• 노동경제논집
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.1-25
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• 2000

본 연구는 "경제활동인구조사"(통계청)를 패널화하여, 경제위기를 전후한 실업구조의 변화를 분석하였다. 경제위기 이후 실업을 경유한 노동이동성이 크게 증가하고 있을 뿐만 아니라, 실업경험자의 3분의 1은 2회 이상의 실업상태를 되풀이하는 반복실업(recurrent unemployment)을 경험하고 있으며, 이러한 반복실업 경험자는 사실상의 장기실업상태를 경험하고 있음을 밝히고 있다. 특히 제도화된 사회적 보호수준이 미약한 상태에서는 단기간의 취업과 실업을 빈번하게 이동하는 반복실업이 실업 장기화의 주요한 현상임을 시사하고 있다.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제15권7호
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• pp.228-243
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• 2015

본 연구에서는 노동조합 조합원인 장기해고노동자들이 해고와 이후 실업기간을 어떻게 경험하는지 그 변화과정을 현상학적 방법으로 분석하였다. 연구대상자는 평균해고 기간이 8년 4개월인 남성 해고노동자로 5명을 심층 면담하였다. 해고 당시의 심리적 경험, 해고 이후 지속적인 심리적 또는 신체적 변화, 현재 상태, 해고기간 동안의 대처방법 등을 반구조화 질문지에 근거하여 심층 면담을 진행하여 자료를 수집하였다. 이를 분석한 결과 21개의 하위 주제와 이를 포괄하는 5개의 상위주제를 구성하였다. 중요상위주제는 '해고 당시와 이후의 감정과 인식', '해고가 장기화되면서 생기는 증상과 변화', '장기화된 현재의 상태', '사회적 인식에 대한 양상', '해고에 대한 대처' 이었다. 상위주제와 하위범주에 대하여 기술하고 이와 관련된 장기해고노동자의 경험을 구체적으로 기술하였다. 마지막으로 장기해고노동자의 변화 및 경험을 선행연구를 바탕으로 논의하였다.

• 산경연구논집
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• 제13권12호
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• pp.33-39
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• 2022

Purpose: This research investigates the paths of some important economic variables: government domestic product (GDP), capital accumulation, unemployment rates. Decreasing GDP, declining capital accumulation and higher unemployment affect to South Korea economy. The macroeconomic policies discussed are all capital financed accumulation policy and an enactment of unemployment regulation. Research design, data and methodology: The GDP, capital accumulation rates and unemployment rates are the main macroeconomic issues in the South Korea. This research studies the correlations of the GDP, capital accumulation, and unemployment rates by time series data from 2000 to 2005 in a Vector Autoregressive (VAR). Results: The first, GDP relates a positive effect between the GDP and capital accumulation in the long term. The second, there is the negative relationship between GDP and unemployment rates. Economic growth was strongly supported by employment growth and by declining unemployment. The third, There is positive relationship between unemployment rates and capital accumulation. Conclusions: This research provides that fiscal policy introduce to increasing GDP, private investments and employment rates. The GDP should be major on capital accumulation to increase employment rates in South Korea.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.269-275
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• 2019

This study intended to examine the relationship between inflation and unemployment rate in Indonesia during 1987 to 2018 period. The study applied a quantitative method using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) in order to comprehensively understand the causality between inflation and unemployment rates. The data were collected from various main sources including the World Bank, Central Bank of Indonesia, and Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The findings showed that inflation has a one-way relationship toward unemployment in Indonesia and it occurs at the third lag. Impulse Response Function (IRF), shows that the inflation rate are fluctuating in response to the shock of unemployment. The unemployment rate responses to shocks from inflation initially increased until it is eventually diminished. It shows that the shocks caused by the impact of inflation were only in the short term. Further, inflation in the three previous lags will have consequences for the unemployment rate in the year. Lastly, both in the long run and short run, unemployment did not affect inflation rates. These findings suggest that high inflation in Indonesia is determined the rising price of basic commodities and fuel. In addition, most companies in Indonesia applying capital intensive so that employment growth in Indonesia is small.

• 한국사회복지학
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• 제45권
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• pp.7-39
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• 2001

This paper examines the effect of active labor market policy on the unemployment rates in 8 welfare states. This paper focuses on the following questions: what are the major predictors of the changes in unemployment rates?; and what is the effect of active labor market policy in reducing unemployment rates? Using the data from Comparative Welfare States Data Set by Stephens (1997), Key Indicators of the Labour Market by ILO (1999) and Social Expenditure Database by OECD (1999), this paper attempts to answer the above research questions. Fuller-Battese model, a data analysis method in pooled cross-sectional time-series analysis, is adopted to identify variables predicting changes in unemployment rates. This paper analyzes the predictors by using 3 analysis models about 2 types of unemployment (overall unemployment and long term unemployment). Results are as follows: (1) economic variable such as changes in GDP has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates; (2) active labor market policy has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates as well; (3) job brokering service among 3 major active labor market programs has a positive effect in reducing unemployment rates; and (4) there is an interaction effect between unemployment benefit level and active labor market policy in reducing unemployment rates. Through the empirical analysis, this paper provides valuable knowledge about effects of active labor market policy on unemployment in 8 welfare states and discusses implications for the active labor market policy in Korea.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.71-79
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• 2022

The aim of this study is to see how government spending on education, health, and social security affects ratios in Indonesia. The third sector has a critical role to play in reducing the dependency ratio. It also aims to lower unemployment and poverty rates. This study uses the GMM panel data model. This model can determine the dynamic response of the ratio that comes from a number of variables. This study uses data from 33 provinces from 2010 to 2018. The results show that government spending in the education and health sectors has a positive effect on the dependency ratio, both in the short and long term. Social security has a significant effect on the dependency ratio in the long term, but not in the short term. Government spending in the education sector and health sector and social security sector have a positive and significant effect on disease and illness. The study's findings show a high level of poverty with a large standard deviation. The high ratio value is due to the large number of restrictions placed on a number of regions. Each province has made a significant contribution to overcoming these challenges, particularly in terms of the comparative ratio.

