• Title/Summary/Keyword: logit 모델

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The Role of Online Social Recommendation and Similarity of Preferences: In Two Stage Purchase Decision Making Process (온라인 추천정보와 선호 유사성의 역할: 2단계 구매 의사 결정 모델을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jae-Young;Ko, Hye-Min
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.149-169
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we try to understand the role of online social recommendation and the similarity of preferences between the recommender and the recommendee on consumer decisions in the framework of the two stage purchase decision-making process. Applying construal level theory to our context, we expect that the role of social recommendation and the similarity of preferences would vary over the stages in the two-stage decision making process. To test our hypotheses, we collected the data through an incentive compatible experiment, and analyzed the data with nested logit model. As a result, we found that the role of online social recommendation varies over the stages. Consumers take recommendation from similar others at the stage of consideration set formation, but no longer consider it at the stage of final choice. Consumers take recommendation from dissimilar others at the stage of consideration set formation. At the stage of final choice, however, consumers avoid choosing the option recommended by dissimilar others. The results of our study enrich the understanding about the role of social recommendation, and have implication to marketing practitioners who attempt to make online social recommendation system more efficient.

Influence of $CO_2$ constraints to airlines by EU-ETS on passenger behavior (EU-ETS로 인한 항공사의 탄소비용증가가 항공여객에게 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Baek-Jae;Yoo, Kwang-Eui;Choi, Youn-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2011
  • 유럽연합(EU)은 2012년부터 항공산업에 대해 탄소배출권 거래제도를 적용할 예정이다. 따라서 유럽공항에서 출발 및 도착하는 모든 국제선과 국내선 항공편에 대해 탄소세가 부과될 것이며 이는 한국도 예외는 아니다. 또한 유럽을 운항하는 경우 장거리에 해당되어 중단거리를 운항하는 항공기들에 비해 총 탄소배출량이 더 많으므로 비용부담이 커질 것으로 예상된다. 본 연구는 EU-ETS로 인한 탄소세가 항공요금에 반영된다면 항공여객들이 어느 정도 민감하게 반응할 것이며 이러한 점들이 궁극적으로 한국의 항공시장에 어떤 영향을 미칠 것인지를 파악해 보는데 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 인천국제공항에서 프랑크푸르트 국제공항 노선을 이용하는 승객을 대상으로 직항노선과 중동지역 경유노선을 비교하여 EU-ETS 가격이 반영된 항공요금에 대한 반응을 Revealed Preference (RP)와 Stated Preference (SP) 설문자료와 Logit Model을 사용하여 분석하였다. 본 연구결과는 한국의 항공산업은 물론 2012년부터 부과될 EU-ETS에 대한 항공사들의 전략개발에 도움이 될 것이다.

An Understanding of Littering Behavior in Natural Recreation Areas : Use of the Theory of Reasoned Action (자연휴양지(自然休養地) 내(內)의 환경오염행동(環境汚染行動)에 대(對)한 이해(理解) : 논리적(論理的) 행위이론(行爲理論)의 이용(利用)으로)

  • Kim, Seong-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.80 no.1
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    • pp.20-31
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    • 1991
  • To improve the understanding and predicting power of littering behavior in natural recreation areas, a model was proposed based on the theory of reasoned action by Fishbein and Ajzen. Among the visitors of Kaeryongsan National Park in Korea, three hundred and ninety nine (399) groups were interviewed to obtain such data as beliefs about the behavioral consequences, attitudes, normative belief, socioeconomic status and etc. A significant but practically weak relationship was found between beliefs, normative belief and past behavior (R=0.3). Using Logit analysis, past behavior could be explained with relevant variables in an acceptable power ($R^2$=0.35). In the model, education, social group, occupation, age and visiting frequency were all negatively related to past behabavior. Beliefs and normative belief also behaved as expected by the theory. The study results show that the theory may be useful in predicting the undesirable behaviors in recreation areas and establishing management policy to control them. The cause of weak relationships between relevant variables were discussed and future research implications were also suggested.

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Analysis of Vehicle Demand by Fuel Types including Hydrogen Vehicles (수소차를 포함한 연료유형에 따른 자동차 수요 분석)

  • Yuhyeon Bak;Jee Young Kim;Yoon Lee
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.167-190
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzes the potential demand for automobiles based on fuel type using survey data in Korea. The dependent variable of the model is the future desired fuel type, including gasoline, diesel, hybrid, electricity, and hydrogen. The main explanatory variables are the respondent demographic characteristics, key reasons for choosing vehicle fuel type and environmental awareness extracted via principal component analysis (PCA). Using a multinomial logit (MNL) model, we find that respondents who consider fuel economy and infrastructure increase the demand for a hybrid car but decrease the demand for electric and hydrogen vehicles. The denial-types increase the demand for gasoline (petrol) and diesel (light oil), and decrease the demand for electric vehicles. The anxiety-types increase the demand of hybrid vehicles, and decrease the demand for electric vehicles. In contrast, in the case of pro-types, the demand for diesel (light oil) hydrogen vehicles decreased.

