• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.37-52
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• 2022

Purpose - The objective of this study is to investigate what motivates global FDI inflows in the different economic development level and to clarify the FDI motivation type in the level of qualitative economic growth. Design/methodology/approach - Major macroscopic social·economic factors induced FDI inflows were analyzed using fixed-effect panel regression with 30-year panel data of 28 countries from 1985 to 2014. For analysis in the stage of economic growth, two category of developed and developing countries was used. And to analyze FDI motivation type in the level of qualitative economic growth, 4 shares of GDP; consumption·government·investment expenditure and export, was used as explanatory variable. Findings - In developed country, TFP(total factor productivity) and GDP have a great influence on FDI inflows, and consumption and labor compensation have a slight effect. This result indicates that the market seeking-driven, horizontal type investment is shown along with efficiency seeking investment. In developing country, human capital and TFP is shown to have greater impact on FDI inflows and labor compensation, exports, investment and government expenditures also have impacts. Thus it has confirmed that not only efficiency-seeking vertical investment for using low cost well educated laborer, but also government-driven economic growth and export policies could affect the FDI inflows. Research implications or Originality - The FDI investment decision making of multinational companies is decided by their own purpose. But, in the concept of as follows; 1) FDI is a long-term capital flowing for maximization of economic utility with limited global resource, 2) Thus FDI could be affected by macro socio·economic factors of host country. 3) Also such macro factors is different by each economic growth qualitative level. Therefore macro socio·economic factors of each country could be affected by the qualitative level of their own economic growth. To attract FDI inflows, it is desirable to implement differentiated incentive policies in the qualitative level of economic growth. Furthermore in developing countries it is recommended to implement government driven economic growth policies as follows; fostering well educated human resources, improving technology productivity in the relative lower cost labor market compared to developed countries and boosting international export volume.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.469-495
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• 2020

This paper overviews different exit strategies for the U.S. from the debt-overhang, and analyses their implications for emerging markets and global stability. These strategies are discussed in the context of the debates about secular-stagnation versus debt-overhang, the fiscal theory of the price level, the size of fiscal multipliers, prospects for a multipolar currency system, and historical case studies. We conclude that the reallocation of U.S. fiscal efforts towards infrastructure investment aiming at boosting growth, followed by a gradual tax increase, aiming at reaching a modest primary fiscal surplus over time are akin to an upfront investment in greater long-term global stability. Such a trajectory may solidify the viability and credibility of the U.S. dollar as a global anchor, thereby stabilizing Emerging Markets economies and global growth.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제50권3호
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• pp.305-332
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• 2022

Purpose: As the public interest in entrepreneurship has been highlighted and entrepreneurship policies have been generated, this study is to construct Entrepreneurship Ecosystem (EE) models which have a significant relationship to national entrepreneurship with quantitative analysis. It aims to provide implications to EE policymakers that which national components are effective in cultivating innovative entrepreneurship and validate its EE quality based on quantitative performance goals. Methods: This study utilizes secondary data, categorized under the PESTLE factor from credible international organizations (WB, UNDP, GEM, GEDI, and OECD) to determine significant factors in the quality of the entrepreneurial ecosystem. This paper uses the Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) analysis to select the significant variables contributing to entrepreneurship performance. Using the AUC-ROC performance evaluation method for machine learning MLR results, this paper evaluates the performance of EE models so that it can allow approving EE quality by predicting potential performance. Results: Among nine hypothesis models, MLR analysis examines that the number of the Unicorn company, Unicorn companies' economic value, and entrepreneurship measured as GEI can be reasonable dependent variables to indicate the performance derived from EE quality. Rather than government policies and regulations, the social, finance, technology, and economic variables are significant factors of EE quality determining its performance. By having high Area Under Curve values under AUC-ROC analysis, accepted MLR models are regarded as having high prediction accuracy. Conclusion: Superior EE contributes to the outstanding Unicorn companies, and improvement in macro-environmental components can enhance EE quality.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 8th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.493-502
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• 2020

