• 제목/요약/키워드: logit analysis

검색결과 547건 처리시간 0.027초

간선도로 기능별 보행사고 심각도 분석과 모형 개발 (Pedestrian Accident Severity Analysis and Modeling by Arterial Road Function)

  • 백태헌;박민규;박병호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES: The purposes are to analyze the pedestrian accident severity and to develop the accident models by arterial road function. METHODS: To analyze the accident, count data and ordered logit models are utilized in this study. In pursuing the above, this study uses pedestrian accident data from 2007 to 2011 in Cheongju. RESULTS : The main results are as follows. First, daytime, Tue.Wed.Thu., over-speeding, male pedestrian over 65 old are selected as the independent variables to increase pedestrian accident severity. Second, as the accident models of main and minor arterial roads, the negative binomial models are developed, which are analyzed to be statistically significant. Third, such the main variables related to pedestrian accidents as traffic and pedestrian volume, road width, number of exit/entry are adopted in the models. Finally, Such the policy guidelines as the installation of pedestrian fence, speed hump and crosswalks with pedestrian refuge area, designated pedestrian zone, and others are suggested for accident reduction. CONCLUSIONS: This study analyzed the pedestrian accident severity, and developed the negative binomial accident models. The results of this study expected to give some implications to the pedestrian safety improvement in Cheongju.

중고령 은퇴자들의 은퇴 후 경과기간별 은퇴생활적응의 영향요인 (The Factors Affecting Retirement Adjustment by Elapsed Time from Middle-Aged & Advanced-Aged Retiree's Retirement)

  • 김지경;송현주
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제48권6호
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    • pp.83-101
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    • 2010
  • Using the first wave of KLoSA(Korean Longitudinal study of Aging) beta version, this study analyzed factors affecting retirement adjustment by elapsed time from retiree's retirement through Binary Logit and Multinomial Logit Analysis. Participants were 1,780 retiree. The main results of this study were as follows : First, The retiree's education(-), health status(-), region(+), dwelling type(-), monthly household income(-), employment type before retirement(+), retirement reason(+), and the elapsed time from retirement(-) were affected whether they satisfied with pre-retirement or not. Second, The gender(-), age(-), and the region(+) were affected whether they satisfied with life after retirement or not. Third, The gender(-), age(-), education(+), heath status(+), dwelling type(+), monthly household income(+), retirement reason(-), and the elapsed time from retirement(+) were affected on their satisfaction after retirement compared to pre-retirement. Last, The different factors affected the life satisfaction after retirement by elapsed time from retirement.

임금과 인사고과 : 대기업 인사데이터를 활용한 실증분석 (Wage and Performance Rating : New Evidence from Personnel Data of a Korean Large Firm)

  • 엄동욱
    • 노동경제논집
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.47-74
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 임금과 생산성의 관계에 대한 선행 연구에서 근호자의 생산성 지표로서 인사고과 정보를 활용한 Medoff and Abraham과 Flabbi and Ichino의 연구를 한국 대기업의 인사데이터(2000년, 제조업 근로자)에 적용하여 재현하였다. 임금함수의 OLS 추정과 임금 및 인사고과 분포를 활용한 다항로짓함수 추정을 통해 분석한 결과, 근로자 개인의 생산성을 통제한다고 하더라도 연공임금은 계속 나타났다. 이는 선행연구와 동일하게 연공임금을 설명함에 있어 인적자본 이론보다는 인센티브 이론이 더 적절하다는 것을 시사한다.

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농촌 과소화마을의 변화 분석 (An Analysis of the Transformation of Over-depopulated Rural Villages)

  • 박진우;이태호;안동환
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.79-89
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    • 2018
  • The main purpose of this study is to explore the factors that affect the transformation of over-depopulated rural villages. Specifically, we investigated the reasons of the rapid decrease in the number of over-populated rural villages shown by recent census data in spite of the continuing decrease of population in rural area. We used a binary-logit model and the Census of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries data(2010, 2015). The main results are summarized as followed: First, the over-depopulated rural villages with strong agronomic base are more likely to exit from over-depopulation. Second, returners from urban to rural have a positive impacts on the revival of over-depopulated rural areas. Thirds, improving the basic services accessibility of rural residents is also critical for keeping rural community more sustainable. These findings can be used to make effective strategies to revive the depopulated rural villages.

HGLM을 적용한 병원 도산 예측방법의 개발 (Development of the Prediction Method for Hospital Bankruptcy using a Hierarchical Generalized Linear Model(HGIM))

  • 노맹석;장혜정;이명조
    • 한국병원경영학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.22-36
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    • 2001
  • The hospital bankruptcy rate is increasing, therefore it is very important to predict the bankruptcy using the existing hospital management information. The hospital bankruptcy is often measured in year intervals, called grouped duration data, not by the continuous time elapsed to the bankruptcy. This study introduces a hierarchical generalized linear model(HGLM) for analysis of hospital bankruptcy data. The hazard function for each hospital may be influenced by unobservable latent variables, and these unknown variables are usually termed as random effects or frailties which explain correlations among repeated measures of the same hospital and describe individual heterogeneities of hospitals. Practically, the data of twenty bankrupt and sixty profitable hospitals were collected for five years, and were fitted to HGLM. The results were compared with those of the logit model. While the logit model resulted only in the effects of explanatory variables on the bankruptcy status at specific period, the HGLM showed variables with significant effects over all observed years. It is concluded that the HGLM with a fixed ratio and a period of total asset turnrounds was justified, and could find significant within and between hospital variations.

