• Title/Summary/Keyword: listed stock valuation

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Market Valuation of Technology Firms in KOSDAQ

  • Cho, Kee-Heon;Seol, Sung-Soo
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.172-192
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to analyze the valuation of technology firms in the stock market to answer how before-market entities should be valuated. This study analyzes 230 market reports of 2012 for technology firms in the KOSDAQ under several hypotheses. The results are as follows: 90% used the 3 multiples methods consisting of PER multiples with 80%, PBR multiples 8.7% and EBITDA multiples 1.7%. The average of PER multiples was 15 with the range of 6.9 to 83. That of PBR multiples is 2.27. Forecasting for cash flow is not applied over 4 years, but mainly 2-3 years. The accuracy of forecasting was 18.8%, 34.4% and 8% according to the different definitions. No differences were found in the accuracy of forecasting between valuation methods, between the industries having more intangible assets and the industries having less, and between startups and general companies and between ages and listed ages.

A Comparative Study on Improvements of Non - listed Stock Valuation System of Advanced Countries (비상장주식가치평가의 국가별 비교연구)

  • Choi, Dong-choon
    • Journal of Venture Innovation
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.127-140
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    • 2019
  • A stock valuation on the tax law is based on the valuation by market price. But, unlike the listed stocks, the unlisted stocks mostly have the unclear market price. Accordingly, it is necessary to calculate the fair value which corresponds to the market price. The purpose of this paper is to examine the appropriateness of the complementary valuation method in the Inheritance Tax and Gift Tax Act and to provide suggestions for improvement. This study is intended to provide the problems and solutions relating to the valuation of unlisted stocks through analysis of foreign legal systems and actual disputes. When the actual profit/loss data are used to calculate the net profit/loss value on the present regulations, it has the different weight on the latest 3 years' net profits and losses uniformly. Therefore, to extend the range of unlisted stocks valuation and to show the independent and high professionalism of appraisal council not the subsidy appraisal agency of the National Tax Service, it is necessary to change the current rule that the commissioner of the National Tax Service unilaterally appoints the private members into the method of public offering.

The Optimal Determination of the "Other Information" Variable in Ohlson 1995 Valuation Model

  • Bolor BUREN;Altan-Erdene BATBAYAR;Khishigbayar LKHAGVASUREN
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study delves into the application of the Ohlson 1995 valuation model, particularly addressing the intricacies of the "Other information" variable. Our goal is to pinpoint the most suitable variables for substitution within this category, focusing specifically on the Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE) context. Research design, data, and methodology: Employing data spanning from 2012 to 2022 from 60 MSE-listed companies, we conduct a comprehensive analysis encompassing both financial and non-financial indicators. Through meticulous examination, we aim to identify which variables effectively substitute for the "Other information" component of the Ohlson model. Results: Our findings reveal significant outcomes. While all financial variables within the model exhibit importance, certain non-financial indicators, notably the company's level and state ownership participation, emerge as particularly influential in determining stock prices on the MSE. Conclusions: This study not only contributes to a deeper understanding of valuation dynamics within the MSE but also provides actionable insights for future research endeavors. By refining key variables within the Ohlson model, this research enhances the accuracy and efficacy of financial analysis practices. Moreover, the implications extend to practitioners, offering valuable insights into the determinants of stock prices in the MSE and guiding strategic decision-making processes.

A Comparative Analysis of Artificial Intelligence System and Ohlson model for IPO firm's Stock Price Evaluation (신규상장기업의 주가예측에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Yong;Lee, Gyeong-Rak;Lee, Seong-Weon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.145-158
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    • 2013
  • I estimate stock prices of listed companies using financial information and Ohlson model, which is used for the evaluation of company value. Furthermore, I use the artificial neural network, one of artificial intelligence systems, which are not based on linear relationship between variables, to estimate stock prices of listed companies. By reapplying this in estimating stock prices of newly listed companies, I evaluate the appropriateness in stock valuation with such methods. The result of practical analysis of this study is as follows. On the top of that, the multiplier for the actual stock price is accounted by generating the estimated stock prices based on the artificial neural network model. As a result of the comparison of two multipliers, the estimated stock prices by the artificial neural network model does not show statistically difference with the actual stock prices. Given that, the estimated stock price with artificial neural network is close to the actual stock prices rather than the estimated stock prices with Ohlson model.

