• Title/Summary/Keyword: network traffic prediction

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Intrusion Detection Scheme Using Traffic Prediction for Wireless Industrial Networks

  • Wei, Min;Kim, Kee-Cheon
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.310-318
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    • 2012
  • Detecting intrusion attacks accurately and rapidly in wireless networks is one of the most challenging security problems. Intrusion attacks of various types can be detected by the change in traffic flow that they induce. Wireless industrial networks based on the wireless networks for industrial automation-process automation (WIA-PA) standard use a superframe to schedule network communications. We propose an intrusion detection system for WIA-PA networks. After modeling and analyzing traffic flow data by time-sequence techniques, we propose a data traffic prediction model based on autoregressive moving average (ARMA) using the time series data. The model can quickly and precisely predict network traffic. We initialized the model with data traffic measurements taken by a 16-channel analyzer. Test results show that our scheme can effectively detect intrusion attacks, improve the overall network performance, and prolong the network lifetime.

Temperature distribution prediction in longitudinal ballastless slab track with various neural network methods

  • Hanlin Liu;Wenhao Yuan;Rui Zhou;Yanliang Du;Jingmang Xu;Rong Chen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.83-99
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    • 2023
  • The temperature prediction approaches of three important locations in an operational longitudinal slab track-bridge structure by using three typical neural network methods based on the field measuring platform of four meteorological factors and internal temperature. The measurement experiment of four meteorological factors (e.g., ambient temperature, solar radiation, wind speed, and humidity) temperature in the three locations of the longitudinal slab and base plate of three important locations (e.g., mid-span, beam end, and Wide-Narrow Joint) were conducted, and then their characteristics were analyzed, respectively. Furthermore, temperature prediction effects of three locations under five various meteorological conditions are tested by using three neural network methods, respectively, including the Artificial Neural Network (ANN), the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). More importantly, the predicted effects of solar radiation in four meteorological factors could be identified with three indicators (e.g., Root Means Square Error, Mean Absolute Error, Correlation Coefficient of R2). In addition, the LSTM method shows the best performance, while the CNN method has the best prediction effect by only considering a single meteorological factor.

Traffic Flow Prediction with Spatio-Temporal Information Fusion using Graph Neural Networks

  • Huijuan Ding;Giseop Noh
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.88-97
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    • 2023
  • Traffic flow prediction is of great significance in urban planning and traffic management. As the complexity of urban traffic increases, existing prediction methods still face challenges, especially for the fusion of spatiotemporal information and the capture of long-term dependencies. This study aims to use the fusion model of graph neural network to solve the spatio-temporal information fusion problem in traffic flow prediction. We propose a new deep learning model Spatio-Temporal Information Fusion using Graph Neural Networks (STFGNN). We use GCN module, TCN module and LSTM module alternately to carry out spatiotemporal information fusion. GCN and multi-core TCN capture the temporal and spatial dependencies of traffic flow respectively, and LSTM connects multiple fusion modules to carry out spatiotemporal information fusion. In the experimental evaluation of real traffic flow data, STFGNN showed better performance than other models.

Accurate Prediction of Real-Time MPEG-4 Variable Bit Rate Video Traffic

  • Lee, Kang-Yong;Kim, Moon-Seong;Jang, Hee-Seon;Cho, Kee-Seong
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.823-825
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    • 2007
  • In this letter, we propose a novel algorithm to predict MPEG-coded real-time variable bit rate (VBR) video traffic. From the frame size measurement, the algorithm extracts the statistical property of video traffic and utilizes it for the prediction of the next frame for I-, P-, and B- frames. The simulation results conducted with real-world MPEG-4 VBR video traces show that the proposed algorithm is capable of providing more accurate prediction than those in the research literature.

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ABR Traffic Control Using Feedback Information and Algorithm

  • Lee, Kwang-Ok;Son, Young-Su;Kim, Hyeon-ju;Bae, Sang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.236-242
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    • 2003
  • ATM ABR service controls network traffic using feedback information on the network congestion situation in order to guarantee the demanded service qualities and the available cell rates. In this paper we apply the control method using queue length prediction to the formation of feedback information for more efficient ABR traffic control. If backward node receive the longer delayed feedback information on the impending congestion, the switch can be already congested from the uncontrolled arriving traffic and the fluctuation of queue length can be inefficiently high in the continuing time intervals. The feedback control method proposed in this paper predicts the queue length in the switch using the slope of queue length prediction function and queue length changes in time-series. The predicted congestion information is backward to the node. NLMS and neural network are used as the predictive control functions, and they are compared from performance on the queue length prediction. Simulation results show the efficiency of the proposed method compared to the feedback control method without the prediction. Therefore, we conclude that the efficient congestion and stability of the queue length controls are possible using the prediction scheme that can resolve the problems caused from the longer delays of the feedback information.

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Real-Time Streaming Traffic Prediction Using Deep Learning Models Based on Recurrent Neural Network (순환 신경망 기반 딥러닝 모델들을 활용한 실시간 스트리밍 트래픽 예측)

  • Jinho, Kim;Donghyeok, An
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the demand and traffic volume for various multimedia contents are rapidly increasing through real-time streaming platforms. In this paper, we predict real-time streaming traffic to improve the quality of service (QoS). Statistical models have been used to predict network traffic. However, since real-time streaming traffic changes dynamically, we used recurrent neural network-based deep learning models rather than a statistical model. Therefore, after the collection and preprocessing for real-time streaming data, we exploit vanilla RNN, LSTM, GRU, Bi-LSTM, and Bi-GRU models to predict real-time streaming traffic. In evaluation, the training time and accuracy of each model are measured and compared.

