• Title/Summary/Keyword: negative binomial

Search Result 297, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

Relationship Between Accidents and Non-Homogeneous Geometrics: Main Line Sections on Interstates (기하구조의 비동질성을 고려한 교통사고와의 관계: 고속도로 본선구간을 중심으로)

  • Park, Min Ho;Noh, Kwan Sub;Kim, Jongmin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.170-178
    • /
    • 2014
  • Until now, several research on the relationship of traffic crash occurrences and geometric had been conducted and revealed that projects of road alignment, geometric improvement and hazardous segment selection reduced the number of accidents and accident severities. However, such variables did not consider the non-homogeneous characteristics of roadway segments due to the difficulty of data collection, which results in under-estimation of the standard error affecting the overall modeling goodness-of-fit. This study highlights the importance of non-homogeneity by looking at the effect of the non-homogeneous geometric variables through the modeling process. The model delivers meaningful results when using some geometric variables without relevant geometrics' variables.

Freeway Crash Frequency Model Development Based on the Classification of Geometric Alignment Type (선형유형 구분을 통한 고속도로 사고빈도모형 개발 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Youp;Choi, Jai-Sung;Lee, Soo-Beom;Kim, Seong-Min;Cho, Won-Bum;Kim, Yong-Seok
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.97-105
    • /
    • 2011
  • This paper presents how one can investigate the effects on crash occurrence of freeway geometric design elements including the horizontal, vertical alignment and road environment. At present, the available research results for the most part involve geometric data analysis that are obtained along a relatively long section of freeway, and, because of the long section's diverse geometric conditions, the results tend to miss the specific local geometric impacts on vehicle crashes. In this regard, this research attempts to establish vehicle crash models based on a set of freeway geometric patterns whose crash generating characteristics are identical because they are homogeneous in terms of producing the same vehicle operating speeds, and subsequently their actual relationships are described by providing statistical analysis made in this research. Also each standard is comprised of part of straight, curve and continuous curve. This research has revealed that each type of model has different relation between accident and geometry structure. This research results should be useful for doing more reasonable highway designs and safety audit analysis.

Predictors of Blood and Body Fluid Exposure and Mediating Effects of Infection Prevention Behavior in Shift-Working Nurses: Application of Analysis Method for Zero-Inflated Count Data (교대근무 간호사의 혈액과 체액 노출 사고 예측 요인과 감염예방행위의 매개효과: 영과잉 가산 자료 분석방법을 적용하여)

  • Ryu, Jae Geum;Choi-Kwon, Smi
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
    • /
    • v.50 no.5
    • /
    • pp.658-670
    • /
    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study aimed to identify the predictors of blood and body fluid exposure (BBFE) in multifaceted individual (sleep disturbance and fatigue), occupational (occupational stress), and organizational (hospital safety climate) factors, as well as infection prevention behavior. We also aimed to test the mediating effect of infection prevention behavior in relation to multifaceted factors and the frequency of BBFE. Methods: This study was based on a secondary data analysis, using data of 246 nurses from the Shift Work Nurses' Health and Turnover study. Based on the characteristics of zero-inflated and over-dispersed count data of frequencies of BBFE, the data were analyzed to calculate zero-inflated negative binomial regression within a generalized linear model and to test the mediating effect using SPSS 25.0, Stata 14.1, and PROCESS macro. Results: We found that the frequency of BBFE increased in subjects with disturbed sleep (IRR = 1.87, p = .049), and the probability of non-BBFE increased in subjects showing higher infection prevention behavior (IRR = 15.05, p = .006) and a hospital safety climate (IRR = 28.46, p = .018). We also found that infection prevention behavior had mediating effects on the occupational stress-BBFE and hospital safety climate-BBFE relationships. Conclusion: Sleep disturbance is an important risk factor related to frequency of BBFE, whereas preventive factors are infection prevention behavior and hospital safety climate. We suggest individual and systemic efforts to improve sleep, occupational stress, and hospital safety climate to prevent BBFE occurrence.

