• Title/Summary/Keyword: life- time prediction

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Shelf Life Prediction for Packaged Produce Sensitive to Moisture Damage (수분손상에 민감한 포장된 제품의 저장수명 예측)

  • Lee, Chong-Hyun
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF PACKAGING SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 1997
  • The change in moisture content of moisture sensitive products in moisture-semipermeable packages was investigated for the purpose of predicting the shelf life of a product-package combination. A mathematical model, and a computer program based on the physiochemical properties of the product and the moisture permeability of the package was developed. The moisture content for products in moisture-semipermeable packages was determined under various environmental conditions and the results were compared with the predicted values by means of the simulation model. These experimental studies demonstrated that the prediction of the change in moisture content of packaged products over time by the simulation model is accurate, within a practical range of temperature and relative humidity values. The developed semi-empirical model is considered to have applications in industry, since it provides product shelf life information for a range of temperature and relative humidity conditions, with a limited number of experimentally obtained data points.

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Implementation of CNN-based water level prediction model for river flood prediction (하천 홍수 예측을 위한 CNN 기반의 수위 예측 모델 구현)

  • Cho, Minwoo;Kim, Sujin;Jung, Hoekyung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.11
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    • pp.1471-1476
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    • 2021
  • Flood damage can cause floods or tsunamis, which can result in enormous loss of life and property. In this regard, damage can be reduced by making a quick evacuation decision through flood prediction, and many studies are underway in this field to predict floods using time series data. In this paper, we propose a CNN-based time series prediction model. A CNN-based water level prediction model was implemented using the river level and precipitation, and the performance was confirmed by comparing it with the LSTM and GRU models, which are often used for time series prediction. In addition, by checking the performance difference according to the size of the input data, it was possible to find the points to be supplemented, and it was confirmed that better performance than LSTM and GRU could be obtained. Through this, it is thought that it can be utilized as an initial study for flood prediction.

Development of On-line Life Monitoring System Software for High-temperature Components of Power Boilers (보일러 고온요소의 수명 감시시스템 소프트웨어 개발)

  • 윤필기;정동관;윤기봉
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Energy Engineering kosee Conference
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    • 1999.05a
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    • pp.171-176
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    • 1999
  • Nondestructive inspection and accompanying life analysis based on fracture mechanics were the major conventional methods for evaluating remaining life of critical high temperature components in power plants. By using these conventional methods, it has been difficult to perform in-service inspection for life prediction. Also, quantitative damage evaluation due to unexpected abrupt changes in operating temperature was almost impossible. Thus, many efforts have been made for evaluating remaining life during operation of the plants and predicting real-time life usage values based on the shape of structures, operating history, and material properties. In this study, a core software for on-line life monitoring system which carries out real-time life evaluation of a critical component in power boiler(high temperature steam headers) is developed. The software is capable of evaluating creep and fatigue life usage from the real-time stress data calculated by using temperature/stress transfer Green functions derived for the specific headers and by counting transient cycles. The major benefits of the developed software lie in determining future operating schedule, inspection interval, and replacement plan by monitoring real-time life usage based on prior operating history.

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Creep-Life Prediction and Standard Error Analysis of Type 316LN Stainless Steel (Type 316LN 스테인리스 강의 크리프 수명 예측과 표준오차 분석)

  • Yun S.N.;Kim W.G.;Liu W.S.;Yi W.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.1406-1411
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    • 2005
  • The creep rupture data for type 316LN stainless steels were collected through literature survey or experimental data produced in KAERI. Using these data, polynomial equations for predicting creep life were obtained by Larson-Miller (L-M), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D) and Manson-Haferd (M-H) etc. time-temperature parametric (TTP) methods. Standard error of estimate (SEE) values for the each parameter was obtained with different temperatures through the statistical process of the creep data. The results of L-M, O-S-D and M-H methods showed good creep-life prediction, but M-H method showed better agreement than L-M and O-S-D methods. Especially, it was found that SEE values of M-H method at $700^{\circ}C$ were lower than that of L-M and O-S-D methods.

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Analytical Prediction of Bearing Life and Load Distribution for Plugin HEV (플러그인 HEV용 베어링 수명 및 응력분포의 분석예측)

  • Zhang, Qi;Kang, Jae-Hwa;Yun, Gi-Baek;Lyu, Sung-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2012
  • The transportation is almost dependent on a single fuel petroleum with transportation energy dilemma. Hybrid Electric Vehicle(HEV) technology holds more advantages on efficiency improvements for petroleum consumption at the transportation. And bearing is recognized as the important component of gearbox. Gearboxes for HEV transmission have been ensured the highest reliability over some years in withstanding high dynamic loads. At the same time, the demands of lightweight design and cost minimization are required by thought-out design, high-quality material, superior production quality and maintenance. In order to design a reliable and lightweight gearbox, it is necessary to analyze bearing rating life methods between standard and different bearing companies with calculation methods for modification factors. In this paper, the influence of life time of bearings will be pointed out. Bearing contact stress and load stress distribution of HEV gearbox are obtained and compared with Romaxdesigner and BearinX. And the unequal wear of the left bearing for the gearbox intermediate shaft is investigated between simulation and test.

