• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.30-30
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• 2023

This study aims to establish the multi-reservoir operation system model in the Upper Mun River Basin which includes 5 main dams namely, Mun Bon (MB), Lamchae (LC), Lam Takhong (LTK), Lam Phraphoeng (LPP), and Lower Lam Chiengkrai (LLCK) Dams. The knowledge and AI technology were applied aiming to develop innovative prototype for SMART dam-reservoir operation in future. Two different sorts of reservoir operation system model namely, Fuzzy Logic (FL) and Constraint Programming (CP) as well as the development of rainfall and reservoir inflow prediction models using Machine Learning (ML) technique were made to help specify the right amount of daily reservoir releases for the Royal Irrigation Department (RID). The model could also provide the essential information particularly for the Office of National Water Resource of Thailand (ONWR) to determine the short-term and long-term water resource management plan and strengthen water security against flood and drought in this region. The simulated results of base case scenario for reservoir operation in the Upper Mun from 2008 to 2021 indicated that in the same circumstances, FL and CP models could specify the new release schemes to increase the reservoir water storages at the beginning of dry season of approximately 125.25 and 142.20 MCM per year. This means that supplying the agricultural water to farmers in dry season could be well managed. In other words, water scarcity problem could substantially be moderated at some extent in case of incapability to control the expansion of cultivated area size properly. Moreover, using AI technology to determine the new reservoir release schemes plays important role in reducing the actual volume of water shortfall in the basin although the drought situation at LTK and LLCK Dams were still existed in some periods of time. Meanwhile, considering the predicted inflow and hydrologic factors downstream of 5 main dams by FL model and minimizing the flood volume by CP model could ensure that flood risk was considerably minimized as a result of new release schemes.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.83-83
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• 2017

수자원공학에서 일강수량 모의기법은 다양한 목적으로 활용되고 있지만, 일반적으로 홍수와 가뭄의 영향을 고려할 수 있는 수공구조물의 위험도 및 신뢰성 평가 및 수자원 계획을 수립하기 위한 입력 자료생성을 목적으로 활용된다. 유역 단위의 분석시 단일 지점에 대한 강수 모의 기법을 적용할 경우 각각의 지점에서 관측된 강수 자료의 시계열 및 통계치 특성이 효과적으로 재현되지만 공간적으로 발생하는 즉, 지점 간의 종속관계를 재현하지 못하는 문제가 발생한다. 이러한 이유로 공간적인 전이 특성이 있는 가뭄 분석 및 유역내 유출량의 공간적 변동 특성 분석에 단일지점별 모의 결과를 이용할 경우 관측 자료와 상반된 공간적 변동성으로 인하여 잘못된 가뭄 및 유출 분석 결과가 도출되는 문제점이 있다. 따라서, 실제적으로 발생하는 강수 특성을 반영한 유역 단위의 홍수 및 가뭄 등의 수문 분석을 위해서는 지점간의 종속성을 반영할 수 있는 다지점 강수 모의 모형의 적용이 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 다지점 모의에 있어서, Wilks 모형의 지점별 시변동 특성과 공간상관성 재현 능력, HMM 모형이 갖는 강수 사상별로 분포된 양적 분포 패턴 재현 능력을 복합적으로 나타낼 수 있는 새로운 다지점 일강수량 모의 모형인 기계학습 기반 범주화 기법을 이용한 다지점 일강수량 모의 모형(ML-MRS)을 개발하였다. 또한, 지점별 강수량에 적용되는 확률분포모형은 Gamma 분포로 구성된 혼합모형을 적용하여 단일 확률 분포 모형의 자료 적합 문제를 개선하였다. 모의를 통한 일강수량 시계열 자료는 일 강수자료의 통계량을 효과적으로 모의하였으며, 다지점 모형의 모의 결과를 적용한 가뭄 모의 결과 관측 자료에서 나타나는 공간적 패턴이 재현되었다. 본 모형은 시 공간적 사상을 효과적으로 재현함으로서 지역의 변동특성을 반영한 가뭄, 홍수, 기상 현상 분석 등 활용도가 매우 높을 것으로 판단된다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.383-383
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• 2023