The winning probability in Korean series of Korean professional baseball (한국 프로야구 우승 결정방식에서의 우승확률)

  • Cho, Daehyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.27 no.3
    • /
    • pp.663-676
    • /
    • 2016
  • In Korean professional baseball the championship team of the year is determined by the four series of games: semi-semi-playoff, semi-playoff, playoff and korean series. To the top 5 teams in a regular season privileges are given to play the games at post season. At semi-semi playoff the winner of two teams which are ranked at 4th and 5th place in the regular season can advance to the game of semi playoff. The winner at semi playoff advances to the playoff to play with the second place team in the regular season. Finally, the championship team is to be determined in the Korean series between the winner of the playoff and the first ranked team in the regular season. We propose methods of how to calculate the winning probabilities of each of high ranked 5 teams advancing to Korean series. From our proposed methods we can estimate the championship probabilities of each of high ranked 5 teams advancing to the Korean series only if we know the winning probabilities between two teams in the regular season or the post season.

Developing Sequential Sampling Plans for Evaluating Maize Weevil and Indian Meal Moth Density in Rice Warehouse (쌀 저장창고에서 어리쌀바구미와 화랑곡나방 밀도 추정을 위한 축차추출 조사법 (Sequential sampling plans) 개발)

  • Nam, Young-Woo;Chun, Yong-Shik;Ryoo, Mun-Il
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
    • /
    • v.48 no.1
    • /
    • pp.45-51
    • /
    • 2009
  • This paper presents sequential sampling plans for evaluating the pest density based on complete counts from probe in a rice storage warehouse. Both maize weevil and Indian meal moth population showed negative binomial dispersion patterns in brown rice storage. For cost-effective monitoring and action decision making system, sequential sampling plans by using the sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) were developed for the maize weevil and Indian meal moth in warehouses with 0.8 M/T storage bags. The action threshold for the two insect pests was estimated to 5 insects per kg, which was projected by a matrix model. The results show that, using SPRT methods, managers can make decisions using only 20 probe with a minimum risk of incorrect assessment.

Time Trend Analysis of Oral Cancer in Iran from 2005 to 2010

  • Iranfar, Khosro;Mokhayeri, Yaser;Mohammadi, Gohar
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1421-1426
    • /
    • 2016
  • Background: There is a considerable lack of understanding of oral cancer incidence, especially its time trend in Iran. In this study, the authors aimed to analyze time trend of oral cancer incidence with a focus on differences by gender in a period of six years - from 2005 to 2010. Materials and Methods: Both population-based cancer registry and national cancer registry (NCR) data based on pathologic reports from 2005 to 2010 were obtained from the Ministry of Health and Medical Education (MOHME). Population data were also received from Statistical Centre of Iran. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) based on the World Standard Population were then calculated. Finally, Negative Binomial regression was run for time trend analysis. Results: The maximum ASR for males was calculated as 2.5 per 100,000 person-years in 2008 and the minimum was observed as 1.9 per 100,000 person-years in 2005 and 2006. Meanwhile, the maximum ASR for females was estimated as 1.8 per 100,000 person-years in 2009 and the minimum was calculated as 1.6 per 100,000 person-years in 2005 and 2006. Additionally, in females, incidence risk ratio (IRR) did not show a clear decreasing or increasing trend during the six years. Nevertheless, in males an increasing trend was observed. The maximum IRR adjusted for age group and province, for females was reported in 2009 (IRR=1.05 95% CI: 0.90-1.23), and for males was estimated in 2010 (IRR=1/2 95% CI: 1.04 - 1.38). Conclusions: Our findings highlight disparities between oral cancer incidence trends in males and females over the six years from 2005 to 2010.

