• 제목/요약/키워드: possibility analysis

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SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS IN FUZZY RELIABILITY ANALYSISA

  • Onisawa, Takehisa
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1988년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국제학술편); 한국전력공사연수원, 서울; 21-22 Oct. 1988
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    • pp.764-769
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    • 1988
  • In this paper the failure possibility and the error possibility are used to represent reliability of a technical component and that of a human operator, respectively. The failure possibility and the error possibility are fuzzy sets on the interval [0,1]. In a man-machine system, reliability of the technical component and that of the human operator are usually affected by many factors, e.g., the environment in which a machine is operated, psychological stress of the human operator, etc. The possibility is derived from not only the failure or the error rate but also estimates of these factors. The fuzzy reasoning plays an important role in the derivation. The reliability analysis is performed by the use of the possibility obtained by the present method. Moreover this paper discusses the sensitivity analysis which evaluates what extent the change of the estimation of each factor has an influence on reliability of a man-machine system. The important factors to be ameliorated are shown through the sensitivity analysis.

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친환경식품의 구매행태 및 중국진출 가능성 분석 - 중국 상하이의 소비자를 중심으로 - (An Analysis of Environment-friendly Foods Purchase Behavior and Possibility on Entering Chinese Market on the consumers of Shanghai, China)

  • 노채영;조국일;안병렬
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.259-274
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    • 2008
  • This study was designed to analyze the possibility to enter the Chinese market aggressively by giving light on the factors which have effects on the continuous intention of Shanghai consumers to purchase environment-friendly foods, and the purchase of Korean environment-friendly foods. The objects of analysis were the 209 consumers living in Shanghai, China. As for the analysis method, the frequency, percentage, crossing analysis, $X^2$-test and logistic regression analysis were carried out, making use of SPSS PC+ 13.0. The study results are as follows. Firstly, it was identified that the decisive factors, such as good taste, health of family, freshness, food shop in a department store, international quality authentication, diversity of items and number of family members, had effects on the possibility that the consumers in Shanghai, China would purchase environment friendly foods continuously, showing the meaningful variables. Secondly, as for the decisive factors having effects on the possibility to buy Korean environment friendly foods continuously, it was identified that good taste, health of family, freshness and price cutting were the meaningful variables. Therefore, it is necessary that to set up a export promotion strategy to make the Shanghai consumers get interested in Korean environment-friendly foods and choose to buy the foods.

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로지스틱 회귀분석을 통한 부산 지역 중소기업의 해외수출 교육과 해외수출 가능성에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Impact between the Export Education of SMEs in Busan Region and Export Possibility by Logistic Regression Analysis)

  • 임용석
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.279-288
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this research is to examine the impact between the export education of SMEs in Busan Region and export possibility. 62 SMEs in Busan Region were participated in survey. For the empirical analysis, Logistic regression analysis was used with Spss12 to analyze the impact between the involvement on export education and SME's export possibility. In a result, among 3 variables (support, participancy, importance) of involvement on export education, the importance had the influence significantly on export possibility of SMEs. The results indicated that having the intention about the importance of export education is very notable, and implied that it is necessary to develop the education program emphasizing the importance of export education for SMEs' successful export.

A Table Integration Technique Using Query Similarity Analysis

  • Choi, Go-Bong;Woo, Yong-Tae
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a technique to analyze similarity between SQL queries and to assist integrating similar tables. First, the table information was extracted from the SQL queries through the query structure analyzer, and the similarity between the tables was measured using the Jacquard index technique. Then, similar table clusters are generated through hierarchical cluster analysis method and the co-occurence probability of the table used in the query is calculated. The possibility of integrating similar tables is classified by using the possibility of co-occurence of similarity table and table, and classifying them into an integrable cluster, a cluster requiring expert review, and a cluster with low integration possibility. This technique analyzes the SQL query in practice and analyse the possibility of table integration independent of the existing business, so that the existing schema can be effectively reconstructed without interruption of work or additional cost.

해외수출을 위한 주요 요인들과 중소기업의 해외수출 가능성에 관한 연구 (Research Related to the Main Factors for Export and SME's Export Possibility)

  • 정호진;임용석
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.118-127
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    • 2017
  • The aim of the present study is to research how the main factors for the export of SMEs affect SME's Export possibility in structural method. 62 SMEs in Busan Region were participated in this study. For the empirical analysis, a multiple regression analysis and a path analysis were used with Spss18 and Amos 5v to figure out the relationship between the main factors and SME's Export possibility(SEP). The main factors as variances are "Manpower Needs(MN)", "Technology Innovation Needs(TIN)", "Education Needs for Export(ENE)" and "Intention of Decision-Maker(IDM)". The result indicated that ENE and TIN with IDM could structurally affect SEP through path analysis and implies that the main factors have to be considered with the intention of decision-maker as CEO for the successful export of SMEs.

퍼지모델을 이용한 인적오류확률의 타당성 검증 (A Validity Verification of Human Error Probability using a Fuzzy Model)

  • 장통일;이용희;임현교
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.137-142
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    • 2006
  • Quantification of error possibility, in an HRA process, should be performed so that the result of the qualitative analysis can be utilized in other areas in conjunction with overall safety estimation results. And also, the quantification is an essential process to analyze the error possibility in detail and to obtain countermeasures for the errors through screening procedures. In previous studies for the quantification of error possibility, nominal values were assigned by the experts' judgements and utilized as corresponding probabilities. The values assigned by experts' experiences and judgements, however, require verifications on their reliability. In this study, the validity of new error possibility values in new MCR design was verified by using the Onisawa's model which utilizes fuzzy linguistic values to estimate human error probabilities. With the model of error probabilities are represented as analyst's estimations and natural language expression instead of numerical values. As results, the experts' estimation values about error probabilities are well agreed to the existing error probability estimation model. Thus, it was concluded that the occurrence probabilities of errors derived from the human error analysis process can be assessed by nominal values suggested in the previous studies. It is also expected that our analysis method can supplement the conventional HRA method because the nominal values are based on the consideration of various influencing factors such as PSFs.

