• Title/Summary/Keyword: median prediction

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Utility of Korean Modified Barthel Index (K-MBI) to Predict the Length of Hospital Stay and the Discharge Destinations in People With Stroke (뇌졸중환자에서 재원기간과 퇴원장소 예측을 위한 K-MBI의 유용성)

  • Noh, Dong-Koog;Kim, Kyung-Ho;Kang, Dae-Hee;Lee, Ji-Sun;Nam, Kyung-Wan;Shin, Hyung-Ik
    • Physical Therapy Korea
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to utilize the K-MBI (Korean Modified Barthel Index) and subscales of K-MBI in predicting the length of hospital stay (LOS) and the discharge destinations for stroke patients. The study population consisted of 97 stroke patients (57 men and 40 women) admitted to the Seoul National University at the Bundang Hospital. All participants were assessed by K-MBI at admission and discharge after rehabilitation therapy and the information available was investigated at admission. The data were analyzed by using the Mann-Whitney U test, the stepwise multiple regression and the logistic regression. The median LOS was 30 days (mean, 32.8 days; range, 22 to 43 days). The K-MBI score at initiation of rehabilitation therapy (p<.001), the type of stroke and living habits before a stroke were the main explanatory indicators for LOS (p<.05). Within the parameters of K-MBI measured at initiation for rehabilitation, feeding and chair/bed transfer were the explanatory factors for LOS prediction (p<.01). Confidence in the prediction of LOS was 20%. Significant predictors of discharge destination in a logistic regression model were the discharge K-MBI score, sex and hemiplegic side. Dressing in items of discharge K-MBI was the significant predictor of discharge destination. The K-MBI score was the most important factor to predict LOS and discharge destination. Knowledge of these predictors can contribute to more appropriate treatment and discharge planning.

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Store Sales Prediction Using Gradient Boosting Model (그래디언트 부스팅 모델을 활용한 상점 매출 예측)

  • Choi, Jaeyoung;Yang, Heeyoon;Oh, Hayoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.171-177
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    • 2021
  • Through the rapid developments in machine learning, there have been diverse utilization approaches not only in industrial fields but also in daily life. Implementations of machine learning on financial data, also have been of interest. Herein, we employ machine learning algorithms to store sales data and present future applications for fintech enterprises. We utilize diverse missing data processing methods to handle missing data and apply gradient boosting machine learning algorithms; XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost to predict the future revenue of individual stores. As a result, we found that using median imputation onto missing data with the appliance of the xgboost algorithm has the best accuracy. By employing the proposed method, fintech enterprises and customers can attain benefits. Stores can benefit by receiving financial assistance beforehand from fintech companies, while these corporations can benefit by offering financial support to these stores with low risk.

Plasma D-dimer Can Effectively Predict the Prospective Occurrence of Ascites in Advanced Schistosomiasis Japonica Patients

  • Wu, Xiaoying;Ren, Jianwei;Gao, Zulu;Xu, Yun;Xie, Huiqun;Li, Tingfang;Cheng, Yanhua;Hu, Fei;Liu, Hongyun;Gong, Zhihong;Liang, Jinyi;Shen, Jia;Liu, Zhen;Wu, Feng;Sun, Xi;Niu, Zhongzheng;Ning, An
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.167-174
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    • 2017
  • China still has more than 30,000 patients of advanced schistosomiasis while new cases being reported consistently. D-dimer is a fibrin degradation product. As ascites being the dominating symptom in advanced schistosomiasis, the present study aimed to explore a prediction model of ascites with D-dimer and other clinical easy-achievable indicators. A case-control study nested in a prospective cohort was conducted in schistosomiasis-endemic area of southern China. A total of 291 patients of advanced schistosomiasis were first investigated in 2013 and further followed in 2014. Information on clinical history, physical examination, and abdominal ultrasonography, including the symptom of ascites was repeatedly collected. Result showed 44 patients having ascites. Most of the patients' ascites were confined in the kidney area with median area of $20mm^2$. The level of plasma D-dimer and pertinent liver function indicators were measured at the initial investigation in 2013. Compared with those without ascites, cases with ascites had significantly higher levels of D-dimer ($0.71{\pm}2.44{\mu}g/L$ vs $0.48{\pm}2.12{\mu}g/L$, P=0.005), as well ALB (44.5 vs 46.2, g/L) and Type IV collagen (50.04 vs $44.50{\mu}g/L$). Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses indicated a moderate predictive value of D-dimer by its own area under curve (AUC) of 0.64 (95% CI: 0.54-0.73) and the cutoff value as $0.81{\mu}g/L$. Dichotomized by the cutoff level, D-dimer along with other categorical variables generated a prediction model with AUC of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.68-0.89). Risks of patients with specific characteristics in the prediction model were summarized. Our study suggests that the plasma D-dimer level is a reliable predictor for incident ascites in advanced schistosomiasis japonica patients.