The Effects of Workplace Rest Breaks on Health Problems Related to Long Working Hours and Shift Work among Male Apartment Janitors in Korea

  • Park, Sungjin;Lee, June-Hee;Lee, Wanhyung
    • Safety and Health at Work
    • /
    • v.10 no.4
    • /
    • pp.512-517
    • /
    • 2019
  • Background: Rest breaks at work are reported to reduce fatigue and job stress. Apartment janitors in Korea who perform night shift work and work long hours can be exposed to various health problems (HPs). However, few studies have evaluated relationships between their rest breaks and HPs. This study was conducted to examine the relationships between long working hours, shift work, and insufficient rest breaks and HPs among Korean apartment janitors. Methods: Data on 1,212 selected male apartment janitors were obtained from the 3rd and 4th Korean Working Conditions Surveys. Demographic and occupational characteristics were collected using self-reported questionnaires. Rest breaks at work were classified as "sufficient" or "insufficient." Long working hours were considered as working more than 60 hours per week. Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) regression was performed to investigate the effects of shift work and long working hours on HPs and the effects of rest breaks on relationships between HPs and long working hours and shift work. Results: Among those with insufficient rest breaks at work, significant associations were found between long working hours and the risk of HPs [odds ratio (OR) = 1.489; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.038-2.136] and work-related HPs (WRHPs) [OR 1.621; 95% CI = 1.156-2.272], and between shift work and HPs [OR = 1.603; 95% CI = 1.084-2.372]. These relationships became nonsignificant when sufficient rest breaks were provided. Conclusion: It is important to provide breaks at work to reduce HPs because of long working hours and shift work among aged workers such as apartment janitors.

Analysis on the Auto Accident Risks of the Old (고령자의 자동차사고 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Dae Hwan;Heo, Tae Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.33 no.1
    • /
    • pp.100-111
    • /
    • 2015
  • After empirically investigating the vehicle accident risks by age groups, various programs and policies have been imposed to reduce the old's risks in other countries. In Korea, it is little known the risk level by age groups and no policy changes has been implemented even if the number of vehicle accidents occurred by the old has been rapidly rising while the total number of vehicle accidents has been decreasing. This study empirically investigates the vehicle accident risks by age groups and the results show that the old drivers over age 65 has the highest accident risk except for the young drivers below age 25. Thus, we emphasize the necessity of reinforcing the qualifications for reissuing the drive licence and programs for educating the old drivers in Korea which is facing the most rapid population aging in the world. On the other hand, various changes are needed reflecting the old drivers such as reforming the road signs, issuing a sticker and providing them incentives such that the old drivers use the public transportation instead of self-driving.

Analysis of Total Crime Count Data Based on Spatial Association Structure (공간적 연관구조를 고려한 총범죄 자료 분석)

  • Choi, Jung-Soon;Park, Man-Sik;Won, Yu-Bok;Kim, Hag-Yeol;Heo, Tae-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.335-344
    • /
    • 2010
  • Reliability of the estimation is usually damaged in the situation where a linear regression model without spatial dependencies is employed to the spatial data analysis. In this study, we considered the conditional autoregressive model in order to construct spatial association structures and estimate the parameters via the Bayesian approaches. Finally, we compared the performances of the models with spatial effects and the ones without spatial effects. We analyzed the yearly total crime count data measured from each of 25 districts in Seoul, South Korea in 2007.

Visualization analysis using R Shiny (R의 Shiny를 이용한 시각화 분석 활용 사례)

  • Na, Jonghwa;Hwang, Eunji
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1279-1290
    • /
    • 2017
  • R's {shiny} package provides an environment for creating web applications with only R scripts. Shiny does not require knowledge of a separate web programming language and its development is very easy and straightforward. In addition, Shiny has a variety of extensibility, and its functions are expanding day by day. Therefore, the presentation of high-quality results is an excellent tool for R-based analysts. In this paper, we present actual cases of large data analysis using Shiny. First, geological anomaly zone is extracted by analyzing topographical data expressed in the form of contour lines by analysis related to spatial data. Next, we will construct a model to predict major diseases by 16 cities and provinces nationwide using weather, environment, and social media information. In this process, we want to show that Shiny is very effective for data visualization and analysis.