• Title/Summary/Keyword: logistic equation

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The mathematical model of temperature dependent growth of Scuticociliate Miamiensis avidus in vitro and in vivo conditions (In vitro와 in vivo에서의 온도에 따른 스쿠티카충 성장의 수리 모델)

  • Oh, Chun-Young
    • Journal of fish pathology
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2013
  • Population growth equation of scuticociliate Miamiensis avidus was obtained from the experimental results of in vitro culture condition to estimate the growth rate and carrying capacity from the growth equation. In addition, intraperitoneal infections into olive flounder Paralichthys olivaceus were carried out into 2 different conditions: different concentrations of M. avidus in same water temperature and same concentration of M. avidus in different water temperatures. Olive flounder mortality was threshold dependent with both the temperature and M. avidus density parameters. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to study M. avidus growth in olive flounder based upon the interactions between parasite and host. The mathematical model was logistic growth differential equation (1.2). The parameters were found with Matlab program through the Levenberge-Marquardt method. In theorem, equilibrium values between the infected fish population and dead population could found. Our equilibrium points were a stable equilibrium and an unstable equilibrium. From the equation (1.6), it was possible to predict the amount of cumulative mortality of olive flounder along with the time after M. avidus infection.

Prediction of Breastfeeding Intentions and Behaviors : An Application of the Theory of Planned Behavior (계획된 행위 이론을 적용한 모유수유의지 및 행위의 예측요인 분석)

  • 김혜숙;남은숙
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.796-806
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    • 1997
  • The majority of studies on breastfeeding consists of descriptive correlational studies identifying the incidence and correlates of breastfeeding. The theory of planned behavior has been shown to yield great predictive power for behavioral goals over which individuals have only limited control such as improving school grades and weight loss. The purpose of this study was to test the "theory of planned behavior" in the prediction of breastfeeding of mothers who delivered vaginally, One hundred mothers who delivered vaginally in one general hospital in Seoul and one general hospital and three private hospitals in Taejeon participated in this study. The instruments used for data collection in this study were developed by the researchers following the guidelines suggested by Ajzen & Fishbein(1980) and Ajzen & Madden(1986). The instruments included measurement of attitude, subjective norm, perceived behavioral control and intention. The collected data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, Pearson product moment correlation, hierachical multiple regression and logistic regression. The results are as follows ; 1. Intention to breastfeed correlated significantly with attitude, subjective norm and perceived behavioral control. Both attitude and subjective norm did not make a significant contribution to the prediction of intention, but the addition of perceived behavioral control to the regression equation greatly improved the model's predictive power, increasing the R²from .05 to .52. 2. Intention to breastfeed alone had a significant predictive effect on actual breastfeeding, resulting in a regression coefficient of .16(X²=8 60, p<.01), but when perceived behavioral control was added to the equation, intention was not a significant predictive variable and only perceived behavioral control showed significant predictive power on actual breastfeeding, resulting in a regression coefficient of .12(X²=4.69, p<.05). In sum, breastfeeding behavior lent only partial support to the second version of the theory of planned behavior, and because perceived behavioral control had a strong effect on intention to breastfeed and actual breastfeeding, It would be desirable to develop nursing intervention programs which focus on strengthening the perceived behavioral control for the promotion of breastfeeding.

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Probability of Early Retirement Among Emergency Physicians

  • Shin, Jaemyeong;Kim, Yun Jeong;Kim, Jong Kun;Lee, Dong Eun;Moon, Sungbae;Choe, Jae Young;Lee, Won Kee;Lee, Hyung Min;Cho, Kwang Hyun
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.154-162
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: Early retirement occurs when one's job satisfaction suffers due to employment mismatch resulting from factors such as inadequate compensation. Medical doctors report high levels of job stress and burnout relative to other professionals. These levels are highest among emergency physicians (EPs), and despite general improvements in their working conditions, early retirement continues to become more common in this population. The purpose of this study was to identify the factors influencing EPs intention to retire early and to develop a probability equation for its prediction. Methods: A secondary analysis of data from the 2015 Korean Society of Emergency Physicians Survey was performed. The variables potentially influencing early retirement were organized into personal characteristics, extrinsic factors, and intrinsic factors. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors and to develop a probability equation; these findings were then arranged in a nomogram. Results: Of the 377 survey respondents included in the analysis, 48.0% intended to retire early. Risk factors for early retirement included level of satisfaction with the specialty and its outlook, slanderous reviews, emergency room safety, health status, workload intensity, age, and hospital type. Intrinsic factors (i.e., slanderous reviews and satisfaction with the specialty and its outlook) had a stronger influence on early retirement than did extrinsic factors. Conclusions: To promote career longevity among EPs, it is vital to improve emergency room safety and workload intensity, to enhance medical professionalism through a stronger vision of emergency medicine, and to strengthen the patient-doctor relationship.

