• Title/Summary/Keyword: mean squared error (MSE)

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System Development of the Stock Price Prediction (주가 예측을 위한 Web Site 개발)

  • Cho, Kyu Cheol;Lee, Sung Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2021.01a
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    • pp.161-162
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    • 2021
  • 주식을 매매할 때, 주식의 차트와 가치를 분석한 다음 언제 주식이 상한가 또는 하한가가 될지 예측한 후 매매하게 된다. 하지만 일반적으로 주식을 예측하기 어려워 주식의 수익을 내기 힘들다. 따라서 본 논문은 지난날의 주식 가격 데이터를 분석해 주식의 가격을 예측하는 주식 차트 분석을 할 수 있게 '주가 예측을 위한 웹 사이트'를 개발하였다. 이 사이트는 주식의 차트 분석을 지원하고 주식을 언제 매매할지에 대한 의사결정을 도와줄 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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A Comparative Analysis of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Architectures for Box Compression Strength Estimation

  • By Juan Gu;Benjamin Frank;Euihark Lee
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF PACKAGING SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.163-174
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    • 2023
  • Though box compression strength (BCS) is commonly used as a performance criterion for shipping containers, estimating BCS remains a challenge. In this study, artificial neural networks (ANN) are implemented as a new tool, with a focus on building up ANN architectures for BCS estimation. An Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model can be constructed by adjusting four modeling factors: hidden neuron numbers, epochs, number of modeling cycles, and number of data points. The four factors interact with each other to influence model accuracy and can be optimized by minimizing model's Mean Squared Error (MSE). Using both data from the literature and "synthetic" data based on the McKee equation, we find that model estimation accuracy remains limited due to the uncertainty in both the input parameters and the ANN process itself. The population size to build an ANN model has been identified based on different data sets. This study provides a methodology guide for future research exploring the applicability of ANN to address problems and answer questions in the corrugated industry.

Prediction Skill of GloSea5 model for Stratospheric Polar Vortex Intensification Events (성층권 극소용돌이 강화사례에 대한 GloSea5의 예측성 진단)

  • Kim, Hera;Son, Seok-Woo;Song, Kanghyun;Kim, Sang-Wook;Kang, Hyun-Suk;Hyun, Yu-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.211-227
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    • 2018
  • This study evaluates the prediction skills of stratospheric polar vortex intensification events (VIEs) in Global Seasonal Forecasting System (GloSea5) model, an operational subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) prediction model of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). The results show that the prediction limits of VIEs, diagnosed with anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC) and mean squared skill score (MSSS), are 13.6 days and 18.5 days, respectively. These prediction limits are mainly determined by the eddy error, especially the large-scale eddy phase error from the eddies with the zonal wavenumber 1. This might imply that better prediction skills for VIEs can be obtained by improving the model performance in simulating the phase of planetary scale eddy. The stratospheric prediction skills, on the other hand, tend to not affect the tropospheric prediction skills in the analyzed cases. This result may indicate that stratosphere-troposphere dynamic coupling associated with VIEs might not be well predicted by GloSea5 model. However, it is possible that the coupling process, even if well predicted by the model, cannot be recognized by monotonic analyses, because intrinsic modes in the troposphere often have larger variability compared to the stratospheric impact.

Design of the Staircase Fatigue Tests for the Random Fatigue Limit Model (확률적 피로한도모형하에서 계단형 피로시험의 설계)

  • Seo, Sun-Keun;Park, Jung-Eun;Cho, You-Hee;Song, Suh-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2007
  • The fatigue has been considered the most failure mode of metal, ceramic, and composite materials. In this paper, numerical experiments to asses the usefulness of two Dixon's methods(small and large samples) and 14 S-N methods on assumptions of lognormal fatigue limit distribution under RFL(Random Fatigue Limit) model are conducted for staircase(or up-and-down) test and compared by MSE(Mean Squared Error) and bias for estimates of mean log-fatigue limit. Also, guidelines for staircase test plans to choose initial stress level and step size are recommended from numerical experiments including sensitivity analyses. In addition, the parametric bootstrap method to construct a confidence interval for the mean of log-fatigue limit by the percentile method using a transition probability matrix of Markov chain is presented and illustrated with an example.

