• Title/Summary/Keyword: overestimation

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Impact of Cumulus Parameterization Schemes on the Regional Climate Simulation for the Domain of CORDEX-East Asia Phase 2 Using WRF Model (WRF 모형의 적운 모수화 방안이 CORDEX 동아시아 2단계 지역의 기후 모의에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Yeon-Woo;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.105-118
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    • 2017
  • This study assesses the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in reproducing regional climate over CORDEX-East Asia Phase 2 domain with different cumulus parameterization schemes [Kain-Fritch (KF), Betts-Miller-Janjic (BM), and Grell-Devenyi-Ensemble (GD)]. The model is integrated for 27 months from January 1979 to March 1981 and the initial and boundary conditions are derived from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast Interim Reanalysis (ERA-Interim). The WRF model reasonably reproduces the temperature and precipitation characteristics over East Asia, but the regional scale responses are very sensitive to cumulus parameterization schemes. In terms of mean bias, WRF model with BM scheme shows the best performance in terms of summer/winter mean precipitation as well as summer mean temperature throughout the North East Asia. In contrast, the seasonal mean precipitation is generally overestimated (underestimated) by KF (GD) scheme. In addition, the seasonal variation of the temperature and precipitation is well simulated by WRF model, but with an overestimation in summer precipitation derived from KF experiment and with an underestimation in wet season precipitation from BM and GD schemes. Also, the frequency distribution of daily precipitation derived from KF and BM experiments (GD experiment) is well reproduced, except for the overestimation (underestimation) in the intensity range above (less) then $2.5mm\;d^{-1}$. In the case of the amount of daily precipitation, all experiments tend to underestimate (overestimate) the amount of daily precipitation in the low-intensity range < $4mm\;d^{-1}$ (high-intensity range > $12mm\;d^{-1}$). This type of error is largest in the KF experiment.

Structural Response of Offshore Plants to Risk-Based Blast Load

  • Heo, YeongAe
    • Architectural research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2013
  • Offshore oil and gas process plants are exposed to hazardous accidents such as explosion and fire, so that the structural components should resist such accidental loads. Given the possibilities of thousands of different scenarios for the occurrence of an accidental hazard, the best way to predict a reasonable size of a specific accidental load would be the employment of a probabilistic approach. Having the fact that a specific procedure for probabilistic accidental hazard analysis has not yet been established especially for explosion and fire hazards, it is widely accepted that engineers usually take simple and conservative figures in assuming uncertainties inherent in the procedure, resulting either in underestimation or more likely in overestimation in the topside structural design for offshore plants. The variation in the results of a probabilistic approach is determined by the assumptions accepted in the procedures of explosion probability computation, explosion analysis, and structural analysis. A design overpressure load for a sample offshore plant is determined according to the proposed probabilistic approach in this study. CFD analysis results using a Flame Acceleration Simulator, FLACS_v9.1, are utilized to create an overpressure hazard curve. Moreover, the negative impulse and frequency contents of a blast wave are considerably influencing structural responses, but those are completely ignored in a widely used triangular form of blast wave. An idealistic blast wave profile deploying both negative and positive pulses is proposed in this study. A topside process module and piperack with blast wall are 3D FE modeled for structural analysis using LS-DYNA. Three different types of blast wave profiles are applied, two of typical triangular forms having different impulse and the proposed load profile. In conclusion, it is found that a typical triangular blast load leads to overestimation in structural design.

