• Title/Summary/Keyword: long-term rainfall analysis

검색결과 189건 처리시간 0.033초

낙동강 하중도 딴섬의 지하수위 변동 및 수질 특성 (Characteristics of Groundwater Levels Fluctuation and Quality in Ddan-sum Area)

  • 김규범;최두형;신선호
    • 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2011
  • 낙동강 하류 딴섬 지역은 강변여과수 개발이 이루어지는 지역으로서 상부의 점토 및 실트질 퇴적층이 물의 상하 이동을 차단하여 하부 자갈층은 피압 대수층의 특성을 보이기도 한다. 총 13개소의 관측 지점에서 측정한 지하수위 조사 결과, 강우 요인과 농업활동에 의한 양수의 영향으로 계절에 따라 지하수위 유동 방향이 차이를 보인다. 7개 지점 9개의 장기 지하수위 관측 결과, 딴섬의 지하수위 변동은 주성분분석에 의하여 3개 유형으로 분류된다. 첫 번째 유형은 딴섬 중앙부에서 나타나며 하천의 영향이 적어 완만한 변동을 보이고, 두 번째 유형은 딴섬 외곽부에서 나타나며 강우 및 하천수위에 신속히 반응하는 뽀족한 형태의 그래프를 보여준다. 세 번째 유형은 하천수위 변동과 상관없이 일정한 주기를 갖는 경우로서 하천 본류와 떨어진 심부 자갈층에서 나타나는데, 심부 자갈층의 지하수위는 조석 영향에 의한 주기성을 보인다. 각 지점의 지화학 특성을 분석한 결과 딴섬 내부는 [$Ca-HCO_3$]인 천부 지하수 특성, 딴섬 외곽은 [$Na-HCO_3$], [$Ca-SO_4(Cl)$]로서 하천 영향을 받는 유형으로 나타나 수위 분류 유형과 관련성이 있다.

Characteristics of Plant Distribution in the Reclaimed Dredging Area in Gwangyang Bay, Korea

  • Nam, Woong;Kwak, Young-Se;Lee, Deok-Beom;Lee, Sang-Suk
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2009
  • In order to elucidate the mechanisms affecting plant distributions in the reclaimed dredging area in the Gwangyang steelworks, in the Gwangyang Bay, Korea, we examined soil characteristics and plant distributions in four study sites and a control site in the study area. Desalination occurring along a gradient with increasing elevation, resulting in decrease of soil pH, EC, P, K, Cl, Ca, Mg, and salt and an increase in soil T-N, silt, clay contents. From site 1 (the lowest-elevation site) to site 5 (the highest-elevation site), halophytes decreased in abundance and nonhalophytes increased. The dominant species in each site were: Phragmites communis, Limonium tetragonum, and 12 additional species at site 1, Carex pumila, Suaeda japonica, and 15 additional species at site 2, Spergularia marina, Scirpus planiculmis, and 22 additional species at site 3, Miscantus sinensis, Lespedeza bicolor, and 26 additional species at site 4 and Pinus thunberii, Rhododendron mucronulatum, and 39 additional species at site 5, which resembled a naturally-occurring P. thinbergii community. Cluster analysis of the vegetation data matrix grouped the 35 plots into 5 major groups, and cluster analysis using the soil environment data matrix revealed 4 major groups. CCA of the floristic and environmental data matrix showed a positive relationship of SAR, EC, Na, Cl, and Ca, which are related to salt, in the $1^{st}$ axis and $2^{nd}$ axis, but negative relationships for altitude, organic contents, silt, and clay contents. Notably, plant species in the reclaimed dredging area that were separated along the $1^{st}$ axis showed strong relationships with factors that related to salt. Long-term exposure to natural rainfall in the reclaimed dredging area changed the soil characteristics, such as salinity. This change in soil characteristics might alter the SAR, which affects plant survival strategies in a given habitat. These results strongly indicated that factors related to salt and elevation play important roles in determining the overall plant distribution in the reclaimed dredging area.

