• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.693-703
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• 2014

When setting up an experiment for extrapolation at multiple points outside the design space, we often face a difficulty in which point we should emphasize even if the polynomial model under consideration is given. In this paper we propose various methods under two possible scenarios that deal with extrapolations. One considered in this paper is the situation when the model assumed can be extended beyond the design space. In this setting, the many classical methods(including various approaches the authors proposed before) were revisited in the context of extrapolation. But the real problem arises when there is an uncertainty concerning the validity of the assumed model. Therefore, the second scenario is to develop an appropriate procedure when we have limited information about model. Consequently, a hybrid approach is suggested to deal with this issue of how to handle the multiple extrapolating under model uncertainty. A search algorithm was implemented because the classical exchange algorithm was found difficult to handle the complexity of the problem.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.419-431
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• 2012

This paper takes precautions proposals against prospective disasters from the space weather maximum in 2013. A geomagnetic space storm sparked by a solar maximum like the one that flared toward earth is bound to strike again and could wreak havoc across the modern world. The purpose of the study is that the disaster reduction and safety service implementation study on the ultimate space weather systems by the information systems of the space weather. The process methods of the study are that an implementation of preparation for the smart IT and GIS based disaster management systems of the solar maximum deal with analysis on the flare, solar proton event, and geomagnetic storm from space blasters, These approach and methods for the solar maximin display national policy implementation of the pattern of the radio wave disasters from the protection and preparation methods. This research can provide affective methods for the saving lives and property protections that implementation of the disaster prediction and disaster prevention systems adapts the smart IT systems and converged decision making support systems using uGIS methodology.