• Title/Summary/Keyword: maximum flood

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Comparative Analysis of Flood Frequency by L-moment in Weibull-3 and GEV Distributions (Weibull-3및 GEV 분포모형의 L-모멘트법에 의한 홍수빈도 비교분석)

  • 이순혁
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.25-29
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    • 1999
  • This study was conducted to derive optimal design floods by Gerneralized Extreme Value(GEV) and Weibull-3 distributions for the annual maximum series at ten watersheds along Han,Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin reiver systems. Adequency for the analysis of flood data used in this study was established by the tests of Independence. Homogeneity , detection of Outlines, L-moments. Design flood sobtaine dby /methods of Moments and L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions in BEV and Weibull-3 distributions were compared by the Relative Mean Errors(RME) and Root MEan Square Errors(RMSE). The result wa found that design floods derived by the L-moments using the other formulas for plotting positions from the viewpoint of Relative Mean Errors and Root Mean Square Errors.

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Reservoir Sedimentations of the Enclosure of Estuary Barraye in Gumgang Basin (하구언 설치에 따른 하천유사량 변화에 관한 연구)

  • 이중기
    • Water for future
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.86-100
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    • 1976
  • To study influences on the downstream, and the Gunsan harbor by setting up estuary of the Gumgang, available data which were collected from the measuring stations which were established within the river basin of which results attained are as follows: 1. The discharge can be calculated as the relationship between the discharge and precipitation in the basin is $R=4{\times}10^{-4}p^2$ or R=P-600 2. The discharge flow in to small resevoirs in the basin can be estimated as $QR=QS\frac{PR-600}{PS-600}(\frac{AR}{AS})$ 3. This daily average discharge at Kongju is 31% less than the during maximum probable discharge and that in Okcheon is 48% less than the daily maximum probable flood. 4. The maximum probable flood from the small stream in the basin can be estimated by a $Q=82.45A^{0{\cdot}464}$ 5. Sediments can be computed with Qs (suspended load)=1.41 $Q^{1{\cdot}42}$ and Qb (bed load)=165.2 $Q^{0{\cdot}705}$. 6. By setting up the specific estuary the tidal movement will be reduced to 93.6% on the average and the sedimentation is reduced to 96.0%. Upon review of overall analysis, the dead wate level of estuary of Gumgang will completely sedimented in next 30 years, therefore, the dredging work at Gunsan harbor is reduced to 73.6%, it is considered that life length will be extended about 52years taking account the existing condition.

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Suggestion of modification method of unit hydrograph for estimating probable maximum flood (가능최대홍수량 산정을 위한 단위도의 수정 방법 제안)

  • Lee, Jinwook;Kim, Soeun;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.309-309
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    • 2021
  • 댐 설계 시 가능최대강수량(probable maximum precipitation, PMP)으로 인한 홍수량인 가능최대홍수량(probable maximum flood, PMF)이 고려되며, 이를 산정하기 위해서는 단위도가 필요하다. 즉, PMF는 PMP를 입력으로 하여 단위도를 이용한 강우-유출 해석을 통해 얻어진다. 따라서, 동일한 PMP가 고려되더라도 적용되는 단위도에 따라 산정되는 PMF는 달라진다. PMP가 발생하는 상황에서는 평균적인 상황에 비해 단위도의 반응이 보다 빠르고 강해진다(한국개발연구원, 2007; 한국수자원공사, 2008; Kjedsen et al., 2016). 국내의 경우, 아직까지 PMF 산정을 위한 단위도에 대한 명확한 지침은 존재하지 않는다. 댐설계기준해설(국토해양부, 2011)에서는 유역의 평균단위도로 PMF를 추정할 경우 실제보다 낮은 결과치가 도출되는 문제가 있을 수 있다는 점을 경고하는 수준에 그치고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 유속 정보를 기반으로 PMF 산정을 위한 단위도를 결정해 보고, 이를 통해 대표단위도로부터 PMF 산정을 위한 단위도를 결정하기 위한 수정 방법을 제안하였다. 추가적으로 이러한 수정단위도를 적용하여, 기존 국내 기준 적용 결과 및 확률 강우량을 통해 산정되는 빈도홍수량과의 비교를 수행하였다.

