• Title/Summary/Keyword: macro-economic environment

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System Dynamics Modeling for the Generic Structure of Economic Growth and the Sustainable Endogenous Growth Theory (경제성장에 대한 본원적 구조와 지속가능 내생적 성장이론에 대한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링)

  • Jeon, Dae-Uk;Kim, Ji-Soo
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.5-32
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    • 2009
  • This paper revisited the key advances on System Dynamics modeling about traditional macro-economic models and economic growth structures, and then tries to elaborate a new model based on the endogenous growth theory that incorporates new growth factors, relevant to knowledge/technology as well as the Environment, into traditional growth models. Accordingly, the new model augments the acceleration and multiplier loops and the balancing ones representing market clearing mechanism with a simple numerical example. The authors thus provides macroeconomic System Dynamics analysts with a milestone to model macro-economic structures reflecting on traditional and cutting-edge theories on sustainable economic growth and general equilibrium modeling.

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An Empirical Study on the Socio-Structural Causes of Working Poor in Korea(1982-2004) : Verification of the Effect of Macro-Economy, Labor Market, Distribution System on the Poor of Labor Households (우리나라 근로빈곤의 사회구조적 원인에 대한 실증 연구(1982-2004) : 거시경제, 노동시장, 분배제도가 근로자가구의 빈곤에 미친 영향의 검증)

  • Sim, Sang-Yong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.58 no.4
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    • pp.313-339
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to analysis empirically the socio-structural causes of working poor. This study used raw data of of Korea National Statistical Office from 1982 to 2004, and put in operation time series multiple regression analysis to use socio-economic factors of macro-economy environment, labor market, distribution system. Contrary to assertion of growth-concentrated people, economic growth rate has had significantly positive effect on the change of working poor size. In the growth period there has been trickle down effect of economic growth, but in the post-Fordism period there has not been valid circular relation. Recent introduction of the U. S. type capitalism resulted in negative phenomenon like aggravation of income distribution, deterioration of employment quality, enlargement of working poor. And there rise a question on socio-economic durability due to de-compensation on intra-institution. It is necessary to grope transition to the high road social market model - that is stable and sustainable - correspond to Korea that is stable and sustainable.

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Evaluation of the Policy Effects of Free Trade Agreements: New Evidence from the Korea-China FTA

  • Xiang Li;Hyukku Lee;Seung-Lin Hong
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.41-60
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The policy implications of free trade agreements have traditionally been a matter of debate among economists. The official signing of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement provides economists with a quasi-natural experiment to analyze the FTA's policy effects. This article aims to more accurately understand the impact of Korea's FTA accession on the macro economy. Design/methodology - This study adopts the counterfactual method based on panel data to find common factors in the generation process of macro data to fit the counterfactual path, to accurately evaluate the effect of the macro policy. Findings - Our research results show that the signing of the Korea-China FTA has a relatively significant short-term positive effect on Korea's economic growth. On average, Korea's real GDP growth rate has increased by 2.1%. This study finds evidence in support of FTA signing not having a significant impact on Korea's GDP growth in the long run. Additionally, we evaluated the impact of the FTA on Korea's imports and exports and found that it had a significant positive impact in the short term, but the trade effect of the FTA is significantly affected by the external macro-environment. Originality/value - First, this study uses macro panel data at the national level to examine the impact of the Korea-China FTA on Korea, and more accurately describes the policy effect of the FTA. Second, our empirical results show that the Korea-China FTA policy impact is subject to occasional changes in the external environment, such as the geopolitical conflict (crisis) between Korea and China, and the US-China trade war. Finally, the analysis shows that the short-term effect of FTA is significant but the long-term is uncertain, which provides empirical evidence for the debate on whether joining FTA can promote national economic growth.

