• 제목/요약/키워드: potential risk

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A Study on the Development the Maritime Safety Assessment Model in Korea Waterway

  • Park, Young-Soo;Kim, Jong-Sung;Aydogdu, Volkan
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.567-574
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    • 2013
  • Although Korea coastal area has the increasing potential marine accident due to frequent ship's encounter, increased vessel traffic and large vessel, there is no specific model to evaluate the navigating vessel's risk considering the domestic traffic situation. The maritime transport environmental assessment is necessary due to the amended maritime traffic law. However, marine safety diagnosis is now carried out by foreign model. In this paper, therefore, we suggest a domestic traffic model reflecting the characteristics of korea coastal area and navigator's risk as we named PARK(Potential Assessment of Risk) model. We can evaluate the subjective risk by establishing the model and model output into maritime risk exposure system. To evaluate this model's effectiveness, we used ship handling simulation and applied, analyzed collision accident which occurred in korea coastal area. And also, we applied integrated to an ECDIS program for monitoring traffic risk of vessels with real time based AIS data and apply to evaluate traffic risk in busan harbor waterway. As a result, we could evaluate busan harbor waterway risk effectively.

사회·경제적 지표를 활용한 결핵의 잠재적 위험도 분석 - 충청남도 8개 시를 대상으로- (Analysis of Potentioal Risk of Tuberculosis Using Socioeconomic Indicators - Focused on 8 Cities in Chungcheongnam-do -)

  • 박근오
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.68-80
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    • 2021
  • 연구목적: 본 연구에서는 결핵에 걸릴 수 있는 잠재적인 인구, 사회, 경제적 영향요인들을 도출하고, IPA분석을 활용하여 충청남도 8개 시를 비교·분석하였다. 연구방법: 결핵에 잠재적으로 영향을 미치는 요인들을 인구, 사회, 경제측면에서 분류하고, 브레인 스토밍을 통하여 선정하였다. 그리고, 응용된 IPA 분석을 통하여 결핵에 영향을 미치는 잠재적 요인을 도출하였다, 분석된 결과를 토대로 잠재적으로 결핵발생에 위험한 지역을 구분하고, 그에 따른 정책적 시사점을 제시한다. 연구결과: 분석결과, 논산시·보령시·공주시가 결핵과 관련된 잠재적 위험도가 가장 높게 나타났다. 또한 잠재적 위험요인에 대한 빈도수는 논산시·보령시·공주시가 6개 이상인 것으로 도출되었으며, 이 지역에 대한 적극적인 결핵 예방정책 및 사업이 필요한 것으로 나타났다. 결론: 본 연구를 통해 향후 충청남도 결핵 관련 예방정책 및 사업 추진시 잠재적 위험도에 대한 고려가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

An Unsafe Practice Analysis considering Potential Risk to Foreign Construction Laborers in Korea

  • Shin, Yoonseok
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.441-449
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the number of accidents reported involving foreign laborers has risen, and the need to prevent accidents at construction sites has become more urgent. It has been found that 90 percent of construction accidents are caused by unsafe work practices, and various studies have been conducted on these practices with the aim of preventing accidents at construction sites. However, the tendency with previous studies was to average the results of survey responses, and as a result it is impossible to consider the potential risk of how many foreign laborers feel unsafe in relation with the unsafe practices. Therefore, in this study, importance-performance analysis (IPA) was improved in order to assess the potential risk of the unsafe practices of foreign laborers at construction sites in Korea. To verify the applicability of the improved IPA, a survey was carried out, and then the results were compared with those of the IPA. Through the use of the improved IPA, unsafe practices that were not found in the previous IPA but have potential risk were identified. The method proposed in this study is expected to contribute to the prevention of construction accidents of foreign workers by enabling a more efficient management.

