• Title/Summary/Keyword: precipitation data

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Sustainable Fresh Water Resources Management in Northern Kuwait-A Remote Sensing View From Raudatain Basin

  • Saif ud din;Dousari Ahmad AI;Ghadban Abdulnabi AI
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 2005
  • The paper presents time and cost effective remote sensing technology to estimate recharge potential of fresh water shallow aquifers for their sustainable management in arid ecosystem. Precipitation measurement of Raudatain Basin in Kuwait from TRMM data has been made and integrated with geological, geomorphological and hyrological data, to estimate the recharge potential of the basin. The total potential recharge to the area is estimated as 333.964 MCM annually. The initial losses are estimated at $60\%$ of the net precipitation .The net available quantity for recharge is 133.58 MCM. For sustainable management of the ground water resources, recharge wells have been proposed in the higher order streams to augment the Raudatain aquifer in Kuwait. If the available quantity of precipitation can be successfully utilized, it will reduce considerable pressure on desalination, which is leading to increased salinity off the coast in Arabian Gulf.

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Assessing the Impacts of Errors in Coarse Scale Data on the Performance of Spatial Downscaling: An Experiment with Synthetic Satellite Precipitation Products

  • Kim, Yeseul;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.445-454
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    • 2017
  • The performance of spatial downscaling models depends on the quality of input coarse scale products. Thus, the impact of intrinsic errors contained in coarse scale satellite products on predictive performance should be properly assessed in parallel with the development of advanced downscaling models. Such an assessment is the main objective of this paper. Based on a synthetic satellite precipitation product at a coarse scale generated from rain gauge data, two synthetic precipitation products with different amounts of error were generated and used as inputs for spatial downscaling. Geographically weighted regression, which typically has very high explanatory power, was selected as the trend component estimation model, and area-to-point kriging was applied for residual correction in the spatial downscaling experiment. When errors in the coarse scale product were greater, the trend component estimates were much more susceptible to errors. But residual correction could reduce the impact of the erroneous trend component estimates, which improved the predictive performance. However, residual correction could not improve predictive performance significantly when substantial errors were contained in the input coarse scale data. Therefore, the development of advanced spatial downscaling models should be focused on correction of intrinsic errors in the coarse scale satellite product if a priori error information could be available, rather than on the application of advanced regression models with high explanatory power.

A Prediction Algorithm for a Heavy Rain Newsflash using the Evolutionary Symbolic Regression Technique (진화적 기호회귀 분석기법 기반의 호우 특보 예측 알고리즘)

  • Hyeon, Byeongyong;Lee, Yong-Hee;Seo, Kisung
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.730-735
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    • 2014
  • This paper introduces a GP (Genetic Programming) based robust technique for the prediction of a heavy rain newsflash. The nature of prediction for precipitation is very complex, irregular and highly fluctuating. Especially, the prediction of heavy precipitation is very difficult. Because not only it depends on various elements, such as location, season, time and geographical features, but also the case data is rare. In order to provide a robust model for precipitation prediction, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP is suggested. The remaining part of the study is to evaluate the performance of prediction for a heavy rain newsflash using a GP based nonlinear regression technique in Korean regions. Analysis of the feature selection is executed and various fitness functions are proposed to improve performances. The KLAPS data of 2006-2010 is used for training and the data of 2011 is adopted for verification.

Uncertainty assessment caused by GCMs selection on hydrologic studies

  • Ghafouri-Azar, Mona;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.151-151
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    • 2018
  • The present study is aimed to quantifying the uncertainty in the general circulation model (GCM) selection and its impacts on hydrology studies in the basins. For this reason, 13 GCMs was selected among the 26 GCM models of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) scenarios. Then, the climate data and hydrologic data with two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) of the best model (INMCM4) and worst model (HadGEM2-AO) were compared to understand the uncertainty associated with GCM models. In order to project the runoff, the Precipitation-Runoff Modelling System (PRMS) was driven to simulate daily river discharge by using daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature as inputs of this model. For simulating the discharge, the model has been calibrated and validated for daily data. Root mean square error (RMSE) and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) were applied as evaluation criteria. Then parameters of the model were applied for the periods 2011-2040, and 2070-2099 to project the future discharge the five large basins of South Korea. Then, uncertainty caused by projected temperature, precipitation and runoff changes were compared in seasonal and annual time scale for two future periods and RCPs compared to the reference period (1976-2005). The findings of this study indicated that more caution will be needed for selecting the GCMs and using the results of the climate change analysis.

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Effect of Double Aging on Microstructure and Mechanical Properties of Ag Added magnesium Alloys (Ag첨가 마그네슘 합금의 이중열처리에 따른 미세조직 및 기계적 특성변화)

  • Lee, Byeong-Deok;Baek, Ui-Hyun;Jang, Kyoung-soo;Han, Jeong-Whan;Son, Hyeon-taek
    • Korean Journal of Metals and Materials
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.440-447
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    • 2011
  • To improving the mechanical properties of Mg alloys at high temperature, we investigated the mechanical properties at high temperature and the change of microstructure of Mg-6 wt%Zn-0.4 wt%Mn and Mg-6 wt%Zn-0.4 wt%Mn-1 wt%Ag alloys on age treatment that have a stable MgZn phase at high temperature and $AgMg_4$ improving yield stress. In order to predict thermodynamic data of Mg alloys, a phase diagram and precipitation phase were calculated using a thermodynamic program, and it was confirmed that the MgZn and $AgMg_4$ phase existed as main precipitation in this alloys. The experimental data examined using DSC and XRD were comparable with the calculated data for reliability. In order to analysis the microstructure and precipitate phase during aging treatment, it was measured by SEM/EDS and TEM. Lastly, mechanical properties of the MgZn and $AgMg_4$ phase were measured by a tensile test at high temperature.