The Selection Methodology of Road Network Data for Generalization of Digital Topographic Map (수치지형도 일반화를 위한 도로 네트워크 데이터의 선택 기법 연구)

  • Park, Woo Jin;Lee, Young Min;Yu, Ki Yun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.229-238
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    • 2013
  • Development of methodologies to generate the small scale map from the large scale map using map generalization has huge importance in management of the digital topographic map, such as producing and updating maps. In this study, the selection methodology of map generalization for the road network data in digital topographic map is investigated and evaluated. The existing maps with 1:5,000 and 1:25,000 scales are compared and the criteria for selection of the road network data, which are the number of objects and the relative importance of road network, are analyzed by using the T$\ddot{o}$pfer's radical law and Logit model. The selection model derived from the analysis result is applied to the test data, and the road network data of 1:18,000 and 1:72,000 scales from the digital topographic map of 1:5,000 scale are generated. The generalized results showed that the road objects with relatively high importance are selected appropriately according to the target scale levels after the qualitative and quantitative evaluations.

Developing a Quantitative Evaluation Model for Screening the Research Grant Applications (연구지원 대상자 선정을 위한 정량평가 모형개발)

  • Yoo, Jin-Man;Han, In-Soo;Oh, Keun-Yeob
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.541-549
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    • 2017
  • This research investigates the quantitative screening methods for the Grant Funding system and seeks for the efficient evaluation of a number of proposals. We search foreign cases of Grand Funding, but we found no appropriate model for using in Korea. Thus, we had to develope our own model for better screening. First, we analyse the existing evaluation system and find some problems and challenges. Second, we suggest a quantitative screening system for Grant Funding with a numeric model, and operates a tedious simulation by using the previous data and our suggested model. Third, we test the suggested model and find the optimal model by using simulation method The number of data analysed for simulation is larger than 200 thousands. Last, we suggest some brief policy implications based on the results in the paper.

A Study on Interactions of Competitive Promotions Between the New and Used Cars (신차와 중고차간 프로모션의 상호작용에 대한 연구)

  • Chang, Kwangpil
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.83-98
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    • 2012
  • In a market where new and used cars are competing with each other, we would run the risk of obtaining biased estimates of cross elasticity between them if we focus on only new cars or on only used cars. Unfortunately, most of previous studies on the automobile industry have focused on only new car models without taking into account the effect of used cars' pricing policy on new cars' market shares and vice versa, resulting in inadequate prediction of reactive pricing in response to competitors' rebate or price discount. However, there are some exceptions. Purohit (1992) and Sullivan (1990) looked into both new and used car markets at the same time to examine the effect of new car model launching on the used car prices. But their studies have some limitations in that they employed the average used car prices reported in NADA Used Car Guide instead of actual transaction prices. Some of the conflicting results may be due to this problem in the data. Park (1998) recognized this problem and used the actual prices in his study. His work is notable in that he investigated the qualitative effect of new car model launching on the pricing policy of the used car in terms of reinforcement of brand equity. The current work also used the actual price like Park (1998) but the quantitative aspect of competitive price promotion between new and used cars of the same model was explored. In this study, I develop a model that assumes that the cross elasticity between new and used cars of the same model is higher than those amongst new cars and used cars of the different model. Specifically, I apply the nested logit model that assumes the car model choice at the first stage and the choice between new and used cars at the second stage. This proposed model is compared to the IIA (Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives) model that assumes that there is no decision hierarchy but that new and used cars of the different model are all substitutable at the first stage. The data for this study are drawn from Power Information Network (PIN), an affiliate of J.D. Power and Associates. PIN collects sales transaction data from a sample of dealerships in the major metropolitan areas in the U.S. These are retail transactions, i.e., sales or leases to final consumers, excluding fleet sales and including both new car and used car sales. Each observation in the PIN database contains the transaction date, the manufacturer, model year, make, model, trim and other car information, the transaction price, consumer rebates, the interest rate, term, amount financed (when the vehicle is financed or leased), etc. I used data for the compact cars sold during the period January 2009- June 2009. The new and used cars of the top nine selling models are included in the study: Mazda 3, Honda Civic, Chevrolet Cobalt, Toyota Corolla, Hyundai Elantra, Ford Focus, Volkswagen Jetta, Nissan Sentra, and Kia Spectra. These models in the study accounted for 87% of category unit sales. Empirical application of the nested logit model showed that the proposed model outperformed the IIA (Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives) model in both calibration and holdout samples. The other comparison model that assumes choice between new and used cars at the first stage and car model choice at the second stage turned out to be mis-specfied since the dissimilarity parameter (i.e., inclusive or categroy value parameter) was estimated to be greater than 1. Post hoc analysis based on estimated parameters was conducted employing the modified Lanczo's iterative method. This method is intuitively appealing. For example, suppose a new car offers a certain amount of rebate and gains market share at first. In response to this rebate, a used car of the same model keeps decreasing price until it regains the lost market share to maintain the status quo. The new car settle down to a lowered market share due to the used car's reaction. The method enables us to find the amount of price discount to main the status quo and equilibrium market shares of the new and used cars. In the first simulation, I used Jetta as a focal brand to see how its new and used cars set prices, rebates or APR interactively assuming that reactive cars respond to price promotion to maintain the status quo. The simulation results showed that the IIA model underestimates cross elasticities, resulting in suggesting less aggressive used car price discount in response to new cars' rebate than the proposed nested logit model. In the second simulation, I used Elantra to reconfirm the result for Jetta and came to the same conclusion. In the third simulation, I had Corolla offer $1,000 rebate to see what could be the best response for Elantra's new and used cars. Interestingly, Elantra's used car could maintain the status quo by offering lower price discount ($160) than the new car ($205). In the future research, we might want to explore the plausibility of the alternative nested logit model. For example, the NUB model that assumes choice between new and used cars at the first stage and brand choice at the second stage could be a possibility even though it was rejected in the current study because of mis-specification (A dissimilarity parameter turned out to be higher than 1). The NUB model may have been rejected due to true mis-specification or data structure transmitted from a typical car dealership. In a typical car dealership, both new and used cars of the same model are displayed. Because of this fact, the BNU model that assumes brand choice at the first stage and choice between new and used cars at the second stage may have been favored in the current study since customers first choose a dealership (brand) then choose between new and used cars given this market environment. However, suppose there are dealerships that carry both new and used cars of various models, then the NUB model might fit the data as well as the BNU model. Which model is a better description of the data is an empirical question. In addition, it would be interesting to test a probabilistic mixture model of the BNU and NUB on a new data set.