Predicting blast-induced ground vibrations at limestone quarry from artificial neural network optimized by randomized and grid search cross-validation, and comparative analyses with blast vibration predictor models

  • Salman Ihsan;Shahab Saqib;Hafiz Muhammad Awais Rashid;Fawad S. Niazi;Mohsin Usman Qureshi
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.121-133
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    • 2023
  • The demand for cement and limestone crushed materials has increased many folds due to the tremendous increase in construction activities in Pakistan during the past few decades. The number of cement production industries has increased correspondingly, and so the rock-blasting operations at the limestone quarry sites. However, the safety procedures warranted at these sites for the blast-induced ground vibrations (BIGV) have not been adequately developed and/or implemented. Proper prediction and monitoring of BIGV are necessary to ensure the safety of structures in the vicinity of these quarry sites. In this paper, an attempt has been made to predict BIGV using artificial neural network (ANN) at three selected limestone quarries of Pakistan. The ANN has been developed in Python using Keras with sequential model and dense layers. The hyper parameters and neurons in each of the activation layers has been optimized using randomized and grid search method. The input parameters for the model include distance, a maximum charge per delay (MCPD), depth of hole, burden, spacing, and number of blast holes, whereas, peak particle velocity (PPV) is taken as the only output parameter. A total of 110 blast vibrations datasets were recorded from three different limestone quarries. The dataset has been divided into 85% for neural network training, and 15% for testing of the network. A five-layer ANN is trained with Rectified Linear Unit (ReLU) activation function, Adam optimization algorithm with a learning rate of 0.001, and batch size of 32 with the topology of 6-32-32-256-1. The blast datasets were utilized to compare the performance of ANN, multivariate regression analysis (MVRA), and empirical predictors. The performance was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and root mean squared error (RMSE)for predicted and measured PPV. To determine the relative influence of each parameter on the PPV, sensitivity analyses were performed for all input parameters. The analyses reveal that ANN performs superior than MVRA and other empirical predictors, andthat83% PPV is affected by distance and MCPD while hole depth, number of blast holes, burden and spacing contribute for the remaining 17%. This research provides valuable insights into improving safety measures and ensuring the structural integrity of buildings near limestone quarry sites.

Artifact Reduction in Sparse-view Computed Tomography Image using Residual Learning Combined with Wavelet Transformation (Wavelet 변환과 결합한 잔차 학습을 이용한 희박뷰 전산화단층영상의 인공물 감소)

  • Lee, Seungwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.295-302
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    • 2022
  • Sparse-view computed tomography (CT) imaging technique is able to reduce radiation dose, ensure the uniformity of image characteristics among projections and suppress noise. However, the reconstructed images obtained by the sparse-view CT imaging technique suffer from severe artifacts, resulting in the distortion of image quality and internal structures. In this study, we proposed a convolutional neural network (CNN) with wavelet transformation and residual learning for reducing artifacts in sparse-view CT image, and the performance of the trained model was quantitatively analyzed. The CNN consisted of wavelet transformation, convolutional and inverse wavelet transformation layers, and input and output images were configured as sparse-view CT images and residual images, respectively. For training the CNN, the loss function was calculated by using mean squared error (MSE), and the Adam function was used as an optimizer. Result images were obtained by subtracting the residual images, which were predicted by the trained model, from sparse-view CT images. The quantitative accuracy of the result images were measured in terms of peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR) and structural similarity (SSIM). The results showed that the trained model is able to improve the spatial resolution of the result images as well as reduce artifacts in sparse-view CT images effectively. Also, the trained model increased the PSNR and SSIM by 8.18% and 19.71% in comparison to the imaging model trained without wavelet transformation and residual learning, respectively. Therefore, the imaging model proposed in this study can restore the image quality of sparse-view CT image by reducing artifacts, improving spatial resolution and quantitative accuracy.

