• Title/Summary/Keyword: mortgage loan

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A Study on the Seoul Apartment Jeonse Price after the Global Financial Crisis in 2008 in the Frame of Vecter Auto Regressive Model(VAR) (VAR분석을 활용한 금융위기 이후 서울 아파트 전세가격 변화)

  • Kim, Hyun-woo;Lee, Du-Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.6315-6324
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    • 2015
  • This study analyses the effects of household finances on rental price of apartment in Seoul which play a major role in real estate policy. We estimate VAR models using time series data. Economy variables such as sales price of apartment in Seoul, consumer price index, hiring rate, real GNI and loan amount of housing mortgage, which relate to household finances and influence the rental price of apartment, are used for estimation. The main findings are as follows. In the short term, the rental price of apartment is impacted by economy variables. Specifically, Relative contributions of variation in rental price of apartment through structural shock of economy variables are most influenced by their own. However, in the long term, household variables are more influential to the rental price of apartment. These results are expected to contribute to establish housing price stabilization policies through understanding the relationship between economy variables and rental price of apartment.

The Effect of Changes in Real Estate Prices on the Soundness of Korean Banks (부동산가격변동이 은행의 건전성에 미치는 영향)

  • Jung, Heonyong
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.435-440
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzed the impact of changes in real estate prices on the soundness of Korean banks using multiple regression models. As a result of the analysis, changes in real estate prices significantly increase the banks' non-performing loans through the increase in loans. Among macroeconomic variables, short-term interest rates were found to have a significant effect on all soundness indicators such as BIS capital adequacy ratio, non-performing loans ratio, and liquidity coverage ratio. Among the bank characteristics indicators, the loan growth rate had a significant negative effect on BIS capital adequacy ratio, and the real estate mortgage rate had a significant positive effect. In additional, it was found that non-performing loans ratio and liquidity coverage ratio had a negative effect on BIS capital adequacy ratio.

The Effect of Housing Affordability on Housing Prices Variation in Korea (주택구입능력이 주택가격 변동에 미치는 영향)

  • Heonyong Jung
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.113-118
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the effects of macroeconomic variables, including housing affordability, and bank loan-related variables on variation in housing prices using multiple regression models. As a result of the analysis, consumer price growth rate, the total currency growth rate, and the housing affordability growth rate had a significant positive effect on changes in housing prices. As a result of analyzing the period of rising and falling housing prices, consumer price growth rate and the total currency growth rate during the period of rising housing prices had a significant positive effect on housing prices. Unlike the period of rising housing prices, the growth rate of household loans was found to have a significant positive effect on changes in housing prices. On the other hand, unlike the period of rising housing prices, the growth rater of mortgage loans was found to have a significant negative effect on changes in housing prices. The growth rate of housing affordability index did not have a significant positive effect on changes in housing prices during a falling housing prices. The determinants of housing prices showed different patterns during the period of rising housing prices and falling housing prices.