• Title/Summary/Keyword: mean-variance

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Stationary bootstrapping for structural break tests for a heterogeneous autoregressive model

  • Hwang, Eunju;Shin, Dong Wan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.367-382
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    • 2017
  • We consider an infinite-order long-memory heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model, which is motivated by a long-memory property of realized volatilities (RVs), as an extension of the finite order HAR-RV model. We develop bootstrap tests for structural mean or variance changes in the infinite-order HAR model via stationary bootstrapping. A functional central limit theorem is proved for stationary bootstrap sample, which enables us to develop stationary bootstrap cumulative sum (CUSUM) tests: a bootstrap test for mean break and a bootstrap test for variance break. Consistencies of the bootstrap null distributions of the CUSUM tests are proved. Consistencies of the bootstrap CUSUM tests are also proved under alternative hypotheses of mean or variance changes. A Monte-Carlo simulation shows that stationary bootstrapping improves the sizes of existing tests.

Multi-Characteristic Robust Design Methodology Based on Designer's Preference (설계자 선호도를 고려한 다특성 강건설계법)

  • 김경모
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.47-61
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    • 2001
  • The ever increasing demands for enhanced competitiveness of engineered products require a "designing-in-quality" strategy that can effectively and efficiently incorporate multiple design objectives into design. Robust design can be viewed as a multi-characteristic design problem requiring tradeoffs between mean and variance characteristics. Firstly this paper analyzes the intrinsic preference of the traditional SN ratio on mean and variance, and secondly presents a new design metric for a robust design using concepts from utility theory to accurately capture designer′s intent and preference on mean and variance. The steps to apply the proposed design metric as the robust design criterion in an orthogonal array based engineering experimentation is presented with the aid of a demonstrative case study. The performance of the proposed design metric is tested, and the results are discussed.

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A Method for Selecting Ground Motions Considering Target Response Spectrum Mean, Variance and Correlation - I Algorithm (응답 스펙트럼의 평균과 분산, 상관관계를 모두 고려한 지반운동 선정 방법 - I 알고리즘)

  • Han, Sang Whan;Ha, Seong Jin;Cho, Sun Wook
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2016
  • It is important to select an accurate set of ground motions when conducting linear and nonlinear response history analyses of structures. This study proposes a method for selecting ground motions from a ground motion library with response spectra that match the target response spectrum mean, variance and correlation structures. This study also has addressed the determination of an appropriate value for the weight factor of a correlation structure. The proposed method is conceptually simple and straightforward, and does not involve a simulation algorithm. In this method, a desired number of ground motions are sequentially selected from first to last. The proposed method can be also used for selecting ground motions with response spectra that match the conditional spectrum. The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed procedure are verified with numerical examples.

Nonlinear Goal Programming Approach for Robust Parameter Experiments (로버스트 변수모형의 비선형 목표계획법 접근방법)

  • Lee, Sang-Heon
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.47-66
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    • 2002
  • Instead of using signal-to-noise ratio, we attempt to optimize both the mean and variance responses using dual response optimization technique. The alternative experimental strategy analyzes a robust parameter design problem to obtain the best settings that give a target condition on the mean while minimizing its variance. The mean and variance are treated as the two responses of interest to be optimized. Unlike to the crossed array and combined array approaches, our experimental setup requires replicated runs for each control factor's treatment under noise sampling. When the postulated response models are true, they enable the coefficients to be estimated and the desired performance measure to be analyzed more efficiently. The procedure and illustrative example are given for the dual response optimization techniques of nonlinear goal programming.

Multiparameter CUSUM charts with variable sampling intervals

  • Im, Chang-Do;Cho, Gyo-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.593-599
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    • 2009
  • We consider the problem of using control charts to monitor more than one parameter with emphasis on simultaneously monitoring the mean and variance. The fixed sampling interval (FSI) control charts are modified to use variable sampling interval (VSI) control charts depending on what is being observed from the data. In general, approaches of monitoring the mean and variance simultaneously is to use separate charts for each parameter and a combined chart. In this paper, we use three basic strategies which are separate Shewhart charts for each parameter, a combined Shewhart chart and a combined CUSUM chart. We showed that a combined VSI CUSUM chart is comparatively more efficient than any other chart if the shifts in both mean and variance are small.