• 경제분석
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.58-108
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• 2019

본 연구는 OECD 30개국의 2000-2017년 데이터를 사용하여 20대 초반과 후반 청년실업률의 설명요인을 분석하여 한국의 청년실업률이 일본에 비해 높은 이유를 규명하는 한편, 일본의 청년실업 대책이 한국에 주는 시사점을 모색하였다. 전체 실업률, 각 연령대의 인구비중, GDP 성장률, 임금근로자 비중, 고령화율, 파트타임근로자 비중 등이 청년실업에 유의한 상관을 갖는 설명변수인 것으로 나타났으며, 20대 청년인구 비중의 감소는 청년실업 해소에 도움을 주지 못하는 것으로 나타났다. 한국은 임금근로자 비중이 낮아 일본에 비해 불리한 환경이었으며, 일본에 비해 부족한 대기업 일자리, 대기업과 중소기업 간의 과도한 임금 격차도 한국의 청년실업이 높은 이유를 설명하는 요인인 것으로 보인다. 따라서 이와 같은 장기적이고 구조적인 문제의 해소를 위해 지속적으로 노력하는 한편, 일본의 정책사례 등을 참고하여 단기적인 청년일자리 미스매치(mismatch) 문제를 해결하는 대책을 적극적으로 추진할 필요가 있겠다.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.291-300
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• 2020

Background: The study aimed to determine the association of individual cognitive ability in late midlife with labor market participation among older workers. Methods: This prospective cohort study estimates the risk of long-term sickness absence, disability pension, early retirement, and unemployment from scores on the Intelligenz-Struktur-Test 2000R by combining data from 5076 workers from the Copenhagen Aging and Midlife Biobank with a register on social transfer payments. Analyses were stepwise adjusted for age, gender, physical and psychosocial work environment, health behaviors, occupational social class, education, and chronic diseases. Results: In the fully adjusted model, low cognitive ability (≥1 standard deviation below the mean for each gender) and high cognitive ability (≥1 standard deviation above the mean for each gender) were not associated with risk of any of the four labor market outcomes. Conclusion: Individual cognitive ability in late midlife was not associated with risk of long-term sickness absence, disability pension, early retirement, and unemployment in the fully adjusted model. Thus, no direct effect of individual cognitive ability in late midlife was observed on the risk of permanently or temporarily leaving the labor market.

• International Journal of Human Ecology
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.103-115
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• 2005

This study utilized data (a sample of 18,553 people born in 1958 in England, Scotland, and Wales) from the National Child Development Study of 1968 and 1991 to explore the influence of familial difficulties on the internalizing behavioral patterns during the early adolescent period and late life outcomes periods. In this paper, internalizing behavioral problems include 'depression', 'anxiety', 'hostility to adults', 'hostility to children', and 'withdrawal'. Late outcomes were analyzed in two different variables and one marital management domain: 'unemployment', 'seen doctors about emotional problems', 'divorce or separation; never lived as a couple; arguments end in violent behavior' The results indicate that young adolescents who had experienced familial difficulties also have internalizing behavioral problems giving them emotional and behavioral instability. The findings also show that familial difficulties during childhood positively contribute to late life outcomes such as unemployment, emotional problems, and marital management. This study suggests that in order to effectively respond to the needs of children and adolescents who have experienced various familial difficulties, counselors and educators must guide parents.

• 노동경제논집
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• 제39권4호
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• pp.1-29
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• 2016

본 연구는 청년층의 고용촉진을 위한 재정투입 사업으로 2004년에 도입된 신규고용촉진장려금 사업의 효과를 탐색-매칭 모형의 틀 내에서 이해한 후, 준실험적 프로그램 평가 방법론을 실제 행정자료에 적용하여 분석한다. (1)구직기간이 3개월을 초과한 청년근로자를 대상으로 구직 후 1년가량 사업주에게 최대 월 60만 원의 지원을 가능케 하는 본 제도의 구조는 기존 연구에서 다뤄지지 않았고, 또한 (2) 재정지원 수준면에서 괄목할 만한 사업으로서 의의를 갖는다. 본고에서는 (3) 효과 추정에 그치지 않고 비용-편익 분석을 통해 제도의 총괄적 의의를 검토한다. 주요 분석 결과로서 대략 18일 정도 구직기간이 단축되었고, 임금수준이 3% 정도 향상되는 효과가 발생하였음을 얻었다. 보수적으로 설정된 상황 하의 비용-편익 분석의 결과 또한 표본기간동안 본 사업의 효과성을 지지한다. 끝으로 본 결과의 해석에 관해 논의한다.