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Hydraulic and Hydrologic Analysis by Washland Construction (천변저류지 조성에 따른 수리.수문분석)

  • Kim, Duck-Gil;Kyoung, Min-Soo;Kim, Sang-Dan;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.483-489
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    • 2008
  • Recently, we have a growing interest in the washland construction for the function of flood defense in flood season and also as an ecosystem in non flood season. Therefore this study performed the hydraulic and hydrologic analysis for washland construction plan as sustainable flood defense alternative in flood season and wetland application possibility. The study area is Topyoung-cheon basin in Changnyeong-gun, Gyeongnam. A Topyoung-cheon basin includes a Woopo wetland which is the largest nature wetland in Korea and a Topyoung-cheon is ond of the tributaries of Nakdong river. We assume that the artificial washland is constructed in upperstream and downstream of Woopo wetland, and In flood season, the hydraulic analysis for the investigation of the effectiveness of flood level mitigation is performed by HEC-RAS model. Simulation of model is performed from 7 scenarioes of washland construction. As the result in flood season, the flood level is reduced by maximum 0.56 meter as we construct the washlands by 7 scenarios. Also, we performed hydrologic analysis for the investigation of water balance in washland in non flood season using SWAT model. From the result of water balance analysis, we found that the minimum water level of washland was maintained in about 1.3 meter for one year.

An Analysis of PMF and Critical Duration for Design of Hydraulic Structure (수공구조물 설계를 위한 PMF 및 임계지속시간 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Choi, Hyun;Shin, Hee-beom;Park, Sang-Kil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.9
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    • pp.707-718
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    • 2004
  • This study is to analyze the Probable Maximum Flood(PMF) as a part of counterplan for the disaster prevention of hydraulic structures such as dams, according to recent unfavorable weather conditions. During the period of typhoon RUSA in August 2002, the rainfall recorded in Gang-loeng Province was 880mm a day and exceeded the scale of PMP made in 2001. Accordingly, the reconsideration of hydrologic criteria for dam design was inevitable. In the design of dams for flood controls, the design flood must be determined by introducing the concept of maximum values. When the duration of design rainfall is determined, it needs to use the critical duration which causes the maximum flood by the maximum runoff. In this study, we Investigate the variation of critical duration with hydrologic parameters used in three different synthetic unit hydrographs(Clark, Nakayasu and SCS methods). As a result, the total runoff calculated from 24-hour duration is larger than that calculated from the critical duration. We calculate also the hydrographs with three different time distribution models(Huff's 4-quartile, IDF curve and Mononobe) and compare those with measured hydrograph data. From this comparison, we propose that the Huff's 4-quartile model must be used to obtain the desirable data in the hydrologic design of dams.

A Determination of Design Flood for a small Basin by Unit Hydrograph Method (단위유량도법에 의한 소유역의 계획홍수량 결정)

  • 윤용남;침순보
    • Water for future
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.76-86
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    • 1976
  • The 30-year design flood hydrograph for the Musim Representative Basin, one of the study basins of the International Hydrological Program, is synthesized by the method of unit hydrograph. The theory of unit hydrograph has been well known for a long time. However, the synthesis of flood hydrograph by this method for a basin with insufficient hydrologic data is not an easy task and hence, assumptions and engineering judgement must be exercized. In this paper, the problems often encountered in applying the unit hydrograph method are exposed and solved in detail based on the theory and rational judgement. The probability rainfall for Cheonju Station is transposed to the Musim Basin since it has not been analyzed due to short period of rainfall record. The duration of design rainfall was estimated based on the time of concentration for the watershed. The effective rainfall was determined from the design rainfall using the SCS method which is commonly used for a small basin. The spatial distribution of significant storms was expressed as a dimensionless rainfall mass curve and hence, it was possible to determine the hyetograph of effective design storm. To synthesize the direct runoff hydrograph the 15-min. unit hydrograph was derived by the S-Curve method from the 1-hr unit hydrograph which was obtained from the observed rainfall and runoff data, and then it was applied to the design hyetograph. The exsisting maximum groundwater depletion curve was derived by the base flow seperation. Hence, the design flood hydrograph was obtained by superimposing the groundwater depletion curve to the computed direct runoff hydrograph resulting from the design storm.

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Estimation of Design Flood by the Determination of Best Fitting Order for LH-Moments (LH-모멘트의 차수에 따른 설계홍수량 추정)

  • Maeng, Sung-Jin;Lee, Soon-Hyuk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.233-236
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to estimate the design flood by the determination of best fitting order for LH-moments of the annual maximum series at fifteen watersheds. Parameters of GEV distribution and flood flows of return period n years were derived by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments. Frequency analysis of flood flow data generated by Monte Carlo simulation was performed by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments using GEV distribution. Relative Root Mean Square Error (RRMSE), Relative Bias (RBIAS) and Relative Efficiency (RE) using methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments for GEV distribution were computed and compared with those resulting from Monte Carlo simulation. At almost all of the watersheds, the more the order of LH-moments and the return periods increased, the more RE became, while the less RRMSE and RBIAS became. Consequently, design floods for the applied watersheds were derived by the methods of L3 and L4-moments among LH-moments in view of high confidence efficiency.

