• 제목/요약/키워드: marginal aggregate

검색결과 24건 처리시간 0.024초

다이버를 대상으로 한 연산호(軟珊瑚) 서식 해양보호구역 다이빙 관리제도의 지불의사액 분석 (Assessing the Willingness-to-Pay of a Scuba Diving Management in a Soft Coral Marine Protected Area)

  • 김미주;오치옥;남정호;홍종호
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.235-247
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    • 2022
  • A marine protected area (MPA) is a spatially designated section of the ocean where the biodiversity is high. Munseom MPA has a unique underwater landscape including soft coral, subtropical fish, and benthos, attracting many scuba divers. This paper intends to evaluate the willingness-to-pay (WTP) for the scuba diving management policy in the Munseom MPA. As a stated preference valuation method, a choice experiment was applied to assess divers' preferences with economic values for the policy. The attributes used in the study included zoning (temporal closure), conservation education, daily permit, soft coral area, and diving fee. We collected 333 questionnaires through online and field surveys and used 296 after excluding incomplete responses for the final data analysis. Study results show that a six-month closure, a decrease in soft coral habitat, and the diving fee were statistically significant. A positive coefficient with regard to the six-month closure variable indicates that divers preferred the policy, and the marginal willingness to pay (MWTP) was estimated to be KRW 8,637 per person per dive. The aggregate WTP of KRW 233 million was obtained by multiplying the MWTP by the number of visiting divers per year. When comparing the levels of recreation specialization, more skilled divers preferred the management option. The results of this study will help predict the priority of management measures and the levels of acceptability among divers when diving management is implemented in Korea in the future. This study suggests that marine environmental policies need to consider divers as one of the important stakeholders for marine conservation.

GIE를 이용한 소득원천 별 불평등 효과 분석 (Analysis of Inequality Effects by Income Sources Using the Gini Income Elasticity)

  • 서봉균
    • 사회복지연구
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.65-84
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    • 2010
  • 불평등 지수의 분해란 사회 전체의 불평등을, 이에 영향을 미치는 개별원천들로 분해하여, 그 원인을 밝히고자 하는 것이다. 기존에는 개별요인들이 전체 불평등에서 정량적으로 차지하는 절대적 기여도에만 관심을 가져왔다. 그러나 불평등 완화를 위한 정책을 효과적으로 수행하기 위해서는, 개별원천들이 가지고 있는 한계적인 불평등 효과를 아는 것이 더 중요할 것으로 생각된다. 본 연구에서는 이를 위하여 대표적인 불평등 지수라 할 수 있는 지니계수를 소득원천별 혹은 사회복지 프로그램별로 분해하고, 각각의 Gini Income Elasticity(GIE)를 계산하였다. 분석결과에 따르면, '상용근로자 소득'과 '고용주 및 자영자 소득'의 GIE가 각각 1.205와 1.867로, 이들의 증가는 사회 전체의 불평등을 악화시킬 수 있는 소득원천들로 분류되었다. 이러한 GIE를 이용한 분석방법은 소득원천 혹은 사회복지 프로그램들의 불평등 효과를 분석하는데 있어서 하나의 유용한 방법의 될 수 있을 것이다.

경제사상의 변화 (공급측면 경제학의 시험) (The changes of economic though (The trial of supply-side economics))

