• Title/Summary/Keyword: model change

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Determinants of the Regional Competitiveness in the Era of the Globalization and the Climate Change (세계화.기후변화시대의 지역 경쟁력 요인 분석)

  • Roh, Young Sik;Lee, Hee Yeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.601-614
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    • 2012
  • This paper is aimed to analyze the determinants and their relative importance that affect regional competitiveness in the era of globalization and climate change. The panel model was set by a balanced panel data for 7 metropolitan areas & 9 provinces and for the period of 2001~2010. Gross regional income per capita is used as the dependent variable and competitiveness-based factors, economic production factors, and climate change adaptation factors are selected as the explanatory variables. In this study, Model 1(typical regional competitiveness model) and Model 2 (added adaptation to climate change adaptation factors) were compared. The important findings can be summarized as follows. The most influential determinants on regional competitiveness are the ratio of knowledge-based industries and human capital and energy inefficiencies decrease the regional competitiveness. Compared to Model 1, Model 2 showed that the effects of the regional openness and the technology innovation capital are relatively more influential in Model 2. The results of this empirical study provide policy implications to strengthen the regional competitiveness in the future of the era of globalization and climate change.

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Generation of Weather Data for Future Climate Change for South Korea using PRECIS (PRECIS를 이용한 우리나라 기후변화 기상자료의 생성)

  • Lee, Kwan-Ho
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.54-58
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    • 2011
  • According to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Inter governmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC), climate change is already in progress around the world, and it is necessary to start mitigation and adaptation strategies for buildings in order to minimize adverse impacts. It is likely that the South Korea will experience milder winters and hotter and more extreme summers. Those changes will impact on building performance, particularly with regard to cooling and ventilation, with implications for the quality of the indoor environment, energy consumption and carbon emissions. This study generate weather data for future climate change for use in impacts studies using PRECIS (Providing REgional Climate for Impacts Studies). These scenarios and RCM (Regional Climate Model) are provided high-resolution climate-change predictions for a region generally consistent with the continental-scale climate changes predicted in the GCM (Global Climate Model).

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A Case Study on the Cultural Innovation and Change in Performance of the Railway Construction Authority (철도건설기관의 조직문화혁신과 성과변화에 관한 사례연구)

  • Ryu, Keun-Ok;Moon, Dae-Sup;Kim, Young-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.10 no.1 s.38
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    • pp.29-33
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    • 2007
  • This paper considers the case study of the change management and business innovation of the rail construction agency fer overcoming the crisis it faced in early stage. It will provide the suitable innovation techniques of each change stage. Also, each phase it evaluated the change degree of organization culture especially by the six box model of Weisbord and the Quinn's model. For the Period of Change, organization culture will grow about 10% and harmonize with 4 competitive organization culture; community, innovation, hierarchy, product. Only, it discovered that the difference of the current culture and rho organizer' wish is considerable by the Quinn's model. It wilt be able to describe the innovation fatigue which the organizers feel in the change of organization culture. For the successful innovation, it wilt have to be managed properly and the new innovation technique will have to be developed for solving.

Developing an Urban Planning Model for Climate Change Adaptation

  • Kim, Jong-Kon;Rhim, Joo-Ho;Lee, Sung-Hee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.51-53
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    • 2015
  • As abnormal climate phenomena occur more frequently due to climate change, damage which results from meteorological disaster increases accordingly and its scale and variety are becoming wider. This paper draws out planning and design elements and application techniques to build cities more adaptive to climate change from urban development cases in US and Europe. An urban model is suggested, that enables built environment to be more resilient to risks caused by climate change is applicable to urban development projects in practice.

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Land Use Change Prediction of Cheongju using SLEUTH Model (SLEUTH 모델을 이용한 청주시 토지이용변화 예측)

  • Park, In-Hyeok;Ha, Sung-Ryong
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2013
  • By IPCC climate change scenario, the socioeconomic actions such as the land use change are closely associated with the climate change as an up zoning action of urban development to increase green gas emission to atmosphere. Prediction of the land use change with rational quality can provide better data for understanding of the climate change in future. This study aims to predict land use change of Cheongju in future and SLEUTH model is used to anticipate with the status quo condition, in which the pattern of land use change in future follows the chronical tendency of land use change during last 25 years. From 40 years prediction since 2000 year, the area urbanized compared with 2000 year increases up to 87.8% in 2040 year. The ratios of the area urbanized from agricultural area and natural area in 2040 are decreased to 53.1% and 15.3%, respectively.

Development a Estimate Model of Migration Using Cohort-Survival Model (집단 생잔 모형을 이용한 인구이동모델 개발)

  • Han, Yi-Cheol;Lee, Jeong-Jae;Jung, Nam-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.456-460
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a estimation model of migration with only population data using the cohort-survival model which has been used for forecasting future population. The fluctuation of population can be bisected to the natural change which can be occurred by birth and death and the social change which means migration. The factors of the social change are usually very important for establishing rural policies. However, researches using migration data has limitations because the usage of them are restricted. For verifying a estimation model of migration, comparing estimated population in 2000 year and migration quantity between 1996 and 2000 of 25 gu with real values, using population data and death ratio from 1995 to 2000 of the 25 gu in Seoul. Result shows a reliable data that R-square of forecating population model is 0.9755 and migration is 0.9180. So these model are worth to estimate a population and migration quantity to restricted migration data.

