• 제목/요약/키워드: maximum age model

검색결과 163건 처리시간 0.028초

유전지표를 활용한 사상체질 분류모델 (Predictive Models for Sasang Constitution Types Using Genetic Factors)

  • 반효정;이시우;진희정
    • 사상체질의학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.10-21
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    • 2020
  • Objectives Genome-wide association studies(GWAS) is a useful method to identify genetic associations for various phenotypes. The purpose of this study was to develop predictive models for Sasang constitution types using genetic factors. Methods The genotypes of the 1,999 subjects was performed using Axiom Precision Medicine Research Array (PMRA) by Life Technologies. All participants were prescribed Sasang Constitution-specific herbal remedies for the treatment, and showed improvement of original symptoms as confirmed by Korean medicine doctor. The genotypes were imputed by using the IMPUTE program. Association analysis was conducted using a logistic regression model to discover Single Nucleotide Polymorphism (SNP), adjusting for age, sex, and BMI. Results & Conclusions We developed models to predict Korean medicine constitution types using identified genectic factors and sex, age, BMI using Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Neural Network (NN). Each maximum Area Under the Curve (AUC) of Teaeum, Soeum, Soyang is 0.894, 0.868, 0.767, respectively. Each AUC of the models increased by 6~17% more than that of models except for genetic factors. By developing the predictive models, we confirmed usefulness of genetic factors related with types. It demonstrates a mechanism for more accurate prediction through genetic factors related with type.

도시보건소 공무원의 조직몰입도 인과요인에 관한 연구 - 한 가설적 인과모형분석을 통해 - (A Study on Causal Factors of Organizational Commitment of Public Servants in Urban Health Centers: Testing a Hypothetical Canusal Model)

  • 이상준;김창엽;김용익;신영수
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.52-96
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    • 1998
  • To find causal factors and improvement plans of organizational commitment of public servants in urban health centers, a hypothetical causal model, which included 2 endogenous variables(organizational commitment & organizational satisfaction) and 15 exogenous variables, was constructed. Exogenous variables consisted of individual factors (sex, age, education, job-grade, and annual salary), psychological variables(pride for organization, extrinsic motivation, intrinsic motivation and support of supervisor) ad structural variables(formalization, centralization, communication, job-conflict, job-decision, and workload). In the hypothetical causal model, organizational commitment was supposed to be effect variable, and organizational satisfaction was presumed to be intervening variable to mediate between organizational commitment and exogenous variables. For data collection, cross-sectional self-administered questionnaire survey was conducted to 1,295 public servants from 32 urban health centers nationwide. The survey responses were from 934, 72.1% of subjects. But 756 responses(58.4%) were analyzed because of excluding ones with missing values. The hypothetical causal model was fitted by covariance structural analysis with maximum likelihood method. Main results were as follows: (1) The fitted causal model accounted for 33 and 55 percent of total variance of organizational commitment and organizational satisfaction of public servants, respectively. (2) In order of effect size, pride for organization, supervisor support, communication, extrinsic motivation and centralization had an indirect effect effect on organizational commitment through organizational satisfaction. However, the effect of centralization was negative. (3) Pride for organiztion, intrinsic motivation, organizational satisfaction, job-conflict, supervisor support, communication, age, centralization, annual salar and extrinsic motivation had indirect or direct effects on organizational commitment in order of effect size. Among them, effects of job-conflict and centraldization were negative. In conclusion, these results suggested that organizational commitment of public servants in urban health centers could be enhanced by pride for organization, intrinsic and extrinsic motivations, prevention of job-conflict and excess centralization, supervisor support and active communication. Especially, pride for organization and intrinsic motivation were expected to play the most important role.

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추계학적 위너 확률과정을 이용한 경사제의 실시간 피해경로 추적과 잔류수명 추정 (Estimation of Residual Useful Life and Tracking of Real-time Damage Paths of Rubble-Mound Breakwaters Using Stochastic Wiener Process)

