• Title/Summary/Keyword: period error

Search Result 1,123, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Evapotranspiration and Water Balance in the Basin of Nakdong River (낙동강유역의 증발산량과 물수지)

  • 조희구;이태영
    • Water for future
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.81-92
    • /
    • 1975
  • Calculation of the monthly water balance for Nakdong River basin for the period from 1958 to 1968 is made by determining three components independently: precipitation, runoff and evapotranspiration. The areal precipitation is computed by the Thiessen method using the records of nine meteorological stations in the basin, and the runoff is the flow gauged at Jindong which is located on the most downstream. For the computation of evapotranspiration, the Morton method is adopted because this method is relatively fit best in the calculation of water balance among the Morton, Penman and Thornthwaite methods. The values of Morton evapotransp iration are corrected by the factor of 0.82 in the basin in order to bring the error to zero. The areal evapotranspiration is the arithmetic mean of the Morton estimates at the stations. Mean water balance components in the Nakdong river basin are 1117.0mm, 600.6mm and 516.4m for precipitation, runoff and evapotranspiration respectively. Accordingly, the mean runoff ratio comes out to be 0.54. The smallest values of runoff coefficient are due for Daegu area, while the largest ones are for the southwest of the basin with the higher rainfall and high elevations there. The amount of runoff obtained by both Thornthwaite and Budyko methods for water balance computations indicate 59 and 60 per cent of actual values which are lower than the expected. An attempt is made to find the best reliable rainfall-runoff relation among the four methods proposed by Schreiber, 01'dekop, Budyko and Sellers. The modified equation of Schreiber type for annual runoff coefficient could be obtained with the smallest mean error of 11 per cent.

  • PDF

A Risk Analysis on the Error Code of Vehicle Inspection Utilizing Portfolio Analysis (Portfolio 분석을 활용한 자동차 검사의 부적합항목에 대한 위험도분석)

  • Choi, Kyung-Im;Kim, Tae-Ho;Lee, Soo-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.27 no.4
    • /
    • pp.121-127
    • /
    • 2012
  • Vehicle Inspection System is to examine the condition of vehicle regularly at the national level to protect lives and properties of the people from traffic accidents due to vehicle's fault. However, the vehicle inspection method, criteria, period and effectiveness have become a controversial issue, because of examining safety management of vehicle by drivers regardless of regular vehicle inspection. Therefore, the aim of this study is to investigate vehicle inspection timeliness and risk level of inspection items through basic statistical survey and portfolio analysis. The results of the research through practical analysis are: (1) The inspection failure rates between 3 and 6 model year tend to increase. (2) The failure of inspection items for safety highly impacts on traffic accident rate in terms of accident risks. (3) According to the result of portfolio analysis, faulty items located 1st quadrant are riding device, driveline system, controlling device, steering actuator, and fuel system.

Double Vector Based Model Predictive Torque Control for SPMSM Drives with Improved Steady-State Performance

  • Zhang, Xiaoguang;He, Yikang;Hou, Benshuai
    • Journal of Power Electronics
    • /
    • v.18 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1398-1408
    • /
    • 2018
  • In order to further improve the steady-state control performance of model predictive torque control (MPTC), a double-vector-based model predictive torque control without a weighting factor is proposed in this paper. The extended voltage vectors synthesized by two basic voltage vectors are used to increase the number of feasible voltage vectors. Therefore, the control precision of the torque and the stator flux along with the steady-state performance can be improved. To avoid testing all of the feasible voltage vectors, the solution of deadbeat torque control is calculated to predict the reference voltage vector. Thus, the candidate voltage vectors, which need to be evaluated by a cost function, can be reduced based on the sector position of the predicted reference voltage vector. Furthermore, a cost function, which only includes a reference voltage tracking error, is designed to eliminate the weighting factor. Moreover, two voltage vectors are applied during one control period, and their durations are calculated based on the principle of reference voltage tracking error minimization. Finally, the proposed method is tested by simulations and experiments.

