• Title/Summary/Keyword: meteorological parameter

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Dynamic Thermal Rating of Transmission Line Based on Environmental Parameter Estimation

  • Sun, Zidan;Yan, Zhijie;Liang, Likai;Wei, Ran;Wang, Wei
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.386-398
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    • 2019
  • The transmission capacity of transmission lines is affected by environmental parameters such as ambient temperature, wind speed, wind direction and so on. The environmental parameters can be measured by the installed measuring devices. However, it is impossible to install the environmental measuring devices throughout the line, especially considering economic cost of power grid. Taking into account the limited number of measuring devices and the distribution characteristics of environment parameters and transmission lines, this paper first studies the environmental parameter estimating method of inverse distance weighted interpolation and ordinary Kriging interpolation. Dynamic thermal rating of transmission lines based on IEEE standard and CIGRE standard thermal equivalent equation is researched and the key parameters that affect the load capacity of overhead lines is identified. Finally, the distributed thermal rating of transmission line is realized by using the data obtained from China meteorological data network. The cost of the environmental measurement device is reduced, and the accuracy of dynamic rating is improved.

Retrieval of High-Resolution Grid Type Visibility Data in South Korea Using Inverse Distance Weighting and Kriging

  • Kang, Taeho;Suh, Myoung-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.97-110
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    • 2021
  • Fog can cause large-scale human and economic damages, including traffic systems and agriculture. So, Korea Meteorological Administration is operating about 290 visibility meters to improve the observation level of fog. However, it is still insufficient to detect very localized fog. In this study, high-resolution grid-type visibility data were retrieved from irregularly distributed visibility data across the country. To this end, three objective analysis techniques (Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), Ordinary Kriging (OK) and Universal Kriging (UK)) were used. To find the best method and parameters, sensitivity test was performed for the effective radius, power parameter and variogram model that affect the level of objective analysis. Also, the effect of data distribution characteristics (level of normality) on the performance level of objective analysis was evaluated. IDW showed a relatively high level of objective analysis in terms of bias, RMSE and correlation, and the performance is inversely proportional to the effective radius and power parameter. However, the two Krigings showed relatively low level of objective analysis, in particular, greatly weakened the variability of the variables, although the level of output was different depending on the variogram model used. As the level of objective analysis is greatly influenced by the distribution characteristics of data, power, and models used, care should be taken when selecting objective analysis techniques and parameters.

Application of artificial neural network model in regional frequency analysis: Comparison between quantile regression and parameter regression techniques.

  • Lee, Joohyung;Kim, Hanbeen;Kim, Taereem;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.170-170
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    • 2020
  • Due to the development of technologies, complex computation of huge data set is possible with a prevalent personal computer. Therefore, machine learning methods have been widely applied in the hydrologic field such as regression-based regional frequency analysis (RFA). The main purpose of this study is to compare two frameworks of RFA based on the artificial neural network (ANN) models: quantile regression technique (QRT-ANN) and parameter regression technique (PRT-ANN). As an output layer of the ANN model, the QRT-ANN predicts quantiles for various return periods whereas the PRT-ANN provides prediction of three parameters for the generalized extreme value distribution. Rainfall gauging sites where record length is more than 20 years were selected and their annual maximum rainfalls and various hydro-meteorological variables were used as an input layer of the ANN model. While employing the ANN model, 70% and 30% of gauging sites were used as training set and testing set, respectively. For each technique, ANN model structure such as number of hidden layers and nodes was determined by a leave-one-out validation with calculating root mean square error (RMSE). To assess the performances of two frameworks, RMSEs of quantile predicted by the QRT-ANN are compared to those of the PRT-ANN.

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Calculation of Soil Moisture and Evapotranspiration of KLDAS applying Ground-Observed Meteorological Data (지상관측 기상자료를 적용한 KLDAS(Korea Land Data Assimilation System)의 토양수분·증발산량 산출)