Growth of Loan Distribution and Bank Valuation: Evidence from Vietnam

  • HOANG, Lam Xuan;HOANG, Phi Dinh;DANG, Duong Quy
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The aim of this article is to test the link between growth of loan distribution and Bank Valuation in Vietnam's banking sector. At the same time, the study also compared the differences in the effect of growth of loan to valuation bank in banks of different sizes, ownership rates and bank values. Research design, data and methodology: With panel data estimation techniques along with robust standard error for a sample of the banks listed on Vietnam stock exchange from 2012 to 2019. Results: Growth of loan has a positive impact on Bank Valuation (by Tobin's Q). A closer investigation provides evidence for the differential valuation effect of loan growth depending on different features of banks. Specifically, loan growth is found positively and significantly associated with Bank Valuation in small and non-state-owned banks only. Besides, bank size, deposit, and return on equity are found negatively associated with Tobin's Q, while loan loss provisions exhibit a positive relation with this measure of Bank Valuation. Conclusions: These findings provide contributions to the literature on the existence of the effect of loan growth on Bank Valuation. At the same time, the study also provides practical implications for policy makers in banks and investors.

Factors Influencing Debt Maturity Structure of Real Estate Companies Listed on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange

  • NGUYEN, Thanh Nha
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.355-363
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    • 2022
  • The debt maturity structure has a significant impact on a company's financial situation. Any debt maturity structure decisions substantially impact investment decisions due to changes in capital cost and dividend decisions due to cash flow consequences. This study used the system generalized method of moment (Sys-GMM) to investigate the debt maturity structure of real estate companies listed on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) in the duration from 2008 to 20019. It found that the firm size, liquidity, and tangible assets affected the decision on debt maturity structure. The tangible asset had the most significant impact on the possibility for companies to access long-term loans. This finding revealed that the majority of the real estate companies listed on HOSE borrowed money from banks. Such decisions are most likely affected by the collateral. Another finding of the study is that financial institutions had a major impact on loan maturity structure, whereas the effects of the financial market were negligible. Besides, the real estate companies listed on HOSE seemed not to pay attention to changes in inflation, economic growth, and institutional qualities when deciding on the debt maturity structure.

What explains firm valuation? Evidence from the Chinese manufacturing sector (중국 제조업 상장기업의 가치평가 설명요인에 관한 연구)

  • Sha Qiang;Yun Joo An;Moon Sub Choi
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.229-262
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    • 2020
  • The price-to-earnings ratio (PER) is an important indicator to measure the stock price and profitability of a firm; it is also the most used valuation indicator among investors. When using the PER to compare the investment values of different stocks, these stocks must come from the same sector. This study mainly focuses on the China's listed manufacturing firms. By learning from previous research results and analyzing the current situation, we studied the correlation between the manufacturing sector's PER and its influencing factors from both macro and micro perspectives, the combination of which eventually sheds light on such correlation. Analyzing GDP growth rate data, Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, and other macroeconomic variables from 2008 to 2018, we conclude that these variables jointly have a certain impact on the average PER of the manufacturing sector. We then form panel data based on relevant (2014-2018) data gathered from 317 of China's A-listed manufacturing firms to study the impact of micro-variables on PER. By using Stata and other software to analyze the panel data, we reach the conclusion that the Debt to Asset Ratio, Return on Equity, EPS growth rate, Operating Profit Ratio, Dividend Payout Ratio, and firm size have a significant impact on PER. The Current Ratio, Treasury Stock ratio and Ownership Concentration have no distinct effect on PER. Based on our empirical findings, we design a theoretical model that affects the PER.

