• Title/Summary/Keyword: percentile.

Search Result 1,066, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

SAMPLING BASED UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS OF 10 % HOT LEG BREAK LOCA IN LARGE SCALE TEST FACILITY

  • Sengupta, Samiran;Dubey, S.K.;Rao, R.S.;Gupta, S.K.;Raina, V.K
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.42 no.6
    • /
    • pp.690-703
    • /
    • 2010
  • Sampling based uncertainty analysis was carried out to quantify uncertainty in predictions of best estimate code RELAP5/MOD3.2 for a thermal hydraulic test (10% hot leg break LOCA) performed in the Large Scale Test Facility (LSTF) as a part of an IAEA coordinated research project. The nodalisation of the test facility was qualified for both steady state and transient level by systematically applying the procedures led by uncertainty methodology based on accuracy extrapolation (UMAE); uncertainty analysis was carried out using the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method to evaluate uncertainty for ten input parameters. Sixteen output parameters were selected for uncertainty evaluation and uncertainty band between $5^{th}$ and $95^{th}$ percentile of the output parameters were evaluated. It was observed that the uncertainty band for the primary pressure during two phase blowdown is larger than that of the remaining period. Similarly, a larger uncertainty band is observed relating to accumulator injection flow during reflood phase. Importance analysis was also carried out and standard rank regression coefficients were computed to quantify the effect of each individual input parameter on output parameters. It was observed that the break discharge coefficient is the most important uncertain parameter relating to the prediction of all the primary side parameters and that the steam generator (SG) relief pressure setting is the most important parameter in predicting the SG secondary pressure.

The Effect of Knowledge and Attitudes on Preventive Behaviors Plan for Zika Virus Infection in University Students (대학생의 지카바이러스 감염에 대한 지식 및 태도가 예방행위계획에 미치는 영향)

  • Lim, Seungjoo;Kim, Youngji
    • Journal of muscle and joint health
    • /
    • v.28 no.3
    • /
    • pp.209-216
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study aimed to determine the effect of knowledge and attitudes of preventive behavior plans (PBPs) on Zika virus infection among university students. Methods: Participants included 130 students from H University in Korea. Electronic self-reported questionnaires were used to collect data. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, t-test, ANOVA, Pearson's correlation coefficient, and regression analysis with SPSS/WIN 23.0. Results: The mean percentile score for knowledge was 35.52±20.63. The mean scores for attitudes and PBPs were 3.31±0.47 and 3.07±0.72, respectively, out of 5 points. Knowledge (t=-5.79, p<.001), attitudes (t=-3.17, p=.002), and PBPs (t=-2.67, p=.009) differed significantly with respect to awareness concerning Zika virus infection. The factor 'attitudes' significantly affected PBPs, with an R2 value of 12.0% (β=.27, p<.001). Conclusion: Developing a correct attitude toward Zika virus infection may be key to improving preventive behaviors. Health education messages should be tailored to increase preventive behaviors against Zika virus infection. Nursing educators will benefit from partnerships with health educators and by using internet media to speed up the dissemination of Zika virus information.

Evaluation of craniofacial morphology in short-statured children: growth hormone deficiency versus idiopathic short stature

  • Kim, Ki Bong;Kim, Eun-Kyong;Jang, Kyung Mi;Kim, Min Seon;Park, Eun Young
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
    • /
    • v.38 no.1
    • /
    • pp.47-52
    • /
    • 2021
  • Background: Short stature is defined as a height below the 3rd percentile or more than two standard deviations below the mean for a given age, sex, and population. There have been inconsistent results regarding craniofacial morphology in short-statured children. This study aimed to analyze the differences between short-statured children with growth hormone deficiency, idiopathic short-statured children, and normal children. Methods: Thirty-one short-statured children with growth hormone deficiency, 32 idiopathic short-statured children, and 32 healthy children were enrolled in this study. The measurements of their craniofacial structures from lateral cephalograms were evaluated. Results: There were statistically significant differences among the three groups seven variables (anterior cranial base length, posterior cranial base length, total cranial base length, upper posterior facial height, posterior total facial height, mandibular ramus length, and overall mandibular length) in the linear measurement and five variables (saddle angle, gonial angle, mandibular plane angle, position of mandible, and maxilla versus mandible) in the angular measurement. Conclusion: Compared to the control group, many linear and angular measurements of the craniofacial structures were significantly different in the two short-statured groups (p <0.05). Treatment plans by orthodontists should include these craniofacial structure characteristics.