  • Park, Gwangha;Kye, Changwoo;Lee, Kyungtae;Yu, Wansik;Hwang, Eui-ho;Kang, Dohyuk
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.6_1
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    • pp.1611-1623
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    • 2021
  • Thisstudy demonstratessoil moisture and evapotranspiration performance using Korea Land Data Assimilation System (KLDAS) under Korea Land Information System (KLIS). Spin-up was repeated 8 times in 2018. In addition, low-resolution and high-resolution meteorological data were generated using meteorological data observed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), Rural Development Administration (RDA), Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRC), Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co.,Ltd. (KHNP), Korea Water Resources Corporation (K-water), and Ministry of Environment (ME), and applied to KLDAS. And, to confirm the degree of accuracy improvement of Korea Low spatial resolution (hereafter, K-Low; 0.125°) and Korea High spatial resolution (hereafter, K-High; 0.01°), soil moisture and evapotranspiration to which Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) and ASOS-Spatial (ASOS-S) used in the previous study were applied were evaluated together. As a result, optimization of the initial boundary condition requires 2 time (58 point), 3 time (6 point), and 6 time (3 point) spin-up for soil moisture. In the case of evapotranspiration, 1 time (58 point) and 2 time (58 point) spin-ups are required. In the case of soil moisture to which MERRA-2, ASOS-S, K-Low, and K-High were applied, the mean of R2 were 0.615, 0.601, 0.594, and 0.664, respectively, and in the case of evapotranspiration, the mean of R2 were 0.531, 0.495, 0.656, and 0.677, respectively, indicating the accuracy of K-High was rated as the highest. The accuracy of KLDAS can be improved by securing a large number of ground observation data through the results of this study and generating high-resolution grid-type meteorological data. However, if the meteorological condition at each point is not sufficiently taken into account when converting the point data into a grid, the accuracy is rather lowered. For a further study, it is expected that higher quality data can be produced by generating and applying grid-type meteorological data using the parameter setting of IDW or other interpolation techniques.

A Study of New Modified Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model Development Using Direct Parameter Estimation (직접적인 매개변수 추정방법을 이용한 새로운 수정된 Neyman-Scott 구형펄스모형 개발 연구)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Joo, Kyoung-Won;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2011
  • Direct parameter estimation method is verified with various models based on Neyman-Scott rectangular pulse model (NSRPM). Also, newly modified NSRPM (NMSRPM) that uses normal distribution is developed. Precipitation data observed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for 47 years is applied for parameter estimation. For model performance verification, we used statistics, wet ratio and precipitation accumulate distribution of precipitation generated. The comparison of statistics indicates that absolute relative error (ARE)s of the results from NSRPM and modified NSRPM (MNSRPM) are increasing on July, August, and September and ARE of NMNSRPM shows 10.11% that is the smallest ARE among the three models. NMNSRPM simulates the characteristics of precipitation statistics well. By comparing the wet ratio, MNSRPM shows the smallest ARE that is 16.35% and by using the graphical analysis, we found that these three models underestimate the wet ratio. The three models show about 2% of ARE of precipitation accumulate probability. Those results show that the three models simulate precipitation accumulate probability well. As the results, it is found that the parameters of NSRPM, MNSRPM and NMNSRPM are able to be estimated by the direct parameter estimation method. From the results listed above, we concluded that the direct parameter estimation is able to be applied to various models based on NSRPM. NMNSRPM shows good performance compared with developed model-NSRPM and MNSRPM and the models based on NSRPM can be developed by the direct parameter estimation method.

Analyzing Spatial and Temporal Variation of Ground Surface Temperature in Korea (국내 지면온도의 시공간적 변화 분석)

  • Koo Min-Ho;Song Yoon-Ho;Lee Jun-Hak
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.39 no.3 s.178
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    • pp.255-268
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    • 2006
  • Recent 22-year (1981-2002) meteorological data of 58 Korea Meteorological Adminstration (KMA) station were analyzed to investigate spatial and temporal variation of surface air temperature (SAT) and ground surface temperature (GST) in Korea. Based on the KMA data, multiple linear regression (MLR) models, having two regression variables of latitude and altitude, were presented to predict mean surface air temperature (MSAT) and mean ground surface temperature (MGST). Both models showed a high accuracy of prediction with $R^2$ values of 0.92 and 0.94, respectively. The prediction of MGST is particularly important in the areas of geothermal energy utilization, since it is a critical parameter of input for designing the ground source heat pump system. Thus, due to a good performance of the MGST regression model, it is expected that the model can be a useful tool for preliminary evaluation of MGST in the area of interest with no reliable data. By a simple linear regression, temporal variation of SAT was analyzed to examine long-term increase of SAT due to the global warming and the urbanization effect. All of the KMA stations except one showed an increasing trend of SAT with a range between 0.005 and $0.088^{\circ}C/yr$ and a mean of $0.043^{\circ}C/yr$. In terms of meteorological factors controlling variation of GST, the effects of solar radiation, terrestrial radiation, precipitation, and snow cover were also discussed based on quantitative and qualitative analysis of the meteorological data.

Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Activity in Summer and Autumn over the Western North Pacific and Its Application to Influencing Tropical Cyclones to the Korean Peninsula (북서태평양 태풍의 여름과 가을철 예측시스템 개발과 한반도 영향 태풍 예측에 활용)

  • Choi, Woosuk;Ho, Chang-Hoi;Kang, KiRyong;Yun, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.565-571
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    • 2014
  • A long-range prediction system of tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western North Pacific (WNP) has been operated in the National Typhoon Center of the Korea Meteorological Administration since 2012. The model forecasts the spatial distribution of TC tracks averaged over the period June~October. In this study, we separately developed TC prediction models for summer (June~August) and autumn (September~November) period based on the current operating system. To perform the three-month WNP TC activity prediction procedure readily, we modified the shell script calling in environmental variables automatically. The user can apply the model by changing these environmental variables of namelist parameter in consideration of their objective. The validations for the two seasons demonstrate the great performance of predictions showing high pattern correlations between hindcast and observed TC activity. In addition, we developed a post-processing script for deducing TC activity in the Korea emergency zone from final forecasting map and its skill is discussed.

Parameter Estimation of Intensity-Duration-Frequency Formula Using Genetic Algorithm(II): Separation of Short and Long Durations (유전자알고리즘을 이용한 강우강도식 매개변수 추정에 관한 연구(II): 장.단기간 구분 방법의 제시)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Kim, Tae-Son;Kim, Soo-Young;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.10
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    • pp.823-832
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the separation of short and long durations for estimation the parameters of IDF curve is suggested by using Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm (MOGA). Objective functions are to minimize root mean squared error (RMSE) and relative RMSE between observed and computed values. The criteria for separation are two; the first one is to estimate more precisely the parameters of IDF curve and the second is to make a single IDF curve without non-continuous duration point. For this purpose 22 rainfall recording gauges operated by Korea Meteorological Administration are selected and three IDF curves that are used generally in South Korea are tested. The result shows that the IDF curve developed by Heo et al. (1999) would be the best of three tested IDF curves, and the suggested parameter estimation method using MOGA can compute more reliable parameters compared with empirical regression analysis.

Construction and Case Analysis of Detailed Urban Characteristic Information on Seoul Metropolitan Area for High-Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction Model (고해상도 수치예보모델을 위한 수도권지역의 상세한 도시특성정보 구축 및 사례 분석)

  • Lee, Hankyung;Jee, Joon-Bum;Yi, Chaeyeon;Min, Jae-Sik
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.567-583
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the high-resolution numerical simulations considering detailed anthropogenic heat, albedo, emission and roughness length are analyzed by using single layer Urban Canopy Model (UCM) in Weather Research Forecast (WRF). For this, improved urban parameter data for Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA) was collected from global data. And then the parameters were applied to WRF-UCM model after it was processed into 2-dimensional topographical data. The 6 experiments were simulated by using the model with each parameter and verified against observation from Automated Weather Station (AWS) and flux tower for the temperature and sensible heat flux. The data for sensible heat flux of flux towers on Jungnang and Bucheon, the temperature of AWS on Jungnang, Gangnam, Bucheon and Neonggok were used as verification data. In the case of summer, the improvement of simulation by using detailed anthropogenic heat was higher than the other experiments in sensible flux simulation. The results of winter case show improved in all simulations using each advanced parameters in temperature and sensible heat flux simulation. Improvement of urban parameters in this study are possible to reflect the heat characteristics of urban area. Especially, detailed application of anthropogenic heat contributed to the enhancement of predicted value for sensible heat flux and temperature.

Accuracy Improvement of Precipitable Water Vapor Estimation by Precise GPS Analysis (GPS 관측데이터 정밀 해석을 통한 가강수량 추정 정확도 향상)

  • Song, Dong-Seob;Yun, Hong-Sic
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.27-30
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is to improve an accuracy of PWV estimates using GPS in Korea. We determined a weighted mean temperature equation by a linear regression method based on 6 radiosonde meteorological observations, for a total 17,129 profiles, from 2003 to 2005. Weighted mean temperature, Tm, is a key parameter in the retrieval of atmospheric PWV from ground-based GPS measurements of zenith path delay. The accuracy of the GPS-derived PWV is proportional to the accuracy of Tm. And we applied the reduction of air Pressure to GPS station altitude. The reduction value of air pressure from mean sea level to GPS stations altitude is adopted a reverse sea level correction.

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