  • 이철응
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.147-160
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    • 2020
  • 추계학적 WP을 이용하여 불확실성을 고려하면서 항만 구조물의 실시간에 따른 피해와 파괴확률 그리고 잔류수명을 해석할 수 있는 모형을 수립하였다. 과거부터 현재까지의 피해상태와 미래에 발생될 피해 진행 과정에 포함되는 불확실성을 고려할 수 있는 추계학적 확률모형이다. 피해경로를 추적할 수 있으며 누적피해의 밀도함수도 산정하여 파괴확률을 추정할 수 있다. 또한 구조물의 잔류수명에 대한 밀도함수도 구할 수 있다. 최소자승법과 최우도법을 이용하여 모형의 파라미터를 추정할 수 있는 방법도 제시하였다. 검증을 위해 시간의 진행에 따른 누적피해와 잔류수명에 대한 밀도함수를 산정하고 해석하였는데 이론적인 결과가 MCS 기법의 수치적인 결과와 매우 잘 일치하였다. 또한 내구수명이나 잔류수명에 대한 밀도함수의 거동과 MTTF와 MRL이 정량적으로 잘 일치하였다. 한편 본 연구에 수립된 모형을 경사제에 적용하기 위하여 피복재 피해에 대한 수리모형 실험자료를 활용하여 모형의 파라미터들을 추정하였다. 시간의 진행에 따른 피복재 누적피해의 밀도함수와 파괴확률을 산정하였는데 MCS의 결과와 이론적인 결과가 매우 잘 일치하였다. 경과시간이 클수록 밀도함수가 우측으로 이동하면서 불확실성이 커지면서 파괴확률이 급격하게 증가하였다. 또한 재령에 따른 잔류수명의 거동특성을 해석하였는데, 잔류수명의 분포함수에서 좌측보다는 우측 꼬리 부분이 길게 형성되어 MRL이 급격하게 감소하는 경향을 보였다. 이는 경사제 피복재의 피해가 완만하게 증가하는 현상을 반영한 것으로 판단된다. 특히 재령과 내구수명 그리고 잔류수명의 관계를 해석하였는데, 재령이 오래될수록 재령과 MRL의 합이 MTTF와 큰 차이를 보이고 있다. 이는 재령이 증가하면 잔류수명의 평균인 MRL이 불확실성에 의하여 급격히 감소하기 때문이다.

본인부담상한제 적용 요양병원 환자의 의료이용가수요 예측요인 분석 (An Aanalysis of Predictive Factors of Medical Service Overuse for Inpatients Applied Out-of-Pocket Maximum in Long-Term Care Hospitals in South Korea)

  • 임승지;신한나
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 2020
  • Background: The out-of-pocket maximum is one of the distinctive healthcare systems which sets a ceiling on co-payment in order to reduce the burden of households from the unpredictable medical expenditure. However, this leads to an increase in the demand for healthcare services especially in long-term care hospitals (LTCHs) in Korea. Methods: This study analyzed the influence factor of medical service overuse of 165,592 inpatients in LTCHs which out-of-pocket maximum is applied, by utilizing data from the National Health Insurance Service (2016). Based on Anderson Model, the medical service overuse, as a dependent variable, was defined as long-stay admission more than 180 days at the LTCHs. Independent variable was comprised of predisposing factors (gender, age), enabling factors (income level, types of out-of-pocket maximum) and need factors (illness level, patient use of tertiary hospital). Results: The most powerful factor of medical service overuse in LTCHs was availability of pre-payment for the out-of-maximum (odds ratio [OR], 191.66; p<0.001). This tendency was found in high income level status (p<0.001). Furthermore, mild inpatients (OR, 1.50; p<0.001) which had no experience with the tertiary hospitals (OR, 2.06; p<0.001) were more relevant to the medical service overuse in LTCHs, compared to the severe inpatients. Conclusion: It is suggested that a separate standard of out-of pocket maximum with regards to LTCHs is required to secure the beneficial functions of long-term hospitals and prevent unnecessary financial leakage to achieve sustainable and financially sound National Health Insurance.

주요 수종 및 임상별 현실림의 재적생장량 곡선 추정 (Growth Curve Estimation of Stand Volume by Major Species and Forest Type on Actual Forest in Korea)

