• Title/Summary/Keyword: ozone warning

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Predicting ozone warning days based on an optimal time series model (최적 시계열 모형에 기초한 오존주의보 날짜 예측)

  • Park, Cheol-Yong;Kim, Hyun-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.293-299
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    • 2009
  • In this article, we consider linear models such as regression, ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average), and regression+ARIMA (regression with ARIMA errors) for predicting hourly ozone concentration level in two areas of Daegu. Based on RASE(root average squared error), it is shown that the ARIMA is the best model in one area and that the regression+ARIMA model is the best in the other area. We further analyze the residuals from the optimal models, so that we might predict the ozone warning days where at least one of the hourly ozone concentration levels is over 120 ppb. Based on the training data in the years from 2000 to 2003, it is found that 35 ppb is a good cutoff value of residulas for predicting the ozone warning days. In on area of Daegu, our method predicts correctly one of two ozone warning days of 2004 as well as all of the remaining 364 non-warning days. In the other area, our methods predicts correctly all of one ozone warning days and 365 non-warning days of 2004.

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Studies of High-Ozone Episodes in the Greater Seoul Area between 1990 and 1997 (1990~1997 기간 중 서울.수도권 지역의 고농도 오존 사례 연구)

  • 김영성;오현선
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.267-280
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    • 1999
  • To investigate the characteristics of high-ozone occurrences in the Greater Seoul Area(GSA), three high-ozone episodes were selected, for which the ozone warning for concentration above 120 ppb might be issued. The selection was on the basis of morning wind directions and speeds, and daily maximum ozone concentrations measured between 1990 and 1997. The episodes chosen to meet selection criteria were seven days in July 1992, nine days in July 1994, and three days in August 1994, as respectively characterized by southwesterly, easterly, and calm winds in the morning. However, more than 80% of high-ozone days in the GSA were associated with calm winds and the concomitant accumulation of local emission in the morning, rather than being due to transport of ozone or its precursors. This is believed to be the primary reason why ozone concentrations in the GSA varied in a completely different manner even between adjacent monitoring stations. Several premises for initiating research studies for resolving these local variations of ozone concentrations in the GSA are also discussed.

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A Study on the Characteristics of Antecedent Meteorologic Conditions on High Ozone Days in Busan (부산지역 고농도 오존일의 선행 기상 특성 연구)

  • Do, Woo-Gon;Jung, Woo-Sik
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.993-1001
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    • 2015
  • Comparing to the other air pollutants like $SO_2$, CO, the number of exceedance of the ozone national ambient air quality standard(NAAQS) and the ozone warning increased recently in Busan. The purpose of this study is to find out the preliminary symptoms for high ozone days in Busan area. In order to find out the preliminary symptoms, the hourly ozone data at air quality monitoring stations and the hourly meterological parameters at Busan regional meteorological 2007 to 2013 were used for the analysis. Averaged daily max ozone concentration was the highest(0.055 ppm) at Noksan and Youngsuri in the ozone season from 2007 to 2013. The horizontal distributions of daily max. ozone including all stations in Busan at high ozone days(the day exceeding 0.1 ppm of ozone concentration at least one station) were classified from two to five clusters by hierarchial cluster analysis. The meteorological variables showing strong correlation with daily max. ozone were the daily mean dew point temperature, averaged total insolation, the daily mean relative humidity and the daily mean cloud amount. And the most frequent levels were $19-23^{\circ}C$ in dew point temperature, $21-24 MJ/m^2$ in total insolation on the day before, $2.6-3.0 MJ/m^2$ on the very day, 67-80% in relative humidity and 0-3 in cloud amount.

On the Recent Air Pollution Levels Observed in the Regional Air Monitoring Network -High Air Pollution Concentration Episodes and Their Meteorological Characteristics in 2002 (지역 대기질 측정망에 나타난 국내 대기오염도의 최근 동향 -2002년 고농도 사례 및 그 기상 특징)

  • Kim C.-H;Park I.-S;Lee S.-J;Kim J.-S;Jin H.-A;Sung H.-G
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.215-224
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    • 2004
  • We report the high concentration episodes for PM$_{10}$, SO$_2$, NO$_2$, and $O_3$ in many urban areas Korea during 2002. The high concentration episodes are identified based on the National Ambient Air Quality Standards and the observations obtained from the Regional Air Monitoring Network composed of approximately 160 air pollution monitoring stations located in a number of major or big cities in South Korea including Seoul, Pusan, Daegu, and Incheon cities. The results show that the twenty cases of high concentration episodes in 2002 consists of both ozone warning episodes (6 cases) and high PM$_{10}$ concentration cases (14 cases), and one half of the latter are found to occur in association with the Yellow Sand (Asian Dust) phenomena. The most outstanding characteristics of the reported episodes are the excessively high levels of maximum PM$_{10}$ concentrations during the Yellow Sand period (i.e., exceeding 3,000$\mu\textrm{g}$/㎥ in April, 2002) and their variable occurrence frequencies across seasons. The high ozone concentration episode days are mainly resulting from both the high photochemical reactions and poor ventilations. The high PM$_{10}$ concentration days during non Yellow Sand periods, however, mostly occurred under the influence of synoptic meteorological conditions such as stagnant or slowly passing high pressure centers, and consequently prevailing weak wind speeds over the Korean peninsula. The overall results of our study thus suggest the importance of both synoptic and local meteorological factors for high concentration levels in the major and/or big cities in Korea.n Korea.