Optimization of One-step Extraction/Methylation Method for Analysis of Fatty Acid Composition in Brown Rice

  • Cho, Kyoung-Shim;Kim, Hyun-Ju;Moon, Sang-Mi;Kang, Jung-Hoon;Lee, Young-Sang
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.89-94
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    • 2006
  • Traditionally fatty acid composition used to be analysed by a GC and the sample preparation process includes lipid extraction from sample and subsequent methyl esters preparation, which are time-consuming and cumbersome. As an alternative, simultaneous extraction/methylation methods are being developed for rapid and simplified sample preparation. To optimize one-step extraction/methylation method for analysis of fatty acid composition in brown rice, various reaction factors such as sample to reaction solution ratio, reaction time and temperature, shaking intensity were changed and resultant fatty acid composition data were evaluated in comparison with previous reports. The ratio of sample weight to reaction solution volume was the most critical factor in that higher sample to reaction solution ratio caused overestimation of palmitic acid and linoleic acid composition, resulting in underestimation of oleic acid. Lower reaction temperature also induced overestimation of linoleic acid and underestimation of oleic acid. Reaction duration and the intensity of shaking prior to and during the reaction, however, caused no significant changes in analysis results. In conclusion, the optimum condition was mixing 5 grains (about 0.2 g) of brown rice with $680{\mu}L$ of extraction/methylation mixture and $400{\mu}L$ of heptane, followed by reaction at $80^{\circ}C$ for 2 hours.

Worst Case Timing Analysis for DMA I/O Requests in Real-time Systems (실시간 시스템의 DMA I/O 요구를 위한 최악 시간 분석)

  • Hahn Joosun;Ha Rhan;Min Sang Lyul
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.148-159
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    • 2005
  • We propose a technique for finding the worst case response time (WCRT) of a DMA request that is needed in the schedulability analysis of a whole real-time system. The technique consists of three steps. In the first step, we find the worst case bus usage pattern of each CPU task. Then in the second step, we combine the worst case bus usage pattern of CPU tasks to construct the worst case bus usage pattern of the CPU. This second step considers not only the bus requests made by CPU tasks individually but also those due to preemptions among the CPU tasks. finally, in the third step, we use the worst case bus usage pattern of the CPU to derive the WCRT of DMA requests assuming the fixed-priority bus arbitration protocol. Experimental results show that overestimation of the DMA response time by the proposed technique is within $20\%$ for most DMA request sizes and that the percentage overestimation decreases as the DMA request size increases.

Baseline Correction in Computed Radiography Images with 1D Morphological Filter (CR 영상에서 기저선 보정을 위한 1차원 모폴로지컬 필터의 이용에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Gwon;Ryu, Yeunchul
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.397-405
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    • 2022
  • Computed radiography (CR) systems, which convert an analog signal recorded on a cassette into a digital image, combine the characteristics of analog and digital imaging systems. Compared to digital radiography (DR) systems, CR systems have presented difficulties in evaluating system performance because of their lower detective quantum efficiency, their lower signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), and lower modulation transfer function (MTF). During the step of energy-storing and reading out, a baseline offset occurs in the edge area and makes low-frequency overestimation. The low-frequency offset component in the line spread function (LSF) critically affects the MTF and other image-analysis or qualification processes. In this study, we developed the method of baseline correction using mathematical morphology to determine the LSF and MTF of CR systems accurately. We presented a baseline correction that used a morphological filter to effectively remove the low-frequency offset from the LSF. We also tried an MTF evaluation of the CR system to demonstrate the effectiveness of the baseline correction. The MTF with a 3-pixel structuring element (SE) fluctuated since it overestimated the low-frequency component. This overestimation led the algorithm to over-compensate in the low-frequency region so that high-frequency components appeared relatively strong. The MTFs with between 11- and 15-pixel SEs showed little variation. Compared to spatial or frequency filtering that eliminated baseline effects in the edge spread function, our algorithm performed better at precisely locating the edge position and the averaged LSF was narrower.

Simulation of Sea Water Response in Deukryang Bay to Typhoon Using the Princeton Ocean Model

  • Hong, Chul-Hoon
    • Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 1998
  • The Princeton ocean model (POM) with free surface in sigma-coordinate, governed by primitive equations, is used to examine the response of sea water in Deukryang Bay to a typhoon. The model reproduces reasonably well the main features in the wind-driven dynamics due to passing of a typhoon. In response to the wind, the coastal jet develops and the upwelling(or downwelling) occurs dominantly in both sides of the bay. This result implies that there should be an overturn in the bay water with the passing of typhoons. Numerical results of POM are also compared to those of a depth-averaged model. From the comparison, it is postulated that the bottom drag coefficient conventionally used for the two-dimensional flow models is inadequate due to overestimation of the computed current field.