Prediction Role of Seven SNPs of DNA Repair Genes for Survival of Gastric Cancer Patients Receiving Chemotherapy

  • Zou, Hong-Zhi;Yang, Shu-Juan
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.12
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    • pp.6187-6190
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    • 2012
  • We aimed to investigate DNA repair gene expression of response to chemotherapy among gastric patients, and roles in the prognosis of gastric cancer. A total of 209 gastric cancer patients were included in this study between January 2007 and December 2008, all treated with chemotherapy. Polymorphisms were detected by real time PCR with TaqMan probes, and genomic DNA was extracted from peripheral blood samples. The overall response rate was 61.2%. The median progression and overall survivals were 8.5 and 18.7 months, respectively. A significant increased treatment response was found among patients with XPG C/T+T/T or XRCC1 399G/A+A/A genotypes, with the OR (95% CI) of 2.14 (1.15-4.01) and 1.75 (1.04-3.35) respectively. We found XPG C/T+T/T and XRCC1 399 G/A+A/A were associated with a longer survival among gastric cancer patients when compared with their wide type genotypes, with HRs and 95% CIs of 0.49 (0.27-0.89) and 0.56 (0.29-0.98) respectively. Selecting specific chemotherapy based on pretreatment genotyping may be an innovative strategy for further studies.

A Prediction of Coronary Perfusion Pressure Using the Extracted Parameter From Ventricular Fibrillation ECG Wave (심실세동 심전도 파형 추출 파라미터를 이용한 관상동맥 관류압 예측)

  • Jang Seung-Jin;Hwang Sung-Oh;Yoon Young-Ro;Lee Hyun-Sook
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.274-283
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    • 2005
  • Coronary Perfusion Pressure(CPP) is known for the most important parameter related to the Return of Spontaneous Circulation (ROSC), however, clinically measuring CPP is difficult either invasive or non-invaisive method. En this paper, we analyze the correlation between the extracted parameter from VF ECG wave and the CPP with the statistical method, and predict CPP value using the extracted parameters within significance level. the extracted parameters are median frequency(MF), peak frequency(PF), average segment amplitude(ASA), MSA(maximum segment amplitude), Two parameters, MF, and ASA are selected in order to predict CPP value with general regression neural network, and then we evaluated the agreement statistics between the simulated CPP and the measured CPP. In conclusion, the mean and variance of the difference between the simulated CPP and the measured CPP are 8.9716±1.3526 mmHg, and standard deviation 6.4815 mmHg with one hundred-times training and test results. the simulated CPP and the measured CPP are agreed with the overall accuracy $90.68\%$ and kappa coefficient $81.14\%$ as a discriminant parameter of ROSC.

A Study on the Appropriate Size of Stores and Countermeasures in Decline Commercial Area in the Original Downtown

  • Ryu, Tae-Chang
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: In this study, we try to figure out the appropriate size of commercial districts in the original downtown area through empirical studies targeting the Jinju Central Commercial Area in Gyeongnam and Cheonan Station in Chungnam, which are trying to regenerate a specific space that has been lost through government projects. Research design, data and methodology: The current status and characteristics of the shopping district were examined through on-site surveys of the central business district of Jinju, Gyeongnam Province, and Cheonan Station, Chungnam Province, and the size of the empty stores was determined. In addition, the standard median income was used as the survey data along with the survey of the mobile population in the commercial area. Result: The analysis result shows that 883 stores should be maintained considering the overall expenditure and gross sales profit within Cheonan Station in South Chungcheong Province. Currently, considering spending and margins in the Commercial Area, Jinju Central Commercial Area is a place where 222 stores can be sold excessively, and a proper commercial supply plan is needed. Conclusions: In this study, we conducted a demand prediction study in the commercial sector of the most basic sector to regenerate the commercial sector through major regional commercial districts.

Drought forecasting over South Korea based on the teleconnected global climate variables

  • Taesam Lee;Yejin Kong;Sejeong Lee;Taegyun Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.47-47
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    • 2023
  • Drought occurs due to lack of water resources over an extended period and its intensity has been magnified globally by climate change. In recent years, drought over South Korea has also been intensed, and the prediction was inevitable for the water resource management and water industry. Therefore, drought forecasting over South Korea was performed in the current study with the following procedure. First, accumulated spring precipitation(ASP) driven by the 93 weather stations in South Korea was taken with their median. Then, correlation analysis was followed between ASP and Df4m, the differences of two pair of the global winter MSLP. The 37 Df4m variables with high correlations over 0.55 was chosen and sorted into three regions. The selected Df4m variables in the same region showed high similarity, leading the multicollinearity problem. To avoid this problem, a model that performs variable selection and model fitting at once, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO) was applied. The LASSO model selected 5 variables which showed a good agreement of the predicted with the observed value, R2=0.72. Other models such as multiple linear regression model and ElasticNet were also performed, but did not present a performance as good as LASSO. Therefore, LASSO model can be an appropriate model to forecast spring drought over South Korea and can be used to mange water resources efficiently.