Study on the Layout of Water Diversion Projects Influenced by China's Macro Developing Strategies

  • Peng, Xiang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2008
  • A country's macro developing strategies will greatly impose upon its water resources allocation. Based upon the relationship between national macro developing strategies and water diversion projects layout, the paper discusses the vital influence of water diversion projects caused by China's food security and sustainable development strategy implemented in recent years, and points out that it is an inevitable choice of constructing inter-basin water diversion projects in north China in view of local water resources can't meet the demand of socio-economic development and eco-environment protection, and then recommends China's water diversion projects layout in the current and future, which attaching most importance to the South-to-North Water Diversion Project.

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The Empirical Study of Variation of KOSPI Index & Macro Economic Variation (거시경제 변수 변화와 KOSPI 지수 변동의 연관성 분석)

  • An, Chang-Ho;Choi, Chang-Yeoul
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.171-192
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    • 2010
  • In general, a stock index and its individual stocks are assumed to follow a random walk. A stock index is an important source of information and one that is seen by people everyday, regardless of their investment intentions. This paper examines the correlation between the KOSPI-the index that best reflects the Korean stock market and the macro - economic variables that have been found to influence the index by previous studies. The sample period considers the years after 2000 when the Korean stock market matured as restrictions on foreign investors were removed. For this purpose, a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and KOSPI equation with a general pacific approach were used. This paper aims at verifying the factors that determined the KOSPI after 2000 and at examining whether there was structural change in the investment environment. It also investigates changes in the factors determining the KOSPI's performance as a result of structural changes in the investment environment. The V AR (Vector Autoregressive) model including the nine variables was selected as a baseline model whose stability was tested using the unit root test. The results from the VECM and the structural changes in the investment environment can be summarized by the following Inner story points.

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Effect of Economic Freedom on the Facilitation of FDI Inflows: Focus on the Direct and Moderating Effect by the Stage of Economic Development (경제적 자유가 외국인직접투자 촉진에 미치는 영향: 경제발전단계별 직접효과와 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Moo-Soo Kim;Chan-Hee Lee
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.25-43
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This study is to investigate the direct and moderating effect of intangible variable like economic freedom to facilitating factors on FDI(foreign direct investment) inflows and the difference of facilitating factors by the stage of economic development. Design/methodology/approach - Fixed-effect panel regression analysis with 19-year macro economic data from 2000 to 2019 including economic freedom index from Fraser Institute in 13 developed and 15 developing countries was used. Research implications or Originality - In analysis of direct effect of 5 sectors in economic freedom, the influence of economic freedom was shown weaker than other macro economic factors on FDI inflows, which indicates that actual development of economic factors are more important. The effect of economic freedom on FDI inflows at the stage of economic development differed. In developed countries, human capital, GDP, export, free trade and regulation affected FDI inflows in decreasing order, as did human capital, GDP, consumption expenditure, export, investment expenditure, government expenditure, free trade and sound money in developing countries. In analysis of moderating effect of economic freedom, a domestic and international market size, a flexible labor market which can provide a cheaper good human resources and government expenditures for improving social infrastructure under free economic environment facilitated FDI inflows. However, the statistical significance of moderating effect on export was not shown, which indicates that economic freedom policy itself without actual improvement of exports could not attract FDI inflows.

A Study on Facilitation Factors of Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in the World - Focusing on national macro socio-economic Factors - (세계 해외직접투자 유입 촉진에 관한 연구 -국가별 거시적 사회·경제 변수를 중심으로-)

  • Hong, Seung-Gee;Kim, Moo-Soo
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.47-67
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to determine factors of FDI inflows which positively influence economic development. While MNCs ultimately decide on which country to engage in FDI, it can be affected by the general investment environment of host countries. Thus, it may be closely linked to national macro socio-economic factors. In the fixed-effect panel regression analysis using 30 years of data of 13 developed countries and 15 developing countries, results indicate that labor redemption exerts the greatest influence on global FDI inflows; this implies that FDI decisions are based on locations featuring higher productivity by the reduction of labor costs. According to the level of economic development, the motive of FDI inflows differs. In developed countries, GDP, government expenditure and consumer expenditure exert the greatest influence on FDI inflows; which shows characteristics of market seeking and horizontal investment. However, in developing countries, labor redemption and human capital exert the greatest influence on FDI inflows; which shows characteristics of efficiency seeking and vertical investment.