Optimum Construction Duration for Road Tunnel Excavation Works (도로터널 굴착공사의 적정공기 판단기준)

  • Kim, Ha-Na;Kim, Dae Young;Kim, Dae-Young;Jeong, Seong-Chun;Huh, Young-Ki
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
    • /
    • v.34 no.4
    • /
    • pp.59-64
    • /
    • 2018
  • Construction schedule acceleration due to unreasonable construction planning frequently leads to construction accidents. In order to avoid such inevitable acceleration and to ensure safety in construction sites, there is a need for objective standards to determine appropriate construction duration for each construction process earlier in the process. In order to achieve the goal, intensive experts interviews were firstly conducted to identify candidate drivers affecting construction schedule of road tunnel excavation works. Then, a total of 34 field data was collected from on-going sites to analyze. It was found that actual excavation length per one day on site is varied mostly by Rock Mass Rating(RMR) types from various statistical analyses. Therefore an one-way table of excavation length per a day by RMR types were presented in a form of percentile. The results will help industry experts determine the most appropriate construction schedule for the works, which eventually lead to a zero accident site in many ways.

Status analysis of patients on islands and seas of Jeollanam-do (전라남도 섬과 해상에서 발생한 환자의 현황분석)

  • Choi, Young-Ju;Yun, Jong-Geun
    • The Korean Journal of Emergency Medical Services
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.87-96
    • /
    • 2022
  • Purpose: By analyzing the health status of emergency patients on islands in the Jeollanam-do province, this study aims to provide basic data for proposed future medical emergency services on the islands. This information includes monthly and hourly statistics on patients' characteristics, patient frequency, an analysis of first aid procedures, response times, and time spent at hospitals. Methods: The study analyzed the monthly and hourly frequency of emergency patients, first aid status and procedures, general patient characteristics, accident types, patient cognitive status and agility, marine police response times, and frequency and percentile of hospital dispatch times. Results: 1Q and #q show the highest patient turnover rate in one year. 50.5% of daily patients are admitted between 4 PM and 12 PM. The hospital dispatch time is within a one- to two-hour window for 54.0% of all patients. Conclusion: The emergency medical service system for the Jeollanam-do province islands and seas is available to all Korean residents, citizens, and visitors. It is necessary to implement an emergency medical system for the relevant organizations.

Quantitative analysis of spatiotemporal characteristics of flash drought using Flash Drought Intensity Index based on soil moisture (토양수분 기반 FDII를 활용한 돌발가뭄의 시공간적 정량화)

  • Hee-Jin Lee;Won-Ho Nam;Jason A. Otkin;Yafang Zhong;Mark D. Svoboda
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.46-46
    • /
    • 2023
  • 돌발가뭄 (Flash drought)은 일반적인 가뭄과 달리 기후변화에 따른 기상 이상으로 인해 단기간 급속하게 발생하는 가뭄이다. 짧은 기간에 식생 스트레스가 증가하며, 작물생산량의 감소로 인해 농업 생태계에 피해를 야기하며, 과도한 증발 수요 및 급격한 토양수분의 감소는 수문학적 영향을 미치게 된다. 본 연구에서는 최근 개발된 Flash Drought Intenisty Index (FDII, 2021)를 활용하여 2014년부터 2018년까지 5년간 발생한 돌발가뭄에 분석하였다. FDII는 가뭄 심화속도, 평균 심각도의 두 가지 요소를 곱하여 나타내며, 일반적으로 가뭄 및 비가뭄에 대한 정도를 나타내는 아노말리 (Anomaly) 대신 백분위수 (Percentile)를 활용한다. 국내 돌발가뭄 분석을 위하여 Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) 위성영상 기반 근역층 토양수분 자료를 활용하였다. 2014년부터 2018년까지 전국 8도 (경기, 강원, 충남, 충북, 전남, 전북, 경남, 경북)를 대상으로 돌발가뭄 사상에 대하여 토양수분 백분위수의 월별 공간분포 및 FDII를 산정하여 국내 돌발가뭄의 강도를 정량화하였다. 지역 및 시기별로 다르게 발생하는 돌발가뭄을 대상으로 FDII를 활용하여 돌발가뭄의 초기 발생, 가뭄 전이 현상 등 시공간적 특성을 분석하고자 한다. 향후 대상 지역의 세분화 및 장기적인 관점에서의 FDII 적용으로 신뢰성 높은 국내 돌발가뭄 모니터링 및 분석 기술로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

  • PDF

Multivariate assessment of the occurrence of compound Hazards at the pan-Asian region

