• Title/Summary/Keyword: maximum daily rainfall

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Frequency Analysis of Extreme Rainfall by L-Moments (L-모멘트법에 의한 극치강우의 빈도분석)

  • Maeng, Sung-Jin;Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Kim, Byung-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.225-228
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    • 2002
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall in 38 Korean rainfall stations. To select the fit appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data according to rainfall stations, applied were Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO) and Generalized Pareto (GPA) probability distributions were applied. and their aptness was judged Dusing an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test, the aptitude was judged of applied distributions such as GEV, GLO and GPA. The GEV and GLO distributions were selected as the appropriate distributions. Their parameters were estimated Targetingfrom the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfalls and using Monte Carlo techniques, the parameters of GEV and GLO selected as suitable distributions were estimated and. dDesign rainfallss were then derived, using the L-moment. Appropriate design rainfalls were suggested by doing a comparative analysis of design rainfall from the GEV and GLO distributions according to rainfall stations.

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Estimation of Design Rainfall Using 3 Parameter Probability Distributions (3변수 확률분포에 의한 설계강우량 추정)

  • Lee, Soon Hyuk;Maeng, Sung Jin;Ryoo, Kyong Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.595-598
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    • 2004
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall at 38 rainfall stations in Korea. To select the appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data by the rainfall stations, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Generalized Pareto (GPA), Generalized Normal (GNO) and Pearson Type 3 (PT3) probability distributions were applied and their aptness were judged using an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Parameters of appropriate distributions were estimated from the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfall using Monte Carlo techniques. Design rainfalls were finally derived by GEV distribution, which was proved to be more appropriate than the other distributions.

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Frequency Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Using 3 Parameter Probability Distributions (3변수 확률분포형에 의한 극치강우의 빈도분석)

  • Kim, Byeong-Jun;Maeng, Sung-Jin;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Lee, Soon-Hyuk
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2004
  • This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall at 38 rainfall stations in Korea. To select the appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data by the rainfall stations, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Generalized Pareto (GPA), Generalized Normal (GNO) and Pearson Type 3 (PT3) probability distributions were applied and their aptness were judged using an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Parameters of appropriate distributions were estimated from the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfall using Monte Carlo techniques. Design rainfalls were finally derived by GEV distribution, which was proved to be more appropriate than the other distributions.

Stochastic Structure of Daily Rainfall in Korea (한국 일강우의 추계학적 구조)

  • 이근후
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.72-80
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    • 1989
  • Various analyses were made to investigate the stochastic structure of the daily rainfall in Korea. Records of daily rainfall amounts from 1951 to 1984 at Chinju Metesrological Station were used for this study. Obtained results are as follows : 1. Time series of the daily rainfall at Chinju were positively, serially correlated for the lag as large as one day. 2. Rainfall events, defined as a sequence of consecutive wet days separated by one or more dry days, showed a seasonal variation in the occurrence frequency. 3. The marginal distribution of event characteristics of each month showed significant dif- ferences each other. Events occurred in summer had longer duration and higher magnitude with higher intensity than those of events occurred in winter. 4. There were significant positive correlations among four event characteristics ; dura- tion, magnitude, average intensity, and maximum intensity. 5. Correlations among the daily rainfall amounts within an event were not significant in general. 6. There were no consistant significancy in identity or difference between the distribu- tions of daily rainfall amounts for different days within events. 7. Above mentioned characteristics of daily rainfall time series must be considered in building a stochastic model of daily rainfall.

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Estimation of Nonpoint Discharge Coefficient for the Management of Total Maximum Daily Load - Rainfall Discharge Ratio on the Specific Design Flow (수질오염총량관리를 위한 비점배출계수 산정 - 특정 기준유량 시기의 강우배출비)

  • Park, Jundae;Park, Juhyun;Rhew, Doughee;Jeong, Dongil
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.452-457
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    • 2008
  • Nonpoint source (NPS) pollution is caused by rainfall moving over and through the ground. As the runoff moves, it picks up and carries away various pollutants from NPS. The discharge pattern of NPS pollutant loads is affected by the distribution of the rainfall during the year. This study analysed relationship between the rainfall event and the stream flow rate, and estimated the rainfall discharge ratio on the specific design flow which can be used as nonpoint discharge coefficient for the estimation of NPS pollution load. It is considered that nonpoint discharge coefficient can be effectively used for the calculation of NPS pollution load at the time of water quality modelling for the management of Total maximum daily load (TMDL).

Rainfall Effects on Discharged Pollution Load in Unit Watershed Area for the Management of TMDLs (수질오염총량관리 배출부하량에 대한 강우영향 분석연구)

  • Park, Jun Dae;Oh, Seung Young
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.648-653
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    • 2010
  • Discharged pollution load for the management of Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs) is calculated on the basis of rainfall data for reference year. Rainfall has an influence on discharged pollution load in unit watershed with combined sewer system. This study reviewed the status of discharged pollution load and rainfall conditions. We also investigated rainfall effects on discharged pollution load by analyzing change of the load in accordance with increase of rainfall. The change ratio of discharged pollution load was 18.6% while inflow load only 5.8% for 5 years from 2004 to 2008 in Daejeon district. The greatest rainfall and rain days were over 2 times than the least during the period. This change in rainfall could have great effect on discharged pollution load. The analysis showed that discharged pollution load increased 2.1 times in case rainfall increased 2 times and 1.2 times in case rain days increased 2 times. Rainfall effects, therefore, should be considered to make resonable evaluation of discharged pollution load in the assessment of annual performances.

