• Title/Summary/Keyword: multi-attribute utility analysis

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A Study on the Multi-Criteria Decision Making for Effect Analysis and Decision Making of Weapon System (무기체계의 효과분석과 의사결정을 위한 다기준분석 방법론의 연구)

  • Lim, Sung-Hoon;Cho, Ki-Hong;Park, Seung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.557-562
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    • 2009
  • Weapon system currently considers the research about effect analysis including cost effectiveness methodology for a budget management and an achievement of the military strategy goal. So that, this study considers the theoretical background, strength and weakness of several Multi-Criteria Decision Making, and an effect analysis of weapon system. And AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) is selected for the best effect analysis methodology of weapon system. Therefore, we applied AHP to the case study of the new generation Multiple Launcher Rocket System, performing the analysis of cost effectiveness methodology. Using AHP and cost effectiveness methodology, we propose the actual and proper decision making result.

Basic Study on Bridge Asset Management Framework and LOS for Efficient Downtown Bridge Maintenance (효율적인 도심지 교량관리를 위한 교량자산관리 체계 및 서비스수준(LOS) 개발을 위한 기초연구)

  • Kim, Gyung-Hyun;Kim, Dong-Jin;Lim, Jong-Kwon;Park, Mi-Yun;Lee, Min-Jae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.671-679
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    • 2016
  • Bridges, which constitute one of the key facilities in a social infrastructure, are easily accessed and used by users, so that keeping their performance above a certain level is essential. According to various cases in the U.S., Japan and Europe with a long construction history, it is expected that the maintenance cost of bridges in Korea will increase continuously in the future, so a rational decision making system based on engineering factors is necessary to optimize the performance of and maintain them by allocating the limited budget efficiently. This study is a preliminary basic study for the purpose of developing a common asset management system for managing all of the bridges and maintaining the level of service provided by them. The scope of this preliminary study is limited to bridges in urban areas. The bridge asset management system for bridges in urban areas, their level of service (LOS) and performance measure (PM) were developed by carrying out a workshop consisting of both experts and stakeholders. The analysis on the weights of the value and performance measure for each performance indicator was carried out by using the multi-attribute utility theory and the AHP method. In order to confirm the application of the weight of the performance measure and value of the performance indicator, six bridges in an example city were selected, LOS analysis was applied and its results were reviewed.

Development of MCDM for the Selection of Preferable Alternative and Determination of Investment Priority in Water Resource Projects (수자원사업 대안선정 및 투자우선순위결정을 위한 다기준의사결정모형 개발)

  • Yeo, Kyudong;Kim, Gilho;Lee, Sangwon;Choi, Seungan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.6B
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    • pp.551-563
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    • 2011
  • Water resource projects need an enormous national budget. Therefore, a reasonable and reliable decision making is required for the planning of water resource projects, but decision making has been mostly performed by economic analysis. The objective of this study is to develop a Multi-criteria Decision Making(MCDM) model which can assess the project in various aspects for the selection of preferable alternative and determination of investment priority in water resource projects. In this study, the criteria involves economic feasibility, policies, vulnerability, and sub-items which have weights obtained from the expert survey for the consistent evaluation. We also derived the utility function considering risk trend of each item based on the expert survey. Then, the total score was estimated by weights of each item and utility score of each attribute. The results show that vulnerability is a major contributor for the criteria. This study will contribute to the selection of proper water resource projects considering efficiency of project and fairness for vulnerable area.

- A Study on Improving Reliability for Multiple Criteria Decision Making Using Taguchi Method - (다구찌 기법을 적용한 다기준 의사결정 모형의 신뢰성 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Heo Jun Young;Park Myeong Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.249-273
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    • 2004
  • Finding an optimal solution in MADN[(Multi-Attribute Decision-Making) problems is difficult, when the number of alternatives, or that of attributes is relatively large Most of the existing mathematical approaches arrive at a final solution on the basis of many unrealistic assumptions, without reflecting the decision-maker's preference structure exactly. In this paper we suggest a model that helps us find a group consensus without assessing these parameters in specific cardinal values. Therefore, This research provides a comprehensive Decision Making of the theory and methods applicable to the analysis of decisions that involve risk and multiple criteria attributes. after, The emphasis of the procedure will be on developments from the fields of decisions analysis and utility theory of Taguchi Method. This theoretical development will be illustrated through the discussion of several real-world application and a case study. When the multiple number of decision makers are involved in the decision making procedure, the problem of uncertainties invariably occurs, because of the different views between them. In this paper, New decision making model using Taguchi Method is applied to effectively model the multi-attribute-decision making(MADM) procedure in the uncertainties dominated two area(quantitative and qualitative factors), Quantitative factors evaluation is used Loss Function of Taguchi, qualitative factors evaluation is used 50 ratio by each specialist. thus it can be used for aiding of preferable alternative. as a result, We will be proved efficiency about New decision making model of applied Taguchi Method with Analytical presentation of all the expecting outcomes when a specific strategy or an alternative plan is selected under expecting future environment.