A study on loss combination in time and frequency for effective speech enhancement based on complex-valued spectrum (효과적인 복소 스펙트럼 기반 음성 향상을 위한 시간과 주파수 영역 손실함수 조합에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Jaehee;Kim, Wooil
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.38-44
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    • 2022
  • Speech enhancement is performed to improve intelligibility and quality of the noise-corrupted speech. In this paper, speech enhancement performance was compared using different loss functions in time and frequency domains. This study proposes a combination of loss functions to utilize advantage of each domain by considering both the details of spectrum and the speech waveform. In our study, Scale Invariant-Source to Noise Ratio (SI-SNR) is used for the time domain loss function, and Mean Squared Error (MSE) is used for the frequency domain, which is calculated over the complex-valued spectrum and magnitude spectrum. The phase loss is obtained using the sin function. Speech enhancement result is evaluated using Source-to-Distortion Ratio (SDR), Perceptual Evaluation of Speech Quality (PESQ), and Short-Time Objective Intelligibility (STOI). In order to confirm the result of speech enhancement, resulting spectrograms are also compared. The experimental results over the TIMIT database show the highest performance when using combination of SI-SNR and magnitude loss functions.

Low-power DWT filter bank design using comb filter and fourth-order polynomial (Comb 필터와 4차 다항식을 사용한 저전력 DWT 필터뱅크 설계)

  • Jang Young-Beom;Lee Won-Sang
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2005
  • In this paper a low-power DWT(Discrete Wavelet Transform) design technique is proposed. As basic low-pass filter for analysis bank, comb filter is utilized, and in order to improve frequency response for the comb filter, a fourth order polynomial is also proposed. Another filters are designed by using perfect reconstruction conditions. The lowpass filter coefficients of the analysis filter bank are optimized based on the cost function and perfect reconstruction condition. The number of the multiplications and MSE(Mean Squared Error) performance of the proposed DWT filter bank are compared with those of the JPEG2000 (9, 7) filter bank. It is shown that number of multiplications of the proposed filter bank are saved with 33.3%, and MSE values of the proposed filter bank are also superior to those of the JPEG2000 (9, 7) filter bank.

Study on DC-Offset Cancellation in a Direct Conversion Receiver

  • Park, Hong-Won
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.157.2-157.2
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    • 2012
  • Direct-conversion receivers often suffer from a DC-offset that is a by-product of the direct conversion process to baseband. In general, a basic approach to reduce the DC-offset is to do simple average of the baseband signal and remove the DC by subtracting the average. However, this gives rise to a residual DC offset which degrades the performance when the receiver adopts the coding schemes with high coding rates such as 8-PSK. Therefore, more advanced methods should be additionally required for better performance. While the training sequences are basically designed to have good auto-correlation properties to facilitate the channel estimation, they may be not good for the simultaneous estimation of the channel response and the DC-offset. Also the DC offset compensation under a bad condition does not give good results due to the estimation error. Correspondingly, the proposed scheme employs the two important points. First, the training sequence codes are divided into two groups by MSE(Mean Squared Errors) for estimating the channel taps and then SNR calculated from each group is compared to predefined threshold to do fine DC-offset estimation. Next, ON/OFF module is applied for preventing performance degradation by large estimation error under severe channel conditions. The simulation results of the proposed scheme shows good performances compared to the existing algorithm. As a result, this scheme is surely applicable to the receiver design in many communications systems.

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Performance Improvement of PSAM Channel Estimation Method for OFDM Systems over Frequency-Selective Channel (주파수 선택적 채널에서의 OFDM 시스템을 위한 PSAM 채널 추정 기법의 성능 개선)

  • Kim, Young-Soo;Bae, Jeong-Gook
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we propose a method to improve performance of pilot symbol assisted modulation(PSAM) channel estimation method for OFDM systems over frequency selective channel. When channel values are estimated, the low pilot density used for channel estimation increases not only the effective data rate but also power efficiency. Thus, the lower pilot density which is used for channel estimation is better for OFDM system. At first, we estimate the channel values which are located at the middle of adjacent pilots, and then all of the possible channel values are estiamted by using original pilot values and previously estimated pilot values. Furthermore, the error of estimated channel values is reduced by introducing guard interval which is designed acccording to maximum channel delay. Performance achieved with the proposed method is illustrated by simulation experiments in comparison with the existing methods in terms of mean squared error(MSE).