• 제목/요약/키워드: meteorological-economic

검색결과 135건 처리시간 0.02초

기상조절(인공강우와 안개저감)의 경제적 가치 추정 연구 (Estimation for the Economic Benefit of weather modification (Precipitation Enhancement and Fog Dissipation))

  • 이철규;장기호;차주완;정재원;정진임;양하영;서성규;배진영;강선영;최영진;조하만;최치영
    • 대기
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2010
  • We estimate the economic benefit of weather modification (precipitation enhancement and fog dissipation) by assuming its operation for the considered regions. Based on the statistical data, the economic benefit of the virtually operational precipitation enhancement experiments for the Andong and Imha basins, where the natural precipitation is relatively lack in South Korea, is calculated 348 for the water resources, 22,458 for forest fire prevention, and 28,458 million won/year for the drought relief. The benefit of the fog dissipation operation for the Incheon International Airport is estimated 7,365 million won/year for the flight delay due to fog. The calculated ratio of benefit to cost for precipitation enhancement operation for the basins is 14.07, which is comparable to that conducted in other countries.

기후변화에 따른 유통산업의 핵심 기상요인과 기업의 경제적 효율성 (Firm's Economic Efficiency and Critical Weather Information in Distribution Industry by Climate Change)

  • 이중우;고광근;전진환
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.787-797
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    • 2010
  • Nowadays meteorological information is systemized as a useful knowledge which has a significant effect on the overall industrial domains over the simple data. The distribution industry, which has the short life cycle, depends on the meteorological information at the strategic level. However, it is necessary to pay attention to the continuous investment in meteorological information because there is a hostility to paying for a service, particularly it does not provide accurate and reliable information. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to increase the usefulness of meteorological information in the distribution industry for its economic effectiveness from the core meteorological factors. We found significant meteorological factors (temperature, precipitation, disaster) that have a critical influence on the distribution industry through the hierarchical analysis process, and their importance according to the type of distribution channels, such as department store, large-scale discount store, convenience store, and home shopping. We performed the AHP analysis with 103 survey samples by middle managers from the various distribution channels. We found that precipitation is the critical meteorological factor across the distribution industry. Based on this result, we stress the difference in the level of the meteorological information in order for the effectiveness of each type of distribution channels.

오랜 가뭄 뒤 내린 비에 대한 긍정적 측면의 경제적 가치 연구: 2009년 4월 20~21일 강수 사례 중심으로 (A Study on the Positive Economic Values of Rain After a Long Drought: for the Rainfall Case of 20~21 April, 2009)

  • 이영곤;김백조;차기욱;박길운;류경식
    • 대기
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.173-186
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    • 2010
  • The impact of the precipitation has been focused on losses in social and economical sectors. However, as growing the concerns of the future water shortage caused by the climate change, the precipitation should be consider in various views for an effective planning in the water resource management. A precipitation case occurred from 20 to 21 April 2009 was recorded as a welcome rain because it reduced the severe drought continued in Korea from winter season of 2008. In this study, economic values of the event was calculated with positive aspects in various sectors. The estimation is based on four major parts such as a secure of water resources, the improvement of air quality, the decrease of forest fires, and the reduction of the drought impact. The water resources only considered inflow waters into dams and the reservoirs managed by Korean public institutions and their economic values accounts for 5.92 billion won. Decreases of four air pollutants($PM_{10}$, $NO_2$, CO, and $SO_2$) were considered as the positive effects of the rainfall and estimated 175.4 billion won. The preventive effect of the forest fire after the rainfall results in 0.48 billion won. Finally, the rainfall during the drought period is effective to reduce the social costs of 108.65 billion won. Although the economic values estimated in this study explain parts of the positive effects of the precipitation, it can help to develop a comprehensive and systematic valuation system for the whole process of the precipitation. For doing this, various rainfall types should be analyzed in social-economic terms including economics, environments and hydrology.

조건부가치측정법을 이용한 도시기상정보서비스의 경제적 편익 분석 (Economic Benefit Analysis of Urban Meteorological Information Service Using Contingent Valuation Method)

  • 조영상;구윤모;이종수;이중우
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.643-662
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    • 2011
  • 인구의 도시 집중화가 심화되고 도시지역에서의 국지성 폭우, 폭설, 폭염 등과 같은 이상 기상재해가 매해 증가하면서, 도시지역의 지리적 특성을 고려한 도시기상정보서비스에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. 도시기상정보서비스는 현재보다 더욱 세밀한 단위로 도시의 기상 현상을 관측하여 실시간으로 도시에 특화된 유용한 기상정보를 제공하는 첨단 과학기술 분야로, 도시민의 삶의 질 향상뿐만 아니라 도시내 산업 발전에도 기여할 것으로 예상되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 도시기상정보서비스의 경제적 가치를 해당 정보서비스의 수요자인 도시민을 대상으로 조건부가치평가 방법을 사용하여 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 수도권 가구들을 기준으로, 한 가구당 평균적으로 향후 5년 동안 연간 5,963원을 도시기상정보서비스에 지불할 의사가 있는 것으로 나타났으며, 가구주의 사회 경제학적 특성에 따라 지불의사액에 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다.