Age and Growth of the Purple Sea Urchin, Anthocidaris crassispina in Cheju Island (보라성게 (Anthocidaris crassispina)의 연령과 성장)

  • HONG Sung-Wan;CHUNG Sang-Chul
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.302-308
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    • 1998
  • The growth of the purple sea urchin, Anthocidaris crassispina, has been investigated using reproduction plates as a chararter of the age determination. The samples were collected on the coast of Daepo, in the southern part of Cheju Island from August, 1995 to July, 1996. Monthly growth of test diameter mainly occurred from December to March. The obvious growth, however, were not observed between April and June which seemed to be the resting period. This resting period well corresponded to the time of annual ring formation which was estimated from the analysis of the marginal growth rate. The growth curve fitted well with Bertalanffy equation: $$L_t=46.65 (1-e^{-0.283(t+9.210)}),\;W_t=44.90 (1-e^{-0.283(t+9.210)})^3$$

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Factors Influencing Readmission of Convalescent Rehabilitation Patients: Using Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service Claims Data (회복기 재활환자의 재입원에 영향을 미치는 요인: 건강보험 청구자료를 이용하여)

  • Shin, Yo Han;Jeong, Hyoung-Sun
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.451-461
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    • 2021
  • Background: Readmissions related to lack of quality care harm both patients and health insurance finances. If the factors affecting readmission are identified, the readmission can be managed by controlling those factors. This paper aims to identify factors that affect readmissions of convalescent rehabilitation patients. Methods: Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service claims data were used to identify readmissions of convalescent patients who were admitted in hospitals and long-term care hospitals nationwide in 2018. Based on prior research, the socio-demographics, clinical, medical institution, and staffing levels characteristics were included in the research model as independent variables. Readmissions for convalescent rehabilitation treatment within 30 days after discharge were analyzed using logistic regression and generalization estimation equation. Results: The average readmission rate of the study subjects was 24.4%, and the risk of readmission decreases as age, length of stay, and the number of patients per physical therapist increase. In the patient group, the risk of readmission is lower in the spinal cord injury group and the musculoskeletal system group than in the brain injury group. The risk of readmission increases as the severity of patients and the number of patients per rehabilitation medicine specialist increases. Besides, the readmission risk is higher in men than women and long-term care hospitals than hospitals. Conclusion: "Reducing the readmission rate" is consistent with the ultimate goal of the convalescent rehabilitation system. Thus, it is necessary to prepare a mechanism for policy management of readmission.

An Analysis of Effects of Differential Coinsurance Policy and Utilization of Outpatients Care by Types of Medical Institutions (종별 의료기관 외래 경증질환 약제비 본인부담 차등정책 효과분석)

  • Park, Yoon-Sung;Kim, Jin Suk
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.128-138
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    • 2017
  • Background: The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of differential coinsurance policy on prescription drug coverage of outpatients by types of medical institutions. Methods: In this study, we used a sample cohort database of the National Health Insurance Service and frequency analysis and marginal logistic regression model using generalized estimating equation were used for statistical analysis. Results: The summary on the major research is followed. First, about 16% of patients who used only tertiary or general hospital due to 52 ambulatory care sensitive conditions before policy implementation moved to hospitals and clinics. However, about 57% of them still use tertiary or general hospital. Second, the factors influencing the utilization of hospitals and clinics after the implementation of the policy were gender, age, and income level. As a result, the policy is effective to reduce the medical use of outpatient mental patients in tertiary or general hospital, but the effect is not significant. Conclusion: Therefore, in order to achieve the purpose of the policy for establishing the health care delivery system, it is necessary to adjust the co-payment so as to feel the burden on the co-payment when the outpatient for 52 ambulatory care sensitive conditions is used at the tertiary or general hospital.

