• Title/Summary/Keyword: long-term prediction

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Use of mini-implants to avoid maxillary surgery for Class III mandibular prognathic patient: a long-term post-retention case

  • Suh, Hee-Yeon;Lee, Shin-Jae;Park, Heung Sik
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.342-349
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    • 2014
  • Because of the potential morbidity and complications associated with surgical procedures, limiting the extent of orthognathic surgery is a desire for many orthodontic patients. An eighteen-year-old woman had a severe Class III malocclusion and required bi-maxillary surgery. By changing the patient's maxillary occlusal plane using orthodontic mini-implants, she was able to avoid the maxillary surgery; requiring only a mandibular setback surgery. To accurately predict the post-surgery outcome, we applied a new soft tissue prediction method. We were able to follow and report the long-term result of her combined orthodontic and orthognathic treatment. The changes to her occlusal plane continue to appear stable over 6 years later.

Development of Program for prediction of Mid-long term Load density in region and district respectively. (지역별,관리구별 중장기 부하밀도 예측 프로그램의 개발)

  • Choi, Sang-Bong;Kim, Dae-Kyeong;Jeong, Seong-Hwan;Bae, Jeong-Hyo;Ha, Tae-Hyun;Lee, Hyun-Goo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.307-309
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents development of program for mid-tong term load forecasting in region and district respectively. In this program, at first, the region is classified by KEPCO branch which can be analyzed in light of curl·elation between load characteristics and economic indicator and then, prediction for load density in each region was performed by scenario of economic, population and city plan. Secondly, prediction for load density in each district is performed by methodology which is based on land use method. Finally efficiency for prediction work in each KEPCO branch could be identified by applying the developed program to the Seoul city in real.

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Durability Evaluation of Grout in Cablebolt System (케이블볼트 충전재의 내구성 평가)

  • Choi, Jung-In;Kim, Won-Keun;Jeon, Jae-Hyun;Lee, Seok-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.03a
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    • pp.553-561
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    • 2010
  • Like the shotcrete can be deteriorated by chemical compounds as service years increase, the grout which is used to fasten the cablebolt(rockbolt) system in the underground structures also can be deteriorated by chemical compounds such as sulphate and/or chloride contained in groundwater during service years. This can induce issues on the long term durability of cablebolt(rockbolt) system and consequently on the stability of underground structures. In this study, the deteriorations of long term durability of cement mortar grout by each chemical compound of sulphate or chloride are studied experimentally and also complex deterioration by the mix of sulphate and chloride is investigated. Based on the results obtained in this study, the characteristics and prediction of deterioration of long term durability of cement mortar grout for cablebolt(rockbolt) system are suggested.

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Long-Term Forecasting by Wavelet-Based Filter Bank Selections and Its Application

  • Lee, Jeong-Ran;Lee, You-Lim;Oh, Hee-Seok
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.249-261
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    • 2010
  • Long-term forecasting of seasonal time series is critical in many applications such as planning business strategies and resolving possible problems of a business company. Unlike the traditional approach that depends solely on dynamic models, Li and Hinich (2002) introduced a combination of stochastic dynamic modeling with filter bank approach for forecasting seasonal patterns using highly coherent(High-C) waveforms. We modify the filter selection and forecasting procedure on wavelet domain to be more feasible and compare the resulting predictor with one that obtained from the wavelet variance estimation method. An improvement over other seasonal pattern extraction and forecasting methods based on such as wavelet scalogram, Holt-Winters, and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average(SARIMA) is shown in terms of the prediction error. The performance of the proposed method is illustrated by a simulation study and an application to the real stock price data.

Two-Dimensional Attention-Based LSTM Model for Stock Index Prediction

  • Yu, Yeonguk;Kim, Yoon-Joong
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.1231-1242
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    • 2019
  • This paper presents a two-dimensional attention-based long short-memory (2D-ALSTM) model for stock index prediction, incorporating input attention and temporal attention mechanisms for weighting of important stocks and important time steps, respectively. The proposed model is designed to overcome the long-term dependency, stock selection, and stock volatility delay problems that negatively affect existing models. The 2D-ALSTM model is validated in a comparative experiment involving the two attention-based models multi-input LSTM (MI-LSTM) and dual-stage attention-based recurrent neural network (DARNN), with real stock data being used for training and evaluation. The model achieves superior performance compared to MI-LSTM and DARNN for stock index prediction on a KOSPI100 dataset.