Comparison of Precipitation Characteristics using Rainfall Indicators Between North and South Korea (강수지표를 이용한 남·북한 강수특성 비교)

  • Lee, Bo-Ram;Chung, Eun-Sung;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.2223-2235
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    • 2013
  • This study aimed to understand temporal and spatial trends of rainfall characteristics in South and North Korea. Daily rainfall observed at the 65 stations in South Korea between 1963 and 2010 and the 27 stations in North Korea between 1973 and 2010 were analyzed. Rainfall Indicators for amount, extremes, frequency of rainfall were defined. Province-based indicators in the recent 10 years (i.e., between 2001 and 2010) were compared to those in the past (i.e., between 1963/1973 and 2000 for South/North Korea). In the recent 10 years, all the indicators except for the number of wet days (NWD) and 200-yr frequency rainfall (Freq200) increased in South Korea and all the indicators except for the annual mean daily rainfall over wet days (SDII) and annual total rainfall amount (TotalDR) decreased in North Korea. Furthermore, we performed the Mann-Kendall trend test based on the annual indicators. In some stations, decreasing trends in the past and increasing trends in the recent 10 years were found, and such opposite trends between two periods suggest he limitation in predicting and analyzing the rainfall characteristics based on the average. Results from this study can be used in analyzing the impact of climate change and preparing adaptation strategies for the water resources management.

Probability Characteristics of Probable Rainfall and Recorded Maximum Rainfall in Korea. (한국주요지점에 대한 확률강우량과 관측최대강우량의 확률분석)

  • Jeong, Mahn;Lee, Jong-Kyu
    • Water for future
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 1981
  • The characteristics of point rainfall for three different durations in Seoul Pusan Taegu and Gwangju have been analysed by the probabilistic ainfall method and the M-year maximum rainfall method. The probabilities that the T-year probabilistic rainfall did not occur during the observation period, compared with the values obtained from the observed data. were smaller than the theoretical values. The averages of the probabilities that the M-year maximum-ten-minute rainfall did not occur in the consequent N-years were larger than the theoretical values, the M-year maximumone hour rainfall were smaller than the theoretical ones, and the M-year maximum daily rainfall nearly agreed with them, and while those of Japan were smaller than the theoretical values. It is recommended from the results that the recorded maximum value should be used as a design value rather than the probabilistic rainfall.

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Determining "n" Value of Rainfall Intensity-duration Formular Based on the Maximum 24 Hour Rainfall and the Daily Rainfall of a Designated Time (일강우량과 24시간 강우량에 의한 강우강도식의 n식 결정)

  • 안상진;박영일
    • Water for future
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 1982
  • This study is to clarify the relation between the maximum 24 hour rainfall and the daily rainfall of a designated time 10 A.M., using the 506 rainfall datum from 32 rain-guage stations on the Han river basin covering a period of 7 years and trying to estimate the ratio of two data in accordance with the amount of rainfall respectively. The Mononobe's formula, which is widely used in this country, has the value of 2/3 power in it. The "n" was considered instead of 2/3 and derivated for each guaging station. The results make it possible to establish the Ison-n value map, and show that the n value is affected mainly by the topographical conditions. The daily rainfall of a designated time can be modified by the results of this study and expressed as Y(%)=218.25/R$$. But in the case of exceeding 200mm/day, it is recommended to use the 110% for safety. On the problems of intensity-duration concerned with the planning of public works, the formula can be expressed as r$$=fRday/24.(24/t)$$, where "f" is Y(%) divided by 100. As this study was done with the datum within shor period, it is necessary to study more about the "n" and "f" value so as to get previse value in the future.o as to get previse value in the future.

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An improvement on the Criteria of Special Weather Report for Heavy Rain Considering the Possibility of Rainfall Damage and the Recent Meteorological Characteristics (최근 기상특성과 재해발생이 고려된 호우특보 기준 개선)

  • Kim, Yeon-Hee;Choi, Da-Young;Chang, Dong-Eon;Yoo, Hee-Dong;Jin, Gee-Beom
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.481-495
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    • 2011
  • This study is performed to consider the threshold values of heavy rain warning in Korea using 98 surface meteorological station data and 590 Automatic Weather System stations (AWSs), damage data of National Emergency Management Agency for the period of 2005 to 2009. It is in need to arrange new criteria for heavy rain considering concept of rainfall intensity and rainfall damage to reflect the changed characteristics of rainfall according to the climate change. Rainfall values from the most frequent rainfall damage are at 30 mm/1 hr, 60 mm/3 hr, 70 mm/6 hr, and 110 mm/12 hr, respectively. The cumulative probability of damage occurrences of one in two due to heavy rain shows up at 20 mm/1 hr, 50 mm/3 hr, 80 mm/6 hr, and 110 mm/12 hr, respectively. When the relationship between threshold values of heavy rain warning and the possibility of rainfall damage is investigated, rainfall values for high connectivity between heavy rain warning criteria and the possibility of rainfall damage appear at 30 mm/1 hr, 50 mm/3 hr, 80 mm/6 hr, and 100 m/12 hr, respectively. It is proper to adopt the daily maximum precipitation intensity of 6 and 12 hours, because 6 hours rainfall might be include the concept of rainfall intensity for very-short-term and short-term unexpectedly happened rainfall and 12 hours rainfall could maintain the connectivity of the previous heavy rain warning system and represent long-term continuously happened rainfall. The optimum combinations of criteria for heavy rain warning of 6 and 12 hours are 80 mm/6 hr or 100 mm/12 hr, and 70 mm/6 hr or 110 mm/12 hr.