• Title/Summary/Keyword: logistic regression

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Matching prediction on Korean professional volleyball league (한국 프로배구 연맹의 경기 예측 및 영향요인 분석)

  • Heesook Kim;Nakyung Lee;Jiyoon Lee;Jongwoo Song
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.323-338
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    • 2024
  • This study analyzes the Korean professional volleyball league and predict match outcomes using popular machine learning classification methods. Match data from the 2012/2013 to 2022/2023 seasons for both male and female leagues were collected, including match details. Two different data structures were applied to the models: Separating matches results into two teams and performance differentials between the home and away teams. These two data structures were applied to construct a total of four predictive models, encompassing both male and female leagues. As specific variable values used in the models are unavailable before the end of matches, the results of the most recent 3 to 4 matches, up until just before today's match, were preprocessed and utilized as variables. Logistc Regrssion, Decision Tree, Bagging, Random Forest, Xgboost, Adaboost, and Light GBM, were employed for classification, and the model employing Random Forest showed the highest predictive performance. The results indicated that while significant variables varied by gender and data structure, set success rate, blocking points scored, and the number of faults were consistently crucial. Notably, our win-loss prediction model's distinctiveness lies in its ability to provide pre-match forecasts rather than post-event predictions.

Risk Factor Analysis of Morbidity and 90-Day Mortality of Curative Resection in Patients with Stage IIIA-N2 Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer after Induction Concurrent Chemoradiation Therapy

  • Ga Hee Jeong;Junghee Lee;Yeong Jeong Jeon;Seong Yong Park;Hong Kwan Kim;Yong Soo Choi;Jhingook Kim;Young Mog Shim;Jong Ho Cho
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.57 no.4
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    • pp.351-359
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    • 2024
  • Background: Major pulmonary resection after neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiation therapy (nCCRT) is associated with a substantial risk of postoperative complications. This study investigated postoperative complications and associated risk factors to facilitate the selection of suitable surgical candidates following nCCRT in stage IIIA-N2 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients diagnosed with clinical stage IIIA-N2 NSCLC who underwent surgical resection following nCCRT between 1997 and 2013. Perioperative characteristics and clinical factors associated with morbidity and mortality were analyzed using univariable and multivariable logistic regression. Results: A total of 574 patients underwent major lung resection after induction CCRT. Thirty-day and 90-day postoperative mortality occurred in 8 patients (1.4%) and 41 patients (7.1%), respectively. Acute respiratory distress syndrome (n=6, 4.5%) was the primary cause of in-hospital mortality. Morbidity occurred in 199 patients (34.7%). Multivariable analysis identified significant predictors of morbidity, including patient age exceeding 70 years (odds ratio [OR], 1.8; p=0.04), low body mass index (OR, 2.6; p=0.02), and pneumonectomy (OR, 1.8; p=0.03). Patient age over 70 years (OR, 1.8; p=0.02) and pneumonectomy (OR, 3.26; p<0.01) were independent predictors of mortality in the multivariable analysis. Conclusion: In conclusion, the surgical outcomes following nCCRT are less favorable for individuals aged over 70 years or those undergoing pneumonectomy. Special attention is warranted for these patients due to their heightened risks of respiratory complications. In high-risk patients, such as elderly patients with decreased lung function, alternative treatment options like definitive CCRT should be considered instead of surgical resection.

Homocysteine levels are associated with diabetes mellitus in Chinese with H-type hypertension

  • Dejian Fu;Wanbao Gong;Xiaomin Bao;Bo Yang;Feng Wang;Yubing Qiao;Yuanjiang Wu;Guangzhen Chen;Weixun Sun;Qiongzhi Xiao;Wenbo Zou;Ning Fang
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.511-522
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    • 2024
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The study examined the association between homocysteine and diabetes mellitus in patients with H-type hypertension and assessed the possible effect modifiers. SUBJECTS/METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 1,255 eligible participants in the 'H-type Hypertension Management and Stroke Prevention Strategic International Science and Technology Innovation Cooperation Project' among rural Chinese people with H-type hypertension. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to evaluate the relationship between homocysteine and diabetes mellitus. RESULTS: The mean level of total homocysteine (tHcy) in the diabetes mellitus population was 19.37 μmol/L, which was significantly higher than the non-diabetic patients (18.18 μmol/L). When tHcy was analyzed as a continuous variable, the odds ratio (OR) of diabetes was 1.17 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.35; per interquartile range). When tHcy was stratified according to the quintile, the ORs for diabetes were 2.86 (95% CI, 1.22-6.69) in the highest quintile (tHcy ≥ 20.60 μmol/L) compared to the reference group (tHcy < 12.04 μmol/L). When tHcy was grouped by 15 μmol/L and 20 μmol/L, patients with tHcy ≥ 20 μmol/L had a significantly (P = 0.037) higher risk of diabetes (OR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.04-3.96) than in those with tHcy < 15 μmol/L. Subgroup analysis showed that the tHcy-diabetes association was unaffected by other variables. CONCLUSION: In this study of rural Chinese people with H-type hypertension, the tHcy levels showed a positive association with diabetes mellitus. This independent association is unaffected by other potential risk factors.