Prediction for Energy Demand Using 1D-CNN and Bidirectional LSTM in Internet of Energy (에너지인터넷에서 1D-CNN과 양방향 LSTM을 이용한 에너지 수요예측)

  • Jung, Ho Cheul;Sun, Young Ghyu;Lee, Donggu;Kim, Soo Hyun;Hwang, Yu Min;Sim, Issac;Oh, Sang Keun;Song, Seung-Ho;Kim, Jin Young
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.134-142
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    • 2019
  • As the development of internet of energy (IoE) technologies and spread of various electronic devices have diversified patterns of energy consumption, the reliability of demand prediction has decreased, causing problems in optimization of power generation and stabilization of power supply. In this study, we propose a deep learning method, 1-Dimention-Convolution and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (1D-ConvBLSTM), that combines a convolution neural network (CNN) and a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(BLSTM) for highly reliable demand forecasting by effectively extracting the energy consumption pattern. In experimental results, the demand is predicted with the proposed deep learning method for various number of learning iterations and feature maps, and it is verified that the test data is predicted with a small number of iterations.

Characterization of Durability of PC panel by Accelerating Test in Deterioration Chamber and Long-Term Field Exposure Test (촉진열화 및 장기폭로시험에 의한 고성능 PC패널의 내구성능 및 열화특성)

  • Ma, Sang-Joon;Jang, Pil-Sung;Choi, Jae-Suk;Ju, Jung-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.1549-1554
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, The evaluation of durability of the PC Panel lining for tunnel structure was examined through the rapid test by carbonation and freezing and thawing. Also for the purpose of improvement of durability. Namely, the durable characteristics of PC Panel lining by carbonation and freezing and thawing, was evaluated by rapid test and long-term field exposure test and main influence factors were derived. As a result of test, Correlation of accelerating test in deterioration chamber and long-term field exposure test, it will be expected that the proposed correlation well to the prediction of life expectancy of structure and is contributed greatly in the future.

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Radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimation using Long Short-Term Memory Networks

  • Thi, Linh Dinh;Yoon, Seong-Sim;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.183-183
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    • 2020
  • Accurate quantitative precipitation estimation plays an important role in hydrological modelling and prediction. Instantaneous quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) by utilizing the weather radar data is a great applicability for operational hydrology in a catchment. Previously, regression technique performed between reflectivity (Z) and rain intensity (R) is used commonly to obtain radar QPEs. A novel, recent approaching method which might be applied in hydrological area for QPE is Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Networks. LSTM networks is a development and evolution of Recurrent Neuron Networks (RNNs) method that overcomes the limited memory capacity of RNNs and allows learning of long-term input-output dependencies. The advantages of LSTM compare to RNN technique is proven by previous works. In this study, LSTM networks is used to estimate the quantitative precipitation from weather radar for an urban catchment in South Korea. Radar information and rain-gauge data are used to evaluate and verify the estimation. The estimation results figure out that LSTM approaching method shows the accuracy and outperformance compared to Z-R relationship method. This study gives us the high potential of LSTM and its applications in urban hydrology.

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Nuclear Reactor Modeling in Load Following Operations for UCN 3 with NARX Neural Network - (NARX 신경회로망을 이용한 부하추종운전시의 울진 3호기 원자로 모델링)

  • Lee, Sang-Kyung;Lee, Un-Chul
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.21-23
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    • 2005
  • NARX(Nonlinear AutoRegressive with eXogenous input) neural network was used for prediction of nuclear reactor behavior which was influenced by control rods in short-term period and also by xenon and boron in long-term period in load following operations. The developed model was designed to predict reactor power, xenon worth and axial offset with different burnup rates when control rod and boron were adjusted in load following operations. Data of UCN 3 were collected by ONED94 code. The test results presented exhibit the capability of the NARX neural network model to capture the long term and short term dynamics of the reactor core and seems to be utilized as a handy tool for the use of a plant simulation.

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