우리나라에서 병원성 대장균 식중독 발생과 기후요소의 영향 (Influence of Climate Factors on the Occurrence of Pathogenic Escherichia coli Food Poisoning in Korea)

  • 김종규
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.353-358
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: An outbreak of pathogenic Escherichia coli food poisoning in Korea was first reported in 1998. They have continued to occure since then. This study was performed to describe the long-term trend in pathogenic E. coli food poisoning occurrences in Korea and examine the relation with climate factors. Methods: Official Korean statistics on food poisoning outbreaks and meteorological data for the period 2002-2017 were used. Pearson's correlation analysis was employed to establish the relationship between outbreaks of pathogenic E. coli food poisoning and meteorological factors. The influence of meteorological factors upon the outbreaks was analyzed by regression analysis. Results: During the study period, pathogenic E. coli food poisoning ranked second for the number of outbreaks (excluding unknowns) and first for the number of cases. Average temperature, the highest and lowest temperatures, precipitation, number of days with rainfall, and humidity all had a significant correlation with monthly number of outbreaks of pathogenic E. coli food poisoning (p<0.001). It was found that the lowest and highest temperatures and precipitation had a significant influence on the monthly number of outbreaks of food poisoning (p<0.001). These variables together explained 42.1% of the total variance, with the lowest temperature having the greatest explanatory power. Conclusion: These results show that food poisoning incidences may have been influenced by climate change, especially warming. The results also suggest that pathogenic E. coli infections are now an important public health issue in Korea since it is one of the countries where climate change is occurring rapidly.

SWAT 모델을 이용한 임하.안동 유역의 부유사량 발생량 추정 (Estimation of Suspended Sediment Load in Imha-Andong Watershed using SWAT Model)

  • 김정곤;손경호;노준우;이상욱
    • 대한환경공학회지
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    • 제30권12호
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    • pp.1209-1217
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 고탁수 문제가 자주 발생하는 임하 안동 유역을 대상으로 효율적인 탁수 관리를 위한 유출현황 및 토사 유실평가를 목적으로 SWAT 모델을 구축하였다. 홍수기에 측정된 유량과 부유사 농도를 이용하여 모형의 검 보정을 실시하였다. 검 보정된 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 소유역별 연간 부유사 부하량에 대한 공간 분석결과, 전체 유역 대상으로 2005년에 최저 0.7$\sim$5.9 tons/ha에서 태풍 매미에 의해 심한 영향을 받은 2003년에 최고 3.0$\sim$34.0 tons/ha의 부하량을 보였다. 향후 유역전체의 효율적인 유사량 추정 및 저감대책마련을 위해서는 장기간에 걸쳐 보다 정확하고 광범위한 모니터링과 이를 활용한 모델의 정도 향상이 수반되어야 할 것이다.

대청호 상류 유역의 비점오염원 유출특성 분석 및 L-THIA 모형 적용성 평가 (Analysis of the Characteristics of NPS Runoff and Application of L-THIA model at Upper Daecheong Reservoir)

  • 신민환;이재안;천세억;이열재;임경재;최중대
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2010
  • Generation and transportation of runoff and pollutant loads within watershed generated eutrophication at Daecheong reservoir. To improve water quality at Daecheong reservoir, the best management practices should be developed and applied at upper watersheds for water quality improvement at downstream areas. In this study, two small watersheds of upper Daecheong reservoir were selected. The Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) model has been widely used for the estimation of the direct runoff worldwide. To apply the L-THIA ArcView GIS model was evaluated for direct runoff and water quality estimation at small watershed. And the Web-based Hydrograph Analysis Tool (WHAT) was used for direct runoff separating from total flow. As a result, the $R^2$ (Coefficient of determination) value and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient value for direct runoff comparison at An-nae watershed were 0.81 and 0.71, respectively. And the $R^2$ value and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient value at Wol-oe were 0.95 and 0.93. The $R^2$ value of BOD, TOC, T-N and T-P at An-nae watershed were BOD 0.94, TOC 0.81, T-N 0.94 and T-P 0.89. And the $R^2$ value of BOD, TOC, T-N and T-P at Wol-oe watershed were BOD 0.80, TOC 0.93, T-N 0.86 and T-P 0.65. The result that estimated pollutant loadings using the L-THIA ArcView GIS model reflected well the measured pollutant loadings except for T-P in Wol-oe watershed. With L-THIA ArcView GIS model, the direct runoff and non-point pollutant (NPS) loadings in the watershed could be analyzed through simple input data such as daily rainfall, land uses, and hydrologic soil group.

