• Title/Summary/Keyword: life prediction

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Feasibility of the Lapse Rate Prediction at an Hourly Time Interval (기온감률의 일중 경시변화 예측 가능성)

  • Kim, Soo-ock;Yun, Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2016
  • Temperature lapse rate within the planetary boundary layer shows a diurnal cycle with a substantial variation. The widely-used lapse rate value for the standard atmosphere may result in unaffordable errors if used in interpolating hourly temperature in complex terrain. We propose a simple method for estimating hourly lapse rate and evaluate whether this scheme is better than the conventional method using the standard lapse rate. A standard curve for lapse rate based on the diurnal course of temperature was drawn using upper air temperature for 1000hPa and 925hPa standard pressure levels. It was modulated by the hourly sky condition (amount of clouds). In order to test the reliability of this method, hourly lapse rates for the 500-600m layer over Daegwallyeong site were estimated by this method and compared with the measured values by an ultrasonic temperature profiler. Results showed the mean error $-0.0001^{\circ}C/m$ and the root mean square error $0.0024^{\circ}C/m$ for this vertical profile experiment. An additional experiment was carried out to test if this method is applicable for the mountain slope lapse rate. Hourly lapse rates for the 313-401m slope range in a complex watershed ('Hadong Watermark 2') were estimated by this method and compared with the observations. We found this method useful in describing diurnal cycle and variation of the mountain slope lapse rate over a complex terrain despite larger error compared with the vertical profile experiment.

A Study on the Current Situation of Adult Children Cohabiting with Their Parents and an Exploration of the Frame of Analysis (성인자녀의 부모 동거 현황 및 분석틀의 탐색)

  • Choi, Youn Shil
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to explore whether the phenomenon of both married and unmarried adults' cohabiting with their parents in Korean society is "unilaterally parasitic" on the child's side, or is "interdependent", characterized by expectation and dependence from the parent's side. As a result of this study possessing the characteristics of theoretic research, the following propensities of parent-dependent adults have been discussed. First of all, it was discovered that the ratio of adult children dependent on and cohabiting with their parents is considerable. Second, parents cohabiting with their adult children have unfavorable sociological features, such as high age, low level of education and income, and lower standards of education and income, compared to parents in normal households. Third, it was found that parent-dependent adults in Korean society maintain a relatively high rate of financial activity and stable employment-based occupation status. Fourth, it was shown that the level of satisfaction on the relationship between parent-dependent adults and their parents was discovered to be high, which is contrastive to the prediction of negative results based on some previous researches. Single adult children's age, their level of education and financial activity status, and their parents' age and level of education were deducted as variables related to the level of satisfaction of the relationship between parents and their children. It seems that the issue of married and unmarried adults' cohabiting with their parents in Korean society should be approached from various perspectives such as political, economic, socio-cultural and developmental aspects. On the basis of this fundamental awareness and several of the materials, it is pertinent that approaches to both married and unmarried adults' cohabiting with parents in Korean society should be distinguished from approaches to those in Japanese or Western society because it reflects the uniqueness of Korean society. In the phenomenon of married and unmarried adults' cohabiting with their parents in Korean society, there are several factors besides the economic factor, especially the socio-cultural factor that have the characteristics of mutual dependence between parents and their children rather than those of unilateral parasitism, in contrast with the phenomenon in Japanese or Western society. This research was aimed to contribute by establishing basic data for policy making by providing necessary information to treat the issues of instability and anxiety related to families and reflection on the matters of generations and parent-child relationships in current Korean society.

Seismic Performance and Damage Prediction of Existing Fire-protection Pipe Systems Installed in RC Frame Structures (철근콘크리트 구조물 내 부착된 수계 관망시스템의 내진거동 및 손상예측)

  • Jung, Woo-Young;Ju, Bu-Seog
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2011
  • Reliability of piping systems is essential to the safety of any important industrial facilities. During an earthquake, damage to the piping system can occur. It can also cause considerable economic losses and the loss of life following earthquakes. Traditionally, the study of the secondary system was less important than primary structure system, however it has recently been emerging as a key issue for the effective maintenance of the structural system and to help reduce nonstructural earthquake damage. The primary objectives of this study are to evaluate seismic design requirements and the seismic performance of gas and fire protection piping systems installed in reinforced concrete (RC) buildings. In order to characterize the seismic behavior of the existing piping system in an official building, 10 simulated earthquakes and 9 recorded real earthquakes were applied to ground level and the building system by the newmark average acceleration time history method. The results developed by this research can be used for the improvement of new seismic code/regulatory guidelines of secondary systems as well as the improvement of seismic retrofitting or the strengthening of the current piping system.

