• 제목/요약/키워드: port risk

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Understanding Relationships Among Risk Factors in Container Port Operation UsingBayesian Network

  • Tsenskhuu Nyamjav;Min-Ho Ha
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제47권2호
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to determine relationships among risk factors influencing container port operation using Bayesian network. Risk factors identified from prior studies were classified into five groups: human error, machinery error, environmental risk, security risk, and natural disasters. P anel experts discussed identified risk factors to fulfil conditional probability tables of the interdependence model. The interdependence model was also validated by sensitivity analysis and provided an interrelation of factors influencing the direction of each other. Results of the interdependence model were partially in line with results from prior studies while practices in the global port industry confirmed interrelationships of risk factors. In addition, the relationship between top-ranked risk factors can provide a schematic drawing of the model. Accordingly, results of this study can expand the prior research in the Korean port industry, which may help port authorities improve risk management and reduce losses from the risk.

Consideration of the Possibility of Excursion Ship Passage in Busan North Port using Marine Traffic Assessment Index

  • Park, Young-Soo;Lee, Myoung-ki;Kim, Jin-kwon;Lee, Yun-Sok;Park, Min-Jeong
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.298-305
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    • 2019
  • The demand for the revitalization of marine tourism in Busan North Port is increasing due to changes in functions such as an increase in harbor traffic volume and the expansion of marine leisure space in Busan. As a result, Busan City plans to set a phased alleviation target for prohibition of cruise ship operations, and to lift the prohibition of excursion ship operations in North Port following the cancellation of the prohibition of excursion ship operations in South Port in 2017. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the risk of excursion ship operations in Busan North Port by applying the marine traffic assessment index and to examine the possibility of excursion ship operations. For this purpose, port status, marine accidents, and traffic flow of Busan North Port were investigated. In addition, marine traffic assessment indexes, such as traffic congestion, risk based on an ES Model, and IWRAP MkII, a maritime risk assessment tool, were used to assess the risk and possibility of excursion ship operations in Busan North Port. This study can be used as basic data for analyzing the risk factors that may occur when excursion ships are operated in Busan North Port and to define how excursion ships should operate, with related safety measures.

Risk Allocation of Private Port Development with Hierarchical Fuzzy Process

  • Seong, Yu-Chang;Youn, Myung-Ou
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.317-323
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    • 2007
  • As economic trade between Korea and China has been encouraged with the rapid growth of Chinese economy and port competition in Northeast Asia, Korean government is trying to promote development and consolidation of ports to cope with the lack of facilities. Thus, many projects for port development have been propelled including the enactment the 'Private investment promotion law for social overhead capital 1994.' However, there are still some unsettled issues since considerable part of risk is still allocated to the Government when it has to support the private businesses in these port investments whenever unexpected problems arise. Allocation of risk among the participants - in this case especially - is a very subtle issue, however, it was revealed that not many precedent researches were done on the subject. In my previous research, I classified and analyzed 4 principle risks i.e, construction, management, financial and social risk. This research investigates the reasonable allocation of the risks among the participants using the Hierarchial Fuzzy Process. In the result of analysis, responsibility of private party is the most important and it must put the responsibility before Government' roll concerned. Also, this research displayed and proposed the direction of management method on port development in a view of minimizing risk and maximizing initiative of a private party.

네트워크 포트스캔의 위험에 대한 정량화 방법 (A Method for Quantifying the Risk of Network Port Scan)

  • 박성철;김준태
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2012
  • 네트워크 포트스캔 공격은 내부 네트워크에 있는 시스템에서 열려 있는 포트를 알아내기 위한 방법이다. 기존 대부분의 침입탐지시스템(Intrusion Detection System; IDS)들은 단위 시간당 시스템 또는 네트워크에 몇 번의 패킷을 보냈는지의 횟수를 기록하여 전송한 패킷의 횟수가 임계치보다 높은 소스 인터넷 주소(source IP address)에 대해서 포트스캔 공격이 수행되었다고 간주하였다. 즉, 네트워크 포트스캔 공격을 수행한 소스 인터넷 주소에 대한 위험 정도는 IDS들이 기록한 포트스캔 공격횟수에 의존하였다. 그러나 단순히 포트스캔 공격 횟수에 기반을 둔 위험성의 측정은 느린 포트스캔 공격에 대해 거짓 부정(false negative)이 높아져 포트스캔 탐지율이 낮아진다는 문제가 있다. 본 연구에서는 네트워크 포트스캔 공격에 대해 좀 더 정확하고 포괄적인 구분을 하기 위해 4가지 형태의 정보를 요약한다. 포트스캔 공격에 대한 위험성을 집약적으로 나타내기 위하여 주성분분석(principal component analysis, PCA)에 의해 이러한 정보들을 정량화한 위험지수를 제안한다. 실험을 통해 제안한 위험지수를 이용한 탐지가 포트스캔 탐지율에 있어서 Snort보다 우수하다는 것을 보인다.

A Study on the Risk Management Tools against Infectious Diseases in the Port-Utilizing Semi-Quantitative Bow-Tie Method

  • Lim, Kukhwan;Oh, Yong-Sik
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.145-157
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    • 2022
  • Due to the global epidemic of infectious diseases, it has become important for all industries to respond to the risk of infectious diseases. Ports in each country are also responding to the risk of infectious diseases, but the occurrence of infectious diseases in ports of various countries is causing a lot of damage to the logistics of ports. Korea is in the same situation, and cases of infectious diseases in ports are steadily being announced. Therefore, this paper conducted semi-quantitative Bow-Tie risk assessment by substituting measures to cope with infectious disease risks in Korean ports into actual cases of port infectious diseases in Korea, deriving improvements and suggesting directions. As a result, it was concluded that it was necessary to standardize some of the countermeasures against infectious diseases and develop more countermeasures.