자전거 페달에 대한 구조 및 피로 해석 (Structural and Fatigue Analysis on Bicycle Pedal)

  • 한문식;조재웅
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2012
  • This study investigates structural and fatigue analyses at bicycle pedal. Maximum deformation at model 1 is 2 times as much as model 2 at static analysis. Models 1 and 2 have the possibility of the weakest strength at the part of contact with chain gear. Among the cases of nonuniform fatigue loads at Models 1 and 2, 'SAE bracket history' with the severest change of load becomes most unstable but 'Sample history' becomes most stable. In case of 'Sample history' with the average stress of 0 to $-10^4$ MPa and the amplitude stress of 0 to $10^4$ MPa, the possibility of maximum damage becomes 4%. This stress state can be shown with 5 to 7 times more than the damage possibility of 'SAE bracket history' or 'SAE transmission'. The analysis result of this study can be effectively utilized with the safe design of pedal.

기상자료를 활용한 도로표지 결로의 지역별 발생가능성 분석 (Regional Analysis of Dew Possibility in Road Sign Using Meteorological Data)

  • 오세창;김정민;최기주;안영미
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSES : This study analyzed the regional dew possibility in road sign using meteorological data. METHODS : Four years of meteorological data such as temperature, humidity, dew point, wind velocity were collected and analyzed. As a result of literature review, dew was frequent in large diurnal range, high humidity and weak wind. So, dew possibility was analyzed by (temperature-dew point ${\leq}1^{\circ}C$ and wind velocity ${\leq}$ 1.5m/s). RESULTS : The possibility was analyzed for each meteorological observation point and the point of Suncheon and Bonghwa were selected as the most likely points of dew in road sign. The area of East Coast, Kyungbuk and Kyungnam were relatively low potential. CONCLUSIONS : Alternative with high effect of preventing dew should be selected in high possibility dew area despite of low economics.

산사태예측도에 의한 석조문화재 주변의 산사태재해 가능성 분석 (Analysis of Landslide Hazard Probability for Cultural Heritage Site using Landslide Prediction Map)

  • 김경수;이춘오;송영석;조용찬;김만일;채병곤
    • 지질공학
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.411-418
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    • 2007
  • 산사태가 일어날 지점을 예측한다든지 사태물질로 인한 피해 예상지역을 알아내는 것은 쉬운 일이 아니다. 이는 산사태를 발생시키는 요인들이 여러가지가 있고 개개의 요인들이 산사태를 발생시키는데 기여하는 중요도도 서로 다르기 때문이다. 그러나 많은 산사태자료에 대한 분석을 바탕으로 발생 메커니즘 규명과 통계적 해석기법을 통해 산사태 발생가능성의 예측과 위험지역의 분류가 가능해졌다. 석조문화재가 산사면 또는 그 직하부에 인접해 있는 경우는 산사태가 발생되면 재해에 무방비로 노출되어 있다. 이 연구에서는 여름철의 집중호우 등에 의해 석조문화재 및 그 주변지역에 산사태가 발생할 가능성을 사전에 예측함으로써 그로 인한 석조문화재의 피해가능성을 분석하고자 하였다. 이러한 목적을 위해 2002년 8월 산사태재해로 인해 피해가 발생된 바 있으며 중요 석조문화재가 위치해 있는 실상사 백장암지역을 연구대상지역으로 선정하여 산사태 예측도를 작성하였다. 그리고 산사태재해 가능성을 발생확률로 표현하여 등급별로 구분함으로써 석조문화재 및 그 주변지역이 산사태에 취약한지의 여부를 평가하였다. 또한, 이러한 조사 및 해석기법을 앞으로 석조문화재 주변의 산사태재해 예측 및 평가를 위해 실용적으로 활용할 수 있는 토대를 마련하였다.

개인특성·대출특성·금리특성이 연체가능성에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Personal Characteristics, Loan Characteristics and Interest Rate Characteristics on the Delinquency Possibility)

  • 박상봉;오영호
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.63-77
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of personal characteristics, loan characteristics, and interest rate characteristics of 2,653 borrowers on the delinquency possibility. In doing so, this study applies both multiple regression and logistic regression models to the data of credit unions in the city of Daegu. Design/Methodology/Approach - The major results of multiple regression analysis using SPSS are as follows. Findings - As for the results of testing the significance of the regression coefficients, it has been found that among the personal characteristics variables membership, credit rating, credit rating changes, and LTV have significant positive (+) effects on the delinquency possibility. Also it has been shown that among the loan characteristics variables loan amount, loan balance, total debt amount, collateral type, collateral amount, and repayment method have significant positive (+) effects on the delinquency possibility. Furthermore it has been found that among the interest rate characteristics variables both overdue interest rate and interest rate spread have positive (+) effects on the delinquency possibility. However, it has been shown that among the personal characteristics variables equity and membership do not have significant effects on the delinquency possibility, and that normal interest rate among the interest rate characteristics variables also do not have a significant effect on the delinquency possibility. Research Implications - By systematically analyzing the variables affecting delinquency possibility based on the results of this study, credit unions might get positive help in improving the system of managing receivables. Furthermore, the results of this study could be extended and applied to other types of financial institutions, so that financial institutions in general will also get some help to systematically manage the delinquency possibility.