• 제목/요약/키워드: national disasters

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Volcanological Interpretation of Historic Record of AD 79 Vesuvius eruption (베수비오 화산의 79년 분화 기록에 대한 화산학적 해석)

  • Eun Jeong Yang;Sung-Hyo Yun
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.148-160
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    • 2023
  • The Pliny Letter, the first historical record of volcanic eruptions and disasters on Earth, was studied to better understand the Vesuvius' eruption patterns in 79 AD. The two-day eruption, which began at 1 a.m. on August 24th 79 AD, produced large amounts of volcanic ash and pumice, which were carried by the wind and fell on nearby cities. Furthermore, during the eruption, fast-moving pyroclastic flows flowed down the volcano's sides, and several phenomena such as earthquakes and tsunamis occurred. Cities near Mount Vesuvius were buried and destroyed by volcanic ash and pyroclastic flows. Previous studies were collected, analyzed, and investigated and the scope of damage was chosen from Pompeii, Herculaneum, Stabiae, and Oplontis. The sedimentary stratigraphy and thickness vary according to location and distance from Vesuvius in each region. Within the depositional layers, the remains of residents who died during the eruption were also discovered, and 1,150 remains have been discovered in Pompeii, 306 in Herculaneum, 111 in Stabiae, and 54 in Oplontis, but the exact number of people who killed is unknown. The eruption that exhibited the pattern seen in AD 79 was named the Plinian eruption after Pliny and classified as a new type of eruption as a result of Pliny's detailed description of the eruption.

A Case Study on the Cause Analysis of Land creep Using Geophysical Exploration (물리탐사를 활용한 땅밀림 원인분석의 사례적 연구)

  • Jae Hyeon Park;Gyeong Mi Tak;Kook Mook Leem
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.112 no.3
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    • pp.382-392
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    • 2023
  • Recent reports have indicated a rapid increase in the frequency of sediment disasters due to climate change and other changes in the geological environment. Given this alarming situation and the recent increase in the frequency of land creep in Korea, systematic and efficient recovery and management of land creep areas is essential. The purpose of this study is to identify disaster vulnerability by conducting a physical exploration of land creep in San 4-1, Jayeon-ri, Gaegun-myeon, Yangpyeong-gun, Gyeonggi-do, and examine stability by identifying the overall geological structure of the affected ground. In addition, drilling surveys are conducted to verify the reliability of the measured data. The results of the study reveal that low specific resistance abnormalities are distributed in the upper part of the soil layer and weathering zone and that this section is a 50-120 m exploration line. It is also confirmed to be a low-hardness ground area where tensile cracks are observed. Therefore, there is a need for research focused on developing measures to reduce economic and social damage within the domestic context by continuously monitoring indicators of land creep and identifying land creep risks.

Probabilistic Safety Assessment of Gas Plant Using Fault Tree-based Bayesian Network (고장수목 기반 베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 가스 플랜트 시스템의 확률론적 안전성 평가)

  • Se-Hyeok Lee;Changuk Mun;Sangki Park;Jeong-Rae Cho;Junho Song
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.273-282
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    • 2023
  • Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has been widely used to evaluate the seismic risk of nuclear power plants (NPPs). However, studies on seismic PSA for process plants, such as gas plants, oil refineries, and chemical plants, have been scarce. This is because the major disasters to which these process plants are vulnerable include explosions, fires, and release (or dispersion) of toxic chemicals. However, seismic PSA is essential for the plants located in regions with significant earthquake risks. Seismic PSA entails probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), event tree analysis (ETA), fault tree analysis (FTA), and fragility analysis for the structures and essential equipment items. Among those analyses, ETA can depict the accident sequence for core damage, which is the worst disaster and top event concerning NPPs. However, there is no general top event with regard to process plants. Therefore, PSA cannot be directly applied to process plants. Moreover, there is a paucity of studies on developing fragility curves for various equipment. This paper introduces PSA for gas plants based on FTA, which is then transformed into Bayesian network, that is, a probabilistic graph model that can aid risk-informed decision-making. Finally, the proposed method is applied to a gas plant, and several decision-making cases are demonstrated.