Study on the mesh selectivity of a drum shaped pot for finely-striate buccinum (Buccinum striatissimum) in the eastern coastal waters of Korea (우리나라 동해안 북형 통발에 대한 물레고둥(Buccinum striatissimum)의 망목 선택성에 관한 연구)

  • KIM, Seonghun;JEONG, Seong-Jae;PARK, Chang-Doo;KIM, Pyungkwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.193-201
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    • 2020
  • The mesh selectivity of a drum shaped pot for finely-striate buccinum (Buccinum striatissimum) was conducted a total of eight times with four different mesh sizes (22, 35, 50 and 60 mm) from May to September, 2019 in the eastern coastal waters of Korea. The size selectivity analysis was estimated by the SELECT method to express logistic selectivity curves. In the results, the catch of finely-striate buccinum was occupied about 90% in the total catch weight. The equation of the master curve of selectivity was estimated to s(R) = exp(-7.778R+9.983)/[1+exp(-7.778R+9.983)]. The relative shell height of 50% selection was 1.284 and the selection range (SR) was 0.282. The optimal mesh size for 50% selection on the minimum maturation size (75 mm, Shell height) was estimated more than 60 mm by the master selectivity curve.

Maturation and spawning of female black scraper, Thamnaconus modestus in the coastal waters off Middle East Sea, Korea (동해 중부해역에 출현하는 말쥐치(Thamnaconus modestus) 암컷의 성숙과 산란)

  • NAM, Ki-Mun;YOO, Jun-Taek;KIM, Jea-Won;PARK, Jong Hyeok;BAECK, Gun Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.89-95
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    • 2018
  • The maturation and spawning of black scraper, Thamnaconus modestus were studied using samples collected monthly from March, 2015 to February, 2016 in the coastal waters off Middle East Sea, Korea. The gonadosomatic index (GSI) of female was the highest in June. The spawning periods lasted from March to September based on histological observation of female gonad development. The percentage of sexually mature females estimated from a logistic function was over 50% for the size group 18.02 cm (total length, TL). The size of eggs spawned was between 0.40 to 0.58 mm. Fecundity varied between 185,648 and 9,747,250 eggs. The relationship between the fecundity and TL of the fish was expressed in the fecundity equation as $F=0.0297TL^{5.4835}$.

The Rating of Korean Basketball League Teams in 2006-2007 Season: Taking Account of Home-Court Advantage (홈팀의 이점을 고려한 KBL 2006-2007 시즌 경기력 평가)

  • Lee, Seung-Chun;Byun, Jong-Seok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.687-695
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    • 2008
  • It is widely known that the home advantage plays an important factor for determining victory or defeat in sport leagues. Thus a ranking system of sport league should take account of the home advantage as a key factor. Various statistical models are studied to rate the Korean Basketball league teams in 2006-2007 season. Among them, the model equation provided by Harville and Smith (1994) is useful for constructing two ranking systems. Both systems give quite reasonable quantifications of the team's ability and the home advantage.

A Study on the Prediction of the Nonlinear Chaotic Time Series Using a Self-Recurrent Wavelet Neural Network (자기 회귀 웨이블릿 신경 회로망을 이용한 비선형 혼돈 시계열의 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hye-Jin;Park, Jin-Bae;Choi, Yoon-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.07d
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    • pp.2209-2211
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    • 2004
  • Unlike the wavelet neural network, since a mother wavelet layer of the self-recurrent wavelet neural network (SRWNN) is composed of self-feedback neurons, it has the ability to store past information of the wavelet. Therefore we propose the prediction method for the nonlinear chaotic time series model using a SRWNN. The SRWNN model is learned for the modeling of a function such that the inputs arc known values of the time series and the output is the value in the future. The parameters of the network are tuned to minimize the difference between the nonlinear mapping of the chaotic time series and the output of SRWNN using the gradient-descent method for the adaptive backpropagation algorithm. Through the computer simulations, we demonstrate the feasibility and the effectiveness of our method for the prediction of the logistic map and the Mackey-Glass delay-differential equation as a nonlinear chaotic time series.

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