오늘날 수문학 분야에서는 유역에 대한 강우-유출 시뮬레이션을 머신 러닝(ML: Machine Learning)을 활용하여 다양한 연구를 실행하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 시간별 강우-유출 예측 모델인 GR4H(Génie Rural à 4 paramètres Horaires)를 사용하여 충주댐 유역을 대상으로 연구를 수행하였다. 유역의 속성에 따라서 모델의 성능이 어떻게 달라지는지 비교하여 특성에 맞는 모델을 알아내고. 또한 이 과정에서 기상 및 유출 데이터의 보정 길이를 가지고 어느 정도의 데이터 기간이 모델에서 좋은 성능을 보이는지 파악하였다. 뿐만 아니라 모델에 필요한 선행기간의 데이터가 있는 경우와 없는 경우를 비교하여 어떠한 차이를 보이는지, 그리고 선행기간은 얼마나 필요한지 연구를 통하여 알아냈다. 본 연구를 통하여 충주댐 유역에 대한 모델의 적용성 및 성능을 파악하고 수문 모형 구축에 제한이 있는 유역에 대해서도 사용이 가능한지 판단한다. 실험 유역의 관측 값을 모델에 입력한 후 각 모델에 해당하는 매개변수의 최적값을 찾아내는 과정을 거쳐 시뮬레이션을실 행했다. 본 연구에서 사용한 강우-유출 모델인 GR4H는 프랑스의 INRAE-Antony(Institut National de la recherche agronomique-Antony)에서 만들어진 airGR의 일종으로, 시간별 강우-유출 예측을 위해 개발된 공정 기반(process-based)의 집중적, 개념적 수문학 모델이다. 4개의 매개변수(parameter)가 있으며 이는 유역의 특정 속성을 나타낸다. GR4H를 시뮬레이션 하는 과정에서 매개변수의 최적화를 위해 적절한 보정 길이를 파악하여야 한다. 이러한 과정은 4년, 5년, 6년 등 1년씩 데이터의 양을 늘려가며 매개변수를 최적화한다. 이 과정에서 기상 및 유출 데이터의 적절한 보정 길이를 찾아낸다. 시뮬레이션을 통해 얻은 데이터를 관측 값과 비교하여 모델의 성능을 평가하고 다른 관측 값을 통해 시뮬레이션을 실행하여 검증을 거친다.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• v.30 no.6
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• pp.489-502
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• 2022

In this study, a Gaussian process regression (GPR) model as well as six GPR-based metaheuristic optimization models, including GPR-PSO, GPR-GWO, GPR-MVO, GPR-MFO, GPR-SCA, and GPR-SSO, were developed to predict fly-rock distance in the blasting operation of open pit mines. These models included GPR-SCA, GPR-SSO, GPR-MVO, and GPR. In the models that were obtained from the Soungun copper mine in Iran, a total of 300 datasets were used. These datasets included six input parameters and one output parameter (fly-rock). In order to conduct the assessment of the prediction outcomes, many statistical evaluation indices were used. In the end, it was determined that the performance prediction of the ML models to predict the fly-rock from high to low is GPR-PSO, GPR-GWO, GPR-MVO, GPR-MFO, GPR-SCA, GPR-SSO, and GPR with ranking scores of 66, 60, 54, 46, 43, 38, and 30 (for 5-fold method), respectively. These scores correspond in conclusion, the GPR-PSO model generated the most accurate findings, hence it was suggested that this model be used to forecast the fly-rock. In addition, the mutual information test, also known as MIT, was used in order to investigate the influence that each input parameter had on the fly-rock. In the end, it was determined that the stemming (T) parameter was the most effective of all the parameters on the fly-rock.

• Computers and Concrete
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• v.32 no.2
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• pp.119-138
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• 2023

Concrete carbonation is a prevalent phenomenon that leads to steel reinforcement corrosion in reinforced concrete (RC) structures, thereby decreasing their service life as well as durability. The process of carbonation results in a lower pH level of concrete, resulting in an acidic environment with a pH value below 12. This acidic environment initiates and accelerates the corrosion of steel reinforcement in concrete, rendering it more susceptible to damage and ultimately weakening the overall structural integrity of the RC system. Lower pH values might cause damage to the protective coating of steel, also known as the passive film, thus speeding up the process of corrosion. It is essential to estimate the carbonation factor to reduce the deterioration in concrete structures. A lot of work has gone into developing a carbonation model that is precise and efficient that takes both internal and external factors into account. This study presents an ML-based adaptive-neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) approach to predict the carbonation depth of fly ash (FA)-based concrete structures. Cement content, FA, water-cement ratio, relative humidity, duration, and CO2 level have been used as input parameters to develop the ANFIS model. Six performance indices have been used for finding the accuracy of the developed model and two analytical models. The outcome of the ANFIS model has also been compared with the other models used in this study. The prediction results show that the ANFIS model outperforms analytical models with R-value, MAE, RMSE, and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency index values of 0.9951, 0.7255 mm, 1.2346 mm, and 0.9957, respectively. Surface plots and sensitivity analysis have also been performed to identify the repercussion of individual features on the carbonation depth of FA-based concrete structures. The developed ANFIS-based model is simple, easy to use, and cost-effective with good accuracy as compared to existing models.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.87 no.3
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• pp.221-229
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• 2023