Ductility Improvement of Square RC Columns by Using Continuous Spiral Stirrup (연속 횡방향철근 개발을 통한 사각기둥의 연성화)

  • Cho, Kyung Hun;Lee, Tae Hee;Lee, Jung Bin;Kim, Sung Bo;Kim, Jang Jay Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2023
  • Recently, concerns about natural disasters such as earthquakes, tsunamis and typhoons have increased. As the magnitude and frequency of earthquakes increase, research is needed to prevent structures from collapsing due to earthquake loads. Research is needed to increase the ductility of columns to prevent the collapse of structures. In this study, the ductility improvement of square columns achieved by applying spiral stirrups to square columns. Square columns reinforced with spiral stirrups are more resistant to repetitive loads such as seismic loads than columns reinforced with tie stirrups. Also, the spiral stirrups can apply better confinement to the concrete. In this study, an uniaxial compression test was conducted to evaluate the performance of columns reinforced with spiral stirrups. The results showed that the columns reinforced with spiral stirrups in both the circular and square columns showed higher compressive strength than the columns reinforced with the tie stirrups. In addition, the columns reinforced with spiral stirrups for both the square and circle columns, showed a tendency to endure the load even after the initial cracking and rebar yielding.

Analysis of Drought Damage around Tonlé Sap which is Largest Lake in Southeast Asia (동남아시아 최대 호수인 톤레사프호 주변 가뭄피해 분석)

  • Lee, Jong Sin;Um, Dae Yong
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.961-969
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    • 2017
  • Today, the world is experiencing a variety of natural disasters due to the extreme weather. Drought that occurred throughout Southeast Asia from February to May 2016 is also a form of abnormal climate. As a result of this drought, five countries, including Cambodia, Thailand, Vietnam, Laos and Myanmar, faced food shortages, food shortages, as well as rice yields for export. In this study, remote sensing technique was applied to the vicinity of Tonlé Sap, the largest lake in Southeast Asia, to quantitatively analyze the damage caused by drought. As a result, the change of land cover caused a drastic decrease in the water system (132.582㎢) and greenery (706.937㎢) in February 2016, and the reduced water system and greenery changed to dry land and paddy field. It was also found that the temperature rise of 6℃ ~ 8 ℃ compared to the previous year due to the drought from February to April 2016 due to the change of the surface temperature. And it was found that the function of the lake was deteriorated in April due to continuous drought.

Analysis of Population Mobility Characteristics Based on Emergency Disaster Message Content: Focus on the 2022 Wildfires in Donghae City and Miryang City (긴급재난문자 송출 내용에 따른 유동인구 특성 분석: 2022년 동해시와 밀양시 산불 재난을 중심으로)

  • Dong Kyu Lee;Jae Seon Kim;Kyung Soo Pyo;Min Kim
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.5_2
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    • pp.799-810
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    • 2023
  • This paper analyzed changes in population mobility characteristics based on emergency disaster messages related to wildfires that occurred in 2022, using mobile data. The primary wildfires under analysis are the ones that occurred in Donghae City and Miryang City. Donghae City sent a total of six evacuation messages in response to the wildfire incidents, and all of the message contents specified particular evacuation locations. As a result, it was analyzed that there was a significant impact on changes in population mobility characteristics. On the other hand, in the case of Miryang City, a total of five evacuation messages were sent during the wildfire period, but not all messages specified a clear evacuation location,such as "A safe place". As a result, it was observed that there was minimal change in population mobility due to the lack of clear evacuation locations specified in the messages. These analysis results suggest the need for institutional improvements such as the standardization and specification of emergency alert message content when wildfires or similar disasters occur in different regions.

Assessment of Wave Change considering the Impact of Climate Change (기후변화 영향을 고려한 파랑 변화 평가)

  • Chang Kyum Kim;Ho Jin Lee;Sung Duk Kim;Byung Cheol Oh;Ji Eun Choi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.19-31
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    • 2023
  • According to the climate change scenarios, the intensity of typhoons, a major factor in Korea's natural disaster, is expected to increase. The increase in typhoon intensity leads to a rise in wave heights, which is likely to cause large-scale disasters in coastal regions with high populations and building density for dwelling, industry, and tourism. This study, therefore, analyzed observation data of the Donghae ocean data buoy and conducted a numerical model simulation for wave estimations for the typhoon MAYSAK (202009) period, which showed the maximum significant wave height. The boundary conditions for wave simulations were a JMA-MSM wind field and a wind field applying the typhoon central pressure reduction rate in the SSP5-8.5 climate change scenario. As a result of the wave simulations, the wave height in front of the breakwater at Sokcho port was increased by 15.27% from 4.06 m to 4.68 m in the SSP5-8.5 scenario. Furthermore, the return period at the location of 147-2 grid point of deep-sea design wave was calculated to increase at least twice, it is necessary to improve the deep-sea design wave of return period of 50-year, which is prescriptively applied when designing coastal structures.