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Efficient Use of Auxiliary Variables in Estimating Finite Population Variance in Two-Phase Sampling

  • Singh, Housila P.;Singh, Sarjinder;Kim, Jong-Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.165-181
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents some chain ratio-type estimators for estimating finite population variance using two auxiliary variables in two phase sampling set up. The expressions for biases and mean squared errors of the suggested c1asses of estimators are given. Asymptotic optimum estimators(AOE's) in each class are identified with their approximate mean squared error formulae. The theoretical and empirical properties of the suggested classes of estimators are investigated. In the simulation study, we took a real dataset related to pulmonary disease available on the CD with the book by Rosner, (2005).

Tilted beta regression and beta-binomial regression models: Mean and variance modeling

  • Edilberto Cepeda-Cuervo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.263-277
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    • 2024
  • This paper proposes new parameterizations of the tilted beta binomial distribution, obtained from the combination of the binomial distribution and the tilted beta distribution, where the beta component of the mixture is parameterized as a function of their mean and variance. These new parameterized distributions include as particular cases the beta rectangular binomial and the beta binomial distributions. After that, we propose new linear regression models to deal with overdispersed binomial datasets. These new models are defined from the proposed new parameterization of the tilted beta binomial distribution, and assume regression structures for the mean and variance parameters. These new linear regression models are fitted by applying Bayesian methods and using the OpenBUGS software. The proposed regression models are fitted to a school absenteeism dataset and to the seeds germination rate according to the type seed and root.

A Study on a Measure for Non-Normal Process Capability (비정규 공정능력 측도에 관한 연구)

  • 김홍준;김진수;조남호
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2001
  • All indices that are now in use assume normally distributed data, and any use of the indices on non-normal data results in inaccurate capability measurements. Therefore, $C_{s}$ is proposed which extends the most useful index to date, the Pearn-Kotz-Johnson $C_{pmk}$, by not only taking into account that the process mean may not lie midway between the specification limits and incorporating a penalty when the mean deviates from its target, but also incorporating a penalty for skewness. Therefore we propose, a new process capability index $C_{psk}$( WV) applying the weighted variance control charting method for non-normally distributed. The main idea of the weighted variance method(WVM) is to divide a skewed or asymmetric distribution into two normal distribution from its mean to create two new distributions which have the same mean but different standard distributions. In this paper we propose an example, a distribution generated from the Johnson family of distributions, to demonstrate how the weighted variance-based process capability indices perform in comparison with another two non-normal methods, namely the Clements and the Wright methods. This example shows that the weighted valiance-based indices are more consistent than the other two methods In terms of sensitivity to departure to the process mean/median from the target value for non-normal process.s.s.s.

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Mean Estimation in Two-phase Sampling (이중추출에서 모평균 추정)

  • 김규성;김진석;이선순
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we investigated mean estimation methods in two-phase sampling. Under the fixed expected cost we reviewed the optimal sample sizes, minimum variances and approximate unbiased variance estimators for usual ratio estimator, stratified sample mean with proportional allocation and Rao's allocation of the second phase sample. Also we proposed combined ratio estimator, which uses both ratio estimation and stratification and derived optimal sample size, minimum variance and unbiased variance estimator. Through a limited simulation study, we compared estimators by design effects and came to know that ratio estimator is more efficient than stratified sample mean in some cases and inefficient in the other cases, but combined ratio estimator is more efficient than others in most cases.

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Optimal Portfolio Models for an Inefficient Market

  • GINTING, Josep;GINTING, Neshia Wilhelmina;PUTRI, Leonita;NIDAR, Sulaeman Rahman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2021
  • This research attempts to formulate a new mean-risk model to replace the Markowitz mean-variance model by altering the risk measurement using ARCH variance instead of the original variance. In building the portfolio, samples used are closing prices of Indonesia Composite Stock Index and Indonesia Composite Bonds Index from 2013 to 2018. This study is a qualitative study using secondary data from the Indonesia Stock Exchange and Indonesia Bonds Pricing Agency. This research found that Markowitz's model is still superior when utilized in daily data, while the mean-ARCH model is appropriate with wider gap data like monthly observation. The Historical return has also proven to be more appropriate as a benchmark in selecting an optimal portfolio rather than a risk-free rate in an inefficient market. Therefore Mean-ARCH is more appropriate when utilized under data that have a wider gap between the period. The research findings show that the portfolio combination produced is inefficient due to the market inefficiency indicated by the meager return of the stock, while bears notable standard deviation. Therefore, the researcher of this study proposed to replace the risk-free rate as a benchmark with the historical return. The Historical return proved to be more realistic than the risk-free rate in inefficient market conditions.