• Title/Summary/Keyword: mercer conditional autoregressive model

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Density estimation of summer extreme temperature over South Korea using mixtures of conditional autoregressive species sampling model (혼합 조건부 종추출모형을 이용한 여름철 한국지역 극한기온의 위치별 밀도함수 추정)

  • Jo, Seongil;Lee, Jaeyong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1155-1168
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    • 2016
  • This paper considers a probability density estimation problem of climate values. In particular, we focus on estimating probability densities of summer extreme temperature over South Korea. It is known that the probability density of climate values at one location is similar to those at near by locations and one doesn't follow well known parametric distributions. To accommodate these properties, we use a mixture of conditional autoregressive species sampling model, which is a nonparametric Bayesian model with a spatial dependency. We apply the model to a dataset consisting of summer maximum temperature and minimum temperature over South Korea. The dataset is obtained from University of East Anglia.