토양증기추출공정 중 오염물의 거동평가기법에 관한 연구

  • 조현정;권태순;양중석;양지원
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지하수토양환경학회 2003년도 추계학술발표회
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    • pp.354-355
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    • 2003
  • In this study, a risk-based cleanup approach using the leaching potential was suggested for the soil vapor extraction (SVE) process. A multi-component model was adopted with local equilibrium assumption (LEA), and Raoult's law was applied to estimate the leaching potential for BTEX. Finally, a risk analysis was conducted based on the leaching pontential calculated. To complete the feasibility of this approach, more investigations and discussions will be required in future.

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나노물질의 독성과 위해성평가 전략 (Toxicity of Nanomaterials and Strategy of Risk Assessment)

  • 박광식
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제20권4호통권51호
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    • pp.259-271
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    • 2005
  • Engineered nanoparticles exhibit a variety of unique and tunable chemical and physical properties. These unique properties make the nanoparticles central components and widespread potential applications in nanoindustry. However, the potential toxicities of nanoparticles have not been fully evaluated. Recently, the impacts of nanoparticles to human and environment became the emerging issue of toxicology. In this article, physicochemical properties and toxicities of carbon nanotube, fullerene, quantum dots, and other types of nanomaterials were reviewed and the strategy of risk assessment were suggested based on the frame of chemical assessment.

살물선의 화물창 덮개부 수밀 건전성에 대한 공식안전평가의 적용 (An Application of FSA Methodology to Hatchway Watertight Integrity of Bulk Carriers)

  • 이은창;이재옥;여인철;양영순
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제37권3호
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2000
  • 본 논문은 IMO가 주관하는 공식안전평가 방법의 일부로서 살물선의 화물창 덮개부 수밀 시스템에 적용한 결과이다. 화물창 덮개부 수밀 시스템에 큰 위험을 주는 위해요소는 설계기준을 넘어선 선박의 운항으로 해치 코밍에 고장을 일으키는 것과 빈약한 유지보수와 검사로 인해 수밀 장치에 고장을 일으키는 사고인 것으로 나타났다. 위험해석(risk analysis)을 통해 현재의 경우 한 선박이 1년간 운항하였을 때 약 6만불의 위험이 있다고 계산되었다. 이러한 위험을 감소시키기 위해 제안된 위험통제방안 중 RCO 1(Advanced system directly related to hatchway security)을 적용함으로써 위험을 약 3만불 감소시킬 수 있었다. 또한 비용편익분석을 실시하여 위험통제방안이 비용편익 측면에서도 효과적임을 보였다.

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Assessment of seismic risk of a typical RC building for the 2016 Gyeongju and potential earthquakes

  • Jee, Hyun Woo;Han, Sang Whan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.337-351
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    • 2021
  • On September 12, 2016, the Gyeongju earthquake occurred in the south-eastern region of the Korean peninsula. The event was ranked as the largest magnitude earthquake (=5.8) since instrumental recording was started by the Korean Metrological Administration (KMA) in 1978. The objective of this study is to provide information obtained from the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake and to propose a procedure estimating seismic risk of a typical old RC building for past and potential earthquakes. Ground motions are simulated using the point source model at 4941 grid locations in the Korean peninsula that resulted from the Gyeongju earthquake and from potential future earthquakes with the same hypocenter considering different soil conditions. Nonlinear response history analyses are conducted for each grid location using a three-story gravity-designed reinforced concrete (RC) frame that most closely represents conventional old school and public buildings. Then, contour maps are constructed to present the seismic risk associated with this building for the Gyeongju earthquake and potential future scenario earthquakes. These contour maps can be useful in the development of a mitigation plan for potential earthquake damage to school and public buildings at all grid locations on the Korean peninsula.

