• 제목/요약/키워드: long term assessment

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해상풍력단지 입지전략 GIS 분석 (GIS Analysis on Siting Strategy of Offshore Wind Farm)

  • 송규봉;김현구
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.460-462
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    • 2009
  • This study has analyzed the scale, location, resource potential and feasibility of offshore wind farm scientifically and systematically based on the national wind map and GIS (Geographic Information System). For long-term wind power development, this study pursues siting strategy building, selection of target area and deciding development priority as well as the presenting a basis for assessment that are necessary for policy decision making by making theme layers under GIS environment. According to the analysis after organizing technological development by stages, even if only the most suitable sites are developed among the area of offshore wind farm candidates that can be developed under the current technological standard, it has been evaluated as being able to develop about 3 times of the wind power dissemination target until 2012. It is expected that about 5% of territorial water area can be developed in a short-term future while the southern offshore area possessing relatively favorable wind resource than the western offshore has been identified as the most feasible site. While about 23% of territorial water area has been classified as potential area for offshore wind farm development in a long-term future, even Jeju Island and offshore of Ulsan possessing excellent wind resource have been analyzed as feasible sites. The feasibility assessment of offshore wind farm development established by this study is expected to assist national strategy building for accomplishing the wind power dissemination target.

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Disaster Assessment and Mitigation Planning: A Humanitarian Logistics Based Approach

  • Das, Kanchan;Lashkari, R.S.;Biswas, N.
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.336-350
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a mathematical modeling-based approach for assessing disaster effects and selecting suitable mitigation alternatives to provide humanitarian relief (HR) supplies, shelter, rescue services, and long-term services after a disaster event. Mitigation steps, such as arrangement of shelter and providing HR items (food, water, medicine, etc.) are the immediate requirements after a disaster. Since governments and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) providing humanitarian aid need to know the requirements of relief supplies and resources for collecting relief supplies, organizing and initiating mitigation steps, a quick assessment of the requirements is the precondition for effective disaster management. Based on satellite images from weather forecasting channels, an area/dimension of the disaster-affected zones and the extent of the overall damage may often be obtained. The proposed approach then estimates the requirements for HR supplies, supporting resources, and rescue services using the census and other government data. It then determines reliable transportation routes, optimum collection and distribution centers, alternatives for resource support, rescue services, and long-term help needed for the disaster-affected zones. A numerical example illustrates the applicability of the model in disaster mitigation planning.

노인요양시설 입소자의 요양등급별 건강 요구: RAI-MDS-FC를 적용하여 (Health Needs of the Elderly in Long-term Care Facilities: Using RAI-MDS-FC)

  • 방은주;윤순녕
    • 지역사회간호학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: This study was to identify health needs of the elderly at nursing homes by long-term care grade. Methods: The health needs of 116 elders at two nursing homes in Seoul were measured with resident assessment protocols (RAPs), activities of daily living (ADL), and cognitive performance scale (CPS), and pain and depression were measured by resident assessment instrument (RAI). Results: With regard to RAPs, 11 out of 18 items had different distribution in the 3 groups significantly. The 1st-grade elders had a higher percentage of 9 items than the 2nd- and 3rd-grade ones but the 3rd-grade ones had the highest health needs related with activity. The 2nd-grade elders had similar health needs to the 1st-grade ones. In terms of functional level, the 1st-grade elders had the highest percentage of CPS and ADL but the 3rd-grade ones had the highest score of pain and depression out of the 3 groups. The standardized assessment instrument to identify specific health needs by the 3 groups should be developed. Therefore, care plans to meet health needs of the 3 groups will be made. Conclusion: It is suggested that nursing care is required to the elderly of the 1st- and 2nd-grade and safe activity and environment to the 3rd-graded ones.

Automatic proficiency assessment of Korean speech read aloud by non-natives using bidirectional LSTM-based speech recognition

  • Oh, Yoo Rhee;Park, Kiyoung;Jeon, Hyung-Bae;Park, Jeon Gue
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제42권5호
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    • pp.761-772
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents an automatic proficiency assessment method for a non-native Korean read utterance using bidirectional long short-term memory (BLSTM)-based acoustic models (AMs) and speech data augmentation techniques. Specifically, the proposed method considers two scenarios, with and without prompted text. The proposed method with the prompted text performs (a) a speech feature extraction step, (b) a forced-alignment step using a native AM and non-native AM, and (c) a linear regression-based proficiency scoring step for the five proficiency scores. Meanwhile, the proposed method without the prompted text additionally performs Korean speech recognition and a subword un-segmentation for the missing text. The experimental results indicate that the proposed method with prompted text improves the performance for all scores when compared to a method employing conventional AMs. In addition, the proposed method without the prompted text has a fluency score performance comparable to that of the method with prompted text.

Assessment of streamflow variation considering long-term land-use change in a watershed

  • Noh, Joonwoo;Kim, Yeonsu;Yu, Wansik;Yu, Jisoo
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제48권3호
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    • pp.629-642
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    • 2021
  • Land-use change has an important role in the hydrologic characteristics of watersheds because it alters various hydrologic components such as interception, infiltration, and evapotranspiration. For example, rapid urbanization in a watershed reduces infiltration rates and increases peak flow which lead to changes in the hydrologic responses. In this study, a physical hydrologic model the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) was used to assess long-term continuous daily streamflow corresponding to land-use changes that occurred in the Naesungchun river watershed. For a 30-year model simulation, 3 different land-use maps of the 1990s, 2000s, and 2010s were used to identify the impacts of the land-use changes. Using SWAT-CUP (calibration and uncertainty program), an automated parameter calibration tool, 23 parameters were selected, optimized and compared with the daily streamflow data observed at the upstream, midstream and downstream locations of the watershed. The statistical indexes used for the model calibration and validation show that the model performance is improved at the downstream location of the Naesungchun river. The simulated streamflow in the mainstream considering land-use change increases up to -2 - 30 cm compared with the results simulated with the single land-use map. However, the difference was not significant in the tributaries with or without the impact of land-use change.