Urbanization and industrialization have significantly increased the amount of solid waste produced in recent decades, posing considerable disposal problems and environmental burdens. The practice of waste utilization in concrete has gained popularity among construction practitioners and researchers for the efficient use of resources and the transition to the circular economy in construction. This study employed Lytag aggregate, an environmentally friendly pulverized fuel ash-based lightweight aggregate, as a substitute for natural coarse aggregate. At the same time, fly ash, an industrial by-product, was used as a partial substitute for cement. Concrete mix M20 was experimented with using fly ash and Lytag lightweight aggregate. The percentages of fly ash that make up the replacements were 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%, and 25%. The Compressive Strength (CS), Split Tensile Strength (STS), and deflection were discovered at these percentages after 56 days of testing. The concrete cube, cylinder, and beam specimens were examined in the explorations, as mentioned earlier. The results indicate that a 10% substitution of cement with fly ash and a replacement of coarse aggregate with Lytag lightweight aggregate produced concrete that performed well in terms of mechanical properties and deflection. The cementitious composites have varying characteristics as the environment changes. Therefore, understanding their mechanical properties are crucial for safety reasons. CS, STS, and deflection are the essential property of concrete. Machine learning (ML) approaches have been necessary to predict the CS of concrete. The Artificial Fish Swarm Optimization (AFSO), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), and Harmony Search (HS) algorithms were investigated for the prediction of outcomes. This work deftly explains the tremendous AFSO technique, which achieves the precise ideal values of the weights in the model to crown the mathematical modeling technique. This has been proved by the minimum, maximum, and sample median, and the first and third quartiles were used as the basis for a boxplot through the standardized method of showing the dataset. It graphically displays the quantitative value distribution of a field. The correlation matrix and confidence interval were represented graphically using the corrupt method.

• Wind and Structures
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• v.37 no.4
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• pp.303-314
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• 2023

In this study, two steady RANS turbulence models (SST k-ω and Realizable k-ε) and four unsteady turbulence models (URANS SST k-ω and Realizable k-ε, SST-SAS, and SST-IDDES) are evaluated with respect to their capacity to predict crosswind characteristics on high-speed trains (HSTs). All of the numerical simulations are compared with the wind tunnel values and LES results to ensure the accuracy of each turbulence model. Specifically, the surface pressure distributions, time-averaged aerodynamic coefficients, flow fields, and computational cost are studied to determine the suitability of different models. Results suggest that the predictions of the pressure distributions and aerodynamic forces obtained from the steady and transient RANS models are almost the same. In particular, both SAS and IDDES exhibits similar predictions with wind tunnel test and LES, therefore, the SAS model is considered an attractive alternative for IDDES or LES in the crosswind study of trains. In addition, if the computational cost needs to be significantly reduced, the RANS SST k-ω model is shown to provide relatively reasonable results for the surface pressures and aerodynamic forces. As a result, the RANS SST k-ω model might be the most appropriate option for the expensive aerodynamic optimizations of trains using machine learning (ML) techniques because it balances solution accuracy and resource consumption.

• Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.171-180
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• 2024

The processing of seismic data involves analyzing earthquake wave data to understand the internal structure and characteristics of the Earth, which requires high computational power. Recently, machine learning (ML) techniques have been introduced to address these challenges and have been utilized in various tasks such as noise reduction and velocity model construction. However, most studies have focused on specific seismic data processing tasks, limiting the full utilization of similar features and structures inherent in the datasets. In this study, we compared the efficacy of using receiver-wise time-series data ("receiver array") and synchronized receiver signals ("time array") from shotgathers for pretraining a Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) model. To this end, shotgather data generated from a synthetic model containing faults was used to perform noise reduction, velocity prediction, and fault detection tasks. In the task of random noise reduction, both the receiver and time arrays showed good performance. However, for tasks requiring the identification of spatial distributions, such as velocity estimation and fault detection, the results from the time array were superior.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.12 no.6
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• pp.259-266
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• 2023

It is very difficult to measure the performance of the machine learning model in the business service stage. Therefore, managing the performance of the model through the operational department is not done effectively. Academically, various studies have been conducted on the concept drift detection method to determine whether the model status is appropriate. The operational department wants to know quantitatively the performance of the operating model, but concept drift can only detect the state of the model in relation to the data, it cannot estimate the quantitative performance of the model. In this study, we propose a performance prediction model (PPM) that quantitatively estimates precision through the statistics of concept drift. The proposed model induces artificial drift in the sampling data extracted from the training data, measures the precision of the sampling data, creates a dataset of drift and precision, and learns it. Then, the difference between the actual precision and the predicted precision is compared through the test data to correct the error of the performance prediction model. The proposed PPM was applied to two models, a loan underwriting model and a credit card fraud detection model that can be used in real business. It was confirmed that the precision was effectively predicted.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.105-123
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• 2022

Thanks to the remarkable success of Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) techniques, a new possibility for its application on the real-world problem has begun. One of the prominent applications is the bankruptcy prediction model as it is often used as a basic knowledge base for credit scoring models in the financial industry. As a result, there has been extensive research on how to improve the prediction accuracy of the model. However, despite its impressive performance, it is difficult to implement machine learning (ML)-based models due to its intrinsic trait of obscurity, especially when the field requires or values an explanation about the result obtained by the model. The financial domain is one of the areas where explanation matters to stakeholders such as domain experts and customers. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to incorporate financial domain knowledge into local rule generation to provide explanations for the bankruptcy prediction model at instance level. The result shows the proposed method successfully selects and classifies the extracted rules based on the feasibility and information they convey to the users.