• Title/Summary/Keyword: operational estimation

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A note on $C^{pk}$ index estimation using fuzzy numbers

  • Hong, Dug-Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2002.12a
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    • pp.20-21
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    • 2002
  • Recently, Lee[European J. Operational Research 129(2001) 682-688] calculated standard deviation of fuzzy numbers in order to obtain the membership function of the process capacity index (PCI) $C^{pk}$. In this note, we show that his result is not valid.

How does the Operational Value Affect the Determination of Initial Fees in Franchise Restaurant Businesses? Based on a Value-Based Pricing Strategy (프랜차이즈 외식기업의 운영적 가치가 초기가맹비용결정에 미치는 영향: 가치기반 가격결정전략을 기반으로)

  • Seung Hyun KIM;Kyung A SUN
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.35-50
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aims to uncover the mechanism of how initial fees are determined in the restaurant franchise business. Since the initial fees can be considered as a price of utilizing business models and operational knowledge of a certain franchise brand, it is critical to understand the fee decision-making process based on the strategic pricing theories. Therefore, this study investigates the influence of operational value on the determination of initial franchise fees grounded on a value-based pricing strategy. The Operational value is specifically categorized into profitability, growth, and stability of the franchise system. Research design, data, and methodology: The data used were collected through franchise disclosure documents and brand equity index provided by Korea Management Association Consulting. Data from 44 franchise restaurants during 2018 to 2021 are included in the sample. The panel dataset was analyzed by using generalized least squares estimation with R-Studio. Results: Profitability and stability positively influence initial franchise fees. However, growth did not influence initial franchise fees. Conclusions: The results of the study demonstrate that the operational value plays a critical role in determining the franchise fees. Specifically, franchisees recognize how much revenue a franchise system generates for them (i.e., profitability) and how stable the entire system is for operating business (i.e., stability) when they make purchasing decisions for franchise. The findings extend the pricing literature by applying pricing theories in the franchise fee context. Also, the study contributes to franchising and restaurant management literature by providing knowledge of how franchise fees are determined.

Collapse mechanism estimation of a historical slender minaret

  • Nohutcu, H.;Hokelekli, E.;Ercan, E.;Demir, A.;Altintas, G.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.64 no.5
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    • pp.653-660
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    • 2017
  • The aim of this study is to accurately estimate seismic damage and the collapse mechanism of the historical stone masonry minaret "Hafsa Sultan", which was built in 1522. Surveying measurements and material tests were conducted to obtain a 3D solid model and the mechanical properties of the components of the minaret. The initial Finite Element (FE) model is analyzed and numerical dynamic characteristics of the minaret are obtained. The Operational Modal Analysis (OMA) method is conducted to obtain the experimental dynamic characteristics of the minaret and the initial FE model is calibrated by using the experimental results. Then, linear time history (LTH) and nonlinear time history (NLTH) analyses are carried out on the calibrated FE model by using two different ground motions. Iron clamps which used as connection element between the stones of the minaret considerably increase the tensile strength of the masonry system. The Concrete Damage Plasticity (CDP) model is selected in the nonlinear analyses in ABAQUS. The analyses conducted indicate that the results of the linear analyses are not as realistic as the nonlinear analysis results when compared with existing damage.

A Study on the Development of the Optimal Capacity Estimation Algorithm of Intergrated Energy Facilities Based on Operating Conditions (운용상태를 고려한 집단에너지설비의 최적용량 산정 알고리즘의 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Chang Sik;Song, Myung Ho;Yeom, Jee hoon;Shin, Jungyull
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.94-102
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to propose a method for optimizing heat generation facilities to maximize revenue by investigating their operational status during times of maximum heat demand for district heating. Based on the derived result, this study also proposes a method for determining a given power plant's optimal equipment, such as combined heat and power plant(CHP), peak load boilers (PLB), heat accumulators, and so on, depending on heat demand and facility capacities. It also offers a guide for how to operate facilities more economically by considering the operational status of district heating companies.

Climate Change-Induced Physical Risks' Impact on Korean Commercial Banks and Property Insurance Companies in the Long Run (기후변화의 위험이 시중은행과 손해보험에 장기적으로 미치는 영향)

  • Seiwan Kim
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.107-121
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    • 2024
  • In this study, we empirically analyzed the impact of physical risks due to climate change on the soundness and operational performance of the financial industry by combining economics and climatology. Particularly, unlike previous studies, we employed the Seasonal-Trend decomposition using LOESS (STL) method to extract trends of climate-related risk variables and economic-financial variables, conducting a two-stage empirical analysis. In the first stage estimation, we found that the delinquency rate and the Bank for International Settlement (BIS) ratio of commercial banks have significant negative effects on the damage caused by natural disasters, frequency of heavy rainfall, average temperature, and number of typhoons. On the other hand, for insurance companies, the damage from natural disasters, frequency of heavy rainfall, frequency of heavy snowfall, and annual average temperature have significant negative effects on return on assets (ROA) and the risk-based capital ratio (RBC). In the second stage estimation, based on the first stage results, we predicted the soundness and operational performance indicators of commercial banks and insurance companies until 2035. According to the forecast results, the delinquency rate of commercial banks is expected to increase steadily until 2035 under assumption that recent years' trend continues until 2035. It indicates that banks' managerial risk can be seriously worsened from climate change. Also the BIS ratio is expected to decrease which also indicates weakening safety buffer against climate risks over time. Additionally, the ROA of insurance companies is expected to decrease, followed by an increase in the RBC, and then a subsequent decrease.

Radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimation using Long Short-Term Memory Networks

  • Thi, Linh Dinh;Yoon, Seong-Sim;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.183-183
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    • 2020
  • Accurate quantitative precipitation estimation plays an important role in hydrological modelling and prediction. Instantaneous quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) by utilizing the weather radar data is a great applicability for operational hydrology in a catchment. Previously, regression technique performed between reflectivity (Z) and rain intensity (R) is used commonly to obtain radar QPEs. A novel, recent approaching method which might be applied in hydrological area for QPE is Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks. LSTM networks is a development and evolution of Recurrent Neuron Networks (RNNs) method that overcomes the limited memory capacity of RNNs and allows learning of long-term input-output dependencies. The advantages of LSTM compare to RNN technique is proven by previous works. In this study, LSTM networks is used to estimate the quantitative precipitation from weather radar for an urban catchment in South Korea. Radar information and rain-gauge data are used to evaluate and verify the estimation. The estimation results figure out that LSTM approaching method shows the accuracy and outperformance compared to Z-R relationship method. This study gives us the high potential of LSTM and its applications in urban hydrology.

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A Study on the Repair Parts Inventory Cost Estimation and V-METRIC Application for PBL Contract (PBL 계약을 위한 수리부속 재고비용 예측과 V-METRIC의 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yoon Hwa;Lee, Sung Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2017
  • For the PBL contract, it is necessary for the contracting parties to share information regarding the reasonable inventory-level and the cost of its repair parts for the estimated demand. There are various models which can be used for this purpose. Among them, V-METRIC model is considered to be the most efficient and is most frequently applied. However, this model is usually used for optimizing the inventory level of the repair parts of the system under operation. The model uses a time series forecast model to determine the demand rate, which is a mandatory input factor for the model, based on past field data. However, since the system at the deployment stage has no operational performance record, it is necessary to find another alternative to be used as the demand rate of the model application. This research applies the V-METRIC model to find the optimal inventory level and cost estimation for repairable items to meet the target operational availability, which is a key performance indicator, at the time of the PBL contract for the deployment system. This study uses the calculated value based on the allocated MTBF to the system as the demand rate, which is used as input data for the model. Also, we would like to examine changes in inventory level and cost according to the changes in target operational availability and MTBF allocation.

5-axis Milling Machining Time Estimation based on Machine Characteristics (기계 특성에 근거한 5축 밀링가공 시간의 예측)

  • So, B.S.;Jung, Y.H.;Jeong, H.J.
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we present a machining time estimation algorithm for 5-axis high-speed machining. Estimation of machining time plays an important role in process planning and production scheduling of a shop. In contrast to the rapid evolution of machine tools and controllers, machining time calculation is still based on simple algorithms of tool path length divided by input feedrates of NC data, with some additional factors from experience. We propose an algorithm based on 5-axis machine behavior in order to predict machining time more exactly. For this purpose, we first investigated the operational characteristics of 5-axis machines. Then, we defined some dominant factors, including feed angle that is an independent variable for machining speed. With these factors, we have developed a machining time calculation algorithm that has a good accuracy not only in 3-axis machining, but also in 5-axis high-speed machining.

Accurate Section Loading Estimation Method Based on Voltage Measurement Error Compensation in Distribution Systems (배전선로에서 전압측정치의 오차보정을 통한 정확한 구간부하 추정 방법)

  • Park, Jaehyeong;Jeon, CheolWoo;Lim, Seongil
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2016
  • Operational applications such as service restoration, voltage control and protection coordination are calculated based on the active and reactive power loading of the sections in the distribution networks. Loadings of the sections are estimated using the voltage and current measured from the automatic switches deployed along the primary feeders. But, due to the characteristics of the potential transformer attached to the switches, accuracy of the voltage magnitude is not acceptable to be used for section loading calculation. This paper proposes a new accurate section loading estimation method through voltage measurement error compensation by calculating voltage drop of the distribution line. In order to establish feasibility of the proposed method, various case studies based on Matlab simulation have been performed.

A Feasibility Study on Estimation of the Deformation of Rubber Bush in Vehicles Using Acceleration and Displacement Signals on the Links (가속도계 및 변위계를 이용한 차량용 고무부시의 변형량 추정 가능성 연구)

  • Song, Seung-ho;Kim, Kwang-joon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.827-835
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    • 2016
  • Ride comfort of a vehicle is often determined by rubber bushes in suspension system. If transmission forces versus deformations across the bushes are available under operational conditions, improvement of the ride comfort could be done with more ease. Recently, the transmission forces are measured using custom-made force transducers inside the links. This study presents a feasibility study on estimation of the rubber bush deformations using vibration signals on the rigid links. Linear variable displacement transducers as well as piezoelectric accelerometers are used to expand frequency range to very low frequency, which cannot be done with accelerometers only. How to estimate the bush deformation from the two vibration signals on the links are presented together with experimental results.