  • Davy Jean Abella;Kuk-Hyun Ahn
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.166-166
    • /
    • 2023
  • Compound hazards (CHs) are two or more extreme climate events combined which occur simultaneously in the same region at the same time. Compared to individual hazards, the combination of hazards that cause CHs can result in greater economic losses and deaths. While several extreme climate events have been recorded across Asia for the past decades, many studies have only focused on a single hazard. In this study, we assess the spatiotemporal pattern of dry compound hazards which includes drought, heatwave, fire and wind across Asia for the last 42 years (1980-2021) using the historical data from ERA5 Reanalysis dataset. We utilize a daily spatial data of each climate event to assess the occurrence of such compound hazards on a daily basis. Heatwave, fire and wind hazard occurrences are analyzed using daily percentile-based thresholds while a pre-defined threshold for SPI is applied for drought occurrence. Then, the occurrence of each type of compound hazard is taken from overlapping the map of daily occurrences of a single hazard. Lastly, a multivariate assessment are conducted to quantify the occurrence frequency, hotspots and trends of each type of compound hazard across Asia. By conducting a multivariate analysis of the occurrence of these compound hazards, we identify the relationships and interactions in dry compound hazards including droughts, heatwaves, fires, and winds, ultimately leading to better-informed decisions and strategies in the natural risk management.

  • PDF

An Application of Realistic Evaluation Model to the Large Break LOCA Analysis of Ulchin 3&4

  • C. H. Ban;B. D. Chung;Lee, K. M.;J. H. Jeong;S. T. Hwang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
    • /
    • 1996.05b
    • /
    • pp.429-434
    • /
    • 1996
  • K-REM[1], which is under development as a realistic evaluation model of large break LOCA, is applied to the analysis of cold leg guillotine break of Ulchin 3&4. Fuel parameters on which statistical analysis of their effects on the peak cladding temperature (PCT) are made and system parameters on which the concept of limiting value approach (LVA) are applied, are determined from the single parameter sensitivity study. 3 parameters of fuel gap conductance, fuel thermal conductivity and power peaking factor are selected as fuel related ones and 4 parameters of axial power shape, reactor power, decay heat and the gas pressure of safety injection tank (SIT) are selected as plant system related ones. Response surface of PCT is generated from the plant calculation results and on which Monte Carlo sampling is made to get plant application uncertainty which is statistically combined with code uncertainty to produce the 95th percentile PCT. From the break spectrum analysis, blowdown PCT of 1350.23 K and reflood PCT of 1195.56 K are obtained for break discharge coefficients of 0.8 and 0.5, respectively.

  • PDF

Discrete-time Survival Analysis of Risk Factors for Early Menarche in Korean Schoolgirls

  • Yong Jin Gil;Jong Hyun Park;Joohon Sung
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.56 no.1
    • /
    • pp.59-66
    • /
    • 2023
  • Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of body weight status and sleep duration on the discrete-time hazard of menarche in Korean schoolgirls using multiple-point prospective panel data. Methods: The study included 914 girls in the 2010 Korean Children and Youth Panel Study who were in the elementary first-grader panel from 2010 until 2016. We used a Gompertz regression model to estimate the effects of weight status based on age-specific and sex-specific body mass index (BMI) percentile and sleep duration on an early schoolchild's conditional probability of menarche during a given time interval using general health condition and annual household income as covariates. Results: Gompertz regression of time to menarche data collected from the Korean Children and Youth Panel Study 2010 suggested that being overweight or sleeping less than the recommended duration was related to an increased hazard of menarche compared to being average weight and sleeping 9 hours to 11 hours, by 1.63 times and 1.38 times, respectively, while other covariates were fixed. In contrast, being underweight was associated with a 66% lower discrete-time hazard of menarche. Conclusions: Weight status based on BMI percentiles and sleep duration in the early school years affect the hazard of menarche.

BEPU analysis of a CANDU LBLOCA RD-14M experiment using RELAP/SCDAPSIM

  • A.K. Trivedi;D.R. Novog
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.55 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1448-1459
    • /
    • 2023
  • A key element of the safety analysis is Loss of Coolant Analysis (LOCA) which must be performed using system thermal-hydraulic codes. These codes are extensively validated against separate effect and integral experiments. RELAP/SCDAPSIM is one such code that may be used to predict LBLOCA response in a CANDU reactor. The RD-14M experiment selected for the Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty study is a 44 mm (22.7%) inlet header break test with no Emergency Coolant Injection. This work has two objectives first is to simulate pipe break with RELAP and compare these results to those available from experiment and from comparable TRACE calculations. The second objective is to quantify uncertainty in the fuel element sheath (FES) temperature arising from model coefficient as well as input parameter uncertainties using Integrated Uncertainty Analysis package. RELAP calculated results are found to be in good agreement with those of TRACE and with those of experiments. The base case maximum FES temperature is 335.5 ℃ while that of 95% confidence 95th percentile is 407.41 ℃ for the first order Wilk's formula. The experimental measurements fall within the predicted band and the trends and sensitivities are similar to those reported for the TRACE code.