기후변화가 하천 유황과 어류 물리서식처에 미치는 영향 평가 (Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Flow Regime and Physical Habitat for Fish)

  • 홍일;김지성;김규호;전호성
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2019
  • 최근 기후변화 현실화로 강우 발생 시기와 패턴이 변화하면서 유역에 따라 유황이 변화하고 있는 실정이다. 이로 인한 하천 유황의 장기적 변화는 수중생태계의 구조와 기능에 커다란 변화를 야기한다. 하지만 국내에서는 기후변화와의 연계성은 물론, 유량변화와 생태학적 특성을 포함한 수생태계 관점에서의 분석은 대부분 이루어지지 않고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기후변화로 인한 현재-미래의 유황 변화가 만경강 하도와 홍수터 영역에서 감돌고기의 서식환경에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 평가하였다. 그 결과, 현재보다 미래에 홍수와 가뭄 등 극한 수문 조건이 심화됨을 확인하였고, 특히 크기, 빈도, 지속시간, 시기와 변화율 등을 비교 분석함으로써 유황 특성의 변화를 명확히 파악하였다. 그리고 유황 특성과 물리서식처 해석을 연계함으로써 기후변화로 인해 미래 생태환경 변동에 대한 위험성이 크게 증대될 것이라는 결과 제시가 가능하였다.

기상예보를 고려한 ESP 유출 확률 산정 (Estimation of ESP Probability considering Weather Outlook)

  • 안정민;이상진;김정곤;김주철;맹승진;우동현
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.264-272
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study was to develop a model for predicting long-term runoff in a basin using the ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) technique and review its reliability. To achieve the objective, this study improved not only the ESP technique based on the ensemble scenario analysis of historical rainfall data but also conventional ESP techniques used in conjunction with qualitative climate forecasting information, and analyzed and assessed their improvement effects. The model was applied to the Geum River basin. To undertake runoff forecasting, this study tried three cases (case 1: Climate Outlook + ESP, case 2: ESP probability through monthly measured discharge, case 3: Season ESP probability of case 2) according to techniques used to calculate ESP probabilities. As a result, the mean absolute error of runoff forecasts for case 1 proposed by this study was calculated as 295.8 MCM. This suggests that case 1 showed higher reliability in runoff forecasting than case 2 (324 MCM) and case 3 (473.1 MCM). In a discrepancy-ratio accuracy analysis, the Climate Outlook + ESP technique displayed 50.0%. This suggests that runoff forecasting using the Climate Outlook +ESP technique with the lowest absolute error was more reliable than other two cases.

Understanding the Current State of Deep Learning Application to Water-related Disaster Management in Developing Countries

  • Yusuff, Kareem Kola;Shiksa, Bastola;Park, Kidoo;Jung, Younghun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.145-145
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    • 2022
  • Availability of abundant water resources data in developing countries is a great concern that has hindered the adoption of deep learning techniques (DL) for disaster prevention and mitigation. On the contrary, over the last two decades, a sizeable amount of DL publication in disaster management emanated from developed countries with efficient data management systems. To understand the current state of DL adoption for solving water-related disaster management in developing countries, an extensive bibliometric review coupled with a theory-based analysis of related research documents is conducted from 2003 - 2022 using Web of Science, Scopus, VOSviewer software and PRISMA model. Results show that four major disasters - pluvial / fluvial flooding, land subsidence, drought and snow avalanche are the most prevalent. Also, recurrent flash floods and landslides caused by irregular rainfall pattern, abundant freshwater and mountainous terrains made India the only developing country with an impressive DL adoption rate of 50% publication count, thereby setting the pace for other developing countries. Further analysis indicates that economically-disadvantaged countries will experience a delay in DL implementation based on their Human Development Index (HDI) because DL implementation is capital-intensive. COVID-19 among other factors is identified as a driver of DL. Although, the Long Short Term Model (LSTM) model is the most frequently used, but optimal model performance is not limited to a certain model. Each DL model performs based on defined modelling objectives. Furthermore, effect of input data size shows no clear relationship with model performance while final model deployment in solving disaster problems in real-life scenarios is lacking. Therefore, data augmentation and transfer learning are recommended to solve data management problems. Intensive research, training, innovation, deployment using cheap web-based servers, APIs and nature-based solutions are encouraged to enhance disaster preparedness.

