive power than the general ensemble model predicted as RMSE 0.0905, and showed excellent performance in terms of tendency to respond to fluctuations. In addition, improved prediction performance was confirmed through period division according to policy changes. This study presented a new way to predict interest rates and yielded better results. We predict that if you use refined data that represents the global economic situation through follow-up studies, you will be able to show higher interest rate predictions and predict economic conditions in Korea as well as other countries.