Influence of Carbonation for Chloride Diffusion in Concrete (탄산화 복합환경시 염소이온 확산에 관한 연구)

  • Oh Byung-Hwan;Lee Sung-Kyu;Lee Myung-Kue;Jung Sang-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.17 no.2 s.86
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    • pp.179-189
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    • 2005
  • Corrosion of steel due to chloride attack is a major concern in reinforced concrete structures which are located in the marine environments. In this case, Fick's 2nd law has been used for the prediction of chloride diffusion related with service life of concrete structures. However, those studies were confined mostly to the single deterioration due to chloride only, although actual environment is rather of combined type. The purpose of the present study is, therefore, to explore the influences of carbonation to chloride attack in concrete structures and to investigate the validity of Fick's law to chloride attack combined carbonation. The test results indicate that the chloride ion profiles from Fick's law using the diffusion coefficient of immersion tests is not reflected the effect of separation of chloride ions in carbonation region but valid in sound region in case of combined action. On the other hand, the chloride ion profiles from Fick's law using the diffusion coefficient of Tang and Nilsson's method coincide with test results under dry-wet condition but not under combined condition. The results of present study may Imply that the new method for the measurement of diffusion coefficient is required to predict the chloride ion profiles in case of combined action at early.

On Software Reliability Engineering Process for Weapon Systems (무기체계를 위한 소프트웨어의 신뢰성 공학 프로세스)

  • Kim, Ghi-Back;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.36 no.4B
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    • pp.332-345
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    • 2011
  • As weapon systems are evolving into more advanced and complex ones, the role of the software is becoming heavily significant in their developments. Particularly in the war field of today as represented by the network centric warfare(NCW), the reliability of weapon systems is definitely crucial. In this context, it is inevitable to develop software reliably enough to make the weapon systems operate robustly in the combat field. The reliability engineering activities performed to develop software in the domestic area seem to be limited to the software reliability estimations for some projects. To ensure that the target reliability of software be maintained through the system's development period, a more systematic approach to performing software reliability engineering activities are necessary from the beginning of the development period. In this paper, we consider the software reliability in terms of the development of a weapon system as a whole. Thus, from the systems engineering point of view, we analyze the models and methods that are related to software reliability and a variety of associated activities. As a result, a process is developed, which can be called the software reliability engineering process for weapon systems (SREP-WS), The developed SREP-WS can be used in the development of a weapon system to meet a target reliability throughout its life-cycle. Based on the SREP-WS, the software reliability could also be managed quantitatively.

Selection of Quality Indicator to Predict the Shelf-life of Milk (UHT, LTLT) during Distribution (시유(UHT, LTLT)의 유통 중 품질예측을 위한 품질지표 선정)

  • Kim, Ji-Young;Kim, Jong-Hoon;Kim, Byeong-Sam
    • Journal of Dairy Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 2011
  • The changes in pH, titratable acidity, chromaticity, total count, coliform group and organoleptic properties of the whole market milks (UHT, LTLT) that sold currently on the domestic market were stored after their production at 0, 10, 20, 30 and $40^{\circ}C$ to predict their quality during distribution, and examined prior to the analysis on the correlation of their quality properties and organoleptic preference level and discovery of optimal quality indicator. The investigation of correlation between pH, acidity and preference level of milks depending on respective storage temperature showed significant correlation (p<0.01) for the milk stored at 10, 20, 30 and $40^{\circ}C$, and the higher temperature was directly proportional to the higher correlation coefficient. The correlation between total count and preference level for LTLT milk stored at 0, 10, 20, 30 and $40^{\circ}C$ showed high correlation coefficient at every high temperature condition respectively as R=0.81, R=0.91, R=0.96, R=0.90 & R=0.99, and the correlation coefficients were also significant level for the UHT milk irrespective of their storage temperature except $0^{\circ}C$. Accordingly, the changes in total colonies turned out to be suitable to be the quality indicator for the quality prediction of the milk on the distribution.

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A study on reliability analysis model of the repair and replacement cycle of a building which utilizes Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 활용한 건축물 수선교체주기 신뢰성 분석 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Rok;Jung, Young-Han;Son, Jae-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2010
  • This study presented a model that can enable a reliability analysis for the repair and replacement cycle of a building by using background repair and replacement data and expert opinion as foundation data and applying Monte Carlo Simulation. The presented model offers the time of the repair and replacement of building elements for the period of a year, and supports the prediction of repair and replacement and expenses demand in advance while planning the maintenance of a building. In addition, the model will significantly reduce the risks to the building owner with regard to maintenance decisions. In addition, when a person in charge of the maintenance of large-scale building assets is having difficulties making decisions regarding the repair and replacement of existing building elements due to a lack of background data to support a long-term policy on the repair and replacement requirements, an engineering solution that can ensure the adequacy of this is provided. In summary, it can be largely divided into three study results. First, a method of estimating the repair and replacement cycle that can deal with the development of a construction system was developed. Second, a probabilistic methodology that can quantify the risk of the repair and replacement cycle was proposed. Third, the proposed model can be used as a means of supporting designer and constructor in making decisions for the life cycle plan of a building during a construction project.

