• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.5-32
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• 2009

This paper revisited the key advances on System Dynamics modeling about traditional macro-economic models and economic growth structures, and then tries to elaborate a new model based on the endogenous growth theory that incorporates new growth factors, relevant to knowledge/technology as well as the Environment, into traditional growth models. Accordingly, the new model augments the acceleration and multiplier loops and the balancing ones representing market clearing mechanism with a simple numerical example. The authors thus provides macroeconomic System Dynamics analysts with a milestone to model macro-economic structures reflecting on traditional and cutting-edge theories on sustainable economic growth and general equilibrium modeling.

• 한국사회복지학
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• 제58권4호
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• pp.313-339
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• 2006

본 연구는 우리나라에서 근로빈곤을 발생 확대시키는 사회구조적 요인들을 실증하고자 하는 것이 연구목적이다. 1982년부터 2004년까지의 통계청 <도시가계조사> 원자료를 활용했고, 거시경제 환경, 노동시장, 분배제도 등 사회구조적 요인들에 대한 시계열 자료를 이용한 다중회귀분석을 실시했다. 성장론자들의 주장과는 달리 경제성장은 근로빈곤층 규모 변화에 정적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났고, 성장기에는 경제성장의 낙리효과(trickle down effect)가 존재하나 포드주의 이후에는 단절된 것으로 확인됐다. 사회복지지출은 근로빈곤을 완화하는데 효과가 없었다. 최근 미국식 자본주의 모델을 도입한 결과 소득분배가 악화되고 고용의 질이 후퇴하고 근로빈곤이 확대돼 왔고, 제도 간 비정합성이 표출돼 사회경제적 지속성에 의문이 제기되고 있는 만큼, 한국형 사회적 시장경제모델로의 전환을 모색해 안정적이고 지속가능한 모델을 구현해야 한다.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.41-60
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• 2022

Purpose - The policy implications of free trade agreements have traditionally been a matter of debate among economists. The official signing of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement provides economists with a quasi-natural experiment to analyze the FTA's policy effects. This article aims to more accurately understand the impact of Korea's FTA accession on the macro economy. Design/methodology - This study adopts the counterfactual method based on panel data to find common factors in the generation process of macro data to fit the counterfactual path, to accurately evaluate the effect of the macro policy. Findings - Our research results show that the signing of the Korea-China FTA has a relatively significant short-term positive effect on Korea's economic growth. On average, Korea's real GDP growth rate has increased by 2.1%. This study finds evidence in support of FTA signing not having a significant impact on Korea's GDP growth in the long run. Additionally, we evaluated the impact of the FTA on Korea's imports and exports and found that it had a significant positive impact in the short term, but the trade effect of the FTA is significantly affected by the external macro-environment. Originality/value - First, this study uses macro panel data at the national level to examine the impact of the Korea-China FTA on Korea, and more accurately describes the policy effect of the FTA. Second, our empirical results show that the Korea-China FTA policy impact is subject to occasional changes in the external environment, such as the geopolitical conflict (crisis) between Korea and China, and the US-China trade war. Finally, the analysis shows that the short-term effect of FTA is significant but the long-term is uncertain, which provides empirical evidence for the debate on whether joining FTA can promote national economic growth.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2008년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.59-66
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• 2008

A country's macro developing strategies will greatly impose upon its water resources allocation. Based upon the relationship between national macro developing strategies and water diversion projects layout, the paper discusses the vital influence of water diversion projects caused by China's food security and sustainable development strategy implemented in recent years, and points out that it is an inevitable choice of constructing inter-basin water diversion projects in north China in view of local water resources can't meet the demand of socio-economic development and eco-environment protection, and then recommends China's water diversion projects layout in the current and future, which attaching most importance to the South-to-North Water Diversion Project.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.171-192
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• 2010

In general, a stock index and its individual stocks are assumed to follow a random walk. A stock index is an important source of information and one that is seen by people everyday, regardless of their investment intentions. This paper examines the correlation between the KOSPI-the index that best reflects the Korean stock market and the macro - economic variables that have been found to influence the index by previous studies. The sample period considers the years after 2000 when the Korean stock market matured as restrictions on foreign investors were removed. For this purpose, a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and KOSPI equation with a general pacific approach were used. This paper aims at verifying the factors that determined the KOSPI after 2000 and at examining whether there was structural change in the investment environment. It also investigates changes in the factors determining the KOSPI's performance as a result of structural changes in the investment environment. The V AR (Vector Autoregressive) model including the nine variables was selected as a baseline model whose stability was tested using the unit root test. The results from the VECM and the structural changes in the investment environment can be summarized by the following Inner story points.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.25-43
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• 2022

Purpose - This study is to investigate the direct and moderating effect of intangible variable like economic freedom to facilitating factors on FDI(foreign direct investment) inflows and the difference of facilitating factors by the stage of economic development. Design/methodology/approach - Fixed-effect panel regression analysis with 19-year macro economic data from 2000 to 2019 including economic freedom index from Fraser Institute in 13 developed and 15 developing countries was used. Research implications or Originality - In analysis of direct effect of 5 sectors in economic freedom, the influence of economic freedom was shown weaker than other macro economic factors on FDI inflows, which indicates that actual development of economic factors are more important. The effect of economic freedom on FDI inflows at the stage of economic development differed. In developed countries, human capital, GDP, export, free trade and regulation affected FDI inflows in decreasing order, as did human capital, GDP, consumption expenditure, export, investment expenditure, government expenditure, free trade and sound money in developing countries. In analysis of moderating effect of economic freedom, a domestic and international market size, a flexible labor market which can provide a cheaper good human resources and government expenditures for improving social infrastructure under free economic environment facilitated FDI inflows. However, the statistical significance of moderating effect on export was not shown, which indicates that economic freedom policy itself without actual improvement of exports could not attract FDI inflows.