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Consume More for the Economy or Less for the Environment? Conflicts Between Economic and Environmental Remedies in Japan

  • Kim, Inkyoung;Unny-Law, Rohan
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.5-31
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    • 2019
  • How can we reconcile our aspirations for more economic growth or prosperity with the constraints of a finite planet? One of the high-income countries, Japan, makes us wonder if we can deal with two different challenges simultaneously: overcoming economic recession and solving environmental degradation. This study investigates the supply-side perspective which highlights the productive capacity and efficiency of the economy through economic lenses and the demand-side perspective which highlights the Japanese personal lifestyles through social lenses. This study aims to answer the question, if Japan's sustainable consumption behavior is counter to economic development whilst environmentally proactive. It finds that translating individual practices and cultures of sustainability into the macro- scopic economic growth path is key to a sustainable and healthy Japan.

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Macro Factors Affecting Corporate Venture Capital Investments: Effects of Industrial Boom, Exogenous Crisis, Economic Growth, Competition Intensity (기업벤처캐피탈 투자에 미치는 거시적 요인의 영향: 산업 호황, 외생적 위기, 경제 성장, 경쟁 강도를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Doyoon;Shin, Dongyoub
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 2021
  • This paper inquires the macro-economic factors that may affect the corporate venture capital (CVC) from an industrial organization theory perspective. Unlike existing studies focusing CVC investments related to parent corporates' strategic intention, we identified CVC firm as an independent financial investor affected by macro environment and industrial structure. Specifically, we empirically investigate whether and how industry's boom, exogenous crisis, economic growth, and competition intensity affect the CVC investment for a data set of investment in the U.S. based corporate venture capital industry, 1996-2017. The empirical data analyzed in the study contained a total of 84 U.S. based CVC firms and their 2,306 investments from 1996 until 2017. After conducting a time-series negative binomial analysis, our empirical analyses suggest that the CVC investments are affected negatively by exogenous crisis and competition intensity, and positively by industrial boom and economic growth. we found the significance and direction of our independent variables strongly supported all of our four hypotheses in a highly robust manner. The results of this study are expected to contribute the literatures of corporate venture capital and venture investment by illustrating which macro-economic and industrial structure factors affect CVC investment decision to adapt to dynamic environmental change beside strategic intention of CVC firm's parent corporates.

The Effective FDI Strategies under the MAI System (MAI체제하의 효율적인 FDI전략)

  • 채점길
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.139-159
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    • 2003
  • This study deals sith some problems of foreign direct investment and seeks for the ways of activating foreign direct investment (hereafter F.D.I.) by analyzing the Korean economic structure that is faced with the neo-protectivism and nationalism of the advanced or foreign countries currently. During a transformational process in the transitional period of world trade environment, it is necessary for Korea not only to learn the higher technology for advanced countries, but also to apply techonology to their economic structure in order to enter into competition with the advanced countries. Based on the experiences and accomplishments from their investments, Korean enterprises should turn their business into F.D.I. and act appropriately in order to keep the balance between indoor and outdoor investment. Looking through the ways to activate F.D.I., we may make conclusions as follows: 1. Government policy transparency 2. Prudential Macro Economic policy 3. International policy coorperation system 4. Solidification of Foreign Commercial intercourse to Developing countries 5. Globalixation base of domestic coorperation 6. High efficiency- low cost of business coorperation enterprise 7. Attacktive investiestment strategies on conclusive competive advantage 8. Multilateral investment Area 9. New recognixation on marketing investment etc. F.D.I. strategies

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