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Evaluation of Flood Control Capacity for Seongju Dam against Extreme Floods (이상강우에 대비한 성주댐의 홍수조절 능력 분석)

  • 권순국;한건연;서승덕;최혁준
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2003
  • As a fundamental research to establish a safety operation plan for irrigation dams, this study presents hydrologic analysis conducted in Sungju Dam watershed based on various rainfall data. Especially those reservoirs without flood control feature are widely exposed to the risk of flooding, a safe and optimized operation program need to be improved against arbitrary flooding. In this study, reservoir routing program was developed and simulated for reservoir runoff estimation using WMS hydrology model. The model simulated the variations of reservoir elevation under the condition of open or closed emergency gate. In case of closed emergency gate, water surface elevation was given as 193.15 m, and this value exceeds the dam crest height by 1.65 m. When the emergency gate is open, the increment of water surface elevation is given as 192.01 m, and this value exceeds dam crest height by 0.57 m. As an alternative plan, dam height increase can be considered for flood control under the PMP (Probable Maximum Precipitation) condition. Since the dam size is relatively small compare to the watershed area, sound protection can be expected from the latter option rather than emergency gate installation.

Application of multi-dimensional flood damage analysis in urban area (도시지역 침수피해액 산정을 위한 다차원법 적용)

  • Tak, Yong Hun;Kim, Young Do;Kang, Boosik;Park, Mun Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.6
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    • pp.397-405
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    • 2017
  • In case of inundation in a city where populations and properties are highly concentrated, unlike rural areas it is necessary to apply the method of calculating the damage amount considering the sewage overflow and the corresponding building damage. In this study, Dorim 1 drainage sector has been analyzed with Multi-Dimensional Flood Damage Assessment (MD-FDA) for flood forecast. It is analyzed with past flood history through the SWMM model and calculated the amount of damage with district base data and the result of flow analysis. The result of the SWMM model to predict a range of flood, it was shown that the wide area after 4 hours (at 16:30) by sewer overflow. The building damage was estimated using MD-FDA. As a result, the maximum flood area has shown as $205,955m^2$ (0~0.5 m: $205,190m^2$, over 0.5 m: $865m^2$) and estimated building damage of Dorim 1 drainage sector is approximately 15.5 billion KRW (Korean won) and other contents is 7 billion KRW (Korean won). Also from 0 to 0.5 m depth estimated damage is approximately 22.4 billion KRW (Korean won) and over 0.5 m is 100 million KRW (Korean won). Based on the results of this study, it would be necessary to estimate the amount of sub-divided flood damage in urban areas according to various damage patterns such as flood depth and flood time.

A study of Spatial Multi-Criteria Decision Making for optimal flood defense measures considering regional characteristic (지역특성을 고려한 홍수방어대안 제시를 위한 공간 다기준의사결정 기법 적용 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Eunkyung;Ji, Jungwon;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.301-311
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the flood inundation caused by heavy rainfall in urban area is increasing due to global warming. The variability of climate change is described in the IPCC 5th report (2014). The precipitation pattern and hydrological system is varied by climate change. Since the heavy rainfall surpassed the design capacity of the pipeline, it caused great damage in metropolitan cities such as Seoul and Busan. Inundation in urban area is primarily caused by insufficient sewer capacity and surplus overflow of river. Inundation in urban area with concentrated population is more dangerous than rural and mountains areas, because it is accompanied by human casualties as well as socio-economic damage to recover destruction of roads, brides and underground spaces. In addition, various factors such as an increase in impervious area, a short time of concentration to outlet, and a shortage of sewer capacity's lack increase flooding damage. In this study, flood inundation analysis was conducted for vulnerable areas using XP-SWMM. Also, three structural flood prevention measures such as drainage pipeline construction, detention reservoir construction, and flood pumping station construction are applied as flood damage prevention alternatives. The flood data for each alternative were extracted by dividing the basin by grid. The Spatial Compromise Programming are applied using flood assessment criteria, such as maximum inundation depth, inundation time, and construction cost. The purpose of this study is to reflect the preference of alternatives according to geographical condition even in the same watershed and to select flood defense alternative considering regional characteristics.