• Title/Summary/Keyword: negative binomial analysis

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The Role of Negative Binomial Sampling In Determining the Distribution of Minimum Chi-Square

  • Hamdy H.I.;Bentil Daniel E.;Son M.S.
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2007
  • The distributions of the minimum correlated F-variable arises in many applied statistical problems including simultaneous analysis of variance (SANOVA), equality of variance, selection and ranking populations, and reliability analysis. In this paper, negative binomial sampling technique is employed to derive the distributions of the minimum of chi-square variables and hence the distributions of the minimum correlated F-variables. The work presented in this paper is divided in two parts. The first part is devoted to develop some combinatorial identities arised from the negative binomial sampling. These identities are constructed and justified to serve important purpose, when we deal with these distributions or their characteristics. Other important results including cumulants and moments of these distributions are also given in somewhat simple forms. Second, the distributions of minimum, chisquare variable and hence the distribution of the minimum correlated F-variables are then derived within the negative binomial sampling framework. Although, multinomial theory applied to order statistics and standard transformation techniques can be used to derive these distributions, the negative binomial sampling approach provides more information regarding the nature of the relationship between the sampling vehicle and the probability distributions of these functions of chi-square variables. We also provide an algorithm to compute the percentage points of the distributions. The computation methods we adopted are exact and no interpolations are involved.

Ex-ante and Ex-post Economic Value Analysis on Ecological River Restoration Project (생태하천복원사업 전후 경제적 가치 비교분석)

  • Lee, Yoon;Chang, Hoon;Yoon, Taeyeon;Chung, Young-Keun;Park, Heeyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.39-54
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    • 2015
  • To assess an economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project, an in-depth exit survey data was collected to apply travel cost method in this study. Poisson model, Negative Binomial, Zero-truncated Poisson, and Zero-truncated Negative Binomial model were executed due to the nature of count data. Empirical results showed that regressors were statistically significant and corresponded to general consumer theory. Since our survey data showed over-dispersion, Zero-truncated Negative Binomial was selected as an optimal one to analyze travel demand of Cheonggyecheon by model goodness of fit test among those aforementioned empirical models. Estimating an economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project, which is known as an ecological river restoration project, we used annual visit of individual traveler and an optimal model. Suffice to say that the annual economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project was estimated as 193.4 billion won in 2013.

A Study on the Determinants of Drinking Demand and Expenditure of College Students

  • Lee, Seung-gil
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.215-224
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the factors that affect college students' drinking needs and spending. An analysis model to estimate the determinants affecting drinking needs was applied with a truncated Poisson model and a truncated negative binomial model. Tests to select more appropriate models of the two types were made using the comparison of log-likelihood function and the over-dispersion test. The analysis result was interpreted by applying the truncated negative binomial model as the truncated Poisson model showed over-dispersion. We also applied the Tobit model to analyze the determinantsthat affect college students' expenditure on drinking. According to the analysis, gender, grade, allowance and parental occupation were the factors influencing statistics, and gender, type of household income, and student religion were the factors influencing expenditure.

Development of Accident Prediction Models for Freeway Interchange Ramps (고속도로 인터체인지 연결로에서의 교통사고 예측모형 개발)

  • Park, Hyo-Sin;Son, Bong-Su;Kim, Hyeong-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.123-135
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is to analyze the relationship between traffic accidents occurring at trumpet interchange ramps according to accident type as well as the relevant factors that led to the traffic accidents, such as geometric design elements and traffic volumes. In the process of analysis of the distribution of traffic accidents, negative binomial distribution was selected as the most appropriate model. Negative binomial regression models were developed for total trumpet interchange ramps, direct ramps, loop ramps and semi-direct ramps based on the negative binomial distribution. Based upon several statistical diagnostics of the difference between observed accidents and predicted accidents with four previously developed models, the fit proved to be reasonable. Understanding of statistically significant variables in the developed model will enable designers to increase efficiency in terms of road operations and the development of traffic accident prevention policies in accordance with road design features.

Binomial Filters for Spectrum Sensing in Cognitive Radio System (인지 무선 시스템에서 스펙트럼 센싱을 위한 이항 필터)

  • Seong, JinSuk;Kim, Myungsup;Lee, Seong Ro
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.39C no.11
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    • pp.1132-1138
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we proposed three types of binomial filter for spectrum sensing in cognitive radio system. Three filters are binomial, negative binomial and composite binomial filters and the frequency responses of their transfer functions are analyzed and the numbers of stages to meet the required attenuation are driven. As a result of performance analysis in terms of the number of stages, negative and composite binomial filters are superior to the binomial filter. Since the proposed three filters have a unified cascaded structure and are easy to be implemented without any multiplier, it is expected that they will have wide applications.

