• Title/Summary/Keyword: polls

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The 2004 parliamentary election in Mongolia: Big surprises and small victories

  • Schafferer, Christian
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2004
  • On 27 June 2004, some one million voters went to the polls in Mongolia to elect 76 members of the Great State Hural, Mongolia's parliament. It was the fourth election held in Mongolia under the 1992 constitution. In the previous election, the former communist MPRP won a landslide, ousting the government of former democracy activists. Under the MPRP, Mongolia's economy performed extraordinary well. Surprisingly, the ruling Mongolian People's Revolutionary Party (MPRP) lost its two-thirds majority and half its parliamentarians in the 2004 election. But the Motherland Democracy Coalition (MDC), a coalition of Mongolia's most influential opposition parties, fell short of achieving a majority of its own. After the election, a grand coalition government was formed, paving the way for profound legal, social, and economic reforms.

Efficient Polling Scheme for Multiple Direct Link Communication Between STAs in Infrastructure Mode IEEE 802.11 Wireless LANs (Infrastructure Mode IEEE 802.11 무선랜 시스템에서 단말간의 다중 직접 통신을 위한 효율적인 폴링 방식)

  • Choi, Woo-Yong
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.237-245
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, a modified PCF (Point Coordination Function) MAC (Medium Access Control) Protocol is proposed to support the multiple direct link communication between STAs (STAtions) in infrastructure mode IEEE 802.11 wireless LANs. By the proposed MAC protocol, the direct link communication between STAs, which are located within the communication range of each other, is allowed without the use of AP (Access Point) as a relay. Moreover, when multiple direct data communication between STAs can be simultaneously performed with a sufficiently small interference, multiple simultaneous direct link communication is allowed for the efficient use of radio bandwidth. AP polls STAs to grant the transmission opportunities using the direct link communication by transmitting the polling frames to STAs. An efficient polling method for granting the transmission opportunities to STAs is proposed to reduce the number of the polling frame transmissions and enhance the PCF MAC performance.

The Infrastructure of Public Opinion Research in Japan

  • Kubota, Yuichi
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.42-60
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    • 2013
  • This article introduces the infrastructure of public opinion research in Japan by reviewing the development of polling organizations and the current situation of social surveys. In Japan, the polling infrastructure developed through the direction and encouragement of the U.S. occupation authorities. In the early 1969s, however, survey researchers began to conduct their own original polls in not only domestic but also cross-national contexts. An exploration of recent survey trends reveals that polling organizations tended to conduct more surveys during summer, in the mid-range of sample size (1,000-2,999), based on random sampling (response rates of 40-50%), and through the mail between April 2011 and March 2012. The media was the most active polling sector.

Information and Legal Support for the Implementation of a Gender Approach to Public Administration

  • Goshovska, Valentyna;Balasynovuch, Nataliia;Hryhorovych, Liliia;Goshovskyi, Volodymyr;Danylenko, Lydiia
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.150-158
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    • 2021
  • The study identifies the importance of informational and legislative support in ensuring gender equality. It determines the relevance of gender inequality, the main problem, which is confirmed by research and statistical information. The study aims to determine the methods of collecting information and legal regulation of gender issues and the possibility of solving them by public authorities. The main methods of gathering information are census surveys, questionnaires, surveys on public service websites, work with local communities, surveys in nursing homes and orphanages, special survey programs, and election polls. The paper considers the legal regulation of gender inequalities at the international, state, local and organizational levels. According to the analysis of the problem of gender inequality, it is established that the problem is practically eliminated in many developed countries, while countries with low incomes face gender inequality constantly.

A Study on Mixed-Mode Survey which Combine the Landline and Mobile Telephone Interviews: The Case of Special Election for the Mayor of Seoul (유.무선전화 병행조사에 대한 연구: 2011년 서울시장 보궐선거 여론조사 사례)

  • Lee, Kyoung-Taeg;Lee, Hwa-Jeong;Hyun, Kyung-Bo
    • Survey Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.135-158
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    • 2012
  • Korean telephone surveys have been based on landline telephone directory or RDD(Random Digit Dialing) method. These days, however, there has been an increase of the households with no landline, or households with the line but not willing to register in the directory. Moreover, it is hard to contact young people or office workers who are usually staying out of home in the daytime. Due to these issues above, the predictability of election polls gets weaker. Especially, low accessibility to those who stay out of home when the poll's done, results in predictions with positive inclination toward conservatism. A solution to resolve this problem is to contact respondents by using both mobile and landline phones-via landline phone to those who are at home and via mobile phone to those who are out of home in the daytime(Mixed Mode Survey, hereafter MMS). To conduct MMS, 1) we need to obtain the sampling frames for the landline and mobile surveys, and 2) we need to decide the proportion of sample size of both. In this paper, we propose a heuristic method for conducting MMS. The method uses RDD for the landline phone survey, and the access panel list for the mobile phone survey. The proportion of sample sizes between landline and mobile phones are determined based on the 'Lifestyle and Time Use Study' conducted by Statistics Korea. As a case study, 4 election polls were conducted in the periods of the special election for the mayor of Seoul on Oct 26th, 2011. From the initial 3 polls, reactions and responses regarding the issues raised during the survey period were appropriately covered, and the final poll showed a very close prediction to the real election result.