Perception of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Personnel on Society Recommendations on Personal Protective Equipment, Case Selection, and Scope Cleaning During Covid-19 Pandemic: An International Survey Study

  • Parit Mekaroonkamol;Kasenee Tiankanon;Rapat Pittayanon;Wiriyaporn Ridtitid;Fariha Shams;Ghias Un Nabi Tayyab;Julia Massaad;Saurabh Chawla;Stanley Khoo;Siriboon Attasaranya;Nonthalee Pausawasdi;Qiang Cai;Thawee Ratanachu-ek;Pradermchai Kongkham;Rungsun Rerknimitr
    • Clinical Endoscopy
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.215-225
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    • 2022
  • Background/Aims: The Thai Association for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy published recommendations on safe endoscopy during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. This study aimed to assess the practicality and applicability of the recommendations and the perceptions of endoscopy personnel on them. Methods: A validated questionnaire was sent to 1290 endoscopy personnel globally. Of these, the data of all 330 responders (25.6%) from 15 countries, related to the current recommendations on proper personal protective equipment (PPE), case selection, scope cleaning, and safety perception, were analyzed. Ordinal logistic regression was used to determine the relationships between the variables. Results: Despite an overwhelming agreement with the recommendations on PPE (94.5%) and case selection (95.5%), their practicality and applicability on PPE recommendations and case selection were significantly lower (p=0.001, p=0.047, p<0.001, and p=0.032, respectively). Factors that were associated with lower sense of safety in endoscopy units were younger age (p=0.004), less working experience (p=0.008), in-training status (p=0.04), and higher national prevalence of COVID-19 (p=0.003). High prevalent countries also had more difficulty implementing the guidelines (p<0.001) and they considered the PPE recommendations less practical and showed lower agreement with them (p<0.001 and p=0.008, respectively). A higher number of in-hospital COVID-19 patients was associated with less agreement with PPE recommendations (p=0.039). Conclusions: Using appropriate PPE and case selection in endoscopic practice during a pandemic remains a challenge. Resource availability and local prevalence are critical factors influencing the adoption of the current guidelines.

Mental Health in Adolescents with Allergic Disease : Using Data from the 2021 Korean Youth's Health Behavior Online Survey (알레르기질환 청소년의 정신건강: 2021 청소년건강행태 온라인조사 활용)

  • Young-Seon Seo;Sumi Cho;Eunju Seo
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.81-91
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    • 2024
  • This study was conducted to determine the status of allergic diseases and mental health in adolescents, confirm the relationship between allergic diseases and mental health, and provide basic data for developing effective disease management measures for adolescents at the developmental stage. Secondary analysis was performed on the data from the 17th Youth Health Behavior Online Survey, and complex sample descriptive statistics, cross-tabulation, and logistic regression analysis were performed using the SPSS 26.0 program. As a result of the study, those with one or more allergic diseases were 1.286 times more likely to have stress (B=1.286, p<.000), 1.289 times more likely to be depressed (B=1.289, p<.000), and 1.399 times more likely to have generalized anxiety disorder (B=1.399, p<.000) was highly likely to experience it. Additionally, factors affecting the mental health of adolescents with allergic diseases were gender, economic level, academic performance, drinking experience, and smoking experience. Stress and generalized anxiety disorder were more likely to be experienced by female students, if they had a lower economic level and academic performance, and if they drank alcohol or smoked. Male students were more likely to experience depression if their economic level and academic performance were higher, and if they did not drink alcohol or smoke. Based on these results, we hope to establish a practical approach by establishing effective strategies to manage allergic diseases in adolescents and the mental health conditions that may arise from them.