DePreSys4의 동아시아 근미래 기후예측 성능 평가 (Assessment of Near-Term Climate Prediction of DePreSys4 in East Asia)

  • 최정;임슬희;손석우;부경온;이조한
    • 대기
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.355-365
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    • 2023
  • To proactively manage climate risk, near-term climate predictions on annual to decadal time scales are of great interest to various communities. This study evaluates the near-term climate prediction skills in East Asia with DePreSys4 retrospective decadal predictions. The model is initialized every November from 1960 to 2020, consisting of 61 initializations with ten ensemble members. The prediction skill is quantitatively evaluated using the deterministic and probabilistic metrics, particularly for annual mean near-surface temperature, land precipitation, and sea level pressure. The near-term climate predictions for May~September and November~March averages over the five years are also assessed. DePreSys4 successfully predicts the annual mean and the five-year mean near-surface temperatures in East Asia, as the long-term trend sourced from external radiative forcing is well reproduced. However, land precipitation predictions are statistically significant only in very limited sporadic regions. The sea level pressure predictions also show statistically significant skills only over the ocean due to the failure of predicting a long-term trend over the land.

안전보건환경 수준의 정량적 평가기법 구축에 관한연구 (A Study on the Development of Quantitative Assessment Criteria of Level Safety and Health, Environment)

  • 임재창;정현옥;강경식
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2014
  • In this study, based on the international standard the quantitative assessment model for the level of safety, health and environment was developed. As a result of applying this model, the company(workplace) which has established improvement plan based on quantitative assessment of short-term and long-term requirements, and implemented it was acquired more higher level of safety, health and environment by more than the existing ones.

제주도 풍력자원 데이터베이스 구축을 위한 기상통계분석 (Meteor-Statistical Analysis for Establishment of Jejudo Wind Resource Database)

  • 김현구;장문석;이은정
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.591-599
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    • 2008
  • In order to support the development of wind farms in Jejudo, a wind resource database for Jejudo has been established using a meteor-statistical analysis of KIER(Korea Institute of Energy Research) met-mast measurements and KMA(Korea Meteorological Administration) weather data. The analysis included wind statistics, tower shading, an exposure category classification using satellite images, the effect of atmospheric stability on the wind profile exponent, and a correlation matrix of wind speed to gain an understanding of the meteorological correlation between long-term weather observation stations and short-term met-mast measurements. The wind resource database for Jejudo, is to be provided as an add-on to Google $Earth^{TM}$, which is expected to be utilized as a guideline for the selection of an appropriate reference site for long-term correction in the next wind farm development project.

제주도 북동부 한동지역의 MCP 회귀모델식을 적용한 AEP계산에 대한 연구 (Estimation of Annual Energy Production Based on Regression Measure-Correlative-Predict at Handong, the Northeastern Jeju Island)

  • 고정우;문서정;이병걸
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.545-550
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    • 2012
  • 풍력발전 단지의 설계시 풍력 자원 평가 과정은 필수적인 과정이다. 풍력 자원 평가를 위해 장기풍황(20년)자료를 이용하여야 하지만 장기간 관측하는 것은 어렵기 때문에 예정지의 1년 이상의 관측데이터로 평가를 실시하였다. 예정지의 단기 풍황탑(Met-Mast; Meteorology Mast) 자료를 주변의 장기관측 자료인 자동기상관측(AWS; Automatic Weather Station)데이터를 이용하여 수학적 보간법으로 예정지의 데이터를 장기 데이터로 변환한 것을 MCP(Measure-Correlative-Predict)기법이라 한다. 본 연구에서는 MCP기법 중 선형 회계방법을 적용하였다. 선택된 MCP 회귀 모델식에 따라 제주 북동부 구좌지역의 AWS데이터를 제주 북동부 한동 지역의 Met-mast 데이터에 적용하여 연간 에너지 생산량을 예측 하였다. 예정지의 단기 풍황을 이용하였을 때와 보정된 장기 풍황을 이용하여 때 연간 에너지 생산량을 비교하였다. 그 결과 연간 약 3.6 %의 예측오차를 보였고, 이는 연간 약 271 MW의 에너지 생산량의 차이를 의미한다. 풍력발전기의 생애주기인 20년을 비교 하였을 때 약 5,420 MW의 차이를 나타내었으며, 이는 약 9개월 정도의 에너지 생산량과 비슷한 수준이다. 결과적으로, 제안 된 선형 회귀 MCP 방법을 이용하는 것이 단기관측 자료를 통한 불확식성을 제거하는 합리적인 방법으로 판단된다.

Assessment of long-term working memory by a delayed nonmatch-to-place task using a T-maze

  • Kim, Jung-Eun;Choi, Jun-Hyeok;Kaang, Bong-Kiun
    • Animal cells and systems
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.11-15
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    • 2010
  • Long-term working memory (LTWM) is a subdivision concept of working memory and indicates the enhancement of performance in a working memory task. LTWM has been shown in humans who have been engaged in a specific task requiring working memory over a long time. However, there is very little understanding of the exact mechanism of LTWM because of limitations of experimental methods in human studies. We have modified the standard T-maze task, which is used to test working memory in mice, to demonstrate LTWM in an animal model. We observed an enhancement of performance by repeated experience with the same working memory load in mice, which can be regarded as an LTWM. This effect seems to depend on the condition wherein a delay was given. This task may be a good experimental protocol to assess LTWM in animal studies.