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Systematic Bias of Telephone Surveys: Meta Analysis of 2007 Presidential Election Polls (전화조사의 체계적 편향 - 2007년 대통령선거 여론조사들에 대한 메타분석 -)

  • Kim, Se-Yong;Huh, Myung-Hoe
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.375-385
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    • 2009
  • For 2007 Korea presidential election, most polls by telephone surveys indicated Lee Myung-Bak led the second runner-up Jung Dong-Young by certain margin. The margin between two candidates can be estimated accurately by averaging individual poll results, provided there exists no systematic bias in telephone surveys. Most Korean telephone surveys via telephone directory are based on quota samples, with the region, the gender and the age-band as quota variables. Thus the surveys may result in certain systematic bias due to unbalanced factors inherent in quota sampling. The aim of this study is to answer the following questions by the analytic methods adopted in Huh et al. (2004): Question 1. Wasn't there systematic bias in estimates of support rates. Question 2. If yes, what was the source of the bias? To answer the questions, we collected eighteen surveys administered during the election campaign period and applied the iterated proportional weighting (the rim weighting) to the last eleven surveys to obtain the balance in five factors - region, gender, age, occupation and education level. We found that the support rate of Lee Myung-Bak was over-estimated consistently by 1.4%P and that of Jung Dong-Young was underestimated by 0.6%P, resulting in the over-estimation of the margin by 2.0%P. By investigating the Lee Myung-Bak bias with logistic regression models, we conclude that it originated from the under-representation of less educated class and/or the over-representation of house wives in telephone samples.

Voters' Use Behavior of Information Channels through the Local Elections of June 2 (6.2 지방선거를 통해 본 유권자들의 정보채널 이용 행태 : 심층인터뷰를 중심으로)

  • Cha, Young-Ran
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 2011
  • The study is to analyze voting behaviors revealed through the June 2 local elections, and to learn their implications by exploring and comparing the main factors that influence how to recognize and select a candidate. To achieve this, in-depth interviews have been conducted focusing on those who voted in the last election. The analysis shows that most respondents regard their political tendencies as moderate and make decisions on whom to vote for 2 to 3 days prior to election. It also indicates that what party candidates belong to is the highest motivation in deciding for whom to vote and they generally vote as they believe. According to the study, not only do the poll's results hardly affect their choice of candidates, but also the polls turn out significantly different from the actual results. The great gap between the polls and the actual outcome signifies that how to conduct a poll is wrong and people intend to conceal their opinions. While the media has had a decisive effect on the image of candidates, it is through promotional materials for political campaigns that the candidates' policy is recognized. The study also says that the Four-River is the most influential political issue in election. The study identifies voters' behavior specifically and in depth, and suggests some lessons to make use of for the future elections.

Analyzing Public Opinion with Social Media Data during Election Periods: A Selective Literature Review

  • Kwak, Jin-ah;Cho, Sung Kyum
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.285-301
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    • 2018
  • There have been many studies that applied a data-driven analysis method to social media data, and some have even argued that this method can replace traditional polls. However, some other studies show contradictory results. There seems to be no consensus as to the methodology of data collection and analysis. But as social media-based election research continues and the data collection and analysis methodology keep developing, we need to review the key points of the controversy and to identify ways to go forward. Although some previous studies have reviewed the strengths and weaknesses of the social media-based election studies, they focused on predictive performance and did not adequately address other studies that utilized social media to address other issues related with public opinion during elections, such as public agenda or information diffusion. This paper tries to find out what information we can get by utilizing social media data and what limitations social media data has. Also, we review the various attempts to overcome these limitations. Finally, we suggest how we can best utilize social media data in understanding public opinion during elections.

An Adaptive Service Management for Multi-media Real-time Traffic in Wireless LANs (무선랜에서 멀티미디어 실시간 트래픽을 위한 적응적 서비스 관리)

  • Kim Kyung-Jun;Lee Chang-Soon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2005
  • Recent advances on wireless technology are enabling the design and deployment of real-time traffic in wireless LAN. Point Coordination Function (PCF) mode of Wireless LAN is defined to provide QoS of real time traffic, such as voice, video in wireless LANs. The service polling scheduling plays an important role in real-time traffic services of wireless LAN. This paper proposes a multicast polling scheme to increase the maximum number of conversations by reducing the amount of empty polls in IEEE 802.11 PCF mode. Our simulation studies show that our scheme may improve performance of the PCF in terms of the average transfer delay and packet discard ratio.

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Prediction improvement of election polls by unstructured data analysis (비정형 데이터 분석을 통한 선거 여론조사 예측력 개선 방안 연구)

  • Park, Sunbin;Kim, Myung Joon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.655-665
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    • 2018
  • Social network services (SNS) have become the most common tool for the communication of public and private opinions as well as public issues; consequently, one may form or drive public opinions to advocate by spreading positive content using SNS. Controversy for survey data based opinion poll accuracy continues in relation to response rate or sampling methodology. This study suggests complementary measures that additionally consider the sentiment analysis results of unstructured data on a social network by data crawling and sentiment dictionary adjustment process. The suggested method shows the improvement of prediction accuracy by decreasing error rates.