Risk perceptions of a population living near a municipal waste incinerator and associated factors with the prevalence of environmental disease

  • Dong Hyun Kim;Chae Kwan Lee;Jeong Ho Kim;Byung Chul Son;Chunhui Suh;Kunhyung Kim;Byeong Jin Ye
    • Annals of Occupational and Environmental Medicine
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    • v.34
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    • pp.38.1-38.9
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    • 2022
  • Background: This study investigated the risk perceptions, prevalence of environmental diseases (EDs) and associated factors with the prevalence of environmental disease among the population living near an incinerator Methods: Study area were divided into 3 local areas near the incinerator by distance (A, B, C) and control area (D) by distance and geographic isolation. A Questionnaire was conducted with 1,380 in local residents (A, B, C) and 390 in control area (D), gathered information of demographic characteristics, lifestyle, perception of damage by incinerators, experience of EDs (atopic dermatitis, allergic rhinitis, asthma) diagnosed by physician. Analysis of variance, χ2 test, and Kruskal Wallis test was applied to determine the difference by area. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with the prevalence of allergic rhinitis. Results: Residents residing closer to the incinerator had negative perception in most items in questionnaire compared with control. The prevalence of allergic rhinitis was higher as they lived nearby the incinerator (p = 0.008). The associated factors with the prevalence of allergic rhinitis were carpet (odds ratio [OR]: 1.79, p = 0.001), residential area (marginally significant), duration of residence (OR: 1.09, p < 0.001). The perception of environmental pollution around the residential area was inversely associated with the prevalence of allergic rhinitis: perceived as very dissatisfied (OR: 4.21, p = 0.02) compared with very satisfied. Conclusions: As closer to the incinerator, the risk perception tend to negative and prevalence of EDs were increased. Carpet, residential area, duration of residence and perception of environmental air pollution around the residential area were associated with prevalence of allergic rhinitis. These results may be useful for the communication with residents to discuss the environmental problems caused by the incinerator.

Predicting Helicobacter pylori infection from endoscopic features

  • Jun-young Seo;Ji Yong Ahn;Seonok Kim;Hee Kyong Na;Jeong Hoon Lee;Kee Wook Jung;Do Hoon Kim;Kee Don Choi;Ho June Song;Gin Hyug Lee;Hwoon-Yong Jung
    • The Korean journal of internal medicine
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.439-447
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    • 2024
  • Background: Helicobacter pylori infection, prevalent in more than half of the global population, is associated with various gastrointestinal diseases, including peptic ulcers and gastric cancer. The effectiveness of early diagnosis and treatment in preventing gastric cancer highlights the need for improved diagnostic methods. This study aimed to develop a simple scoring system based on endoscopic findings to predict H. pylori infection. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 1,007 patients who underwent upper gastrointestinal endoscopy at Asan Medical Center from January 2019 to December 2021. Exclusion criteria included prior H. pylori treatment, gastric surgery, or gastric malignancies. Diagnostic techniques included rapid urease and 13C-urea breath tests, H. pylori culture, and assessment of endoscopic features following the Kyoto gastritis classification. A new scoring system based on endoscopic findings including regular arrangement of collecting venules (RAC), nodularity, and diffuse or spotty redness was developed for predicting H. pylori infection, utilizing logistic regression analysis in the development set. Results: The scoring system demonstrated high predictive accuracy for H. pylori infection in the validation set. Scores of 2 and 3 were associated with 96% and 99% infection risk, respectively. Additionally, there was a higher prevalence of diffuse redness and sticky mucus in cases where the initial H. pylori eradication treatment failed. Conclusions: Our scoring system showed potential for improving diagnostic accuracy in H. pylori infection. H. pylori testing should be considered upon spotty redness, diffuse redness, nodularity, and RAC absence on endoscopic findings as determined by the predictive scoring system.

