• Title/Summary/Keyword: peaks-over-threshold method

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The Analysis for Flood Damage on Nam-sa Down Stream Region (남사천 하류지역 홍수피해 분석)

  • 김가현;이영대;서진호;민일규
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.217-223
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    • 2001
  • Where no records are available at a site, a preliminary estimate may be made from relations between floods and catchment chatacteristics. A number of these chatacteristics were chosen for testing and were measured for those catchments where mean annual flood estimates were available. Although the improvement using extended data in regression of flood estimates on catchment characteristics was small, this may be due to the limitations of the regression model. When an individual short term record is to be extended, more detailed attention can be given; an example is presented of the technique which should be adopted in practice, particularly when a short term record covers a period which is known to be biassed. A method of extending the peaks over a threshold series is presented with a numerical example. The extension of records directly from rainfall by means of a conceptual model is discussed, although the application of such methods is likely to be limited by lack of recording raingauge information. Methods of combining information from various sources are discussed in terms of information from catchment characteristics supplemented by records. but are generally applicable to different sources of information. The application of this technique to estimating the probable maximum flood requires more conservative assumptions about the antecedent condition, storm profile and unit hydrograph. It is suggested that the profile and catchment wetness index at the start of the design duration should be based on the assumption that the estimated maximum rainfall occurs in all durations centered on the storm peak.

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A Determination of Magnitude and Frequency of River Floods (하천 홍수량의 크기 및 빈도 결정)

  • Noh, Jae Sik;Lee, Kil Choon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 1992
  • In this study, six gaging stations(T/M bureau) in the Han River basin were selected for flood frequency analysis and was carried out frequency analysis by POT(peaks Over a Threshold) model where existing flood data of short record length are available. Frequency and magnitudes of each station floods in the river basins were estimated by POT model based on statistical method, and also were compared with standard errors to verify applicability of the estimates by POT model. Furthermore, in order to evaluate for the adequate design flood which is needed for the design of the hydrologic structures in the ungaged watersheds, it is considered to be possible to develop the statistical regionalized model by regional frequency analysis.

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Estimation of Deepwater Design Wave Height on Southern Coast of Korean Peninsula by Empirical Simulation Technique (경험모의기법에 의한 남해안의 심해 설계파고 산정)

  • Suh, Kyung-Duck;Kim, Mun-Ki;Chun, Je-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.265-275
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    • 2011
  • Estimation of wave height is the most important factor in the design of coastal structures such as breakwaters. In the present study, typhoon wind distribution was constructed by applying the parametric model of Holland (1980), and numerical simulations on the typhoon-generated waves were carried out using the WAM. The typhoons which affected the southern coast of the Korean Peninsula and several hypothetical typhoons were selected to construct the training sets. Design wave heights were estimated using the empirical simulation technique for various return periods and wave directions. The estimated design wave heights were compared with those by the peaks-over-threshold method and the results of KORDI(2005).

Assessment of Water Piling-up behind a Submerged Breakwater during Storm Events (단기 태·폭풍 기인 잠제 배후의 Piling-up 현상 평가)

  • Son, Donghwi;Yoo, Jeseon;Kim, Mujong
    • Journal of Coastal Disaster Prevention
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.203-210
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    • 2018
  • It is generally known that submerged breakwaters can reduce the incoming wave energy without disturbing the beach scenery. However, a submerged breakwater is also able to cause a setup of the sea level in the protected area which is also called as water piling-up. Since the piling-up can result in longshore currents, sediment transports, and unexpected beach erosion, understanding about the piling-up process is required prior to designing the nearshore structures. In this study, the water piling-up behind a submerged breakwater is assessed in the time of storm events. For the study area, Anmok beach in Gyeonso-dong, Gangwon-do is selected. 1-year, 5-year, 10-year, and 50-year return-values were derived from Peaks-Over-Threshold(POT) method and those are applied as offshore boundary conditions for the numerical simulation. The numerical results of the piling-up were assessed with regard to the wave steepness and the height of the submerged breakwater. With increase of both significant wave height and the height of the submerged breakwater, the piling-up parameter is also increased which can lead to erosion of dry beach behind the structure.

Cyber risk measurement via loss distribution approach and GARCH model

  • Sanghee Kim;Seongjoo Song
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.75-94
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    • 2023
  • The growing trend of cyber risk has put forward the importance of cyber risk management. Cyber risk is defined as an accidental or intentional risk related to information and technology assets. Although cyber risk is a subset of operational risk, it is reported to be handled differently from operational risk due to its different features of the loss distribution. In this study, we aim to detect the characteristics of cyber loss and find a suitable model by measuring value at risk (VaR). We use the loss distribution approach (LDA) and the time series model to describe cyber losses of financial and non-financial business sectors, provided in SAS® OpRisk Global Data. Peaks over threshold (POT) method is also incorporated to improve the risk measurement. For the financial sector, the LDA and GARCH model with POT perform better than those without POT, respectively. The same result is obtained for the non-financial sector, although the differences are not significant. We also build a two-dimensional model reflecting the dependence structure between financial and non-financial sectors through a bivariate copula and check the model adequacy through VaR.

