• 제목/요약/키워드: operational estimation

검색결과 304건 처리시간 0.037초

유도무기 시스템의 운용 신뢰도 분석 (Operational Reliability Analysis of Guided Weapon Systems)

  • 하주석;김경모
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2017
  • 유도무기체계는 어떤 장비보다도 신뢰성이 가장 중요시 된다. 그러나 제작비용이 고가여서 생산수량이 적고, 배치 후 운용 데이터 획득까지 장기간이 소요되어 주로 개발단계의 신뢰성 예측자료가 활용된다. 개발단계의 신뢰성 예측은 실제 운용환경을 모두 반영하는데 한계가 있어 실제 운용환경에서의 신뢰성 분석이 필요하였다. 본 연구에서는 국내개발 유도무기에 대한 실제 운용 데이터를 활용하여 수명분포를 추정하고, 최소제곱법과 최우추정법을 적용하여 신뢰도 값을 추정하였다. 또한, 개발단계에서 예측된 신뢰도 값과 실제 운용신뢰도 값을 비교하였다. 본 연구 결과로 볼 때 실제 유도무기의 신뢰도는 예측된 값보다 높게 나타났으며, 이는 최신 설계기술의 적용 및 향상된 부품의 신뢰도 값이 예측 데이터에 반영되지 못한 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구를 통해 국내개발 유도무기에 대한 실제 운용 신뢰도를 확인할 수 있었으며, 향후 개발될 유도무기의 신뢰도 분석 연구 활동에 기여 할 것으로 기대된다.

10 kW급 수직축 풍력터빈에 대한 구조물 동적응답 계측 및 분석 (Dynamic Response Measurements and Analysis on a 10 kW Class Vertical Axis Wind Turbine)

  • 이진학;김원술;한택희;임승률
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2017
  • The dynamic characteristics including natural frequencies and excitation frequencies are evaluated for a small 10 kW vertical axis wind turbine. Acceleration responses were measured at 12 distributed locations for impact vibration tests, ambient vibration tests during non-operational and operational conditions, and braking tests during operational condition. The natural frequencies for the lowest 2 bending modes and the first torsional mode were estimated and also the excitation frequencies, i.e. 1P, 2P, 4P, were also estimated according to the rotational speed using the responses under operational conditions (i.e. power generation condition).

Damage detection and localization on a benchmark cable-stayed bridge

  • Domaneschi, Marco;Limongelli, Maria Pina;Martinelli, Luca
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.1113-1126
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    • 2015
  • A damage localization algorithm based on Operational Deformed Shapes and known as Interpolation Damage Detection Method, is herein applied to the finite element model of a cable stayed bridge for detecting and localizing damages in the stays and the supporting steel beams under the bridge deck. Frequency Response Functions have been calculated basing on the responses of the bridge model to low intensity seismic excitations and used to recover the Operational Deformed Shapes both in the transversal and in the vertical direction. The analyses have been carried in the undamaged configuration and repeated in several different damaged configurations. Results show that the method is able to detect the damage and its correct location, provided an accurate estimation of the Operational Deformed Shapes is available. Furthermore, the damage detection algorithm results effective also when damages coexist at the same time at several location of the cable-stayed bridge members.

조건부가치측정모형의 최소절대편차추정 (The Least Absolute Deviations Estimation of the Contingent Valuation Model)

  • 김동일
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.515-545
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    • 2001
  • This paper introduces the least absolute deviations estimation of the contingent valuation model, which corresponds to the semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models by Manski (1975, 1985) and Lee (1992). The least absolute deviations estimation is more robust to mis-specified distributional assumptions in the estimation of the contingent valuation model, compared to the maximum likelihood estimation. The full identification and strong consistency of the estimation are proved and its application to different formats of contingent valuation survey data is discussed. Simulation studies are designed to evaluate its operational characteristics including computational strategies, small sample properties and the efficiency gain of a follow-up question. The bias and efficiency of least absolute deviations and maximum likelihood estimation are compared in the presence of heteroskedasticity.

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수위관측과 수리학적 하도추적에 의한 하천유량 간접추정 (Stream Discharge Estimation by Hydraulic Channel Routing and Stage Measurement)

  • 이상호;강신욱
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.543-549
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    • 2001
  • 수리학적 하도추적으로부터 하천유량을 간접추정하였다. 짧은 하천구간의 세 지점 연속수위자료와 하천 단면 자료만을 사용하여 조도계수 추정b과 하천유량 계산이 가능하였다. 유량의 간접추정 과정에서, 상류-하류 경계조건을 수위-수위 조건으로 사용하였다. 미국 미시시피 강의 상류 구간 자료가 사용되었고 수리학적 하도추적에는 DWO-PER (operational dynamic wave model)를 이용하였다. DWOPER 모형에서 수정 Newton-Raphson법에 의한 조도계수 추정과정을 개선하기 위하여 SCE-UA 전역최적화 기법을 적용하였으며, SCE-UA 기법의 결과가 적은 오차를 보였다. 특정 홍수에 대하여 유량을 추정한 결과, 몇 개를 제외한 대부분의 계산유량이 10% 이내의 오차를 보였다.