Study on Selection Methodology of Applicable Prospective Civil Information Security Technologies in Defense Cyberwarfare Sector (국방 사이버전 분야에 적용 가능한 유망 민간 정보보호 기술 선정 방법론에 대한 고찰)

  • Lee, Ho-gyun;Lim, Jong-in;Lee, Kyung-ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1571-1582
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    • 2015
  • This paper suggests a methodology for linking technology classification of nongovernmental information security field and technology classification of cyber-warfare in national defense field. Based on this methodology, Multi-Attribute Utility Theory(MAUT) is applied for the purpose of selecting promising nongovernmental technology that is worthy of later introduction or development. After studying the result of the survey regarding the research progression plan of the selected promising technology, the following three facts are discovered: Firstly, the greater the social spillover effect, the greater the need for the government lead R&D. Secondly, among the spillover effects, the social aspect has the highest correlation with respect to the need for the government lead R&D, while the economical aspect and the technological aspect come in the second and the third place, respectively. Finally, according to the correlation analysis, the defense application and the technological importance do not affect the subject of investment or the subject of development. This indicates that even though the R&D for technology with high social spillover effect should be lead by the government, the subject of the investment or the development cannot be determined solely by factors such as military application and technological importance.

A Method of Measuring the International Competitiveness of Container Ports: A DEA Approach, Focused on Productivity Analysis (컨테이너항만의 국제경쟁력분석방법 : DEA접근 - 생산효율성분석을 중심으로 -)

  • 오성동;박노경
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.27-51
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the productive efficiency of world container ports by using the DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) method and raw data from previous research in measuring the international competitiveness of world container ports. Ports have to cope with rapid changes in shipping environments. In order for a port to compete in the global market, it must provide port services promptly and accurately. Basically, there are two approaches to measuring the international competitiveness of a container port. First, there is the traditional productivity analysis method, which analyzes productivity based on the container port's facilities (efficiency, selectivity, land availability), and by its general capacity (handling ability, storage capacity, terminal productivity). Second there is multi-attribute utility analysis, which considers several elements including the reasons for selecting particular container ports and factors determining international competitiveness. This paper follows the first method (traditional productivity analysis) and extends the limitation of previous studies by using the DEA method newly, and suggesting: the relative productive efficiency of container ports. The main results of this paper are as follows: First, the results of the DEA analysis in terms of world container ports matches that of a previous study (Jun et al., 1993) at a level of 35%. The low ratio is due to the constrained set of input-output elements, the result of only twenty container ports being analyzed in this paper. Second, the result of the DEA analysis in terms of North-East Asia's container ports matches with that of a previous study (Ha, 1996) at a level of 100 percent. Therefore we can conclude that the DEA analysis is the best measurement method for international competitiveness. Policy implications for this study are as follows: First, when port authorities want to measure the international competition power of container ports and enhance their productive efficiency, they should consider the traditional method and newly introduce the DEA method. Second, according to the analysis results of the DEA method, pen authorities should recommend benchmarking ports as reference ports in order to enhance the productive efficiency of container ports that show an efficiency score of below 1.

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Analysis on the Perception of Nuclear Power Plant and the Preference of its Policy Alternatives for Public Acceptance (원자력발전소에 대한 인식과 국민수용성 향상을 위한 정책대안들의 선호 분석)

  • Park, Young-Sung;Lee, Byong-Whi
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 1995
  • Public acceptance has become an important factor in nuclear power program particularly after Chernobyl accident and recent rapid democratization in Korea. Methods reflecting public opinions in order to improve public acceptance are firstly to understand what the public think about nuclear power plant and secondly to find out the public preference values for its policies. For this purpose, simplified multi-attribute utility (MAU) model was applied to analyze the public perception pattern for fire power production systems. And the conjoint analysis was applied to find out the quantitative values of public preferences for twelve policy alternatives to improve the safety and to support communities surrounding nuclear power plants in Korea. To implement these perception and preference analyses, mail survey was conducted to the Qualified sample who had the experience of visiting nuclear power plant. Diagnosis of their perception pattern for five power production systems was made by the simplified MAU model. Estimation of the quantitative preference values for potential policy alternatives was made by the conjoint measurement technique, which made it possible to forecast the effectiveness of each option. The results from the qualified sample and the methods used in this study would be helpful to set up new policy of nuclear power plant.