Wind Prediction with a Short-range Multi-Model Ensemble System (단시간 다중모델 앙상블 바람 예측)

  • Yoon, Ji Won;Lee, Yong Hee;Lee, Hee Choon;Ha, Jong-Chul;Lee, Hee Sang;Chang, Dong-Eon
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.327-337
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this study, we examined the new ensemble training approach to reduce the systematic error and improve prediction skill of wind by using the Short-range Ensemble prediction system (SENSE), which is the mesoscale multi-model ensemble prediction system. The SENSE has 16 ensemble members based on the MM5, WRF ARW, and WRF NMM. We evaluated the skill of surface wind prediction compared with AWS (Automatic Weather Station) observation during the summer season (June - August, 2006). At first stage, the correction of initial state for each member was performed with respect to the observed values, and the corrected members get the training stage to find out an adaptive weight function, which is formulated by Root Mean Square Vector Error (RMSVE). It was found that the optimal training period was 1-day through the experiments of sensitivity to the training interval. We obtained the weighted ensemble average which reveals smaller errors of the spatial and temporal pattern of wind speed than those of the simple ensemble average.

Estimation of Chest Compression Depth using two Accelerometers during CPR (심폐소생술에서 두 개의 가속도 센서를 활용한 흉부 압박 깊이 추정)

  • Song, Yeong-Tak;Oh, Jae-Hoon;Suh, Young-Soo;Chee, Young-Joon
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.31 no.5
    • /
    • pp.407-411
    • /
    • 2010
  • During the cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), the correct chest compression depth and period are very important to increase the resuscitation possibility. For the feedback of chest compression depth, the depth monitoring device based on the accelerometer is developed and widely used. But this method tends to overestimate the compression depth on the bed. To overcome this limitation, the chest compression depth estimation method using two accelerometers is suggested With the additional accelerometer between the patient and mattress on the bed, the compression of the mattress is also measured and it is used to compensate the overestimation error. The experimental results show that the single accelerometer estimates as 61.4mm for the actual compression depth of 43.6mm on the mattress. The depth estimation with the dual accelerometer was 44.6mm which is close to the actual depth. With the automatic zeroing in every single compression, the integration error for the depth can be reduced. The dual accelerometer method is effective to increase the accuracy of the chest compression depth estimation.

An Exploration of Dynamical Relationships between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Prices in Korea

  • Lee, Jung Wan;Brahmasrene, Tantatape
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.5 no.3
    • /
    • pp.7-17
    • /
    • 2018
  • This paper examines short-run and long-run dynamic relationships between selected macroeconomic variables and stock prices in the Korea Stock Exchange. The data is restricted to the period for which monthly data are available from January 1986 to October 2016 (370 observations) retrieved from the Economic Statistics System database sponsored by the Bank of Korea. The study employs unit root test, cointegration test, vector error correction estimates, impulse response test, and structural break test. The results of the Johansen cointegration test indicate at least three cointegrating equations exist at the 0.05 level in the model, confirming that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic variables in Korea. The results of vector error correction model (VECM) estimates indicate that money supply and short-term interest rate are not related to stock prices in the short-run. However, exchange rate is positively related to stock prices while the industrial production index and inflation are negatively related to stock prices in the short-run. Furthermore, the VECM estimates indicate that the external shock, such as regional and global financial crisis shocks, neither affects changes in the endogenous variables nor causes instability in the cointegrating vector. This study finds that the endogenous variables are determined by their own dynamics in the model.