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RCP 기후변화시나리오를 이용한 미래 북한지역의 수문순환 변화 영향 평가 I. 미계측유역의 장기유출모형 매개변수 추정식 개발 (Impacts assessment of Climate change on hydrologic cycle changes in North Korea based on RCP climate change scenarios I. Development of Long-Term Runoff Model Parameter Estimation for Ungauged Basins)

  • 정세진;강동호;김병식
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제21권spc호
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    • pp.28-38
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    • 2019
  • 한반도의 기후변화는 전 세계 평균보다도 빠르게 진행되고 있다. 최근 빈발하고 있는 태풍 및 극한 강우, 폭설과 한파, 온난화 현상 등이 그 예이다. 특히 북한지역은 오랜 식량난과 에너지난 그리고 무분별한 산림벌목과 개발로 인해 산림생태계가 훼손되어 홍수 및 이수와 같은 기후변화 관련 자연재해에 매우 취약하다. 또한 북한지역은 정치적·사회적인 영향으로 미계측 지역으로 분류되어 있어 수문분석에 필요한 충분한 수문자료를 구하기 어려운 지역이다. 또한 기후변화에 대한 관심이 높아 지면서 각종 수리시설물 및 재해대책에 기후변화를 고려한 연구가 한반도를 대상으로 활발히 진행되고 있지만 북한을 대상으로 수행된 연구사례는 극히 드물다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 관측 수문자료를 획득하기 어려운 북한지역을 대상으로 지역화 모형을 적용기 위해 획득하기 쉬운 유역특성변수를 선정하고 남한의 16개 댐 유역의 기상학적, 지형적 특성을 기반으로 매개 변수 추정식을 산정하였다. 그리고 오십천, 강릉남대천, 남강댐, 영강유역에 적용하여 산정된 매개변수 추정식의 적용성을 검토한 결과 북한지역에 매개변수 추정식의 적용성이 매우 높을 것으로 판단되었다.

Interannual and Seasonal Fluctuations of Nutrients, Suspended Solids, Chlorophyll, and Trophic Sate along with Other General Water Quality Parameters Near Two Intake Towers of Daechung Dam

  • Lee, Sun-Goo;Han, Jeong-Ho;Lee, Jae-Hoon;An, Kwang-Guk
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.492-502
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    • 2010
  • The study objects were to analyze long-term and seasonal variations of nutrients (N, P), suspended solids, N:P ratios, algal chlorophyll, and trophic state along with general water quality parameters in four sampling sites including two intake tower sites supplying drinking water in Daechung Reservoir. For the analysis, we used water quality long-term data sampled during 1998~2007 by the Ministry of Environment, Korea. Interannual and seasonal trends in inflow and discharge near the intake tower facilities over the ten years were directly influenced by rainfall pattern. The distinct difference between wet year (2003) and dry year (2001) produced marked differences in water temperature, pH, dissolved oxygen, organic matter contents, nutrients, and these variables influenced algal biomass and trophic state. Values of TP varied depending on the year and locations sampled, but monthly mean TP always peaked during July~August when river inflow and precipitation were maxima. In contrast, TN varied little compared to TP, indicating lower influence by seasonal flow compared to phosphorus. The number of E. coli were highest in Site 2 (Chudong intake tower) and varied largely, whereas at other sites, the numbers were low and low variations. Contents of chlorophyll-${\alpha}$ (CHL), as an estimation of primary productivity, varied largely depending on the year and season. The maximum of CHL occurred at Muneu intake tower (S4) during 2006 when the precipitation and inflow were lowest. In contrast, another CHL peak was observed in Site 2 (Chudong intake tower) in 2006 when one of the largest typoons (Ewinia) occurred and river runoff were maximum. So the CHL maxima were associated with both wet year (high flow, high nutrient supply) and dry year (low flow, nutrient supply by littoral zone). Such conditions influenced trophic states, based on Trophic State Index of nutrients and CHL. Based on all analyses, we can provide some clues for management and protection strategies of two intake tower sites.