Risk Priority and Allocation of Private Investment in Port Development

  • Seong, Yu-Chang;Youn, Myung-Ou;Keum, Jong-Soo;Kinzo, Inoue
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제30권7호
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    • pp.599-605
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    • 2006
  • The Port Development has been achieved by the Government because it needs large scale of funds. However, since 1994, the Govenment has been implemeting private investments for constructing and operating the ports and so on. Although the Government had high expectation that it could expedite the expansion of the port facilities, there were many problems in view of construction, management, financial and social environment. This study figure out that most of the important reasons are the uncertainty of risk allocation between private investors and the Government, using with Analytic Hierarchy Process. It is expected that the results of this study will encourage more private investors to participate in port private investments in the future.

A Basic Study on Marine Traffic Assessment in Mombasa Approach Channel-I

  • Otoi, Onyango Shem;Park, Young-Soo;Park, Jin-Soo
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제40권5호
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    • pp.257-263
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    • 2016
  • Mombasa is the principle port of Kenya, serving inland countries in Eastern and central Africa. Mombasa port has undergone a massive infrastructure upgrade and dredging works with an expectation that more vessels and large post Panamax ships will be able to enter Mombasa port. Therefore, it is vital to carry out a marine traffic risk assessment in order to quantify the degree of navigation safety needed in the Mombasa approach channel and also to evaluate the navigation risk imposed on transit traffic by local ferry traffic. In this paper, a marine traffic risk assessment is carried out using the IWRAP mk2, Environmental Stress (ES) model, and the PARK model. Risk assessment results show that Likoni area has an unacceptable stress/risk ranking at 20.7% by the ES model and 38.89% by the PARK model. The IWRAP mk2 model shows that the crossing area has the highest risk of crossing collision and the area at the entrance to the inner channel has a high risk of grounding. The conclusions derived from this study will provide the basis for proposing the most effective countermeasure to improve navigation safety in the Mombasa approach channel.

A Basic Study on Marine Traffic Assessment in Mombasa Approach Channel-I

  • Otoi, Onyango Shem;Park, Young-Soo;Park, Jin-Soo
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2016년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.81-84
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    • 2016
  • Mombasa is the principle port of Kenya, serving hinter countries in Eastern and central Africa. Mombasa port has undergone a massive infrastructure upgrade and dredging works with an expectation that more vessels and large post Panamax ships will be able to call at Mombasa port. Therefore, it is vital to carry out a marine traffic risk assessment so as to quantify the degree of navigation safety on Mombasa approach channel and also to evaluate navigation risk imposed on transit traffic by local ferry traffic. In this paper marine traffic risk assessment is carried out using IWRAP mk2, Environmental Stress model, and PARK model. Risk assessment results show that Likoni area has unacceptable stress/ risk ranking at 20.7% on ES model and 38.89% by PARK model. IWRAP mk2 model shows that crossing area has the highest risk of crossing collision and the area at the entrance to inner channel has a high risk of grounding. The conclusions derived from this study will provide the basis for proposing the most effective countermeasure so as to improve navigation safety in Mombasa approach channel.

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지정학적 위기가 항만 물동량에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on Impact of Geopolitical Risk on Port Throughput in Korea)

  • 남형식;;김치열
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.239-245
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 지정학적 위기가 우리나라 항만 물동량에 미치는 영향에 대해서 분석하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 우리나라는 무역의존도가 높은 대외의존적인 경제구조를 가지고 있으며, 수출입의 대부분이 해상운송을 통해서 이루어지고 있다. 따라서, 지정학적 위기로 인하여 세계경제에 변동이 생기면 우리나라 항만 물동량에 영향을 미칠 수 있다는 이론적 예상이 가능하다. 이에 본 연구는 1995년~2022년 기간 동안 지정학적 위기가 우리나라 항만 물동량에 어떠한 영향을 미쳤는지를 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 지정학적 위기가 우리나라 항만 물동량에 미치는 영향은 일부 항만을 제외하고 통계적으로 유의하지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나, 지정학적 위기가 항만물동량에 미치는 영향은 수출과 수입에 따라, 그리고 항만에 따라 다른 것으로 나타났다. 특히, 지정학적 위기는 수출 물동량에 부(-)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 항만을 통한 수출입 단가에 대해서 분석한 결과, 지정학적 위기는 수입단가에 부(-)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

Collision Risk Analysis in Busan Harbour

  • Gug, Seung-Gi;Fukuda, Gen;Cho, A-Ra;Park, Hye-Ri
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.53-57
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    • 2014
  • This thesis, concentrates on marine collision risks of the area divided by cells. Using a gas molecular collision calculation model, a collision risk model is proposed. Collision risk is estimated by relative angle, relative speed, and ship's density in the cell. For one week, Automatic Identification System (AIS) data was collected and analyzed on the Busan North Port area. The results indicate a high-risk area at the sea route connection point in Busan North Port. It also shows that twilight is the time of day when most collisions occur. This means that the area is high risk due to the number of collisions and other dangerous factors related to twilight. Although there is still need to consider other risks such as grounding risks, the results of this study are useful to for plotting a risk map for the port.