Traditionally, road projects are initiated based on an assessment of their economic benefit, after which the environmental, social and governance effects are addressed discretely for the project according to a set of predetermined alternatives. Sustainable road infrastructure planning is vital as issues like diminishing access to road construction supplies, water scarcity, Greenhouse Gas emissions, road-related fatalities and congestion pricing etc., have imposed severe economic, social, and environmental damages to the society. In the process of addressing these sustainability factors in the operational phase of the project, the dynamics of these factors are generally ignored. This paper argues that effective delivery of sustainable roads should consider such dynamics and highlights how different aspects of sustainability have the potential to affect project sustainability. The paper initially presents the different sustainability-assessment tools that have been developed to determine the sustainability performance of road projects and discuss the inability of these tools to model the interrelationships among sustainability-related factors. The paper then argues the need for a new assessment framework that facilitates modelling these dynamics at the macro-level (system level) and helping policymakers for sustainable infrastructure planning through evaluating regulatory policies.

• 무역학회지
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.89-101
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• 2022

International remittances play a crucial role in the economic management of each country, especially in developing countries. Its functions are diverse, including procurement of foreign currency, serving as a cushion for the balance of payments and foreign exchange reserves by reducing the adverse external shocks, driving economic growth, easing the gap between the rich and the poor, and maintaining macroeconomic stability. However, previous studies on remittances have mainly focused on macro-and micro-economic aspects to analyze the determinants. Therefore, this study attempts to identify the determinants of remittances in 122 countries over the past 25 years from macroeconomic and educational aspects as well as institutional qualities. In addition, given the fact that almost all of the world's top 10 recipient countries in terms of GDP and total remittance size are developing countries, developed and developing countries are separated and analyzed for comparison, assuming that there may be a difference between the two groups. Results show that the coefficients of developed and developing countries are different in four areas: Control of Corruption (CC), Rule of Law (RL), Voice and Accountability (VA), and Regulatory Quality (RQ) among the six institutional variables of interest in this study. These results implicate that even the same institutions and policies should be applied and implemented differently depending on the circumstances of each country. In addition, as suggested by the World Bank, policymakers in all countries should double their policy efforts to lower the costs of remittance and improve access to the financial system for immigrants or dispatched workers to ensure a steady inflow of remittances.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제34권4호
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• pp.27-68
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• 2012

본 연구는 금융위기에 대응하기 위한 재정정책 관련 조치들을 시점에 따라 정리하고, 확장적 재정정책이 거시변수에 미친 영향을 살펴봄으로써 정책적 시사점을 도출하는 데 주안점을 두고 있다. 금융위기에 대응한 확장적 재정정책의 규모는 총 59.8조원(2007년 GDP 대비 6.1%)으로 파악되었다. 이 중 일시적인 재정지출의 증가는 2008년 추경, 2009년 예산안 수정, 2009년 추경 등을 통해 이루어졌으며, 총규모는 30.5조원으로 추계되었다. 더불어 감세는 2008년 및 2009년 세제개편을 중심으로 이루어졌는데, 총규모는 29.3조원으로 파악되었다. 일시적인 재정지출 확대 및 감세에 따른 거시변수의 동태적 변화를 살펴본 결과, 감세효과를 제외한 순수한 재정지출의 일시적 증가로 인한 실질GDP 성장률 제고효과는 재정확대가 없었을 경우와 비교하여 2009년에 1.1%p, 2010년에 0.3%p 정도로 나타났다. 한편 감세정책을 포함한 확장적 재정정책의 효과를 감안한 경우 실질GDP 성장률 제고효과는 더욱 크게 나타났다. 2009년의 경우 실질GDP는 추가적으로 1.9%p 정도 증가한 것으로 나타났는데, 이 중 지출확대에 의한 증가가 1.1%p, 감세에 따른 증가가 0.8%p 정도인 것으로 추정되었다. 이러한 결과를 바탕으로 볼 때, 2008년 하반기 이후 금융위기 기간 동안 실시된 확장적 재정정책은 한국경제가 금융위기에 따른 경기침체로부터 예상보다 빠른 회복세를 시현하는 데 중요한 역할을 한 것으로 평가된다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.751-761
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• 2021