  • 윤준혁;배은지;손영모
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제110권4호
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    • pp.648-657
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 국가산림자원조사를 활용하여 임상별 및 주요 수종별 재적생장량을 추정하고, 연평균생장량(MAI)과 연년생장량(CAI) 등을 도출하여 벌기령을 제시하고자 수행하였다. 재적생장 추정을 위하여 Chapman-Richards 모델을 적용하였다. 도출된 임상별 재적추정식에서는 침엽수림이 가장 높은 생장을 하는 것으로 나타났다. 주요 수종별 추정식은 침엽수종(3종) 중에서는 일본잎갈나무가, 그리고 활엽수종(3종)에서는 굴참나무가 가장 높은 생장이 예측되었다. 그리고 이들 추정식은 적합도지수가 일본잎갈나무 0.32, 굴참나무가 0.21 등으로 대체적으로 낮게 나타났다. 그러나 재적 추정식의 적용 가능성을 알 수 있는 잔차도 분석에 있어서는, 일부 30년 이상의 임령에서 추정식의 추정치가 과소 추정되는 경향을 보였으나, 대부분 0을 중심으로 잔차가 고르게 분포하고 있었다. 따라서 이들 식이 우리나라 현실림의 수종들에 대한 재적을 추정할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 추정된 재적을 이용하여 연평균생장량을 계산한 결과, 침엽수림 중 중부지방 소나무 34년, 일본잎갈나무 35년, 리기다소나무 31년일 때 MAI가 최대시기에 도달하는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 활엽수림에 있어서는 굴참나무 32년, 상수리나무 30년, 신갈나무 29년일 때가 최대시기임을 알 수 있었다. 또한 MAI와 CAI를 계산하여, 이들이 만나는 지점을 재적수확 최대 벌기령으로 결정하였다. 그 결과는 현재 산림청이 제시한 기준 벌기령과 큰 차이를 보이지 않아 정책자료로 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

Assessing the Carrying Capacity of Wild Boars in the Bukhansan National Park using MaxEnt and HexSim Models

  • Tae Geun Kim
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 2023
  • Understanding the carrying capacity of a habitat is crucial for effectively managing populations of wild boars (Sus scrofa), which are designated as harmful wild animal species in national parks. Carrying capacity refers to the maximum population size supported by a park's environmental conditions. This study aimed to estimate the appropriate wild boar population size by integrating population characteristics and habitat suitability for wild boars in the Bukhansan National Park using the HexSim program. Population characteristics included age, survival, reproduction, and movement. Habitat suitability, which reflects prospecting and resource acquisition, was determined using the Maximum Entropy model. This study found that the optimal population size for wild boar ranged from 217 to 254 individuals. The population size varied depending on the amount of resources available within the home range, indicating fewer individuals in a larger home range. The estimated wild boar population size was 217 individuals for the minimum amount of resources (50% minimum convex polygon [MCP] home range), 225 individuals for the average amount of resources (95% MCP home range), and 254 individuals for the maximum amount of resources (100% MCP home range). The results of one-way analysis of variance revealed a significant difference in wild boar population size based on the amount of resources within the home range. These findings provide a basis for the development and implementation of effective management strategies for wild boar populations.

전복양식장 저서생태계의 훼손으로 인한 어업자원의 생산감소량 추정 모델 (A Quantative Population Dynamic Model for Estimating Damages in Fishery Production in the Benthic Ecosystem of Abalone Culture Grounds)

  • 강용주;장창익
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.409-416
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    • 2003
  • Marine populations are maintained through the processes of spawning, growth, recruitment, natural death and fishing in a marine ecosystem. Based upon each of these processes, a quantitative population dynamic model was developed to estimate damages in fishery production due to accidents in a fishing ground. This model was applied for the abalone culture grounds in Korean waters. Three components of damages were identified in the ecosystem of the abalone culture grounds, namely, physical damages in the substratum of the fishing ground, biological damages in the structure and function of the ecosystem, and damages in fishery production. Considering these three components the processes and durations of damages in fishery production were determined. Because the abalone population is composed of multiple year classes, damages influence all the year classes in the population, when they occur The model developed in this study is: $$y=(n_{\lambda}+1){\times}Y_E\;-\;\sum\limits^{n_\lambda-n_c}_{l=0}\;y_{n_c/i}$$ where, y is the expected damages in fishery production during the period of restoration of the damaged abalony population, $Y_E$ is the annual equilibrium yield, $n_{\lambda}$ is the maximum age in the population, $t_s$ is the year of damage occurrence, $n_c$ is the age at recruitment, and $\sum\limits^{n_\lambda-n_c}_{l=0}\;y\;_{n_c/i}$ is total expected lifetime catch of year classes which were recruited during the restoration period.