Association Between Atrial Fibrillation and the Risk of Dementia in the Korean Elderly: A 10-Year Nationwide Cohort Study

  • Nah, Min-Ah;Lee, Kyeong Soo;Hwang, Tae-Yoon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제53권1호
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: The objective of this study was to determine the effect of atrial fibrillation (AF) on the risk of dementia in the Korean elderly. Methods: A 10-year retrospective cohort study was conducted using the National Health Insurance Service-Senior Cohort database. We excluded those who were under 65 years of age as of January 2006 (n=46 113), those who were diagnosed with dementia between 2002 and 2005 (n=9086), and those with a history of stroke prior to AF diagnosis (n=8392). We used a Cox proportional hazards model with a time-varying covariate to determine whether AF is associated with the risk of dementia after adjusting for potential confounders. Results: In univariable Cox regression, the hazard ratio (HR) of dementia according to AF status was 1.28 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23 to 1.33). After adjusting for potential confounders, AF was found to increase the risk of dementia (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.17), Alzheimer dementia (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.17), and vascular dementia (HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.18). In patients diagnosed with AF, the incidence of dementia was lower (HR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.47 to 0.52) in patients who were treated with oral anticoagulants. Conclusions: Investigating the potential risk factors of dementia in an aged society is important. We found a slightly higher risk of dementia in those with AF than in those without AF, and we therefore concluded that AF is a potential risk factor for dementia.

Pilot study on risk factors associated with caseous lymphadenitis and its seasonal prevalence in the Korean native goat

  • Jaylord M. Pioquinto;Md. Aftabuzzaman;Edeneil Jerome Valete;Hector Espiritu;Seon-Ho Kim;Su-Jeong Jin;Gi-chan Lee;A-Rang Son;Myunghwan Jung;Sang-Suk Lee;Yong-Il Cho
    • 한국동물위생학회지
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.255-262
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    • 2023
  • Caseous lymphadenitis (CLA) is an endemic but not well-studied disease of Korean native goats (KNG) in Korea. Corynebacterium pseudotuberculosis is the causative agent of the contagious and chronic CLA found in goats. This study aimed to validate the potential risk factors associated with CLA and assess its seasonal prevalence to mitigate this disease in KNG. Data were collected through a questionnaire from four high- and four low-prevalence farms randomly selected based on a prior investigation. The monthly assessments of CLA were conducted in a goat abattoir located in Jeonnam Province, Korea, to evaluate its seasonal prevalence. The associated risk factors for CLA in KNG herds imply that herd size, scratching against pillars, pipes, or walls in the herd, and disinfection of goat herds are potential risk factors for CLA (P<0.05). The type of floor and entry of new goats into the herd, which are potential risk factors, affected CLA prevalence in the KNG herd (P<0.2). The prevalence of CLA in KNG was significantly higher in spring (29.34%) than in autumn (14.61%), summer (15.31%), and winter (19.48%) (P<0.05). Based on the risk factor assessment, attention should be to establishing accurate preventive measures by avoiding these identified potential risk factors.

원자력발전소 해체 위험도 평가 방법론 개발 (Suggestion of Risk Assessment Methodology for Decommissioning of Nuclear Power Plant)

  • 박병익;김주열;김창락
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.95-106
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    • 2019
  • 원전 해체를 준비함에 있어 정성적 또는 정량적 위험도 평가는 필수요소이다. 해체 공정간 발생하는 방사선학적 및 비방사선학적 위험요소는 해체 작업자 및 대중의 안전을 보장하기 위해 사전에 평가되어야 한다. 현재 해체 경험이 많은 미국의 기존 사업자들 및 NRC의 경우 위험의 중대성만 평가하는 결정론적 위험도 평가에 집중하고 있다. 하지만 최근 IAEA는 위험도 매트릭스를 활용한 위험도평가를 결정론적 위험도 평가의 대체안으로 제안하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 위험도평가에 앞서 해체 공정 별 해체 활동을 Risk Breakdown Structure에 맞추어 정리하였고, 미국 20여개 해체 원전에서 해체 공정별 위험도 평가 시행 중 선정한 해체 활동간 잠재적 사고를 해체 활동에 맞게 체계적으로 정리하였다. 그리고 복합 리스크 매트릭스를 개발 및 활용하여 해체 공정간 방사선학적 및 비방사선학적 위험요소의 위험도를 평가하여 정량적으로 수치화 하였다.