STATISTICAL STUDY ON PERSONAL REDUCTION COEFFICIENTS OF SUNSPOT NUMBERS SINCE 1981

  • Cho, Il-Hyun;Bong, Su-Chan;Cho, Kyung-Suk;Lee, Jaejin;Kim, Rok-Soon;Park, Young-Deuk;Kim, Yeon-Han
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
    • /
    • v.47 no.6
    • /
    • pp.255-258
    • /
    • 2014
  • Using sunspot number data from 270 historical stations for the period 1981-2013, we investigate their personal reduction coefficients (k) statistically. Chang & Oh (2012) perform a simulation showing that the k varies with the solar cycle. We try to verify their results using observational data. For this, a weighted mean and weighted standard deviation of monthly sunspot number are used to estimate the error from observed data. We find that the observed error (noise) is much smaller than that used in the simulation. Thus no distinct k-variation with the solar cycle is observed contrary to the simulation. In addition, the probability distribution of k is determined to be non-Gaussian with a fat-tail on the right side. This result implies that the relative sunspot number after 1981 might be overestimated since the mean value of k is less than that of the Gaussian distribution.

Pitch Detection Using Variable Bandwidth LPF (가변 대역폭 LPF를 이용한 피치 검출)

  • Keum, Hong;Baek, Guem-Ran;Bae, Myung-Jin;Jang, Ho-Sung
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.13 no.5
    • /
    • pp.77-82
    • /
    • 1994
  • In speech signal processing, it is very important to detect the pitch exactly. Although various methods for detecting the pitch of speech signals have been developed, it is difficult to exactly extract the pitch for wide range of speakers and various utterances. Thus we propose a new pitch detection algorithm which takes advantage of the G-peak extraction. It is a method to detect the pitch period of the voiced signals by finding MZCI (maximum zero-crossing interval) of the G-peak which is defined as cut-off bandwidth rate of LPF (low pass filter). This algorithm performs robustly with a gross error rate of 3.63% even in 0 dB SNR environement. The gross error rate for clean speech is only 0.18%. Also it is able to process all courses with high speed.

  • PDF

Errors in Isotope Dilution Caused by Matrix-induced Mass Bias Effect in Quadrupole Inductively Coupled Plasma-Mass Spectrometry

  • Pak, Yong-Nam
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
    • /
    • v.35 no.12
    • /
    • pp.3482-3488
    • /
    • 2014
  • Matrix-induced mass bias and its effect on the accuracy of isotope ratio measurements have been examined for a quadrupole-based inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometer (Q ICP-MS). Matrix-induced mass bias effect was directly proportional to % mass difference, and its magnitude varied for element and nebulizer flow rate. For a given element and conditions in a day, the effect was consistent. The isotope ratio of Cd106/Cd114 under $200{\mu}g\;g^{-1}$ U matrix deviated from the natural value significantly by 3.5%. When Cd 111 and Cd114 were used for the quantification of Cd with isotope dilution (ID) method, the average of differences between the calculated and measured concentrations was -0.034% for samples without matrix ($0.076{\mu}g\;g^{-1}$ to $0.21{\mu}g\;g^{-1}$ for the period of 6 months). However, the error was as large as 1.5% for samples with $200{\mu}g\;g^{-1}$ U. The error in ID caused by matrix could be larger when larger mass difference isotopes are used.

A Transient Response Analysis in the State-space Applying the Average Velocity Concept (평균속도 개념을 적용한 상태공간에서의 과도응답해석)

  • 김병옥;김영철;김영춘;이안성
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
    • /
    • v.14 no.5
    • /
    • pp.424-431
    • /
    • 2004
  • An implicit direct-time integration method for obtaining transient responses of general dynamic systems is described. The conventional Newmark method cannot be directly applied to state-space first-order differential equations, which contain no explicit acceleration terms. The method proposed here is the state-space Newmark method that incorporates the average velocity concept, and can be applied to an analysis of general dynamic systems that are expressed by state-space first-order differential equations. It is also readily coded into a program. Stability and accuracy analyses indicate that the method is numerically unconditionally stable like the conventional Newmark method, and has a period error of 2nd-order accuracy for small damping and 4th-order for large damping and an amplitude error of 2nd-order, regardless of damping. In addition, its utility and validity are confirmed by two application examples. The results suggest that the proposed state-space Newmark method based on average velocity be generally applied to the analysis of transient responses of general dynamic systems with a high degree of reliability with respect to stability and accuracy.