TWO-FLUID CLOSURE PARAMETERS FOR DIFFUSIVE ACCELERATION OF COSMIC RAYS

  • KANG HYESUNG
    • 천문학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 1993
  • In order to explore the time dependence of the closure parameters of the two-fluid calculations for supernova remnants and the terminal shocks of stellar winds, we have considered a simple model in which the time evolution of the cosmic-ray distribution function was followed in the test-particle limit using the Bohm diffusion model. The particles are mostly accelerated to relativistic energy either in the free expansion phase of the SNRs or in the early phase of the stellar winds, so the evolution of the closure parameters during these early stages is substantial and should be followed correctly. We have also calculated the maximum momentum which is limited by either the age or the curvature of these spherical shocks. We found that SNRs expanding into the medium where the gas density decreases with the distance from the explosion center might be necessary to explain the observed power-law distribution of the galactic cosmic rays. The energy loss due to the escaping energetic particles has been estimated for the terminal shocks of the stellar winds.

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역도 인상동작 성공 시 최대 바벨무게 예측 (The Forecasting a Maximum Barbell Weight of Snatch Technique in Weightlifting)

  • 하종규;류지선
    • 한국운동역학회지
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study was to predict the failure or success of the Snatch-lifting trial as a consequence of the stand-up phase simulated in Kane's equation of motion that was effective for the dynamic analysis of multi-segment. This experiment was a case study in which one male athlete (age: 23yrs, height: 154.4cm, weight: 64.5kg) from K University was selected The system of a simulation included a multi-segment system that had one degree of freedom and one generalized coordinate for the shank segment angle. The reference frame was fixed by the Nonlinear Trans formation (NLT) method in order to set up a fixed Cartesian coordinate system in space. A weightlifter lifted a 90kg-barbell that was 75% of subject's maximum lifting capability (120kg). For this study, six cameras (Qualisys Proreflex MCU240s) and two force-plates (Kistler 9286AAs) were used for collecting data. The motion tracks of 11 land markers were attached on the major joints of the body and barbell. The sampling rates of cameras and force-plates were set up 100Hz and 1000Hz, respectively. Data were processed via the Qualisys Track manager (QTM) software. Landmark positions and force-plate amplitudes were simultaneously integrated by Qualisys system The coordinate data were filtered using a fourth-order Butterworth low pass filtering with an estimated optimum cut-off frequency of 9Hz calculated with Andrew & Yu's formula. The input data of the model were derived from experimental data processed in Matlab6.5 and the solution of a model made in Kane's method was solved in Matematica5.0. The conclusions were as follows; 1. The torque motor of the shank with 246Nm from this experiment could lift a maximum barbell weight (158.98kg) which was about 246 times as much as subject's body weight (64.5kg). 2. The torque motor with 166.5 Nm, simulated by angular displacement of the shank matched to the experimental result, could lift a maximum barbell weight (90kg) which was about 1.4 times as much as subject's body weight (64.5kg). 3. Comparing subject's maximum barbell weight (120kg) with a modeling maximum barbell weight (155.51kg) and with an experimental maximum barbell weight (90kg), the differences between these were about +35.7kg and -30kg. These results strongly suggest that if the maximum barbell weight is decided, coaches will be able to provide further knowledge and information to weightlifters for the performance improvement and then prevent injuries from training of weightlifters. It hopes to apply Kane's method to other sports skill as well as weightlifting to simulate its motion in the future study.

산사태 분포 예측을 위한 로지스틱, 베이지안, Maxent의 비교 (Comparison of Logistic, Bayesian, and Maxent Modelsfor Prediction of Landslide Distribution)

  • 알-마문;장동호;박종철
    • 한국지형학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.91-101
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    • 2017
  • Quantitative forecasting methods based on spatial data and geographic information system have been used in predicting the landslide location. This study compared the simulated results of logistic, Bayesian, and maximum entropy models to understand the uncertainties of each model and identify the main factors that influence landslide. The study area is Boeun gun where 388 landslides occurred in the year of 1998. The verification results showed that the AUC of the three models was 0.84. However, the landslide susceptibility distribution of Maxent model was different from those of the other two models. With the same landslide occurrence data, the result of high susceptible area in Maxent model is smaller than Logistic or Bayesian. Maxent model, however, proved to be more efficient in predicting landslide than the other two models. In Maxent's simulations, the responsible factors for landslide susceptibility are timber age class, land cover, timber diameter, crown closure, and soil drainage. The results suggest that it is necessary to consider the possibility of overestimation when using Logistic or Bayesian model, and forest management around the study area can be an effective way to minimize landslide possibility.