Network Routing by Traffic Prediction on Time Series Models (시계열 모형의 트래픽 예측에 기반한 네트워크 라우팅)

  • Jung, Sang-Joon;Chung, Youn-Ky;Kim, Chong-Gun
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.433-442
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    • 2005
  • An increase In traffic has a large Influence on the performance of a total network. Therefore, traffic management has become an important issue of network management. In this paper, we propose a new routing algorithm that attempts to analyze network conditions using time series prediction models and to propose predictive optimal routing decisions. Traffic congestion is assumed when the predicting result is bigger than the permitted bandwidth. By collecting traffic in real network, the predictable model is obtained when it minimizes statistical errors. In order to predict network traffic based on time series models, we assume that models satisfy a stationary assumption. The stationary assumption can be evaluated by using ACF(Auto Correlation Function) and PACF(Partial Auto Correlation Function). We can obtain the result of these two functions when it satisfies the stationary assumption. We modify routing oaths by predicting traffic in order to avoid traffic congestion through experiments. As a result, Predicting traffic and balancing load by modifying paths allows us to avoid path congestion and increase network performance.

Migration and Energy Aware Network Traffic Prediction Method Based on LSTM in NFV Environment

  • Ying Hu;Liang Zhu;Jianwei Zhang;Zengyu Cai;Jihui Han
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.896-915
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    • 2023
  • The network function virtualization (NFV) uses virtualization technology to separate software from hardware. One of the most important challenges of NFV is the resource management of virtual network functions (VNFs). According to the dynamic nature of NFV, the resource allocation of VNFs must be changed to adapt to the variations of incoming network traffic. However, the significant delay may be happened because of the reallocation of resources. In order to balance the performance between delay and quality of service, this paper firstly made a compromise between VNF migration and energy consumption. Then, the long short-term memory (LSTM) was utilized to forecast network traffic. Also, the asymmetric loss function for LSTM (LO-LSTM) was proposed to increase the predicted value to a certain extent. Finally, an experiment was conducted to evaluate the performance of LO-LSTM. The results demonstrated that the proposed LO-LSTM can not only reduce migration times, but also make the energy consumption increment within an acceptable range.

Development of Traffic Congestion Prediction Module Using Vehicle Detection System for Intelligent Transportation System (ITS를 위한 차량검지시스템을 기반으로 한 교통 정체 예측 모듈 개발)

  • Sin, Won-Sik;Oh, Se-Do;Kim, Young-Jin
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.349-356
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    • 2010
  • The role of Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) is to efficiently manipulate the traffic flow and reduce the cost in logistics by using the state of the art technologies which combine telecommunication, sensor, and control technology. Especially, the hardware part of ITS is rapidly adapting to the up-to-date techniques in GPS and telematics to provide essential raw data to the controllers. However, the software part of ITS needs more sophisticated techniques to take care of vast amount of on-line data to be analyzed by the controller for their decision makings. In this paper, the authors develop a traffic congestion prediction model based on several different parameters from the sensory data captured in the Vehicle Detection System (VDS). This model uses the neural network technology in analyzing the traffic flow and predicting the traffic congestion in the designated area. This model also validates the results by analyzing the errors between actual traffic data and prediction program.

Development of Hazard-Level Forecasting Model using Combined Method of Genetic Algorithm and Artificial Neural Network at Signalized Intersections (유전자 알고리즘과 신경망 이론의 결합에 의한 신호교차로 위험도 예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Joong-Hyo;Shin, Jae-Man;Park, Je-Jin;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.4D
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    • pp.351-360
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    • 2010
  • In 2010, the number of registered vehicles reached almost at 17.48 millions in Korea. This dramatic increase of vehicles influenced to increase the number of traffic accidents which is one of the serious social problems and also to soar the personal and economic losses in Korea. Through this research, an enhanced intersection hazard prediction model by combining Genetic Algorithm and Artificial Neural Network will be developed in order to obtain the important data for developing the countermeasures of traffic accidents and eventually to reduce the traffic accidents in Korea. Firstly, this research has investigated the influencing factors of road geometric features on the traffic volume of each approaching for the intersections where traffic accidents and congestions frequently take place and, a linear regression model of traffic accidents and traffic conflicts were developed by examining the relationship between traffic accidents and traffic conflicts through the statistical significance tests. Secondly, this research also developed an intersection hazard prediction model by combining Genetic Algorithm and Artificial Neural Network through applying the intersection traffic volume, the road geometric features and the specific variables of traffic conflicts. Lastly, this research found out that the developed model is better than the existed forecasting models in terms of the reliability and accuracy by comparing the actual number of traffic accidents and the predicted number of accidents from the developed model. In conclusion, it is expect that the cost/effectiveness of any traffic safety improvement projects can be maximized if this developed intersection hazard prediction model by combining Genetic Algorithm and Artificial Neural Network use practically at field in the future.