Multi-stage and Variable-length Peak Windowing Techniques for PAPR Reduction of OFDMA Downlink Systems (OFDMA 하향링크 시스템에서의 PAPR 저감을 위한 다단계 및 가변길이 첨두 윈도윙 기법들)

  • Lee, Sung-Eun;Min, Hyun-Kee;Bang, Keuk-Joon;Hong, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2008
  • This paper proposes two peak-windowing algorithms for peak-to-average power reduction(PAPR) of orthogonal frequency division multiple access(OFDMA) downlink systems. The Proposed algorithms mitigate the effect of excessive suppression due to successive peaks or relatively high peaks of the signal. First, multi-stage peak windowing algorithm is proposed, which exploits multiple threshold of target PAPR in order to step down the peaks gradually. Secondary, variable-length peak windowing algorithm is proposed, which adapts the window length with respect to the existence of successive peaks within a half of window length. Therefore, the proposed method reduces the distortion of signal amplitude caused by window overlapping. The proposed algorithms outperform the conventional peak windowing with the aid of window-length adaptation or sequential peak power reduction. Simulation results show the efficiency of the proposed algorithms over OFDMA downlink systems, especially WiBro systems.

Extreme Sea Level Analysis in Coastal Waters around Korean Peninsula Using Empirical Simulation Technique (경험모의기법을 이용한 한반도 주변 해역에서의 극치해면 분석)

  • Suh, Kyung-Duck;Yang, Young-Chul;Jun, Ki-Chun;Lee, Dong-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.254-265
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    • 2009
  • The estimation of the extreme sea level is necessary in the design of offshore or coastal structures. In this paper, the storm surge data calculated numerically at 52 harbors around the Korean Peninsula are analyzed by using annual maximum series(AMS), peaks over threshold(POT) and empirical simulation technique(EST). The maximum likelihood method was used to estimate the parameters in both AMS and POT models. The Generalized Pareto distribution was used and Chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit tests were performed with the acceptable significance level 5%. The extreme sea levels were also evaluated by EST including tide effect, showing similar results as given by Jeong et al.(2008).

A Study on the Laminar Burning Velocity and Flame Structure with H2 Content in a Wide Range of Equivalence Ratio of Syngas(H2/CO)/Air Premixed Flames (넓은 당량비 구간에서 수소함유량에 따른 합성가스(H2/CO)/공기 예혼합화염의 연소속도 및 화염구조에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Byeong-Gyu;Lee, Kee-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Combustion
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the laminar burning velocity of syngas fuel($H_2/CO$) and flame structure with various hydrogen contents were studied using both experimental measurements and detailed kinetic analysis. The laminar burning velocities were measured by the angle method of Bunsen flame configuration and the numerical calculations including chemical kinetic analysis were made using CHEMKIN Package with USC-Mech II. A wide range of syngas mixture compositions such as $H_2$ : CO = 10 : 90, 25 : 75, 50 : 50, 75:25 and equivalence ratios from lean condition of 0.5 to rich condition of 5.0 have been considered. The experimental results of burning velocity were in good agreement with previous other research data and numerical simulation. Also, it was shown that the experimental measurements of laminar burning velocity linearly increased with the increment of $H_2$ content although the burning velocity of hydrogen is faster than the carbon monoxide above 10 times. This phenomenon is attributed to the rapid production of hydrogen related radicals such as H radical at the early stage of combustion, which is confirmed the linear increase of radical concentrations on kinetic analysis. Particular concerns in this study are the characteristics of burning velocity and flame structure different from lean condition for rich condition. The decrease of OH radicals and double peaks are observed with $H_2$ content in rich condition once $H_2$ fraction exceeds over threshold.

Properties of ZnS:Cu,Cl Thick Film Electroluminescent Devices by Screen Printing Method (스크린인쇄법에 의한 ZnS:Cu,Cl 후막 전계발광소자의 특성)

  • No, Jun-Seo;Yu, Su-Ho;Jang, Ho-Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Materials Research
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.448-452
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    • 2001
  • The ZnS:Cu,Cl thick film electroluminescent devices with the stacking type(separated with phosphors and insulator layers) and the composite type (mixed with phosphor and insulator materials) emission layers were fabricated on ITO/glass substrates by the screen printing methods. The opical and electrical properties were investigated as fundations of applied voltages and frequencies. In the stacking type, the luminance was about 58 cd/$\m^2$ at the applied voltage of 400Hz, 200V and increased to 420 cd/$\m^2$ with increasing the frequency to 30Hz. For the composite type devices, the threshold voltage was 45V and the maximum luminance was 670 cd/$\m^2$ at the driving condition of 200V, 30Hz. The value of luminance of the composite type device showed 1.5 times higher than that of stacking type device. The main emission peak was 512 nm of bluish-green color at 1Hz frequency below and shifted to 452 nm in the driving frequency over 5Hz showing the blue omission color. There were no distinct differences of the main emission peaks and color coordinate for both samples.

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