Clinical implication of Dendritic Cell Infiltration in Cervical Tuberculous Lymphadenitis (결핵성 경부 림프절염에서 수지상돌기세포의 침윤과 임상양상의 연관성)

  • Jung, Jae Woo;Lee, Young Woo;Choi, Jae Cheol;Yoo, Seung Min;Lee, Hwa Yeon;Lim, Seoung Young;Shin, Jong Wook;Kim, Jae Yoel;Park, In Whn;Kim, Mi Kyung;Choi, Byoung Whui
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.60 no.5
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    • pp.523-531
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    • 2006
  • Background : Cervical tuberculous lymphadenopathy is a very common disease with a similar incidence to pulmonary tuberculosis. Dendritic cells play a role of initial antigen presentation of this illness. Nevertheless, the precise role of these antigen-presenting cells according to the clinical features in unclear. The aim of this study was to determine the clinical implication of dendritic cell infiltration in the cervical lymph nodes. Methods : A review of the clinical characteristics was carried out retrospectively based on the clinical records and radiography. Immunohistochemical staining was performed on the available histology specimens of 72 cases using the S-100b polyclonal antibody for dendritic cells. The number of dendritic cells with tuberculous granuloma were determined. A $X^2$ test, unpaired T test and multiple logistic regression analysis were performed. Results : Thirty percent of subjects had previous or concurrent pulmonary TB. Twenty one percent of cases showed a positive reaction on the AFB stain. Within a granuloma, the number of infiltrated dendritic cells was $113.0{\pm}7.0$. The incidence of fever and cough decreased with increasing infiltration of dendritic cells Multivariate regression analysis showed that the infiltration of dendritic cells could significantly contribute to fever. Conclusion : Overall, dendritic cells can control a Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection and modulate the immune response, as well as resolve the clinical manifestations of TB lymphadenopathy.

Predictors on In-hospital Mortality Following In-hospital Diagnosis of Tuberculosis (결핵으로 입원한 환자의 병원내 사망과 관련된 인자)

  • Shin, Su Rin;Kim, Chang Hwan;Kim, Sung Eun;Park, Yong Bum;Lee, Jae Young;Mo, Eun Kyung;Kim, Cheol Hong;Eom, Kwang Seok;Jang, Seung Hun;Kim, Dong Gyu;Lee, Myung Gu;Jung, Ki Suck
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.61 no.3
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    • pp.233-238
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    • 2006
  • Study objectives: To determine the factors associated with mortality after an in-hospital diagnosis of tuberculosis in a region with low levels of HIV coinfection. Methods: From January 2003 to December 2004, all subjects who were > 15 years of age and had received a diagnosis of tuberculosis were registered. The clinical, radiological and laboratory aspects of the patients who died (n=27) were compared with those of an age and gender matched control population(n=54). Logistic regression analyses were carried out, which included age, gender, hospital admission source, initial site of admission, dyspnea, general weakness and initial laboratory data. Results: The mean age of the patients was $60{\pm}16$ years and male patients outnumbered female patients. Univariate analysis identified hemoglobin, blood urea nitrogen, albumin, cholesterol, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), C-reactive protein and the risk factors for tuberculosis to be significantly associated with mortality. Among the characteristics of disease presentation and treatment, emergency department admission, intensive care unit, disease severity, general weakness and dyspnea at the time of admission were associated with mortality. Multiple regression analysis revealed the initial management in the intensive care unit and lower serum albumin to be independently associated with mortality. Conclusion: The markers of disease chronicity and severity appear to be associated with in-hospital mortality. Identifying potentially reversible factors such as malnutrition and respiratory failure suggests specific intervention that might lead to an improvement in the patients' outcomes.

Factors Associated with Sexual Debut among Korean Middle School Students (중학생의 성경험 영향요인)

  • Yu, Jung-Ok;Kim, Hyun-Hee;Kim, Jung-Soon
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate factors associated with sexual debut among Korean middle school students. Methods: From the database of the Eighth Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-based Survey (KYRBS), the researchers selected 37,297 middle school students aged 12-15 years. Data were analyzed using $x^2$ test and multiple logistic regression with the SPSS WIN 18.0 program. Results: The proportion of middle school students who had a sexual debut was 2.1% of boys and 1.5% of girls. In multiple regression analysis, economic status, experience of part time work, smoking, drug use and depression were associated with an increased proportion of sexual intercourse for both boys and girls. Living with parents, drinking alcohol and suicidal ideation were associated with sexual debut for boys only. By contrast, formal sexual education was associated with a reduced risk of sexual debut. Conclusion: The results of this study show the factors associated with sexual debut among Korean middle school students. Gender-related interventions should be taken into consideration in school sexual education programmes, because of differences in related factors according to gender.