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Urban Land Use Planning with a PSS-based Land Use Change Projection Model

  • Kweon, Ihl;Kim, Jung-Wook
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.515-532
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    • 2002
  • Planning Support System (PSS), an alternative framework of computer-aided planning system combining geographic information system (GIS), urban models, and visualization tools, has been actively researched and applied in many developed countries. This paper introduces a PSS-based land use change model, What if\ulcorner PSS, by applying it to Chongju City, Korea. This model application study used the spatial database, Restricted Development Zone (RDZ), and other hypothetical land supply- and demand-related policies of Chongju City. The collaborative PSS model supported land use planning process by helping users to speedily and easily create and test policy-oriented scenarios. The study found that the fully operational PSS model was readily applicable and useful to Korean local land use planning. The paper discusses the conceptual model framework, data requirement, application process, model output, and practical usage. This study would be considered as a prototypical approach of PSS-based land use plan making for Korean cities.

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Streamflow sensitivity to land cover changes: Akaki River, Ethiopia

  • Mitiku, Dereje Birhanu;Kim, Hyeon Jun;Jang, Cheol Hee;Park, Sanghyun;Choi, Shin Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.49-49
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    • 2016
  • The impact of land cover changes on streamflow of the Akaki catchment will be assessed using Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The study will analyze the historical land cover changes (1993 to 2016) that have taken place in the catchment and its effect on the streamflow of the study area. Arc GIS will be used to analysis the satellite images obtained from the United States Geological Survey (USGS). To investigate the impact of land cover change on streamflow the model set up will be done using readily available spatial and temporal data, and calibrated against measured discharge. Two third of the data will be used for model calibration (1993?2000) and the remaining one-third for model validation (2001?2004). Model performance will be evaluated by using Nash and Sutcliff efficiency (NS) and coefficient of determination (R2). The calibrated model will be used to assess two land cover change (2002 and 2016) scenarios and its likely impacts of land use changes on the runoff will be quantified. The evaluation of the model response to these changes on streamflow will be presented properly. The study will contribute a lot to understand land use and land cover change on streamflow. This enhances the ability of stakeholder to implement sound policies to minimize undesirable future impacts and management alternatives which have a significant role in future flood control of the study area.

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Tests for the Structure Change and Asymmetry of Price Volatility in Farming Olive Flounder (양식 넙치가격 변동성의 구조변화와 비대칭성 검증)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2014
  • This study is to analyse the timing of the structural change of price volatility and the asymmetry of price volatility during the period before and after the timing of the structural change of price volatility using Jeju Farming Olive Flounder's production area market price data from January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2013. The analysis methods of Quandt-Andrews break point test and Threshold GARCH model are employed. The empirical results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the result of Quandt-Andrews break point test shows that a single structural change in price volatility occurred on May 4, 2010 over the sample period. Second, during the period before structural change, daily price change rate has averagely positive value which means price increase, but during the period after structural change daily price change rate has averagely negative value which means price decrease. Also, daily volatility of price change rate during the period before structural change is higher than during the period after structural change. This indicates that price volatility decreases after structural change. Third, the estimation results of Threshold GARCH Model show that the volatility response against price increase is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. Also the result shows the volatility response against price decrease is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. And, irrespective of the timing of structural change, price increase has an larger effect on volatility than price decrease. This means volatility is asymmetric at price increase.

Shifting Planting Dates and Fertilizer Application Rates as Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Two Rice Cultivars in Cambodia

  • Wang, Qingguo;Chun, Jong Ahn;Lee, Woo-Seop;Li, Sanai;Seng, Vang
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.187-199
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    • 2017
  • We attempted to assess the impact of climate change on rice yields in Cambodia and to investigate adaptation strategies to climate change including more drastically shifting the planting dates and considering more fertilizer application levels. The potential yields of two wet season rice cultivars (Sen Pidao and Phka Rumduol) under two climate change scenarios in Cambodia were simulated using the CERES-Rice model. Field experiments conducted at the Cambodian Agricultural Research and Development Institute (CARDI), in 2010, 2011, and 2013 and climate variables from the HadGEM3-RA model were collected for this study. Compared with the baseline (1991-2000), yields of Sen Pidao rice will decrease under climate change and yields of Phka Rumduol rice could increase or decrease depending on fertilizer rates and the periods (2040s, 2050s, and 2080s). In general, the variations in the simulated effects of climate change on yields were more sensitive at fertilizer N100-N200 and less sensitive at fertilizer N0-N50. It is likely that forward shifts of planting date from the baseline plating date for the two cultivars in the future can be more benefitted than backward shifts. It is concluded that the CERES-Rice model can be useful to provide efficacious adaptation strategies in Cambodia.