Analytical Prediction of Bearing Life and Load Distribution for Plugin HEV (플러그인 HEV용 베어링 수명 및 응력분포의 분석예측)

  • Zhang, Qi;Kang, Jae-Hwa;Yun, Gi-Baek;Lyu, Sung-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.25-30
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    • 2012
  • The transportation is almost dependent on a single fuel petroleum with transportation energy dilemma. Hybrid Electric Vehicle(HEV) technology holds more advantages on efficiency improvements for petroleum consumption at the transportation. And bearing is recognized as the important component of gearbox. Gearboxes for HEV transmission have been ensured the highest reliability over some years in withstanding high dynamic loads. At the same time, the demands of lightweight design and cost minimization are required by thought-out design, high-quality material, superior production quality and maintenance. In order to design a reliable and lightweight gearbox, it is necessary to analyze bearing rating life methods between standard and different bearing companies with calculation methods for modification factors. In this paper, the influence of life time of bearings will be pointed out. Bearing contact stress and load stress distribution of HEV gearbox are obtained and compared with Romaxdesigner and BearinX. And the unequal wear of the left bearing for the gearbox intermediate shaft is investigated between simulation and test.

High Temperature Creep Life Prediction of Friction Welded Joints by Initial Strain Method and the AE Evaluation (ISM에 의한 마찰용접재(SUH3-SUH35)의 고온크리프 수명예측에 관한 연구)

  • 오세규;이원석
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.40-48
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    • 1997
  • There are many research results as individual uni-axial tension creep test of heat-resisting materials. However, there are very few about the study on the high temperature creep test for the Initial Strain Method, and especially any study on it about the friction welded joints of SUH3 to SUH35. One of the important concerns is a reliable method of evaluating static creep properties. No reliable method seems available at present to evaluate or predict static creep properties. So, the reliable method to evaluate and predict them by the ISM and AE techniques was made.

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Crack Width Prediction in Concrete Bridges Considering Bond Resistances affected by Corrosion (부식에 의한 부착저항감소를 고려한 콘크리트 교량의 균열폭 예측)

  • Cho, Tae-Jun;Cho, Hyo-Nam;Park, Mi-Yun
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.18 no.4 s.94
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    • pp.543-552
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    • 2006
  • The current design for crack width control in concrete bridges is incomplete in analytical models. As one of the important serviceability limit states, the crack width be considered with the quantitative prediction of the initiation and propagation of corrosion and corrosion-induced cracking. A serviceability limit state of cracking can be affected by the combined effects of bond, slip, cracking, and corrosion of the reinforcing elements. Considering life span of concrete bridges, an improved prediction of crack width affected by time-dependent general corrosion has been proposed for the crack control design. The developed corrosion models and crack width prediction equation can be used for the design and the maintenance of prestressed and non-prestressed reinforcements by varying time, w/c, cover depth, and geometries of the sections. It can also be used as the rational criteria for the maintenance of existing concrete bridges and the prediction of remaining life of concrete structures.

Fatigue Life Prediction of a Multi-Purpose Vehicle Frame (MPV 프레임의 피로수명 예측)

  • 천인범;조규종
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.146-152
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    • 1998
  • Recently, for the development of vehicle structures and components there is a tendency to increase using numerical simulation methods compared with practical tests for the estimation of the fatigue strength. In this study, an integrated powerful methodology is suggested for fatigue strength evaluation through development of the interface program to integrate dynamic analysis quasi-static stress analysis and fatigue analysis, which were so far used independently. To verify the presented evaluation method, a single and zigzag bump run test, 4-post road load simulation and driving durability test have been performed. The prediction results show a good agreement between analysis and test. This research indicates that the integrated life prediction methodology can be used as a reliable design tool in the pre-prototype and prototype development stage, to reduce the expense and time of design iteration.

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Development of GIS Interconnected Corrosion Prediction System for Underground Metallic Structures (기존 GIS에 연계한 지하금속매설물의 부식예측시스템 개발)

  • Ha, Tae-Hyun;Kim, Dae-Kyeong;Bae, Jeong-Hyo;Lee, Hyun-Goo;Choi, Sang-Bong;Jeong, Seong-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.11c
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    • pp.769-771
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    • 1999
  • In general, the most of GIS is only deal with the material and geometric data which are position, radius, length etc except a corrosion data. In present, the owner of metallic structures having an interest in that my structures do corrode or not and how many life time is there? So, we need the development of GIS interconnected corrosion prediction system on the view point of the efficiency of operation and the protection for big accident. The results of development of its system are described in this paper. It can do life prediction and interference analysis and also newest corrosion data should be updated regularly.

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