A Study of the Urbanization Effect on the Precipitation Pattern in Urban Areas (도시화가 도시지역 강수변화에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Moon, Young-Il;Kim, Jong-Suk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.10 s.159
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    • pp.885-894
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    • 2005
  • Since the 1970s, rapid Industrialization has brought urbanization nationwide. In this paper, thirty one years data(1973-2003) ate used to evaluate variability of major cities. Before assessing the context between urbanization and variability of rainfall, the rural areas are selected to compare with urban ones. Thus, average, trends, variations, and nonparametric frequency analysis methods were employed for evaluating variation of annual precipitation, seasonal precipitation, 1 hour annual maximum design rainfall and 24 hour annual maximum design rainfall for both urban and rural areas. The result have shown that summer precipitation relatively increased In urban areas compared to that in rural areas.

Can relativistic electrons be accelerated in the geomagnetic tail region?

  • Lee, J.J.;Parks, G.K.;Min, K.W.;Lee, E.S.;McCarthy, M.P.;Hwang, J.A.;Lee, C.N.
    • Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.31.1-31.1
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    • 2008
  • While some observations in the geomagnetic tail region supported electrons could be accelerated by reconnection processes, we still need more observation data to confirm electron acceleration in this region. Because most acceleration processes accompany strong pitch angle diffusion, if the electrons were accelerated in this region, strong energetic electron precipitation should be observed near earth on aurora oval. Even though there are several low altitude satellites observing electron precipitation, intense and small scale precipitation events have not been identified successfully. In this presentation, we will show an observation of strong energetic electron precipitation that might be analyzed by relativistic electron acceleration in the confined region. This event was observed by low altitude Korean STSAT-1, where intense several hundred keV electron precipitation was seen simultaneously with 10 keV electrons during storm time. In addition, we observed large magnetic field fluctuations and an ionospheric plasma depletion with FUV aurora emissions. Our observation implies relativistic electrons can be generated in the small area where Fermi acceleration might work.

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Estimation of High Resolution Gridded Precipitation Using GIS and PRISM (GIS와 PRISM을 이용한 고해상도 격자형 강수량 추정)

  • Shin, Sung-Chul;Kim, Maeng-Ki;Suh, Myoung-Suk;Rha, Deuk-Kyun;Jang, Dong-Ho;Kim, Chan-Su;Lee, Woo-Seop;Kim, Yeon-Hee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 2008
  • In this study, in order to estimate high resolution precipitation with monthly time scales, Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM) was modified and configured for Korean precipitation based on elevation, distance, topographic facet, and coastal proximity. Applying this statistical downscaling model to Korean precipitation for 5 years from 2001 to 2005, we have compiled monthly grid data with a horizontal resolution of 5-km and evaluated the model using bias, root mean square error (RMSE), and correlation coefficient between the observed and the estimated. Results show that bias, RMSE, and correlation coefficient of the estimated value have a range from 0.2% to 1.0%, 19.6% (June) to 43.9% (January), and 0.73 to 0.84, respectively, indicating that the modified Korean PRISM (K-PRISM) is reasonably worked by weighting factors, i.e., topographic effect and rain shadow effect.

Characteristics of Seasonal Mean Diurnal Temperature Range and Their Causes over South Korea (우리나라에서 계절별 일교차의 분포 특성과 그 원인)

  • Suh, Myoung-Seok;Hong, Seong-Kun;Kang, Jeon-Ho
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.155-168
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    • 2009
  • Characteristics of seasonal mean diurnal temperature range (DTR) and their causes over South Korea are investigated using the 60 stations data of Korea Meteorological Administration from 1976 to 2005. In general, the seasonal mean DTR is greatest during spring (in inland area) and least during summer (urban and coastal area). The spatial and seasonal variations of DTR are closely linked with the land surface conditions (especially vegetation activity and soil moisture) and atmospheric conditions (cloud amount, precipitation, local circulation). The seasonal mean DTR shows a decreasing trend at the major urban areas and at the north-eastern part of South Korea. Whereas, it shows an increasing trend at the central area of the southern part. Decreasing and increasing trends of DTR are more significant during summer and fall, and during spring and winter. The decrease (increase) of DTR is mainly caused by the stronger increase of daily minimum (maximum) temperature than daily maximum (minimum) temperature. The negative effects of precipitation and cloud amount on the DTR are greater during spring and at the inland area than during winter and at the coastal area. And the effect of daytime precipitation on the DTR is greater than that of nighttime precipitation.

Correlation Analysis on the Runoff Pollutants from a Small Plot Unit in an Agricultural Area

  • Kang, Meea;Choi, Byoung-Woo;Lee, Jae-Kwan
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.191-195
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    • 2010
  • This study was carried out to investigate the important factors relating to runoff and pollutant loads in a plot unit located in an agricultural area. Of the precipitation parameters, such as total precipitation, days since last rainfall (ADD, the rainfall was more than 10mm) and average rainfall intensity on runoff, the strongest effect was obtained due to total precipitation, but the rainfall intensity showed a slightly positive correlation. It was expected that both variables, i.e. total precipitation and rainfall intensity, would lead to the generation of greater runoff. In contrast, runoff was negatively correlated with ADD, which is understandable because more infiltration and less runoff would be expected after a long dry period. The TSS load varied greatly, between 75.6 and $5.18{\times}10^4g$, per event. With the exception of TN, the TSS, BOD, COD and TP loads were affected by runoff. The correlations of these items were proportional to the runoff volume, with correlation coefficients (r) greater than 0.70, which are suitable for use as NPS model data. The TSS load showed very good relationships with organics (BOD & COD) and nutrients (TN & TP), with correlation coefficients greater than 0.79. Therefore, the removal of TSS is a promising factor for protecting water basins.