Tropospheric Ozone over the Seoul Metropolitan Area Derived from Satellite Observations (MODIS) and Numerical Simulation (위성관측(MODIS)에서 유도된 수도권 지역의 대류권 오존 및 수치실험)

  • Yoo Jung-Moon;Park Yoo-Min;Lee Suk-Jo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.283-296
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    • 2005
  • The effect of ozone and surface temperature on the ozone band at $9.7{\mu}m$ has been investigated from radiative transfer theory together with observations in order to derive empirical methods for remotely sensing ground-ozone concentration. Simultaneous observations of satellite (MODIS Aqua; ECT 13:30) and ground-ozone at 79 stations have been used over the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA; 125.7-127.2 E, 37.2-37.7 N) during four ozone-warning days in the year 2003. Cloud effect on the band in the methods was filtered out based on synoptic observations. Upwelling radiance values at $9.6{\mu}m$ which have been estimated at the given ozone concentration of 327-391 DU depend on surface temperature (Ts) showing $5.52\~5.78Wm^{-2}sr^{-1}\;at\;Ts = 290 K,\;and\;9.00\~9.57Wm^{-2}sr^{-1}$ Ts = 325K. Thus, the partitioned contributions of ozone and temperature to intensity of ozone absorption band are $0.26Wm^{-1}sr^{-1}/64\;DU\;and\;0.31 Wm^{-2}sr^{-1}/35K$, respectively. Here the intensity which has been used to remotely detect ground-ozone concentration from infrared satellite measurement is defined as the difference in brightness temperature between $11{\mu} m\;and\;9.7{\mu}m (i.e.,\; T_{11-9.7})$. The methods in this study have been applied to estimate ground-ozone from MODIS data in cases that there are significant correlations between the band intensity and ground-ozone. The values of estimated ozone significantly correlate (0.49-0.63) with ground observations at a significance level of $1\%$. For the improved methods, further study may be required to use tropospheric ozone rather than ground-ozone, considering the variation stratospheric ozone.

A Study on the Development of Operable Models Predicting Tomorrow′s Maximum Hourly Concentrations of Air Pollutants in Seoul (현업운영 가능한 서울지역의 일 최고 대기오염도 예보모델 개발 연구)

  • 김용준
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.79-89
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    • 1997
  • In order to reduce the outbreaks of short-term high concentrations and its impacts, we developed the models which predicted tomorrow's maximum hourly concentrations of $O_3$, TSP, SO$_2$, NO$_2$ and CO. Statistical methods like multi regressions were used because it must be operated easily under the present conditions. 47 independent variables were used, which included observed concentrations of air pollutants, observed and forcasted meteorological data in 1994 at Seoul and its surrounding areas. We subdivided Seoul into 4 areas coinciding with the present ozone warning areas. 4 kinds of seasonal models were developed due to the seasonal variations of observed concentrations, and 2 kinds of data models for the unavailable case of forecasted meteorological data. By comparing the $R^2$and root mean square error(hearafter 'RMSE') of each model, we confirmed that the models including forecasted data showed higher accuracy than ones using observed only. It was also shown that the higher the seasonal mean concentrations, the larger the RMSE. There was no distinct difference between the results of 4 areal models. In case of test run using 1995's data, the models predicted well the trends of daily variation of concentrations and the days when the possibility of outbreak of high concentarion was high. This study showed that it was reasonable to use those models as operational ones, because the $R^2$ and RMSE of models were smaller than those of operational/research models such as in South Coast Air Basin, CA, USA.

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Comparison of Environmental Impacts of Green and Traditional Buildings using Life Cycle Assessment (전과정평가(LCA)를 이용한 친환경 인증 건축물과 일반 건축물의 환경영향 비교 사례 연구)

  • Hong, Taehoon;Jeong, Kwangbok;Ji, Changyoon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.58-65
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to understand the environmental impact reduction of green buildings that are certified by Green standard for energy and environmental design(G-SEED). To ensure this end, this study assessed and compared the environmental impacts(global warning, ozone layer depletion, acidification, and eutrophication) of a G-SEED-certified elementary school building(green building) and an uncertified elementary school building(traditional building) using the life cycle assessment methodology. This study considered the environmental impacts from the material manufacturing, material transportation, on-site construction, and operation during 40 years. The comparison of the environmental impact intensity of two buildings showed that the green building generated much more environmental impacts than the traditional building. For example, the global warming potential of the green building was approximately 12.5% higher than of the traditional building since the global warming potential of the green building was 3.751 $t-CO_2eq./m^2$ while that of the traditional building was 3.282 $t-CO_2eq./m^2$. It signifies that the G-SEED doesn't guarantee the reduction of the environmental impacts in terms of four impact categories. Therefore, the G-SEED should be complemented and improved to achieve the environmental impact reduction.