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Fuzzy logic based estimation of effective lengths of columns in partially braced multi-storey frames

  • Menon, Devdas
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.287-299
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    • 2001
  • Columns in multi-storey frames are presently categorised as either braced or unbraced, usually by means of the stability index criterion, for estimating their effective length ratios by design aids such as 'alignment charts'. This procedure, however, ignores the transition in buckling behaviour between the braced condition and the unbraced one. Hence, this results in either an overestimation or an underestimation of effective length estimates of columns in frames that are in fact 'partially braced'. It is shown in this paper that the transitional behaviour is gradual, and can be approximately modelled by means of a 'fuzzy logic' based technique. The proposed technique is simple and intuitively agreeable. It fills the existing gap between the braced and unbraced conditions in present codal provisions.

Comparison of the Valuation of Technology Firms in KOSPI and KOSDAQ

  • Cho, Kee-Heon;Ko, Chang-Ryong
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.35-54
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to compare the valuation of technology firms in the KOSPI and KOSDAQ. This study analyzed 224 market reports for KOSDAQ firms and 602 reports for KOSPI firms. We compare the two markets under 3 definitions on the accuracy of stock price forecasting. Findings are as follows: Although PER multiples is the most used method of valuation, KOSDAQ valuation more heavily relies on the method than KOSPI valuation. In stock market, the period of earnings forecasting is mostly 2-3 years. Multiples of KOSDAQ is generally higher than those of KOSPI. Even for technology firms, valuation in KOSPI mostly relies on earnings of the company, but that in KOSDAQ mostly relies on relative price. In stock price forecasting, generally overestimation prevails. Moreover, forecasting of KOSPI reports is more accurate than that of KOSDAQ reports. ROE and COE of KOSDAQ firms are generally higher than those of KOSPI firms.

Nonlinear Analysis of RC Beams Considering Fixed-End Rotation due to Bond-Slip (부착슬립에 의한 강체변형을 고려한 철근콘크리트 보의 비선형해석)

  • Kwak Hyo-Gyoung;Kim Sun-Pil
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.456-463
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    • 2005
  • An analytical procedure to analyze reinforced concrete (RC) beams subject to monotonic loadings is proposed on the basis of the moment-curvature relations of RC sections. Unlike previous analytical models which result the overestimation of stiffnesses and underestimation of structural deformations induced from ignoring the shear deformation and assuming perfect-bond condition between steel and concrete, the proposed relation considers the rigid-body-motion due to anchorage slip at the fixed end. The advantages of the proposed relation, compared with the previous numerical models, are on the promotion in effectiveness of analysis and reflection of influencing factors which must be considered in nonlinear analysis of RC beam by taking into account the nonlinear effects into the simplifying moment-curvature relation. Finally, correlation studies between analytical and experimental results are conducted to establish the applicability of the proposed model to the nonlinear analysis of RC structures.

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A Parametric Study on Vibration Comfort Analysis of Bridge using Moving Load Method (교량의 진동안락도 평가를 위한 이동하중해석법 매개변수 분석)

  • Lee, Yong;Kim, Jae-Min;Chung, Keun-Young
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.350-355
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    • 2008
  • This paper addresses vibration comfort evaluation on suspension bridge subjected to moving vehicles. The moving load method is commonly employed for the analysis, even though it is less accurate than the moving mass approach which considers vehicle-bridge interaction effects and roughness of the pavement. In this study, a parametric study on modeling method by means of the moving load technique, such as the number of modes included in the analysis, types of moving loads, and length of the stiffening girder, is carried out. The numerical result indicated that use of the triangular pulse load may result in significant overestimation on vibration discomfortness.

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