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Time Series Data Cleaning Method Based on Optimized ELM Prediction Constraints

  • Guohui Ding;Yueyi Zhu;Chenyang Li;Jinwei Wang;Ru Wei;Zhaoyu Liu
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.149-163
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    • 2023
  • Affected by external factors, errors in time series data collected by sensors are common. Using the traditional method of constraining the speed change rate to clean the errors can get good performance. However, they are only limited to the data of stable changing speed because of fixed constraint rules. Actually, data with uneven changing speed is common in practice. To solve this problem, an online cleaning algorithm for time series data based on dynamic speed change rate constraints is proposed in this paper. Since time series data usually changes periodically, we use the extreme learning machine to learn the law of speed changes from past data and predict the speed ranges that change over time to detect the data. In order to realize online data repair, a dual-window mechanism is proposed to transform the global optimal into the local optimal, and the traditional minimum change principle and median theorem are applied in the selection of the repair strategy. Aiming at the problem that the repair method based on the minimum change principle cannot correct consecutive abnormal points, through quantitative analysis, it is believed that the repair strategy should be the boundary of the repair candidate set. The experimental results obtained on the dataset show that the method proposed in this paper can get a better repair effect.

Predicting the Progression of Chronic Renal Failure using Serum Creatinine factored for Height (소아 만성신부전의 진행 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyo-Sun;We, Harmon
    • Childhood Kidney Diseases
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.144-153
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    • 2000
  • Purpose : Effects to predict tile progression of chronic renal failure (CRF) in children, using mathematical models based on transformations of serum creatinine (Scr) concentration, have failed. Error may be introduced by age-related variations in creatinine production rate. Height (Ht) is a reliable reference for creatinine production in children. Thus, Scr, factored for Ht, could provide a more accurate predictive model. We examined this hypothesis. Methods : The progression of of was detected in 63 children who proceeded to end-stage renal disease. Derivatives of Scr, including 1/Scr, log Scr & Ht/Scr, were defined fir the period Scr was between 2 and 5 mg/dl. Regression equation were used to predict the time, in months, to Scr > 10 mg/dl. The prediction error (PE) was defined as the predicted time minus actual time for each Scr transformation. Result : The PE for Ht/Scr was lower than the PE for either 1/Scr or log Scr (median: -0.01, -2.0 & +10.6 mos respectively; P<0.0001). For children with congenital renal diseases, the PE for Ht/Scr was also lower than for the other two transformations (median: -1.2, -3.2 & +8.2 mos respectively; P<0.0001). However, the PEs for children with glomerular diseases was not as clearly different (median: +0.9, +0.5 & +9.9 respectively). In children < 13 yrs, PE for Ht/Scr was tile lowest, while in older children, 1/Scr provided the lowest PE but not significantly different from that for Ht/Scr. The logarithmic transformation tended to predict a slower progression of CRF than actually occurred. Conclusion : Scr, floored for Ht, appears to be a useful model to predict the rate of progression of CRF, particularly in the prepubertal child with congenital renal disease.

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Development of Traffic Accident Prediction Models Considering Variations of the Future Volume in Urban Areas (신설 도시부 도로의 장래 교통량 변화를 반영한 교통사고 예측모형 개발)

  • Lee, Soo-Beom;Hong, Da-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.3 s.81
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    • pp.125-136
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    • 2005
  • The current traffic accident reduction procedure in economic feasibility study does not consider the characteristics of road and V/C ratio. For solving this problem, this paper suggests methods to be able to evaluate safety of each road in construction and improvement through developing accident Prediction model in reflecting V/C ratio Per road types and traffic characters. In this paper as primary process, model is made by tke object of urban roads. Most of all, factor effecting on accident relying on road types is selected. At this point, selecting criteria chooses data obtained from road planning procedure, traffic volume, existence or non-existence of median barrier, and the number of crossing point, of connecting road. and of traffic signals. As a result of analyzing between each factor and accident. all appear to have relatives at a significant level of statistics. In this research, models are classified as 4-categorized classes according to roads and V/C ratio and each of models draws accident predicting model through Poisson regression along with verifying real situation data. The results of verifying models come out relatively satisfactory estimation against real traffic data. In this paper, traffic accident prediction is possible caused by road's physical characters by developing accident predicting model per road types resulted in V/C ratio and this result is inferred to be used on predicting accident cost when road construction and improvement are performed. Because data using this paper are limited in only province of Jeollabuk-Do, this paper has a limitation of revealing standards of all regions (nation).