A Simulation of a Small Mountainous Chachment in Gyeoungbuk Using the RAMMS Model (RAMMS 모형을 이용한 경북 소규모 산지 유역의 토석류 모의)

  • Hyung-Joon Chang;Ho-Jin Lee;Seong-Goo Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2024
  • In Korea, mountainous areas cover 60% of the land, leading to increased factors such as concentrated heavy rainfall and typhoons, which can result in debris flow and landslide. Despite the high risk of disasters like landslides and debris flow, there has been a tendency in most regions to focus more on post-damage recovery rather than preventing damage. Therefore, in this study, precise topographic data was constructed by conducting on-site surveys and drone measurements in areas where debris flow actually occurred, to analyze the risk zones for such events. The numerical analysis program RAMMS model was utilized to perform debris flow analysis on the areas prone to debris flow, and the actual distribution of debris flow was compared and analyzed to evaluate the applicability of the model. As a result, the debris flow generation area calculated by the RAMMS model was found to be 18% larger than the actual area, and the travel distance was estimated to be 10% smaller. However, the simulated shape of debris flow generation and the path of movement calculated by the model closely resembled the actual data. In the future, we aim to conduct additional research, including model verification suitable for domestic conditions and the selection of areas for damage prediction through debris flow analysis in unmeasured watersheds.

Comparative assessment of sequential data assimilation-based streamflow predictions using semi-distributed and lumped GR4J hydrologic models: a case study of Namgang Dam basin (준분포형 및 집중형 GR4J 수문모형을 활용한 순차자료동화 기반 유량 예측 특성 비교: 남강댐 유역 사례)

  • Lee, Garim;Woo, Dong Kook;Noh, Seong Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.9
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    • pp.585-598
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    • 2024
  • To mitigate natural disasters and efficiently manage water resources, it is essential to enhance hydrologic prediction while reducing model structural uncertainties. This study analyzed the impact of lumped and semi-distributed GR4J model structures on simulation performance and evaluated uncertainties with and without data assimilation techniques. The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) and Particle Filter (PF) methods were applied to the Namgang Dam basin. Simulation results showed that the Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE) index was 0.749 for the lumped model and 0.831 for the semi-distributed model, indicating improved performance in semi-distributed modeling by 11.0%. Additionally, the impact of uncertainties in meteorological forcings (precipitation and potential evapotranspiration) on data assimilation performance was analyzed. Optimal uncertainty conditions varied by data assimilation method for the lumped model and by sub-basin for the semi-distributed model. Moreover, reducing the calibration period length during data assimilation led to decreased simulation performance. Overall, the semi-distributed model showed improved flood simulation performance when combined with data assimilation compared to the lumped model. Selecting appropriate hyper-parameters and calibration periods according to the model structure was crucial for achieving optimal performance.

Comparison of Terrain Changes in Debris Flow-Damaged Area and Morpho2DH Model Results (토석류 피해지의 지형 변화와 Morpho2DH 모형 결과의 비교 분석)

  • Jong-Seo Lee;Kwang-Youn Lee;Suk-Hee Yoon;Dong-Hyun Kim;Sang Ho Lee;Se-Wook Oh;Dong-Geun Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.113 no.3
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    • pp.339-348
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    • 2024
  • Debris flow is a typical type of mountainous sediment disaster that can cause widespread damage to both lives and property, making it essential to understand its behavioral characteristics for effective prevention. In this study, pre- and post-event Light Detection And Ranging(LiDAR) data from the Dosan-ri area in Bonghyeon-myeon, Yeongju-si, Gyeongsangbuk-do, Republic of Korea where debris flows occurred in 2023, were used to calculate the actual affected area and terrain change volume caused by the debris flow. These calculated values were then compared with those derived from the numeric simulation model, Morpho2DH, based on field surveys and laboratory investigation data. Additionally, the model's applicability was assessed by conducting cross-sectional elevation analyses based on the extent of the affected area and comparisons of the results. The findings indicate that the debris flow affected area and terrain change volume estimated by the Morpho2DH model were approximately 152% and 178% higher, respectively, compared to the LiDAR-based results. Pearson correlation analysis of the cross-sectional elevation changes showed a positive correlation, with Pearson Correlation Coefficients(PCC) of at least 0.65