  • 서홍석
    • 한국관광식음료학회지:관광식음료경영연구
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    • 제8권
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    • pp.89-121
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    • 1997
  • Many of the measures and policies advocated by supply-siders, such as lower taxation, less government intervention, more freedom from restrictive legislation and regulation, and the need for increased productivity can be found in writing the classical economist. Nor is supply-side economics a complete divorcement from Keynesian analysis. In both camps the objectives are the same-high level employment, stable prices and healthy economic growth, the means or suggestions for attaining the objectives, however, differ. Consequently, recommended economic policies and measures are different. keynesians rely primarily on the manipulation of effective demand to increase output and employment and to combat inflation. They assume ample resources to be available in order that supply will respond to demand. The supply-siders emphasize the need to increase savings, investment, productivity and output as a means of increasing income. Supply-siders assume that the increase in income will lead to an increase in effective demand. Keynesians suggest that savings, particularly those not invested, dampen economic activity. Supply-siders hold that savings, or at least an increase in after-tax income, stimulates work effort and provides funds for investment. Perhaps keynesians are guilty of assuming that most savings are not going to be invested, whereas supply-siders may erroneously assume that almost all savings will flow into investment and/ or stimulate work effort. In reality, a middle ground is possible. The supply-siders stress the need to increase supply, but Keynes did not preclude the possibility of increasing economic activity by working through the supply side. According to Keynes' aggregate demand-aggregate supply framework, a decrease in supply will increase output and employment. It must be remembered, however, that Keynes' aggregate supply is really a price. Lowering the price or cost of supply would there by result in higher profit and/ or higher output. This coincides with the viewpoint of supply-siders who want to lower the cost of production via various means for the purpose of increasing supply. Then, too, some of the means, such as tax cuts, tax credits and accelerated depreciation, recommended by suply-siders to increase productivity and output would be favored by Keynesians also as a means of increasing investment, curbing costs, and increasing effective demand. In fact, these very measures were used in the early 1960s in the United State during the years when nagging unemployment was plaguing the economy. Keynesians disagree with the supply-siders' proposals to reduce transfer payments and slow down the process of income redistribution, except in full employment inflationary periods. Keynesians likewise disagree with tax measures that favored business as opposed to individuals and the notion of shifting the base of personal taxation away from income and toward spending. A frequent criticism levied at supply-side economics is that it lacks adequate models and thus far has not been quantified to any great extent. But, it should be remembered that Keynesian economics originally was lacking in models and based on a number of unproved assumptions, such as, the stability of the consumption function with its declining marginal propensity to consume. Just as the economic catastrophe of the great depression of the 1930s paved the way for the application of Keynesian or demand-side policies, perhaps the frustrating and restless conditions of the 1970s and 1980s is an open invitation for the application of supply-side policies. If so, the 1980s and 1990s may prove to be the testing era for the supply-side theories. By the end of 1990s we should have better supply-side models and know much more about the effectiveness of supply-side policies. By that time, also, supply-side thinking may be more crystallized and we will learn whether it is something temporary that will fade away, be widely accepted as the new economics replacing Keynesian demand analysis, or something to be continued but melded or fused with demand management.

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분석대상 규모에 따른 수단분담모형의 추정과 적용에 관한 연구 (Development and Application of the Mode Choice Models According to Zone Sizes)

  • 김주영;이승재;김도경;전장우
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2011
  • 수단선택모형은 신설중이거나 계획중인 새로운 교통수단의 수요를 추정하기 위하여 필수적인 요소이다. 현재 교통수요분석시 수단분담모형구축을 위해 지역별로 공통된 효용함수의 파라미터를 사용하고 있으며, 이로 인해 수단선택 행태 예측시 오류가 발생하는 경우가 존재한다. 권역별 자료를 집계하여 공통된 파라미터를 사용함으로써 발생하는 문제점은 다음과 같다. 수단선택모형으로 인한 수단전환 효과를 측정하기 위하여 집계모형(aggregate model)을 사용할 경우 분석권역에 따라 수단분담모형에서는 통행시간이나 통행비용에 대한 계수의 분포가 다름(분석권역별로 서로 다른 모집단 분포를 하고 있음)에도 불구하고 하나의 파라메타로 모집단을 설명하고자 할 경우 모집단을 적절히 설명하지 못하게 된다. 따라서 통행비용 및 통행시간과 같은 정책변수의 변화에 민감하게 반응하지 못하는 경우가 발생한다. 특히 수단선택 모형에 사용되는 로짓모형과 같이 비선형함수의 경우에 집합화자료를 사용함으로써 집합화에 의한 오차(aggregation error) 또한 문제가 된다. 본 논문의 목적은 수단선택 행태에 영향을 미치는 지역적 특성을 고려하고, 지역단위별로 공통된 파라미터를 사용하면서 나타나는 집합화 오차를 줄일 수 있도록 분석대상 규모(zone size)별 수단분담모형 파라미터값을 추정하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위하여 2006년 가구통행실태조사 자료를 이용하여 각 분석단위(zone)의 수단별 파라미터를 추정하였다. 추정된 결과의 경우 파라미터값의 부호와 한계대체율에 의한 시간가치가 상식적으로 적정한지를 판단하고, 통계적으로 적합한지에 대하여 검증을 실시하였다. 또한 구축된 모형의 실제 사례에 적용가능성을 보기 위하여 서울지하철 9호선의 개통 전 후를 비교하여 현실에서 관측된 수단분담율 변화와 모형상의 예측치를 비교하여 정확성 및 신뢰성을 검토하였다.