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어업인의 양식어장 관리제도 도입 필요성 인식에 대한 결정요인 분석 (An Analysis on the Factors Affecting Aquaculture Farmers' Necessity of Aquafarm Management System)

  • 박소연;박철형
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.984-993
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to analyze the aquaculture farmers awareness of aquafarm management system influenced by socio-economic, environmental, and other factors using ordered logit model focused on aquafarm resting system. The survey data were obtained from 94 aquaculture farmers in Gyeongsangnamdo and Jeollanamdo province as a cross sectional data in 2015. This paper estimates the impact of socio-economic, environmental, and other characteristics, such as region, working period, productivity, environmental condition of fishing field, expected effectiveness of the system, and subject of responsibility on fishing field management. Based on the result, lastly, it suggests some implications to promote aquaculture farmers perception and participation in aquafarm resting system. The main results are as follows; the aquaculture farmers consciousness of the system is not affected by working period, productivity, and environmental condition of fishing field. But it is influenced by region, expected effectiveness of the system, and subject of responsibility on fishing field management. While it has a positive relationship with expected effectiveness of the system, it has a negative relationship with object who has responsibility on fishing field management.

소비자 특성이 커피와 차의 선택에 미치는 영향 - 수도권 소비자를 중심으로 - (The Effects of Consumers' Characteristics on their Selection of Coffee and Tea)

  • 남국현;최영찬;김종철
    • 농촌지도와개발
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2016
  • This paper estimated how demographic characteristics, food selection preferences, daily physical activities, and food purchasing patterns of consumers affect the consumer choice to buy coffee and tea by analyzing the Consumer Panel data in 2014 using Multinomial logit model. The results are summarized as follows. First, factors such as age, income, employment status, and educational level were found to be statistically significant upon the impact analysis of consumers' demographic characteristics. Second, the study showed that the first group of consumers drinking less coffee and tea had the highest interest in health, followed by the third group drinking less coffee and more tea, the second group more coffee and less tea, and the fourth group more coffee and tea. In addition, it was also found that the fourth group's pattern to purchase more coffee and tea could be explained by consumers' food consumption patterns.

표본 추출법에서 R-지수의 민감도에 관한 연구 (A study on sensitivity of representativeness indicator in survey sampling)

  • 이유진;신기일
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.69-82
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    • 2017
  • R-지수(representativeness indicator)는 무응답이 발생했을 때 표본의 대표성을 나타내주는 지표이다. 표본의 대표성은 모수 추정의 정확성(accuracy)과 관계가 있으며 정확성은 편향(bias)와 관계가 있다. 따라서 표본의 대표성을 나타내는 R-지수가 높으면 대표성이 높아 편향이 없고 정확성이 높은 결과를 얻을 수 있다. R-지수는 일반화선형모형의 로짓 또는 프로빗 모형을 적합한 후 얻어진 경향 점수(propensity score)에 의해 계산된다. 본 논문에서는 R-지수와 이질적인 층별 응답률과의 관련성을 연구하였으며 편향, 제곱근 RMSE 등과 같은 비교통계량이 무응답에 얼마나 민감한지 등을 모의실험을 통하여 살펴보았다. 또한 변형된 2010년 경제총조사 자료를 이용하여 실제 자료분석도 실시하였다.

통근통행자의 통행패턴 선택행태의 분석 (Analysis of Urban Workers' Travel Pattern Choice Behavior)

  • 윤대식
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.35-51
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구에서는 1일(24시간) 단위로 표현되는 통근통행자의 통행패턴을 분석하기 위해 가정과 직장 및 기타 목적지를 선택하여 이루어지는 하루 동안의 통행패턴을 유형화하여 이들 선택대안의 선택행태를 분석하였다. 이러한 연구목적을 충족시키기 위하여 본 연구에서는 경산시와 영천시에 직장을 가진 직장인(통근통행 자)에 대하여 실시한 통행 설문조사자료를 이용하여 네스티드 로짓모형을 이용한 경험적 모형을 추정하고, 모형의 추정결과를 논의하였다. 본 연구에서는 통근통행자의 통행패턴이 단일목적 혹은 다목적 통행의 선택을 높은 단계, tour의 수를 낮은 단계의 선택으로 하는 네스티드 로짓모형에 의해 표현된다고 가정하였다. 이렇게 표현된 네스티드 로짓모형의 경험적 추정결과로부터 본 연구에서 가설화된 네스티드 로짓모형구조의 타당성을 확인할 수 있었다. 아울러 모형의 경험적 추정결과는 개인의 행태적 측면을 적절히 반영하는 것으로 확인되었다.

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진술선호방법을 이용한 공공 데이터의 가치 평가: 농업토양정보 데이터베이스 사례 (Valuation of Public Data Using Stated Preference Method: The Case of Agriculture Soil Database)

  • 이상호;하성호;정기호
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.149-165
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    • 2018
  • Purpose As Korean economy has been sluggish in recent years, firms' interest in publicly financed projects has increased due to the relatively increasing proportion in the economy. Since 1999, publicly financed projects in Korea need to undergo preliminary feasibility study to evaluate economic efficiency and policy quality if they are larger than a certain scale. The benefits of public projects are one of the most important factors in the preliminary feasibility study but are difficult to estimate due to their nature. Design/methodology/approach This study estimates the benefits of the agricultural soil information database, a public database in Korea. The method used in the study is the stated preference method which is formally used in Korea's preliminary feasibility study. Data are collected through surveys and a logit model is constructed to be estimated by the maximum likelihood estimation method. Findings As the first study evaluating a public database, this study can be used as a baseline in all public database projects developed in the future. In addition, this study can contribute to improving the understanding of both private companies and public organizations who are interested in the cost-benefit analysis and estimation procedure for the publicly financed projects.