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A Study on Site Repeat Visit and Purchase Decision-Making of On-line Consumer using Two-Stage Mixture Regression Analysis - Focus on Internet Shopping Mall - (2단계 Mixture Model을 이용한 온라인 소비 자의 방문행동특성이 사이트 재방문과 구매에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 - 온라인 쇼핑몰을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Young-Seung
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.13
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    • pp.135-158
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    • 2004
  • On-line consumers have some visit behavior characteristics when they visit internet-shopping mall between visit-stage and purchase-stage. Therefore, information of on-line consumers have influenced on internet-shopping mall's profitabilities at site manager's perspectives. For examples, Are any on-line consumers continuous visiting under any situations? Or are any on-line consumers purchased on any specific internet-shopping mall? Expecially in this paper, researcher tried to understand visit behavioral characteristics of on-line consumers using two-stage mixture regression analysis. Throughout this process, it could be proposed method, which could be reinforced competitiveness of internet-shopping mall by segmental decision-making method. Additionally, it is expected that visit behavioral characteristics' information could be supplied strategic implications between visit-stage and purchase-stage Throughout empirical test it could be proved two-stage decision-making process, which decision-making process of on-line consumers would be processed visit-stage and purchase-stage. In this study, researcher proposed suitable response strategy after understanding visiting behavioral characteristics of on-line consumers. This paper has some academical contributions, which visit behavioral characteristics of on-line consumers could be grasped the meaning by site stickiness and navigation pattern.

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Habitat Suitability Models of Endangered Wildlife Class II Mauremys reevesii in Gurye-gun, the Republic of Korea (전라남도 구례군에 서식하는 멸종위기 야생생물 II급 남생이의 서식지 적합성 모델 개발)

  • Chang-Deuk Park;Jeongwoo Yoo;Kwanik Kwon;Nakyung Yoo;Moon Seong Heo;Ju-Duk Yoon
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2023
  • This study was conducted to clarify the environmental variables that affect the appearance of Mauremys reevesii and to understand the relationship between M. reevesii and the variables. Habitat environmental survey was implemented by selecting 17 environmental variables considering ecological characteristics of M. reevesii in the main reservoir in Gurye-gun, the Republic of Korea. And the habitat data on the presence and absence of M.reevesii were analyzed statistically. The habitat suitability model of M. reevesii was described in following equation : logit (p) = -3.68 + (0.17 × leaf litter depth) + (1.55 × vegetation coverage of overstory on land) + (0.71 × coverage of midstory on land) + (0.96 × vegetation coverage of understory on water). This information gained is valuable for better understanding the distribution and how to conserve and promote populations of M. reevesii occurring in the Republic of Korea.

Discriminant Factors Influencing the Community Integration of Immigrant Women on Marriage: Comparison of Regional Traits (도시화 정도에 따른 결혼이주여성의 지역사회통합에 미치는 차별적 영향 분석: 특별·광역시 지역과 도지역 거주자의 비교)

  • Kim, Kyung-Bum;Park, Cheol-Min
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.214-222
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the role of individualistic, family, and social characteristics of immigrant women on marriage on community integration. It is focused on exploring how the immigrant women on marriages' residential district differentiate community integration. The study adopts a questionnaire method in research of immigrant women on marriage in all parts of Korea. Data are collected from 163(Metropolitan Government & City), 182(Provincial Government) immigrant women on marriage for empirical analysis respectively. Technique used in analyzing data is Binary Logit Model primarily. In conclusion, on the results of test, it turned out to be strong significant influence on provincial regions than the metropolitan city regions statistically excepting family, and social characteristics.