Estimating the Economic Value of the Songieong Beach Using A Count Data Model: - Off-season Estimating Value of the Beach - (가산자료모형을 이용한 송정 해수욕장의 경제적 가치추정: - 비수기 해수욕장의 가치추정 -)

  • Heo, Yun-Jeong;Lee, Seung-Lae
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.79-101
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the Songieong Beach in Off-season, using a Individual Travel Cost Model(ITCM). Songieong Beach is located in Busan but far away from city. These days, however, the increased rate of traffic inflow to the Songieong beach and the five-day working week are reflected in the trend analysis. Moreover, people have changed psychological value. For that reason, visitors are on the increase on the beach in off-season. The ITCM is applied to estimate non-market value or environmental Good like a Contingent Valuation Method and Hedonic Price Model etc. The ITCM was derived from the Count Data Model(i.e. Poisson and Negative Binomial model). So this paper compares Poisson and negative binomial count data models to measure the tourism demands. The data for the study were collected from the Songjeong Beach on visitors over the a week from November 1 through November 23, 2006. Interviewers were instructed to interview only individuals. So the sample was taken in 113. A dependent variable that is defined on the non-negative integers and subject to sampling truncation is the result of a truncated count data process. This paper analyzes the effects of determinants on visitors' demand for exhibition using a class of maximum-likelihood regression estimators for count data from truncated samples, The count data and truncated models are used primarily to explain non-negative integer and truncation properties of tourist trips as suggested by the economic valuation literature. The results suggest that the truncated negative binomial model is improved overdispersion problem and more preferred than the other models in the study. This paper is not the same as the others. One thing is that Estimating Value of the Beach in off-season. The other thing is this study emphasizes in particular 'travel cost' that is not only monetary cost but also including opportunity cost of 'travel time'. According to the truncated negative binomial model, estimates the Consumer Surplus(CS) values per trip of about 199,754 Korean won and the total economic value was estimated to be 1,288,680 Korean won.

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Random Parameter Negative Binomial Models of Interstate Accident Frequencies on Interchange Segment by Interchange Type/Region (RPNB 모형을 이용한 고속도로 인터체인지 구간에서의 교통사고모형 - 인터체인지 형태별/지역별로)

  • Lee, Geun Hee;Park, Minho;Roh, Jeonghyun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : The objective was to develop the advanced method which could not explain each observation's specific characteristic in the present negative binomial method that results in under-estimation of the standard error(t-value inflation) and affects the confidence of whole derived results. METHODS : This study dealt with traffic accidents occurring within interchange segment on highway main line with RPNB(Random Parameter Negative Binomial) method that enables to take account of heterogeneity. RESULTS : As a result, AADT and lighting installation type on the road were revealed to have random parameter and in terms of other geometric variables, all were derived as fixed parameter(same effect on every segment). Also, marginal effects were adapted to analyze the relative effects on traffic accidents. CONCLUSIONS : This study proves that RPNB method which considers each observation's specific characteristics is better fitted to the accident data with geometrics. Thus, it is recommended that RPNB model or other methods which could consider the heterogeneity needs to be adapted in accident analysis.

Urban and Rural Roundabout Accident Occurrence Models (도시 및 지방 회전교차로 사고 발생 모형)

  • Beck, Tea Hun;Lim, Jin Kang;Park, Byung Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES: The operational characteristics of roundabouts are generally influenced by location as well as traffic volume. The goal of this study is to develop urban and rural roundabout accident models and to discuss safety improvement guidelines based on the model. METHODS : To analyze accidents, count data models are utilized in this study. This study used accident data from 2010 to 2013 for 56 roundabouts collected from the Traffic Accident Analysis System (TASS) of Road Traffic Authority. Poisson and negative binomial regression models were developed for this study using NLOGIT 4.0. RESULTS : The main results are as follows. First, the hypotheses that there are distributional differences in the number of accidents and injuries/fatalities among rural and urban roundabouts were accepted. Second, Poisson and negative binomial regression accident models, which were all statistically significant, were developed. Seven independent variables, which were statistically significant, were adopted. Third, the common variable of models was evaluated to be traffic volume. CONCLUSIONS : This study developed two negative binomial roundabout accident models and suggested some accident reduction strategies. The results are expected to give some implications to the safety improvement of roundabout.

Developing Rear-End Collision Models of Roundabouts in Korea (국내 회전교차로의 추돌사고 모형 개발)

  • Park, Byung Ho;Beak, Tae Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2014
  • This study deals with the rear-end collision at roundabouts. The purpose of this study is to develop the accident models of rear-end collision in Korea. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attention to developing the appropriate models using Poisson, negative binomial model, ZAM, multiple linear and nonlinear regression models, and statistical analysis tools. The main results are as follows. First, the Vuong statistics and overdispersion parameters indicate that ZIP is the most appropriate model among count data models. Second, RMSE, MPB, MAD and correlation coefficient tests show that the multiple nonlinear model is the most suitable to the rear-end collision data. Finally, such the independent variables as traffic volume, ratio of heavy vehicle, number of circulatory roadway lane, number of crosswalk and stop line are adopted in the optimal model.

Accident Models of Circular Intersections by Weather Condition in Korea (기상상태에 따른 국내 원형교차로 사고모형)

  • Park, Byung Ho;Han, Su San
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.178-184
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    • 2012
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents by weather condition. The objectives are to comparatively analyze the characteristics, and to develop the models of traffic accidents by weather condition. In pursuing the above, this paper gives particular attentions to testing the differences between two groups, and developing the models(Poisson and negative binomial regression) using the data of domestic circular intersections. The main results are as follows. First, three Poisson models and one negative binomial models which were all statistically significant were developed using the number of accident and EPDO by the clear weather and other as the dependant variables. Second, the differences between two models were comparatively analyzed using the chosen variables. This paper might be expected to give some implications to traffic safety policy-making to reduce and prevent the traffic accidents in circular intersections.