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지구온난화에 의한 가정용 전력에너지의 소비평가 (An Assessment of the Residential Electric Energy Consumption Induced by Global Warming)

  • 임한철;변영화;권영태;전종갑
    • 대기
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2008
  • This study provides an impact assesment of climate change on energy consumption, based on active-deal scenario. This approach assumes that the amount of electric energy consumption depends on human spontaneous acts against local (REC) has ben developed by using monthly mean temperature and monthly amount of electric energy consumption in the 6 major cities over the 19-205 period. The statistical model is utilized to estimate the past and future REEC, and to assess the economic benefits and damage in energy consumption sector. For an estimation of the future REEC, climate change scenario, which is generated by National Institute of Meteorological Research, is utilized in this study. According to the model, it is estimated that over the standard period (1999~2005), there might be economic benefits of about 31 bilion Won/year in Seoul due to increasing temperature than in the 1980s. The REC is also predicted to be gradually reduced across the Korean peninsula since the 2020s. These results suggest that Korea will gain economic benefits in the REC sector during the 21st century as temperature increases under global warming scenarios.

국민소득 2만달러 달성의 성장엔진으로서 기상정보의 역할 (The Role of Weather and Climate Information as a Growth Engine for Passing the Gross Domestic Product per Head of $20,000)

  • 김영신;이기봉;김희철
    • 대기
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2005
  • High quality meteorological information is the typical product of service business industry which can offer the investment initiative by reducing the uncertainty and by activating other related industries. It requires a high level of meteorological technology and of ability to transform such technology as merchandising products. According to the analysis of the WMO data, the level of Korean meteorological technology is comparable to that of the nation with $17,500, GDP per head. However, the income of the meteorological business agent earns in Korea is 8 billion 4 hundred million won which is less than a tenth of that made by the US or Japan. The potential for such business field in Korea will be strong enough, if one can overcome such weak points. In addition, the efforts made by the government to advance the meteorological technology have been actualized gradually. Korean government will have a chance that is comparable to offering jobs for 20,000 unemployed by creating incomes of 40 billion won by meteorological technology as a sustained economic growth engine. It is proposed that government stimulate demand and supply by focusing on sales quantity than the price. The key points for creating the new demand are marketing and outsourcing of weather and climate information by maintaining the cooperative relationship between private and public sector.

Safety-Economic Decision Making Model of Tropical Cyclone Avoidance Routing on Oceans

  • Liu, Da-Gang;Wang, De-Qiang;Wu, Zhao-Lin
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2006년도 Asia Navigation Conference
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    • pp.144-153
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    • 2006
  • In order to take TC forecasts from different observatories into consideration, and make quantitative assessment and analysis for avoiding TC routes from the view of safety and cost, a new safe-economic decision making method of TC avoidance routing on ocean was put forward. This model is based on combining forecast of TC trace based on neural networks, technical method to determine the future TC wind and wave fields, technical method of fuzzy information optimization, risk analysis theory, and meteorological-economic decision making theory. It has applied to the simulation of MV Tianlihai's shipping on ocean. The result shows that the model can select the optimum plan from 7 plans, the selected plan is in accordance with the one selected by experienced captains.

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CLOUD SEEDING TO REGULATE WATER SUPPLIES AND THEIR ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY IN KOREA

  • Andrei Sinkevich;Kim, Jeong-yun;Song, Byung-hyun;Suh, Ae-sook
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2002
  • Cloud seeding has not been used now to regulate water supplies in Korea and this results in losses to economy. The fastest experiments on precipitation enhancement in the world show that there are real possibilities to increase precipitation by 10-20%. Investigations of economic losses due to the lack of routine cloud seeding experiments in Korea have shown that they exceed about 100 million US dollars In 1999. Recommendations on cloud seeding activities including works on precipitation augmentation and prevention of heavy rains are presented. Spatial and temporal necessity to carry out this or that work is discussed.

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한반도 초기 계기지진 자료 (1905-1942) (Early Instrumental Earthquake Data (1905-1942) in Korea)

  • 전명순;전정수
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.573-581
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    • 2001
  • 110 earthquake parameters (origin time, epicentral location and magnitude) were determined from 533 event records between 1905 and 1942 using data mainly from the "Annual Report of the Meteorological Observatory of the Government General of Tyosen" We adopted epicentral coordinates from the original reports for 34 events and from the Japanese Central Meteorological Observatory far another .34 events. We determined epicenters for 37 events using arrival time information from the reports. We adopted 4 epicenters from the International Seismological Summary and I from the Chinese bulletin. To determine the magnitude, we applied Tsuboi (1954) formula which is currently employed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for 94 events. For 16 events, we determined magnitude from the reef)reed felt epicentral areal using the correlation equation between known magnitude and felt area.

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