• 무역학회지
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.47-67
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• 2018

본 연구는 13개 선진국과 15개 개발도상국을 대상으로 국가별 거시적 사회·경제 요인들이 해외직접투자의 유입에 미치는 영향을 파악하고, 국가 경제성장의 질적 수준 및 발전단계에 따른 차이를 살펴보았다. 해외직접투자는 국제 생산의 효율성을 최적화 시킬 수 있는 곳으로 이동하는 국제장기자본이라고 볼 수 있다. 따라서 해외직접투자의 유입에는 기업의 내부 결정 요소 외 외부 요건인 국가별 투자 환경도 영향을 줄 것이다. 지난 30년간 국가별 거시적 사회·경제변수를 활용하여 고정효과 패널 회귀분석을 실시한 결과, 선진국과 개발도상국에 유입되는 투자의 동기와 유형이 다르게 나타났다. 선진국의 경우 국내총생산, 소비지출과 재정지출이 가장 큰 영향을 주는 것으로 나타나 시장추구형 수평적 투자의 특성을 보였다. 반면, 개발도상국으로는 노동보상과 인적자본이 가장 큰 영향을 주는 것으로 나타나 효율성추구형 수직적 투자의 특성을 보였다.

• 분석과 대안
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.5-31
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• 2019

How can we reconcile our aspirations for more economic growth or prosperity with the constraints of a finite planet? One of the high-income countries, Japan, makes us wonder if we can deal with two different challenges simultaneously: overcoming economic recession and solving environmental degradation. This study investigates the supply-side perspective which highlights the productive capacity and efficiency of the economy through economic lenses and the demand-side perspective which highlights the Japanese personal lifestyles through social lenses. This study aims to answer the question, if Japan's sustainable consumption behavior is counter to economic development whilst environmentally proactive. It finds that translating individual practices and cultures of sustainability into the macro- scopic economic growth path is key to a sustainable and healthy Japan.

• 벤처창업연구
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.101-113
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• 2021

이 연구는 기업벤처캐피탈에 대한 거시적경제, 산업구조적 관점에서 기업벤처케피탈 투자에 영향을 미치는 요인들에 대해 탐색한다. 기업벤처캐피탈 투자에 관한 기존 연구들이 모기업의 사업 다각화, 신규 사업 진출을 위한 기업벤처링(Corporate Venturing) 등 모기업과의 관련성을 중심으로 기업벤처캐피탈의 정체성과 투자목적에 대해 논의해온 것과 달리, 본 연구는 변화하는 거시경제적, 산업구조적 환경적 요인에 영향을 받고 이에 대응하는 독립적, 재무적 투자자로서의 기업벤처캐피탈의 정체성에 주목하여, 기업벤처캐피탈 투자에 미치는 영향을 분석한다. 이를 위해 구체적으로 산업 호황, 외생적 위기, 경제 성장, 산업 내 경쟁 강도 등과 같은 거시적 요인들이 기업벤처캐피탈 투자에 미치는 영향에 대해 1996년부터 2017년까지 84개 미국 기업벤처캐피탈의 2,306건의 투자데이터를 기반으로 실증분석하였다. 분석결과 일반적인 독립벤처캐피탈과 마찬가지로 산업이 호황이고, 경제가 성장할 때는 기업벤처캐피탈도 투자를 늘리고, 외생적 위기가 발생하거나, 기업벤처캐피탈들 간 경쟁 강도가 강할수록 투자가 줄어들 것이라는 가설이 모두 지지되었다. 주로 모기업과의 관계, 피투자회사와 모기업 사업의 관련성 등을 중심으로 기업벤처캐피탈 투자에 대해 논의했던 선행 연구들과 달리, 기업벤처캐피탈의 재무적 투자자로서의 정체성과 기업벤처캐피탈 투자에 미치는 거시경제적, 산업구조적 요인들의 영향에 대해 환기함으로써 기업벤처캐피탈 투자에 대한 논의의 폭을 확장하고, 기업벤처캐피탈 투자의사결정자들에게 거시경제적, 산업구조적 요인들에 대한 대응을 시사한다는 점에서 의의가 있다.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.139-159
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• 2003

This study deals sith some problems of foreign direct investment and seeks for the ways of activating foreign direct investment (hereafter F.D.I.) by analyzing the Korean economic structure that is faced with the neo-protectivism and nationalism of the advanced or foreign countries currently. During a transformational process in the transitional period of world trade environment, it is necessary for Korea not only to learn the higher technology for advanced countries, but also to apply techonology to their economic structure in order to enter into competition with the advanced countries. Based on the experiences and accomplishments from their investments, Korean enterprises should turn their business into F.D.I. and act appropriately in order to keep the balance between indoor and outdoor investment. Looking through the ways to activate F.D.I., we may make conclusions as follows: 1. Government policy transparency 2. Prudential Macro Economic policy 3. International policy coorperation system 4. Solidification of Foreign Commercial intercourse to Developing countries 5. Globalixation base of domestic coorperation 6. High efficiency- low cost of business coorperation enterprise 7. Attacktive investiestment strategies on conclusive competive advantage 8. Multilateral investment Area 9. New recognixation on marketing investment etc. F.D.I. strategies