The Vietnamese economy is a developing country that has brought many opportunities and challenges for the banking system. Commercial banks have developed strongly from quality to quantity, which plays a vital role in developing the economy. They play an important role in capital formation, which is essential for the economic development of a country. They provide financial services to the general public and businesses, ensuring economic and social stability and sustainable growth of the economy. Therefore, the relationship between bank depth and economic growth is of importance in research. This paper used a VAR (Vector Autoregressive Models) estimator for time series data models. The data is collected quarterly from the first quarter of the year 2000 to 2020. The study uses the VAR model to examine the causal relationships of economic growth, growth in money supply expansion, private sector capital requirement, and banks' domestic credit. The results indicate a general short-run relationship between banking sector depth and economic growth with a positive connection, but in the long term, the relationship between these variables can be reversed because of other macro factors. The findings show the two-way causal relationship between GDP growth and banking depth factors. This research contributes to policy-making by underlining the banking sector depth determinants when setting regulations and policies to develop the banking sector.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제37권4호
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• pp.21-54
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• 2015

This paper analyzes how and why household debt distribution by the householder age has changed over the past decade both in Korea and the US. Data shows that the proportion of household debt held by younger households has decreased, while that held by older households has increased. Empirical analysis shows that a change in the demographic distribution of householders is the main driving force that has shifted the household debt distribution. Given that demographic aging is an inevitable trend, the proportion of household debt held by older households is also expected to increase. Therefore, the Korean government must preemptively prepare for the household debt problem, especially for debt held by older households, by strengthening macro-prudential policies, preventing asset price deflation, restructuring household debt contract structures, and reforming labor market inflexibility.

• 한국경제지리학회지
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.296-318
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• 2015

베트남의 소수민족 중 하나인 브루반큐 민족은 오랜 기간 동안 라오스와 국경을 이루는 산악지역에서 거주해 왔으며, 적어도 베트남전쟁이 끝날 무렵까지는 혈연관계에 기초한 무계급사회를 유지하면서 자급적 경제에 의존한 생활을 영위하여 왔다. 그러나 이러한 전통적 지리환경은 지난 몇 세기 동안 베트남의 국가형성과 경제정책에 의해 급격하게 변화되었다. 이 논문에서는 먼저 국경지역의 소수민족들이 외부적 경제환경 변화에 어떻게 적응하여 왔는가을 분석한다. 구체적으로는 브루반큐 민족의 생업 적응을 살펴봄으로써, 베트남 국경지역의 소수민족이 거대한 정치경제권력에 맞서거나 때로는 타협하는 과정에서 어떠한 생존전략을 구사하였는지를 고찰한다. 그 결과 이 논문에서는 브루반큐 민족이 그들의 사회문화적 관계를 최대한 지키기 위한 '일상적 저항'과, 다민족 경제주체들이 혼합된 새로운 경제환경에 적응하기 위해 이러한 사회문화적 관계를 활용하는 전략을 동시에 구사하여 왔으며, 그 결과 그들 자신을 새로운 자원과 그 이용 가능성을 접목시켜 왔음을 밝혀 내었다.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.147-171
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• 2012

2000년 이후 오늘날에도 중국, 인도 등을 비롯한 신흥시장국의 경제규모가 날로 확대되면서 국제적으로 석유에 대한 수요가 크게 증가해온 반면 그 공급은 주요 산유국인 중동국가의 정세불안 등으로 차질이 발생하는 상황이 빈발함에 따라 스태그플레이션 위험은 항상 개연성이 높은 경제현상으로 인식되고 있다. 그러나 일반 사람들이 고유가가 지속되는 시기에 흔히 높은 인플레이션과 경기침체가 공존하는 현상을 스태그플레이션으로 쉽게 거론하더라도 스태그플레이션에 관한 학술적인 정의는 분명하지 않으며 현실적인 경제통계의 흐름을 보고 그러한 상황을 식별하기도 쉽지 않다. 본고에서는 경기국면으로서 스태그플레이션의 상황을 보다 구체적으로 정의한 연구사례들을 면밀히 살펴보고 월별로 조기에 입수 가능한 경제통계들을 종합하여 스태그플레이션의 상황을 체계적으로 식별할 수 있는 방법론을 제시하였다. 경기상황, 인플레이션 상황을 나타내는 월별 통계지표를 이용하여 스태그플레이션 상황을 나타내는 정도를 평가한 후 이 결과를 종합하여 스태그플레이션 종합지수를 산출하였다. 그 결과 한국에서 스태그플레이션 여부에 대한 논란이 많았던 2008년 상반기가 엄밀한 의미에서 스태그플레이션 상황은 아니었음을 규명하였다.