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A Study on the Evaluation Method of Close-to-Nature Stream Improvement Works (자연 친화적인 하천 정비사업의 평가방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seok-Gyu;Kim, Chul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.7
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    • pp.503-510
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    • 2007
  • In the area of such a nature-friendly stream improvement, it is not established yet which engineering method is suitable for stream environment, due to lack of technology. Therefore, although nature-friendly stream improvement was done with expensive engineering method, the effect has not been fully confirmed, which results from the absence of overall valuation tool of stream improvement. In this regard, it is necessary to develop and apply comprehensive and diverse valuation methods covering stream functions to the analysis of stream improvement. In this study, we collected data from years' of monitoring on the Gyeongcheon river, which is located in Sunchang-eup, Jeollabuk-do and recently underwent an nature-friendly stream improvement work. Based on the data, we developed a series of valuation methods such as stream naturalness evaluation, life cycle evaluation, amenity evaluation, and economic benefit analysis to consider the environmental function of stream from a comprehensive perspective. Stream naturalness evaluation is a quantitative analysis of how natural a stream is, and includes additional valuation items such as ecosystem and water quality for the purpose of overall valuation, unlike existing research focusing on physical elements and structural characteristics of a stream. We developed a method of stream valuation with life cycle assessment to river reorganization project. Amenity evaluation method was developed as a means to analyze residents' satisfaction with stream improvement through questionnaires. Economic benefit analysis was developed as a means to determine the attributes of environmental water supply, ecosystem, river maintenance, and water quality and predict economic benefits using contingent valuation method (CVM) and multi-attribute utility analysis (MAUA) method in order to analyze economic benefits brought in by stream improvement. It is considered that the four methods developed in this study make possible to conduct an overall and quantitative analysis of stream improvement.

Availability of Statistical Quality Control of Nuclear Medicine Blood Test Using Population Distribution (모집단 분포를 이용한 핵의학 혈액검사의 통계적 품질관리의 유용성)

  • Cheon, Jun Hong;Cho, Eun Bit;Yoo, Seon Hee;Kim, Nyeon Ok
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine Technology
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.37-41
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    • 2016
  • Purpose The importance of quality control by the error to a minimum, which for the purpose of enhancing the reliability of the examination is not be emphasized excess. Currently, most nuclear medicine laboratory are conducting the internal and external quality control, and they are applying the Levey-Jennings or Westgard Multi-Rules by using the commercialized quality control materials. The reliability of the nuclear medicine blood test which affects the diagnosis of patients and the treatment policy is being secured through this quality control activity. Therefore, researchers will evaluate the utility of the statistic quality control using the population distribution of the nuclear medicine blood test conducted targeting the checkup examinees by the additional technique of the reliability improvement. Materials and Methods A statistic analysis was performed about 12 items of the nuclear medicine blood test targeting 41,341 peoples who used the health screening and promotion center in Asan Medical Center from January, 2014 to December, 2014. The results of 12 items of the nuclear medicine blood test was divided into the monthly percentage of three groups: within reference values, over reference, and under reference to analyze the average value of the population distribution, standard deviation, and standard deviation index (SDI). Results The standard deviation of the population distribution mostly showed a result within ${\pm}2SD$ in all groups. However, When the standard deviation of the population distribution represented a result over ${\pm}2SD$, it was confirmed SDI was showing a result of SDI > -2 or SDI > 2. As a result of analyzing the population distribution of 12 items(AFP, CEA, CA19-9, CA125, PSA, TSH, FT4, Anti-Tg-Ab, Anti-TPO-Ab, Calcitonin, 25-OH-VitD3, Insulin) of the nuclear medicine blood part basic test, when SDI of the monthly percentage which deviated from the reference values was over ${\pm}2.0$, CA19-9 September was 2.2, Anti-Tg-Ab may was 2.2, Insulin January was 2.3, Insulin March was 2.4. It was confirmed these cases were attributed to the abnormality of the test reagent (maximum combination rate of isotope reagent declined) and the decline of the test response time. Conclusion The population distribution includes the entire attribute which becomes the study object. It is expected the statistic quality management using the population distribution which was conducted targeting the checkup examinees by dividing into three groups: within reference values, over reference, and under reference by means of this characteristics will be able to play a role of complementing the internal quality control program which is being carried out in the laboratory.

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