Substrate Quality Effects on Decomposition of Three Livestock Manure Composts with Similar Stability Degree in an Acid Loamy Soil

  • Lim, Sang-Sun;Jung, Jae-Woon;Choi, Woo-Jung;Ro, Hee-Myong
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.527-533
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    • 2011
  • Decomposition of compost applied to soils is affected basically by its biological stability; but, many other chemical properties of the compost may also influence compost organic-C mineralization. This study was conducted to investigate the principal substrate quality factors of composts that determine C mineralization of compost with similar stability degree (SD). Three composts samples with similar SD but different chemical properties such as pH, C/N, $K_2SO_4$-extractable C, and molar ratio of $NH_4^+$ to $NO_3^-$ were mixed with an acid loamy soil and $CO_2$ emission was monitored during the laboratory incubation for 100 days. Temporal pattern of cumulative compost organic-C mineralization expressed as % of total organic C ($C_{%\;TOC}$) followed double exponential first order kinetics model and the $C_{%\;TOC}$ ranged from 4.8 to 11.8% at the end of incubation. The pattern of C%TOC among the composts was not coincident with the SD pattern (40.1 to 58.6%) of the composts; e.g. compost with the lowest SD resulted in the least $C_{%\;TOC}$ and vice versa. This result indicates that SD of compost can not serve as a concrete predictor of compost mineralization as SD is subject not only to maturity of compost but also to characteristics of co-composting materials such as rice hull (low SD) and sawdust (high SD). Meanwhile, such pattern of $C_{%\;TOC}$ collaborated with pH, C/N, $K_2SO_4$-extractable C, and molar ratio of $NH_4^+$ to $NO_3^-$ of the composts that are regarded as chemical indices of the progress of composting. Therefore, for better prediction of compost mineralization in soils, it is necessary to consider both SD and other chemical indices (pH, C/N, and molar ratio of $NH_4^+$ to $NO_3^-$).

Development of a Road Hazard Map Considering Meteorological Factors (기상인자를 고려한 도로 위험지도 개발)

  • Kim, Hyung Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2017
  • Recently, weather information is getting closer to our real life, and it is a very important factor especially in the transportation field. Although the damage caused by the abnormal climate changes around the world has been gradually increased and the correlation between the road risk and the possibility of traffic accidents is very high, the domestic research has been performed at the level of basic research. The Purpose of this study is to develop a risk map for the road hazard forecasting service of weather situation by linking real - time weather information and traffic information based on accident analysis data by weather factors. So, we have developed a collection and analysis about related data, processing, applying prediction models in various weather conditions and a method to provide the road hazard map for national highways and provincial roads on a web map. As a result, the road hazard map proposed in this study can be expected to be useful for road managers and users through online and mobile services in the future. In addition, information that can support safe autonomous driving by continuously archiving and providing a risk map database so as to anticipate and preemptively prepare for the risk due to meteorological factors in the autonomous driving vehicle, which is a key factor of the 4th Industrial Revolution, and this map can be expected to be fully utilized.

A Study on the Awareness of medical and Health-Related Majors on Drinking Culture (의·보건 계열 대학생의 음주문화 인식에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Hwan;Han, Jin-Sook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.5043-5048
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the drinking awareness of medical and health-related majors in a bid to find out the impact of their drinking awareness on drinking. The subjects in this study were 153 students who were selected by rendem sampling from colleges located in two different cities in the province. Data collection was performed from may 1 to september 20, 2011 with total 153 college students. Out of them, 86 students majored in medical departments, and 67 students were in the health-related departments. After a self-administered survey was conducted, the following findings were given: A great deal of the students who accounted for 75.8 percent were ever disturbed in daily routine life by drinking over the past year. As for the influence of drinking awareness on the amount of drinking, the amount of drinking was under the significant influence of the following five items. The first was that alcohol was an energizer(p<.001), and the second was that drinking led to a sound sleep(p<.01). The third was that I drank too much with my close friends often(p<.05), and the fourth was that alcohol used as a hangover-chaser was conducive to a hangover(p<.05). The fifth was that alcohol had the largest impact on the liver(p<.05). All the variables made a 43.4% prediction of the amount of drinking. In conclusion, the medical and health-related majors who learned about the impact of drinking on the human body in a firsthand or secondhand manner had a tendency to drink a less amount of alcohol and do less binge drinking. It's advisable to take advantage of the knowledge of medical and health-related majors on the human body and drinking as resources of anti-drinking education.