Impact of managerial overconfidence on Valuation Error (경영자 과신성향이 가치평가오류에 미치는 영향)

  • Joon-Seok Lee;Myung-Gun Lee
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.287-307
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - This study was a study on managerial overconfidence and valuation errors to verify how the increase in managerial overconfidence affects valuation errors. Design/methodology/approach - Managerial overconfidence propensity refers to managers having excessive confidence in their position or ability (Hayward and Hambrick, 1997; Park Jin-hee, 2021) and was measured according to Schrand and Zechman (2012). Valuation error refers to a situation where a company's actual stock price differs from its intrinsic value as a result of numerous information asymmetries in the market, and was measured using the measurement method in Rhodes-Kropf et al (2005) study. The sample of this study used companies listed in the capital market for a total of 12 years from 2011 to 2022. Findings - As a result of the verification, there was a significant positive (+) relationship between managerial overconfidence and valuation errors, and this relationship was alleviated as the percentage of foreign shareholders shares or the number of financial analysts they followed increased. It can be interpreted that when the information demands of investors, such as foreign shareholders and financial analysts, increase significantly, managers provide more information to meet investors demands, thereby reducing information asymmetry and leading to a decrease in valuation errors.. Research implications or Originality - Previous studies on overconfidence, among the cognitive characteristics of individual managers, have yielded mixed results. In this study, we conducted a direct empirical analysis of managerial overconfidence using a measure called valuation error, which evaluates numerous information asymmetries in the capital market. This is expected to help stakeholders in the capital market understand the characteristics of managers and recognize their importance. It can also be used as a basis for establishing policies to reduce valuation errors.

The Trickle-Down Effect of Intellectual Capital on Banks' Macro Performance in Indonesia

  • WAHAB, Abdul;ABBAS, Nurhasnah;SYARIATI, Alim;SYARIATI, Namla Elfa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.703-710
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    • 2020
  • The stock market serves as a representation of economic well-being in a country. Along with the myriad of economic predictors, specific knowledge possession may lead to different macro consequences of stock performance and market value. This study empirically investigates the capacity of possessing excellent intellectual capital to increase the performance and values of listed banks in Indonesia. The selection of banks as the primary data represents such sectors' capability to attract, employ, or exploit the excellent internal capacity under the discussion of resource-based view theory. At best to the authors' knowledge, this topic's findings are still elusive and debatable upon considering the direct and indirect relationships between the proposed exogenous and endogenous variables. Eighteen listed banks form the panel data throughout 2011-2016. This study employs a path analysis and Sobel test to obtain the results of the proposed hypothesis. The results report some positive relationships of the intellectual capital to firms' performances and values, directly and indirectly, with a substantial effect on the second model compared to the first model. This study highlighted knowledge's capacity as a vital basis to gauge the banks' performance and valuation. However, a better formulation of intellectual capital is required to capture a better measurement.

Sustainable Earnings and Its Forecast: The Case of Vietnam

  • DO, Nhung Hong;PHAM, Nha Van Tue;TRAN, Dung Manh;LE, Thuy Thu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.73-85
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    • 2020
  • The study aims to provide better understanding of sustainable earnings by a comprehensive analysis of earnings persistence of business firms in Vietnam as an example of developing economies in South-East Asia. Dataset of 1,278 publicly listed firms (excluding banking and financial services firms) on Vietnam Stock Exchange for the period from 2008 to 2017 was collected. By applying fixed effect regression model, the empirical results provided the basis to measure the persistence index (Pers index) and find low level of their earnings persistence. The literature of earnings quality analysis in developed countries suggests earnings persistence as a noteworthy determinant of future earnings forecast and stock valuation. However, research of sustainable earnings in developing countries is still highly underdeveloped. For Vietnamese listed firms, the average Pers index was estimated for the period from 2008 to 2010, indicating low level of earnings persistence. We also incorporated earnings persistence level into future earnings forecast by running the quintile regression model divided the data into four equal levels and conducted each section independently to see the difference in each percentile, thence assessed the factors' influence on the specific model. The findings provide important information on the expected returns of firms, especially helping investors make sound decisions.