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Operation load estimation of chain-like structures using fiber optic strain sensors

  • Derkevorkian, Armen;Pena, Francisco;Masri, Sami F.;Richards, W. Lance
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.385-396
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    • 2017
  • The recent advancements in sensing technologies allow us to record measurements from target structures at multiple locations and with relatively high spatial resolution. Such measurements can be used to develop data-driven methodologies for condition assessment, control, and health monitoring of target structures. One of the state-of-the-art technologies, Fiber Optic Strain Sensors (FOSS), is developed at NASA Armstrong Flight Research Center, and is based on Fiber Bragg Grating (FBG) sensors. These strain sensors are accurate, lightweight, and can provide almost continuous strain-field measurements along the length of the fiber. The strain measurements can then be used for real-time shape-sensing and operational load-estimation of complex structural systems. While several works have demonstrated the successful implementation of FOSS on large-scale real-life aerospace structures (i.e., airplane wings), there is paucity of studies in the literature that have investigated the potential of extending the application of FOSS into civil structures (e.g., tall buildings, bridges, etc.). This work assesses the feasibility of using FOSS to predict operational loads (e.g., wind loads) on chain-like structures. A thorough investigation is performed using analytical, computational, and experimental models of a 4-story steel building test specimen, developed at the University of Southern California. This study provides guidelines on the implementation of the FOSS technology on building-like structures, addresses the associated technical challenges, and suggests potential modifications to a load-estimation algorithm, to achieve a robust methodology for predicting operational loads using strain-field measurements.

Air-Data Estimation for Air-Breathing Hypersonic Vehicles

  • Kang, Bryan-Heejin
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 1999
  • An air-data estimator for generic air-breathing hypersonic vehicles (AHSVs) is developed and demonstrated with an example vehicle configuration. The AHSV air-data estimation strategy emphasized improvement of the angle of attack estimate accuracy to a degree necessitated by the stringent operational requirements of the air-breathing propulsion. the resulting estimation problem involves highly nonlinear diffusion process (propagation); consequently, significant distortion of a posteriori conditional density is suspected. A simulation based statistical analysis tool is developed to characterize the nonlinear diffusion process. The statistical analysis results indicate that the diffusion process preserves the symmetry and unimodality of initial probability density shape state variables, and provide the basis for applicability of an Extended Kalman Filter (EKF). An EKF is designed for the AHSV air-data system and the air data estimation capabilities are demonstrated.

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Parameter Estimation of The Distributed System via Improved Block Pulse Coefficients Estimation

  • Kim, Tai-hoon;Shim, Jae-sun
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2002년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.61.6-61
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    • 2002
  • In these days, Block Pulse functions are used in a variety of fields such as the analysis and controller design of the systems. In applying the Block Pulse function technique to control and systems science, the integral operation of the Block Pulse series plays important roles. This is because differential equations are always involved in the representations of continuous-time models of dynamic systems, and differential operations are always approximated by the corresponding Block Pulse series through integration operational matrices. In order to apply the Block Pulse function technique to the problems of continuous-time dynamic systems more efficiently, it is necessary to find th...

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시뮬레이션을 이용한 ATM 교환기 연결 절단율 추정 연구 (The Estimation of Cutoff Connection Rates on the ATM Switching System Using Simulation)

  • 정명기
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 1997
  • A simulation model for the estimation of cutoff connection rate in the asynchronous transfer mode (ATM) switching system under multimedia traffic environments is presented. The simulator is developed by the integration of the AweSim tool with user-written C++ routines that model the internal structures of operational details of the switching system. For the case study, the simulator is applied to the ATM switching system developed by Electronics and Telecommunications Research Institute (ETRI) to compare design alternatives according to the cutoff connection rates.

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주문형 소프트웨어의 운영단계 신뢰도에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Operational Stage Reliability of Dedicated Software)

  • 최규식
    • 정보처리학회논문지D
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    • 제10D권5호
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    • pp.837-844
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    • 2003
  • 소프트웨어를 개발하여 출시하기 전에 품질을 향상시키는 중요한 방법으로서 신뢰도를 향상시켜야 하며, 이의 직접적인 방법으로서는 테스트를 통하여 결함을 검출하고 수정해가는 것이다. 신뢰도가 목표치에 도달하면 이를 출시(release)하게 되며, 그 후로는 운영중의 신뢰도 문제가 발생하게 된다. 개발 출시된 소프트웨어가 패키지 소프트웨어라 불리는 범용 소프트웨어냐, 아니면 특수목적을 가진 전용 소프트웨어냐에 따라 운영 소프트웨어의 신뢰도 추이가 달라진다. 또한, 개발 테스트 단계의 테스트 노력이 일정하냐, 아니면 웨이불 곡선을 따르냐에 따라서도 신뢰 도 평가가 다르다. 본 논문에서는 주문형 소프트웨어에 대해서 일정 테스트 노력을 적용하는 경우와 웨이불 테스트 노력을 적용하는 경우의 운영단계 신뢰도 추이에 대해서 연구한다.